Aktuell
NuWays AG: MPC Energy Solutions N.V: BUY
Original-Research: MPC Energy Solutions N.V - von NuWays AG
02.08.2024 / 09:02 CET/CEST
Veröffentlichung einer Research, übermittelt durch EQS News - ein Service der EQS Group AG.
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw. Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MPC Energy Solutions N.V
Unternehmen:
MPC Energy Solutions N.V
ISIN:
NL0015268814
Anlass der Studie:
Update
Empfehlung:
BUY
seit:
02.08.2024
Kursziel:
NOK 23.00
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst:
Christian Sandherr
Q2 figures marked by scaling operations
Q2 consolidated sales grew by 42% yoy to $ 2.4m as the group's energy output increased to 29.1 GWh driven by the ramp up of the company's production portfolio; two projects became operational throughout 2023.
The group's consolidated Q2 EBITDA improved notably from $ -0.3m (Q2 2023) to $ 1.1m (37% margin) thanks to the positive operating leverage but also the successfully implemented efficiency measures on the holding level (e.g. reduced overhead and renegotiated contracts with suppliers). For FY24e, the company is on track to hit the targeted 30% cost reduction vs previous year. Still, EBITDA was impacted by negative one-offs to the tune of $ 100k, related to unforeseen energy purchases.MPCES’ FY24e guidance reiterated. Management continues to expect significant growth across all of its KPIs; energy output +44% yoy to 145 GWh, project revenues +32% yoy and project EBITDA +93% yoy. Above all, this should be carried by the ramp-up of its production portfolio. Mind you, over the course of FY23, the company finalized two projects (Los Girasoles in May and Planeta Rica in November), which will impact the full year of 2024. The guidance is largely in line with our estimates.Project development remains on track. The construction of its 65MW PV project in Guatemala, which begun at the end of February, is progressing as planned and installation of module substructures is seen to commence in August. While MPCES has not yet signed a co-investor (49% stake of the project), we expect this to happen until the end of this year. Importantly, finding a co-investor has ultimately no impact on the construction timeline as MPCES has already fully financed the project. Once the project is completed (eNuW: mid-2025), it is seen to generate annualized sales of some $8m.
Despite the good year-to-date share price development (~ +25%), we continue to regard the valuation as attractive. This is particularly evident when considering that the company trades on a roughly 60% discount to the NAV of its assets at the end of Q2 (see page 2). At the same time, renewable assets usually sell at a premium to their book value.
We confirm our BUY rating with an unchanged NOK 23 PT, which is based on sumof-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, separately accounting for the value of its current IPP portfolio (NPV) and its development backlog (multiple)
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden: http://www.more-ir.de/d/30347.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden: www.nuways-ag.com/research
Kontakt für Rückfragen:
NuWays AG - Equity ResearchWeb: www.nuways-ag.comEmail: research@nuways-ag.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysagAdresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany++++++++++Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.++++++++++
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1959565 02.08.2024 CET/CEST
NuWays AG: MLP SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: MLP SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MLP SE
Unternehmen: MLP SE
ISIN: DE0006569908
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 16.05.2024
Kursziel: EUR 11.50
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Strong Q1 driven by wealth management and banking
MLP released a strong set of Q1 results in line with expectations and at
new record levels. In detail:
Sales increased by a solid 8% yoy to € 284m (eNuW: 280m), slightly above
estimates. The main drivers were the strong banking business (Interest
Income +89% yoy to € 22m) and Wealth Management, which had tailwinds from
elevated capital markets and grew sales by 17% yoy of € 86m. While the
Non-Life Insurance business benefitted from higher inflation rates in the
past, the momentum has expectedly slowed down with easing inflation. Thus,
Non-Life Insurance recorded sales growth of 6% yoy to € 97m. Also, Real
Estate Brokerage showed a recovery of 70% yoy to € 3m, however from low
levels. In contrast, Real Estate Development remains muted with sales of €
3.4m,down 66% yoy, due to MLP's decision to halt projects in the current
market
nvironment (see p. 2 for details)
EBIT came in as expected with a substantial improvement of 14% yoy to € 37m
(13% margin, +0.7pp yoy). The main margin drivers were the ongoing strong
interest result of € 13.6m (+32% yoy) coupled with the recognition of €
3.8m in performance-based compensation at FERI's funds - the first time
since Q4'21. Due to a base effect, other OPEX have declined by 7% yoy to €
43m, whereas personnel expenses rose by 11.4% yoy to € 58m (5.4% wage
inflation and 5.6% increase in headcount). On a segment basis (for details
see p. 2), Banking and Wealth Management remain MLP's current EBIT drivers,
while RE development burdens profitability.
On a positive note, MLP could grow its fundaments for recurring revenues to
new record levels. First, AuM increased by € 2.3bn (€ 200m net capital
inflows and € 2.1bn from rising valuation) to a staggering € 59.3bn and
serves as the bedrock for profitable and recurring sales in Wealth
Management. Secondly, the Non-life Insurance Volume grew by 7% yoy to €
719m, which is comparable to German SMEs in this field.
All in all, MLP is on track to outperform its conservative guidance of €
75-85m EBIT (vs. eNuW: € 88m). By simply assuming the last years' Q2-Q4
EBIT of € 46m (excluding € 7.8m in one-offs) for the remainder of this
year, FY'24e EBIT would stand at € 83m already.
Therefore, we reiterate our BUY recommendation with slightly lower PT of €
11.50, based on FCFY'24e
(€ 10.50) and SOTP (€ 12.50).
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29769.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
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NuWays AG: MPC Energy Solutions N.V: Kaufen
Original-Research: MPC Energy Solutions N.V - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MPC Energy Solutions N.V
Unternehmen: MPC Energy Solutions N.V
ISIN: NL0015268814
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 10.05.2024
Kursziel: NOK 23.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Strong Q1: First positive group EBITDA as prod. portfolio scales
Topic: Q1 clearly underpins MPCES' operational progress (ramp-up of
production portfolio) and successful cost cutting program. At the same
time, it remains highly attractive with shares trading on a ~65% discount
to the NAV of the company's assets.
Q1 sales grew by 51% yoy to $ 2.5m as the energy output almost doubled to
30 GWh, offsetting the decreased average energy price of 77 $/MWh (-12.5%
yoy). While the latter was the result of a changed PPA mix (new projects
with lower PPA prices), the increase in energy output was driven by the
ramp up of the company's production portfolio, which now stands at 79MW.
The group's Q1 EBITDA increased strongly from $ -0.7m to $ 0.6m (25%
margin) thanks to the positive operating leverage but also the company's
efficiency measures bearing fruit. Compared to last year's Q1, management
was able to cut operating expenses (excl. project opex) significantly by
32%.
FY24e guidance remains unchanged. Management expects significant growth
across all of its KPIs; energy output +44% yoy to 145 GWh, project revenues
+32% yoy and project EBITDA +93% yoy. This is largely in line with our
estimates and is first and foremost driven by the ramp-up of its production
portfolio. Mind you, over the course of FY23, the company finalized two
projects (Los Girasoles in May and Planeta Rica in November), which will
impact the full year of 2024.
Development pipeline remains promising. MPCES has begun construction on a
65MW PV project in Guatemala (Feb. 26th), which should boost the group`s
top-line by some $ 4m p.a. (reflecting the targeted 50% ownership) from mid
2025 onwards. The remaining mature development backlog features additional
225MW of PV assets in the target region.
Valuation remains attractive. Despite the roughly 30% rebound since the
lows in November of last year, MPCES’ shares remain strongly undervalued,
in our view. This becomes particularly clear when considering the NAV of
the companies assets as of Q1 2024 (renewable assets usually sell at a
premium to their book value) of 23.5 NOK per share incl. a 30% discount
(see page 2).
Reiterate BUY with an unchanged NOK 23 PT based on a sum-of-the-parts
(SOTP) valuation, separately accounting for the value of its current IPP
portfolio (NPV) and its development backlog (multiple).
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29657.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Westwing Group SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Westwing Group SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Westwing Group SE
Unternehmen: Westwing Group SE
ISIN: DE000A2N4H07
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 08.05.2024
Kursziel: EUR 18.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Mark Schüssler
Healthy Q1 results // FY24 guidance confirmed
Healthy Q1 results underpin that Westwing was able to continue the trend of
yoy GMV growth witnessed in recent quarters. Q1 sales increased by 6% yoy
to € 109m (eNuW: € 107.7m), showing an acceleration of growth versus Q4
(+2% yoy), driven by growth in active customers (+2% yoy to 1.28m) and
basket size (+9% yoy to € 185). International and DACH grew 3% and 8% yoy,
respectively, implying continued market share gains amid ongoing challenges
in the German online Home & Living market (-4% yoy).
At the same time, efficiency measures are bearing fruit. Adj. EBITDA
arrived in line with expectations at € 6m in Q1 (eNuW: € 6.5m),
representing a margin improvement of 0.8ppts yoy to 5.8%. This was carried
by a strong contribution margin expansion of +4ppts yoy to 32%, a
favorable product mix (i.e. higher private label share, +5ppts yoy to 51%
of GMV in Q1), reduced fulfilment expenses (-2ppts yoy) as well as lower
G&A costs (-1ppts yoy) as a result of cost savings (i.e. consolidation of
logistics and warehouses and streamlining the organization). Notably,
Westwing was able to translate the favorable adj. EBITDA development into
healthy FCF of € 4m in Q1, supported by net working capital of € -18m,
likely concluding the reduction of excess inventory built up during Covid.
Westwing confirmed its FY24 guidance and with sales expected to develop
within a range of -3% to 4% yoy to € 415445m (eNuW: € 442m). While the Q1
performance was overall satisfactory, management continues to expect H2'24
sales to be weighed down by a strategic adjustment of the product offering
in Spain and Italy (low to mid single-digit percentage impact) along with
ongoing challenges in the home & living market as consumers continue to
hold back on higher-value products such as furniture.
The adj. EBITDA outlook was reiterated at € 14m to € 24m implying a 3.1 to
5.8% margin (eNuW: € 23.7m with a 5.4% margin). Considering € 6m adj.
EBITDA in Q1, the bottom-line guidance looks achievable, in our view, while
FCF for the full year should likely be close to break-even (eNuW: € 0.3m)
due to one-off restructuring costs (i.e. complexity reduction, SaaS
transition) and normalizing inventory patterns.
Overall, Westwing has adapted successfully to the current transition period
towards a leaner and more scalable organizational setup. While visibility
on a return of consumer confidence remains low, Westwing’s mid-term
prospects continue to look bright driven by the structural shift towards
e-commerce and its unique positioning in the European home & living market.
We reiterate our BUY recommendationwith a PT of € 18.00, based on DCF, and
keep the stock on our Alpha List.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29623.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: LAIQON AG: Kaufen
Original-Research: LAIQON AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu LAIQON AG
Unternehmen: LAIQON AG
ISIN: DE000A12UP29
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 26.04.2024
Kursziel: EUR 10.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
FY'24e to see improvements in top and bottom-line
Topic: LAIQON recently released mixed final Q4 results. Moreover, the
outlook of performance fees for FY24e, poses LAIQON for another year of
solid top-line growth and profitability improvements.
Final results in line: LAIQON released sales and EBITDA prelims in February
and both final figures did
not deviate. What's new is the net income, which came in slightlyworse than
expected at -12.8m (eNuW: € -10.8m) due to (1) € 7.3m negative one-off
effects (i.e., € 1.8m non-cash revaluations of limited partners in LAIC and
€ 5.5m interest expenses for purchase price allocations), lowering the
financial result to € -8.9m (eNuW: € -1.5m) and (2) better than expected
tax expense of € -7.1m (eNuW: € -2m).
AuM growth on track: At end of Q1'24, LAIQON reported € 6.4bn AuMs on group
level, an increase of € 300m vs. Y/E'23 (€ 6.1bn). While the split between
net capital inflow and valuation gains is indisclosed, we estimate c. €
150m to be performance related and the remaining € 150m to stem from
capital inflows across the three segments. For Y/E'24e, we estimate AuMs to
stand at € 7bn (+14% yoy), meaning that € 600m (€ 200m per quarter) are
needed to reach our estimate.
Token placement started: In order to secure further outside growth
financing and allow for an independent valuation of LAIQON's subgroup LAIC,
the placement of the 'LAIC-Token 24' has been started in March. This should
lead to proceeds of up to € 6.8m for LAIQON and should value the LAIC
subgroup at € 65m, of which LAIQON should hold 80.8% post transaction.
Further improvements for FY'24e: Based on our 14% yoy AuM growth estimate,
we expect sales to develop accordingly and increase to € 34.4m (+12% yoy).
This should in return lead to an improved bottom-line thanks to the high
fix-cost base of LAIQON's business model. We expect EBITDA to improve by
2.5m from € -4.7 in FY'23 to € -2.2m in FY'24e, implying an incremental
EBITDA margin of 67%. Further upside could stem from performance fees (not
included in our estimates) thanks to capital markets currently developing
in LAIQON's favour. For FY'25e, we expect a positive EBITDA of € 3.4m
thanks to first full-year effects of the Union Investment cooperation but
also thanks to organic growth and thus operating leverage at the other
segments.
In our view, the current valuation does not reflect LAIQON's potential.
Thus, we reiterate our BUY recommendation with unchanged PT of € 10.00,
based on DFC. - Analyst change -
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29529.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Nynomic AG: Kaufen
Original-Research: Nynomic AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Nynomic AG
Unternehmen: Nynomic AG
ISIN: DE000A0MSN11
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 26.04.2024
Kursziel: EUR 52.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
High single-digit €m order confirms growth prospects
Nynomic’s subsidiary m-u-t GmbH has received a high single-digit order,
which should translate into sales over the course of FY24/25e. Most
importantly, this coupled with the recently announced product launch of the
LabScanner Plus, a bulk-testing tool for pharmaceutical companies, strongly
underpins the company’s growth prospects and expected growth acceleration.
In detail, Nynomic will provide an existing customer (no details provided)
with a solution to further improve the efficiency and accuracy of gas
analysis in the customer's application. The order in the high single-digit
€m range (eNuW, € 7-8m) will partially still be recognized as sales this
year, the remainder in FY25e. Further, this should allow Nynomic to book
follow-on orders during the next few years, eNuW.
This bodes well with our expected growth acceleration for FY24e. Mind you,
last year’s growth stood at only 1%, largely as a result of the lumpy
nature of parts of the group, partially longer sales cycles and customers’
inventory normalizations. For FY24e, we expect 12% yoy growth (8% organic)
on the back of a number of drivers including (1) unbroken demand from semi
customers, (2) fulfilment precision farming orders, (3) TactiScan gaining
traction, (4) a structurally growing medtech market and (5) new product
launches such as LabScanner Plus.
Bright mid-term prospects. Last year, management issued a new mid-term (3-5
years) guidance expecting sales to reach € 200m with a 16-19% EBIT margin.
The implied 11-19% sales CAGR with a 3-6pp margin increase is a reflection
of the company's recent operational efforts, i.e. broadening the technology
offering through partnerships, in-house development and acquisitions but
also the integration of recurring components (e.g. cloud solutions) in its
products.
Acquisitions could serve as additional catalyst. As per its growth
strategy, Nynomic should be looking to acquire 12 companies (technological
and geographical diversification) during the next six months. Thanks to its
strong balance sheet, we also regard bigger targets (~ € 20m sales) as
possible.
Valuation remains attractive. At roughly € 29 per share, Nynomic is trading
on a mere 9.6/7.1x EV/ EBIT 2024/25e. Taking into consideration the
company’s strong balance sheet and the growth prospects underpinned by its
mid-term guidance, this looks unjustified, in our view. We confirm our BUY
rating with an unchanged € 52 PT and keep the stock on our Alpha List.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29531.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Nabaltec AG: Kaufen
Original-Research: Nabaltec AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Nabaltec AG
Unternehmen: Nabaltec AG
ISIN: DE000A0KPPR7
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 26.04.2024
Kursziel: EUR 25.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Final FY23 as expected, solid start into FY24
2023 figures inline with prelims. To recap: FY23 sales decreased by 8.5%
yoy to € 200m, largely driven by the highly cyclical Specialty Alumina
segment, which reported sales of € 57.8m (-18.5% yoy). On the contrary,
Functional Fillers’ sales decreased by only 3.9% to € 142.3m, as revenues
from boehmite and gap fillers grew by 6.1% yoy to € 22.4m, whereas boehmite
alone showed a 9% yoy sales decline. Positively, the FY EBIT margin stood
at 9.2% (-4.2pp yoy), € 18.3m absolute EBIT. Despite the muted operational
performance and a 14% increase of working capital, the company generated €
2m of FCF.
Nabaltec also released solid Q1 prelims, which render the FY24 guidance
sensible. Q1 sales decreased 5.3% yoy to € 54m, largely due to a tough
comparable base (Q1 FY23 with 4% growth vs a 12% decline during the
remainder of FY23). Compared to the average of the past three quarters, Q1
sales were up 14%. In fact, the EBIT margin slightly increased by 0.2pp yoy
to 9.3% (absolute EBIT of € 5m).
With this, the lower end of the FY24 EBIT margin guidance looks well in
reach, if not conservative as it implies a margin of only 6.2% for the
remainder of the year. This compares to our 8.2% margin estimate for the
rest of FY24e (eNuW: 3.9% yoy sales growth). As a reminder, management
expects to grow FY24 sales slightly with an EBIT margin of 7-9%. Growth is
expected to be carried by a slight increase of boehmite volumes (+1kt yoy),
further growing gap filler demand and improving utilization rates at its US
plants, while the remainder of F.F. and S.A. should remain rather flat yoy.
Boehmite retains plenty of potential. During the past two years, the
boehmite sales contribution decreased from € 24.2m in FY21 to € 17.3m last
year. The main reason behind this was a strong oversupply in China
(lacklustre EV demand growth), the core market for EV battery production
and a slower than initially expected ramp up of production capacities in
Europe and the US. Yet, with demand for ceramic coating solutions expected
to 4x until 2028, boehmite should return to growth; eNuW: from € 17m in
FY23 to € 25m by FY25e (conservatively below market growth).
In sum, Nabaltec is a cyclical company that has passed the demand trough
with a solid balance sheet, several structural growth drivers for core
products and upside from boehmite. Valuation seem to lag behind with shares
trading on 9/7x EV/EBIT FY24/25e. We confirm our BUY rating with an
unchanged € 25 PT based on FCFY 24e and keep Nabaltec in our NuWays Alpha
List.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29535.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Cantourage Group SE: BUY
Original-Research: Cantourage Group SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Cantourage Group SE
Unternehmen: Cantourage Group SE
ISIN: DE000A3DSV01
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 21.11.2023
Kursziel: € 11,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Continued strong growth in Q3; chg.
Topic: Cantourage reported preliminary Q3 figures with significant sales
growth and notable EBITDA improvements. The planned abolishment of the
narcotic drug status of medical cannabis in Q1 2024e should further drive
patient numbers and sales growth going forward.
Q3 sales grew by 79% yoy to € 6.1m (9M: +85% yoy to € 17.2m). At the same
time, EBITDA came in at € -0.6m, a notable improvement compared to last
year’s figure (€ -1.2m), 9M with € 0.4m EBITDA loss. The discrepancy to our
old Q3 estimates (€ 7.3m sales and EBITDA break-even) was driven by delays
in the approval of new production facilities, which offer significantly
higher throughput rates but also weaker demand at the beginning of the
quarter.
The confirmed FY23 guidance (high double-digit percentage sales growth
while reaching EBITDA break-even) points towards continued strong growth as
well as further significant EBITDA improvement during Q4. Above all, this
should be carried by the ongoing ramp-up, i.e. a gradually increasing
number of fully onboarded cultivators i.e. having a product deployed at
pharmacies.
Regulatory tailwinds to materialize towards the end of Q1 2024e. Medical
cannabis is still a fairly young market in Germany (approved for
therapeutical purposes since 2017), which still records low adoption rates
amongst suitable patients, largely as a result of complex prescription
processes that potential patients have to go through. With the 'Cannabis
Act', which should become effective towards the end of Q1 2024 (eNuW), this
should materially change as getting a prescription for cannabis should
become as easy as getting one for ibuprofen 600. Through this, medical
cannabis could also become part and benefit from the German e-script
universe, which just launched in July this year.
Cantourage should be well prepared to benefit from this thanks to its broad
global supplier network with more than 60 grower partners, its own
telemedicine platform, telecan°, and a growing distribution network across
Europe. The company looks set to grow sales at a 59% CAGR (2022-25e) while
at the
same time reaching a high single-digit EBITDA margins thanks to the
resulting operating leverage.
Reiterate BUY with a new € 11 PT (old: € 12.5) based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28351.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.