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S&P 500: Earnings optimism versus conflict shock – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s strategists highlight that S&P 500 futures are lower as the Iran conflict escalates and energy prices jump, pressuring global risk sentiment.
EUR: Political shift fails to lift currency – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Global Daily notes the Euro is weaker in early Asian trading despite a decisive victory for Peter Magyar’s pro‑EU Tisza party over Viktor Orban’s Fidesz in Hungary.
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Euro hesitates around 0.8700 amid cautious markets
EUR/USD remains trapped within a tight range between 0.8695 and 0.8725.
Australian Dollar trades mixed on renewed Middle East conflicts, job data awaited
The Australian Dollar (AUD) demonstrates a mixed performance against its major currency peers, still trading 0.2% lower to near 0.7050 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday, even after recovering a major chunk of its opening losses.
Japanese Yen stays weak against USD; intervention fears keep USD/JPY below 160.00
The USD/JPY pair opens with a bullish gap at the start of a new week, though it lacks follow-through buying and remains below the 160.00 psychological mark heading into the European session.
EUR/HUF: Regime change supports forint outlook – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights that Hungary’s election delivered a supermajority for Peter Magyar’s Tisza party, easing transition risks and opening scope for structural reforms.
Forex Today: Safe-haven demand returns as US-Iran talks collapse
Here is what you need to know on Monday, April 13:
USD/INR gains strongly as US-Iran failed negotiations lift oil prices
The Indian Rupee (INR) falls sharply in the opening trade against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the week.
EUR/USD holds near 1.1700 despite the deteriorated market sentiment
The (EUR) retreated from last week’s highs near 1.1740 against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, but so far is holding well in the upper 1.1600s. The pair is trading at 1.1685 at the time of writing, having been supported at 1.1670 earlier in the day.
Macroeconomics: Stagflation risks at IMF and World Bank – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that stagflation will dominate the agenda at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Spring Meetings following President Trump’s Strait of Hormuz blockade.
Turkey Current Account Balance registered at $7.501B above expectations ($-7.5B) in February
Turkey Current Account Balance registered at $7.501B above expectations ($-7.5B) in February
Turkey Current Account Balance came in at $-7.501B, below expectations ($-7.5B) in February
Turkey Current Account Balance came in at $-7.501B, below expectations ($-7.5B) in February
BoJ’s Ueda: Rising oil prices worsen Japan's trade
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said in his prepared remarks in a speech during the European trading session on Monday that the economic recovery is modest in the wake of the war in the Middle East.
Brent: Supply disruption risk supports higher prices – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan notes that Trump’s announcement of a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following failed US–Iran talks, pushed Brent Oil up 9% to US$103 per barrel.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Stays near 0.5850 after rebounding from levels near nine-day EMA
NZD/USD rises after opening at a gap down, trading around 0.5830 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart signals a potential for a bullish bias as the pair remains within the emerging ascending channel pattern.
Equities: Risk-off open expected on US‑Iran setback – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team expects equity markets to open more than 1% lower, tracking Asian losses after US‑Iran talks failed and Brent crude gapped higher.
Asian stocks drop as US-Iran peace talks break, US closes Hormuz
Most Asian equity indexes are trading lower on Monday, as this weekend’s peace talks between the US and Iran ended without agreement, and US President Donald Trump affirmed that the US military will enforce a blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.
EUR/USD: Market pricing de-escalation hopes – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that negotiations between the United States and Iran have failed while Washington threatens a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, risking a sharper global shortage of Oil and gas.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds majority losses near $74 as fears of hawkish Fed outlook revives
Silver price (XAG/USD) claws back half of its early losses and rebounds to near $74.35 during the early European trading session on Monday, but is still almost 2% down.
EUR/CAD caps near 1.6200 as Euro struggles due to risk-off mood
EUR/CAD holds position after paring its intraday losses, trading around 1.6200 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the currency cross still remains in the negative territory as the Euro (EUR) struggles amid increased risk aversion after the failure of the United States (US)-Iran peace talks.
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