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AUD/USD rallies toward 0.7200 as Aussie gains on easing war fears
The Australian Dollar soars some 0.53% on Monday, with the Greenback staying firm amid uncertainty regarding the outcome of the US-Iran conflict as Washington reviews Tehran’s last proposal to end the war. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD trades at 0.7185 after bouncing off daily lows of 0.7125.
USD/PHP: Political rift hits BSP – BNY
BNY's Bob Savage reports that the central bank of the Philippines, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Eli Remolona faces a legal complaint tied to disclosures in an impeachment probe involving the vice president.
South Korea BOK Manufacturing BSI increased to 72 in May from previous 71
South Korea BOK Manufacturing BSI increased to 72 in May from previous 71
SP500 Elliott Wave: Approaching end of pattern
SPX continues its rally from the March low. The rally counts best as an impulse pattern and the structure is mature, nearing its end.
US: Growth normalizes as Iran shock fades – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir project output growth gradually slowing to potential by late 2026 as Iran-related stagflationary risks keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) cautious.
India: IGB view stays neutral – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered Bank economists Anubhuti Sahay, Saurav Anand and Nagaraj Kulkarni assess Indian states’ finances, projecting the aggregate FY27 fiscal deficit at 2.9% of GDP, similar to FY26.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: US Dollar approaches 100-day SMA as momentum firms near resistance
USD/CHF edges modestly higher on Monday, up some 0.15% as the US Dollar (USD) bounces from its daily lows as risk appetite improves during the North American session. At the time of writing, the pair exchanges hands at 0.7854.
Germany: Reform push shapes macro outlook – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank economists Marion Muehlberger and Ursula Walther argue that Germany’s new reform drive under Finance Minister Klingbeil could gradually improve growth prospects and sentiment.
Iran's Araghchi: US requesting negotiations because they have not achieved any objectives
In a post on published on his Telegram account, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that United States (US) President Donald Trump is requesting negotiations because the US has not achieved any of its objectives.
USD/JPY: BoJ caution and intervention risk shape outlook – MUFG
MUFG’s FX team highlights that Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate-hike expectations for April have collapsed, even as Japanese inflation data surprise to the upside.
BoC: Policy hold view after turnover – Rabobank
Rabobank strategists Molly Schwartz and Christian Lawrence expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight policy rate at 2.25% through year-end, with no change anticipated at the April 29 meeting.
USD/CAD: Bearish momentum targets March lows – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe the Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthening decisively versus the Dollar, extending its typical April outperformance even as risk sentiment remains uncertain.
USD/CAD falls toward six-week lows as US Dollar dips, Oil lifts CAD
USD/CAD declines for a second consecutive day on Monday, trading around 1.3610 at the time of writing, down 0.44% on the day and testing its lowest levels in six weeks.
ECB: June hike risk grows on energy shock – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered strategists Christopher Graham and John Davies expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the deposit rate at 2.00% on 30 April, citing a wait‑for‑data stance as the Middle East conflict evolves.
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index down to -2.3 in April from previous -0.2
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index down to -2.3 in April from previous -0.2
Oil: Hormuz risk and higher price path – BNY
BNY’s Bob Savage reports that Iran has proposed a U.S. deal prioritizing reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending the war, with nuclear talks delayed.
Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) is drifting toward a floor that has seen better days
Looking at the DPZ chart this week, there is one level that defines everything about where this trade goes next, and it sits at $303.68. Domino's Pizza, the world's largest pizza delivery chain with over 20,000 locations globally, closed Friday at $367.83.
EUR/GBP: Loses momentum as BoE turns hawkish – MUFG
MUFG analysts note that EUR/GBP has drifted lower within a 0.8600–0.8800 range as the Pound (GBP) outperforms the Euro (EUR). The euro-zone faces weaker PMIs and rising stagflation risks, while stronger United Kingdom (UK) data and sticky inflation have markets pricing more BoE tightening.
Gold struggles despite softer USD as higher-for-longer interest rate bets weigh
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm at the start of the week as fresh US-Iran headlines improve market sentiment, even after talks over the weekend failed to materialize. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,690, down 0.40% the day after hitting an intraday peak of $4,730.
Five Mag Seven earnings in 48 hours put AI rally on trial
What happens when the market races back to record highs before the biggest earnings test of the quarter?
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