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The Fed held rates, but a hawkish dot plot under new Chair Warsh lifted the dollar & yields while sinking equities, gold, & Bitcoin as the U.S.-Iran deal pressured oil.
UK inflation held at 2.8% in May 2026, below the 3.0% forecast — but services inflation surged to 3.7%, complicating the Bank of England’s rate decision Thursday.
Why Do Traders Miss Out on Breakouts and Trend Reversals?
Missing a clean breakout or trend reversal setup can mess with your trading psychology. Here are three possible reasons you keep missing those opportunities.
FX Watch: USD/JPY and AUD/USD Resistance Levels for a Less Hawkish FOMC
While markets don’t seem to be expecting rate changes from the FOMC, the tone of Warsh’s first statement as Fed Chair could push the dollar in a clear direction. Here’s what I’m watching on USD/JPY and AUD/USD in case he’s less hawkish.
Tuesday played a wild card: the Iran deal firmed, crude cracked to ~$76 through every level we’d drawn, and the BOJ hiked — the reset before Wednesday’s Fed.
Crude oil tumbled as the U.S.-Iran peace framework moved toward implementation, dragging Treasury yields lower, while a chip-led slide pressured the S&P 500 and the dollar finished mixed.
RBA Pauses Rate Hikes in June 2026: What It May Mean for AUD
Australia’s RBA held its cash rate at 4.35% in June 2026, pausing after three hikes. Inflation is still above target, and the U.S.–Iran peace deal clouds what comes next.
Markets rallied on Monday after the U.S. and Iran reached an interim peace agreement, with a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz sending crude oil sharply lower while equities and crypto climbed and the dollar drifted broadly weaker.
Premium Watchlist Recap: U.S. CPI Report (May 2026)
The May U.S. CPI reflected hotter than expected headline inflation while core price pressures appeared subdued. Let’s look at which setup from our watchlist ideas had a path to a clean trade.
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· Actio recta non erit, nisi recta fuerit voluntas ·
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