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GBP: Inflation easing and labour market stabilizing – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts expect UK headline inflation to slow to 3.1% year-on-year in January, largely on base effects in food and energy, leaving core inflation at 3.2%. They see the unemployment rate steady at 5.1% with stabilising employment.
Natural gas: Weaker European outlook with LNG wave – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Michael Haigh, Ben Hoff and Jeremy Sellem describe how Winter storm Fern briefly pushed US gas futures above $7/MMBtu before prices fell below $3/MMBtu as storage stayed near the ten‑year average.
Eurozone: Industrial recovery seen holding up – ING
ING’s Chief Economist Peter Vanden Houte notes that Eurozone industrial production declined in December but still showed annual growth, and argues that the cyclical recovery should continue.
The Euro (EUR) has resumed the last few days' bearish trend against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday and is retreating towards the 1.1850 level ahead of the US session opening.
TRY: Market skepticism and weak flows pressure Lira – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that the Turkish Lira is rapidly approaching the bank’s 44.0 USD/TRY quarter‑end target as inflation expectations rise and external balances deteriorate.
Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD flattens around 20-day EMA
The GBP/USD pair trades flat around 1.3640 during the early European trading session on Monday. Cable trades calmly as investors await the release of the United Kingdom (UK) labor market data for the three months ending December, which is scheduled for Tuesday.
The AUD/JPY cross regains some positive traction at the start of a new week following the disappointing release of Japan's Q4 GDP report, which tempers Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike bets and undermines the Japanese Yen (JPY).
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1850
EUR/USD inches lower during the Asian hours on Monday, trading around 1.1870 at the time of writing. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator at 56 (neutral) stays above the midline, confirming improving momentum.
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· Actio recta non erit, nisi recta fuerit voluntas ·
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