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USD/SGD: Upside risks as Hormuz crisis persists – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong flag slight upside risks for USD/SGD as the Hormuz standoff weighs on risk appetite and imported cost pressures.
PHP: BSP starts new hiking cycle – Commerzbank
Commerzbank highlights that BSP raised its policy rate by 25bp to 4.50%, signalling the start of a new tightening cycle to anchor inflation expectations.
USD/TWD: Rebound seen as fadeable – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong describe a technical rebound in USD/TWD driven by broader US Dollar (USD) strength and risk aversion linked to the US‑Iran ceasefire stalemate.
PBoC: Steepening bias as industrial activity holds – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Samuel Tse analyses recent steepening in Chinese Yuan (CNY) rates, linking it to a ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran and stronger-than-expected Q1 growth in China.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Rejected at 100-day SMA, eyes on 0.7800
USD/CHF dropped on Friday but finished the week with gains of over 0.35%, trading at 0.7841 as market participants grew confident that US-Iran talks could resume over the weekend to resolve the conflict.
USD/IDR: Upside risks widen on fiscal concerns – MUFG
Lloyd Chan at MUFG highlights that USD/IDR has broken to fresh highs, overshooting earlier expectations for near-term stabilization. The move is attributed more to domestic confidence and fiscal uncertainty than broad US Dollar (USD) strength.
Silver Price Analysis: Advances but stalls at technical confluence near $75
Silver price edges up over 0.50% during Friday’s session, after bouncing off a daily low of $73.10. Speculation about a resumption of negotiations between Washington and Tehran is cheered by investors, which pushed US equities higher in tandem with the precious metals segment.
PHP: BSP tightening supports Peso but risks linger – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note the central bank of Philippines Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas' (BSP) 25bp hike to 4.5% and guidance that further increases are possible as inflation forecasts are revised higher and second-round effects emerge.
BoC: Cautious hold and two‑sided risks – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists, including Andrew Kelvin and colleagues, expect the Bank of Canada to keep the Overnight Rate at 2.25% through the April meeting and likely for the rest of 2026.
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 206.5K to 192.3K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 206.5K to 192.3K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions: €41.3K vs €26K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions: €41.3K vs €26K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions down to ¥-94.5K from previous ¥-83.2K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions down to ¥-94.5K from previous ¥-83.2K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions rose from previous £-54.7K to £-52K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions rose from previous £-54.7K to £-52K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions: $164K vs $162.5K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions: $164K vs $162.5K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions climbed from previous $-115.8K to $-110.1K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions climbed from previous $-115.8K to $-110.1K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $64.8K vs previous $65.1K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $64.8K vs previous $65.1K
BoE: MPC holds vigilant stance – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman expects the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to leave Bank Rate at 3.75% at the April meeting, maintaining its vigilant stance.
Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar eases into weekend as markets eye central bank meetings
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is losing momentum near the 98.50 price zone and continues drifting lower from recent highs as markets unwind part of the recent US Dollar (USD) rally despite still strong United States (US) data and ongoing Middle East tensions.
Gold rebounds as Iran-US deal hopes drive upside
Gold (XAU/USD) price recovers some ground on Friday, extending its gains above $4,700 as market sentiment remains upbeat amid headlines from Iran and the US pointing to a resumption of second-round talks aimed at ending the conflict. At the time of writing XAU/USD trades at $4,726, up 0.47%.
NZD/USD rises as US Dollar weakens on renewed US-Iran talks hopes
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gains traction against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as the Greenback weakens amid renewed hopes for US–Iran talks after stalled negotiations.
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