Why Silver Is Surging With Gold and Why Citi Predicts $150 Price in 2026
Silver
price hit a fresh all-time high of $120 per ounce on Thursday, January 29,
2026, extending its extraordinary rally to 65% in January alone, while gold
surged past $5,600 per ounce. Citigroup
predicts silver will reach $150 within three months, calling the white metal
"gold on steroids" as Chinese buying momentum and dollar weakness
fuel unprecedented precious metals gains.In this
article, I am answering the question why gold and silver price is going up today,
analyzing XAU/USD and XAG/USD charts and check the newest silver price
predictions.Silver Price Smashes
Records With 65% Monthly GainSilver is
trading at $117.63 per ounce as of Thursday morning, up 0.9% on the day after
testing the $120 level, a staggering 272% gain compared to the same
time last year. The metal has delivered its best January performance in
decades, surging from under $30 per ounce in early 2025 to current record
levels.Silver's 2026 Performance:Daily
gain: +0.9% to $117.63January
2026: +65% (from $31.60 to $120)Year-over-year:
+272%Month-over-month:
+54.4%2025
performance: +150%The rally
has been so extreme that India's MCX silver contracts traded near Rs 3.80 lakh
per kilogram, up Rs 1.42 lakh since January 1—a nearly 60% jump in less than a
month.Gold Breaks $5,600 as Fed
Holds RatesGold
extended its own historic rally Thursday, briefly touching $5,584 per
ounce—its first time above $5,600—before settling around $5,523, up nearly
2% on the day. The yellow metal has gained almost 30% year-to-date after
surging 65% throughout 2025, significantly outperforming traditional assets
like the S&P 500.Gold's
advance came despite the Federal Reserve holding interest rates unchanged at
3.50%-3.75% on Wednesday, with Chair Jerome Powell striking a cautious but
dovish tone that markets interpreted as opening the door for eventual rate
cuts.Follow
me on X for more gold and silver market analysis: @ChmielDkCiti's "Gold on
Steroids" Silver Price PredictionCitigroup's
commodity analysts, led by Max Layton, issued a bold forecast this week
predicting silver will surge to $150 per ounce within the next three
months. The bank describes silver as behaving like "gold squared"
or "gold on steroids," expecting the rally to continue until silver
looks expensive by historical standards relative to gold.The
rationale behind Citi's aggressive target includes:Chinese buying momentum: Strong physical demand
continues with no signs of slowingSupply constraints: Higher prices needed to
encourage existing holders to sellGold-silver ratio compression: If the ratio returns to the
2011 low of 32:1, silver could reach $170 per ounceStructural tightness: Market dynamics showing
persistent supply-demand imbalances"Silver
is behaving like 'gold squared' or 'gold on steroids,' and we think this likely
continues until silver looks expensive by historical standards, relative to
gold," Citi analysts wrote.Citigroup expects spot silver prices to hit a record $150 an ounce within three months, extending a historic rally that has seen the metal surge nearly 50% in January https://t.co/s78weN6H5H— Laurentiu B . ?? (@laurbjn) January 28, 2026Although the forecast is quite bullish, it is not the
highest in recent weeks. Robert
Kiyosaki is forecasting $200 per ounce this year, while Robert
Maloney said $375 in 2026.The
current gold-silver ratio sits around 47:1. A return to the 2011 extreme of
32:1, when silver last experienced a parabolic rally, would mathematically
support silver at $170 per ounce given gold's current levels.Check
also my previous articles and analyses on gold and silver:Why Silver Is Surging? 5
Key Drivers Behind the Precious Metals Surge1. Dollar Collapse to
Four-Year LowsThe US
dollar has plunged to its lowest level since early 2022, with the DXY index
failing to sustain rebounds above 96.33 resistance. President Trump's comments
suggesting administration comfort with dollar weakness, combined with tariff
threats and Fed pressure, have accelerated the greenback's decline.According
to Abdelaziz Albogdady, Market Research & Fintech Strategy Manager at FXEM:
"Gold continued to climb on Thursday, breaking yet another record as a
weaker US dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions reinforced demand for
safe-haven assets. The dollar remains under pressure while ongoing tariff
uncertainty and growing concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence boost
demand for gold."2. Fed's Dovish Pivot
Under PowellWednesday's
FOMC meeting brought no policy changes, but Powell's post-meeting remarks
triggered significant market repricing. Dilin Wu, Research Strategist at
Pepperstone, notes: "Powell's dovish pivot supports gold. On inflation, he
softened his prior stance on 'maintaining high rates for longer,' instead
emphasizing the trend of falling inflation and acknowledging that policy is
already 'sufficiently restrictive.'"Powell
suggested that if tariff-driven inflation remains contained, more accommodative
policy could be considered—indicating the Fed's reaction function is shifting
from fighting inflation toward preventing a slowdown.3. China's Silver Buying
and Export RestrictionsChina, one
of the world's largest suppliers of refined silver, began enforcing new export
restrictions this year, a move analysts believe aims to protect domestic
manufacturers from rising costs. The restrictions have tightened global supply
while Chinese investors pile into silver investments.Evidence
of Chinese demand intensity includes:Pure-play silver funds in China
suspended trading after premiums surged well above net asset valueManufacturers shifting
production from jewelry to 1-kilogram investment barsPersistent physical buying
despite record-high prices4. Industrial Demand for
AI and Green TechnologyUnlike
gold, silver has extensive industrial applications that account for roughly
half of annual demand. The metal is critical for:AI infrastructure: Data centers and
high-performance computingSolar
panels: Photovoltaic cell productionElectric vehicles: Battery and electronic
systems5G
networks: Enhanced conductivity requirementsDefense equipment: Advanced electronics and
radar systems"Silver
is needed in many industrial processes," Elon Musk wrote on X in late
December, responding to China's export limitations, highlighting the metal's
economic importance.This is not good. Silver is needed in many industrial processes.— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) December 27, 2025Higher
silver costs could weigh on profit margins across these sectors or force
companies to raise prices, potentially adding to inflation pressures over time.5. Safe-Haven Flows Amid
Geopolitical UncertaintyMultiple
risk factors continue driving investors toward precious metals:Middle East tensions: Ongoing conflicts and
regional instabilityUS-China trade frictions: Tariff threats and
retaliatory measuresGovernment shutdown risk: Congressional negotiations
remain uncertainCentral bank diversification: Foreign central banks
reducing US Treasury holdings to 2013 lows"Rising
tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing risks in Eastern Europe continue to
cloud the global outlook," adds Albogdady from FXEM. "Taken together,
a weaker dollar, political uncertainty, and persistent geopolitical risks keep
the near- and medium-term outlook for gold firmly bullish."Silver and Gold Technical
Analysis: Price Discovery PhaseAs a
technical analyst, I've identified that both silver and gold have entered a
clear price discovery phase, making traditional analysis
challenging. However, several key levels emerge:Silver Technical LevelsCurrent
price: $118 testing $120 record highCritical support: $100 psychological level
(first major floor)Trend structure: Strongly bullish with no
clear resistance until Citi's $150 targetMoving averages: Price significantly extended
from all major EMAsGold Technical LevelsCurrent
price: $5,523 after testing $5,600Key
support levels:$5,000: Psychological round number
(primary support)$4,550:
50-day EMA and December 2025 highs$4,374-4,273:
October 2025 peaks and December lowsShort-term targets: $5,670-5,700 on close above
$5,600Pullback
support: $5,420 intraday lowBoth metals
have moved approximately 30% above their 200-day exponential moving
averages, an extreme deviation that typically triggers corrections under
normal market conditions. However, the convergence of geopolitical tensions,
dollar weakness, and persistent buying has kept momentum strongly positive.Expert Warning: Volatility
and Bubble DynamicsDespite
bullish forecasts, several analysts are raising caution flags. Bank of America
ranked silver highest for "bubblelike asset dynamics" in a recent
analysis of stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies, placing it just ahead of
gold.Dilin Wu
from Pepperstone emphasizes risk management: "While the trend remains
bullish, gold is now trading at elevated levels with high volatility, requiring
traders to avoid overconfidence. One-month implied volatility is currently
around 26%, suggesting that gold could move roughly ±7.5% over the next month. equivalent
to a potential $750 trading range."He adds:
"In such a volatile environment, position sizing and risk management are
more critical than directional bets and warrant extra caution from
traders."Marc
Loeffert, trader at Heraeus Precious Metals, warned: "History suggests
that this rally is much nearer to its end than its beginning. The gold/silver
ratio has been lower than today several times in the past but has rarely seen
such a large swing in such a short time."Analysts at
Sucden Financial wrote: "We remain cautious about how much further the
rally can extend and see the potential for a sharp, rapid reversal if sentiment
shifts decisively."Silver Price Analysis, FAQWhat is the silver price
today?Silver is
trading at $117.63 per ounce as of Thursday, January 29, 2026, after hitting an
all-time high of $120 earlier in the session.Why is silver surging with
gold?Silver is
surging due to dollar weakness (four-year lows), Chinese buying momentum,
China's export restrictions, Fed dovish pivot, safe-haven demand from
geopolitical tensions, and robust industrial demand for AI infrastructure,
solar panels, and electric vehicles.Will silver surge in 2026?Citigroup
predicts silver will reach $150 per ounce within the next three months, with
potential to hit $170 if the gold-silver ratio returns to its 2011 low of 32:1.How high can silver go?While Citi
targets $150-170, analysts warn the rally shows bubble-like characteristics.
Bank of America ranks silver highest for "bubblelike asset dynamics,"
suggesting caution despite bullish momentum.Should I buy silver now?Silver has
gained 65% in January alone and is trading 30% above key moving averages—levels
that typically see corrections. While structural drivers remain bullish (dollar
weakness, Chinese demand, industrial needs), volatility is extreme with
potential for sharp reversals. Investors should carefully consider risk
tolerance and position sizing rather than chasing momentum. Consult financial
advisors before making investment decisions.
This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.
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