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EUR/USD Outlook: Limited Downside Amid Dovish Fed, Shutdown
EUR/USD outlook edges higher near 1.1734 as risk appetite weighs on the US Dollar despite Eurozone services PMI revision. Mixed Eurozone data show resilience, while the US labor market concerns deepen amid the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls release. Fed’s Logan cools expectations of an October rate cut, leaving markets focused on ISM services data and the...
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Gold Forecast: Aiming for $4,000 Amid Rate Cut Bets, Geopolitics
Fed rate cuts and dollar weakness are driving gold higher, with markets pricing two more cuts this year. Geopolitical risks and U.S. shutdown uncertainty keep safe-haven demand strong despite record equity highs. Structural flows from ETFs and central banks reinforce the rally, with forecasts eyeing $4,000 by year-end. Gold remains firm on Friday, holding above...
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GBP/USD Forecast: Holds Near 1.35 Amid Weak US ADP Data and Shutdown
GBP/USD forecast turns up, testing 1.3500 as weak US labor data and the government shutdown pressure the dollar. The BoE is cautious on policy, with Deputy Governor Breeden warning that inflation risks could fall below the target. Fed cuts priced in, but Treasuries’ safe-haven appeal may limit sustained dollar downside. The GBP/USD forecast tilts higher...
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AUD/USD Outlook Steady Amid US Shutdown, Trade Weakness Caps Gains
The AUD/USD outlook steadies as the US shutdown is balanced by downbeat domestic data. The RBA’s cautiousness and the Fed’s easing leave the AUD anchored. China’s weakness and domestic trade data could cap gains in Aussie. The AUD/USD outlook remains stable amid subdued US dollar activity following the US government shutdown and softening labor market...
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Gold Outlook: Risk Flows Lift Bullion Amid Shutdown, Soft Labor Data
Gold outlook remains bullish, standing above the key $3,870 level. Risk flows due to the US government shutdown, weaker labor data, and the Russia-Ukraine crisis push gold up. Markets await the US ADP and ISM Manufacturing PMI for more impetus. Gold prices are holding near the record high levels of $3,875 during the early European...
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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Shutdown Risk, Labor Data Weighing on USD
The GBP/USD price analysis leans to the upside, driven by upbeat UK Q2 GDP and the US government shutdown. Softer JOLTS data weakened the dollar, revealing a cooling labor market. All eyes are now on the US ADP and ISM PMI data due today. The GBP/USD price analysis shows a mildly bullish scenario as the...
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USD/CAD Outlook: CAD Weakening Amid Looming BoC Cuts
The USD/CAD outlook remains slightly negative despite a looming BOC rate cut. The US government shutdown poses a significant risk for dollar depreciation. Markets now closely watch the JOLTS job openings report, along with the Fed’s speech, for further guidance. The USD/CAD outlook remains steady above 1.3900 on Tuesday, following a softer start to the...
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USD/JPY Forecast: BoJ Hawks Gain Ground, US Risks Mount
The USD/JPY forecast remains bearish as the BOJ tilts closer to a rate hike. The risk of a US government shutdown and higher JGB yields support the bearish narrative in USD/JPY. Markets are now watching the JOLTS job opening data, along with key speeches, for further impetus. The Japanese yen gained solid ground on Tuesday,...
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Gold Forecast: Shutdown Fears and Fed Cuts Fuel Rally
Gold forecast broke above $3,800 amid US shutdown risks and a weaker dollar. Fed rate cut bets remain firm, with markets pricing in easing in October and December. Haven demand, ETF inflows, and central bank buying maintain an upside bias. Gold prices marked fresh record highs above $3,800 at the start of the week, supported...
The post Gold Forecast: Shutdown Fears and Fed Cuts Fuel Rally appeared first on Forex Crunch.
AUD/USD Outlook: Gains on RBA Pause, US Shutdown Risks
The AUD/USD outlook improves as the RBA is expected to hold rates after hotter inflation data, reducing bets on near-term cuts. The US Dollar weakens on expectations of a Fed rate cut and risks of a government shutdown. The RBA’s decision on Tuesday and the US political standoff set the stage for heightened volatility ahead....
The post AUD/USD Outlook: Gains on RBA Pause, US Shutdown Risks appeared first on Forex Crunch.
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Euro on the Defensive Ahead of NFP
The EUR/USD weekly forecast turns negative near 1.1700 as the dollar recovers. Upbeat US economic data and the Fed’s cautious rhetoric lend support to the greenback. Eurozone and US jobs data and central bank speeches can shape the markets next week. The EUR/USD weekly forecast remains subdued under 1.1700, extending the retreat from the September...
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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Tumbles to 7-Week Lows, Eyes on NFP
The GBP/USD forecast turns bearish after dipping to 7-week lows. Upbeat US GDP and Jobless Claims, along with a cautious Fed, triggered a dollar recovery. Markets now focus on labor market data due next week for a fresh impetus. The GBP/USD forecast has turned bearish after the price significantly declined last week, reaching 7-week lows...
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AUD/USD Price Slumps as Strong US GDP Offsets Quick Cuts
AUD/USD price falls to a three-week low on Friday. US GDP was revised higher to 3.8% and jobless claims fell to 218K. Traders await U.S. core PCE inflation data for fresh direction. The AUD/USD price fell to 3-week lows on Thursday, pressured by a resurgent US dollar after a raft of stronger-than-expected data. The US...
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GBP/USD Outlook: BoE Caution Meets Stronger US Data
GBP/USD outlook deteriorates, trading near 1.3350 after a four-week low on Thursday. UK inflation risks keep BoE hesitant on rapid easing. Strong US GDP and labor data bolster the dollar ahead of the PCE inflation report. The GBP/USD price is holding just above the 4-week lows marked on Thursday after stronger US data and mixed...
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EUR/USD Forecast: Dollar Surges Ahead of GDP, Core PCE
EUR/USD steadies near 1.1740 after a sharp midweek drop. Dollar strength stems from firmer U.S. data and cautious Fed guidance. Markets await the release of US GDP and PCE inflation data to confirm the Fed’s next steps. The EUR/USD forecast tilts to the downside as the price saw a 0.6% decline on Wednesday, primarily driven...
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Gold Outlook Softens from All-Time Highs Amid Cautious Fed
Gold outlook remains steady near $3,740 as investors await US inflation data. Fed policy outlook remains supportive despite Powell’s caution. Geopolitical risks in Europe and the Middle East underpin demand for safe havens. Gold prices remained little changed on Thursday in the early European session, with spot trading near $3,740. A slightly weaker greenback provided...
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EUR/USD Price Slips Below 1.1750 Amid Dismal German Data
EUR/USD price slips below 1.1770, pressured by weaker German IFO data and cautious Fed messaging that bolstered the US Dollar. Fed narrative shifting: Powell remains cautious on cuts, Miran calls for bolder easing, but markets scale back bets on two 2025 rate cuts. The euro outlook remains fragile, with manufacturing weakness and tariff-related pressures offsetting...
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AUD/USD Forecast: Upbeat CPI Overcomes Dollar’s Resilience
AUD/USD forecast remains up as the pair climbs near 0.6630 amid stronger-than-expected Australian CPI data. The Fed remains cautious on rate cuts, with Powell stressing inflation risks, while Bowman advocates for faster easing to protect the labor market. The RBA is seen as more hawkish than the Fed, with Barclays forecasting the AUD/USD to break...
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EUR/USD Outlook: Choppy Near 1.18, Focus on US PMI, Fed
The EUR/USD outlook remains supported as Eurozone PMI data showed contraction in manufacturing but resilience in services. Fed officials remain divided on further cuts, keeping dollar strength in play. Market focus turns to U.S. GDP and PCE inflation for direction in EUR/USD. The EUR/USD outlook remains steady near the 1.1800 handle on Tuesday after bouncing...
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GBP/USD Forecast: Bull Lacking Momentum at 1.35 Ahead of Fed
The GBP/USD forecast remains subdued as UK PMI data signals slowing growth. Fiscal deterioration and rising gilt yields weigh heavily on Sterling sentiment. The Fed’s hawkish tilt offsets the recent rate cut, supporting the dollar against the GBP. The British pound came under renewed selling pressure on Tuesday after the UK PMI for September came...
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