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CNY: Gradual gains versus Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur expects the Chinese Yuan (CNY) to edge higher against the US Dollar (USD) while staying undervalued versus most other currencies. The bank projects USD/CNY at 6.90 by June 2026 and 6.70 by late 2027, with EUR/CNY broadly stable.
Canada: Trade deficit surge and 2026 outlook – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts note Canada’s trade deficit widened sharply in February to CAD 5.7 billion, far above expectations, as both exports and imports jumped. They highlight one-off Gold imports, stronger equipment and consumer goods demand, and surging motor vehicle exports.
EUR/USD slips as Trump comments on Iran dampen de-escalation hopes, boost USD
EUR/USD trades under pressure on Thursday as ongoing Middle East tensions keep the US Dollar (USD) broadly supported, weighing on the Euro (EUR).
USD/THB: Energy-led risk off favours Dollar – MUFG
MUFG's Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan highlights the Thai Baht (THB) as one of the more vulnerable Asian currencies under sustained high energy prices.
SPCE is holding a critical floor and the chart is starting to make a case for the upside
Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) — the space tourism company working to bring commercial suborbital spaceflight to private passengers — has been grinding lower for well over a year. But right now, as I look at this daily chart, there's support worth paying attention to.
TRY: Lira seen on steady depreciation despite CPI – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose argues that upcoming Turkish CPI data are largely obsolete given the looming impact of higher energy prices. He expects a strong March monthly print but stresses that external-shock inflation may be treated as transient by FX markets.
US President Trump presses Iran to make a deal after bridge strike video
On Thursday, the US President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social network a video of a bridge falling in Iran, pressuring Tehran to make a deal.
Fear-hope cycle picks up speed, and Dow Jones futures are paying the price
Futures contracts on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) shed a meager half-percent on Thursday, but that number tells almost none of the story. At the session lows, the DJIA was down more than 600 points, the S&P 500 had shed 1.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite was off 2.2%.
Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: Slides toward 1.3200 as Trump threats boost US Dollar
The British Pound retreats during the North American session after US President Donald Trump escalated the conflict, hinting that it will at least extend for two to three weeks. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.32144, down 0.40%. Read More...
Indonesia: Inflation and energy policy risks – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes Indonesia’s March inflation eased to 3.5% year-on-year as government stimulus offset base effects and Lebaran-related pressures.
USD/JPY holds gains as Trump escalates Iran war, Hormuz headlines cap upside
The USD/JPY pair is trading near the 159.40 price region on Thursday, having surged earlier in the day, though price action turned more volatile during the American session as headlines briefly supported risk sentiment.
WTI rallies as Trump signals continued military action against Iran
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil rebounds sharply on Thursday, rising more than 8% on the day, as ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to keep a geopolitical risk premium embedded in prices amid supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.
Canada: Growth tailwind but lingering output gap – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Robert Both argues that higher Oil prices will support Canada’s 2026 GDP, but export bottlenecks limit the upside.
United States 4-Week Bill Auction remains at 3.62%
United States 4-Week Bill Auction remains at 3.62%
GBP/USD slides toward 1.3200 as Trump threats boost US Dollar
The British Pound retreats during the North American session after US President Donald Trump escalated the conflict, hinting that it will at least extend for two to three weeks. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.32144, down 0.40%.
Fed’s Logan: Payroll gains have been pretty weak
Lorie Logan, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Dallas, said that the Fed should not let balance sheets distract them from their main mission. Logan also claimed that central bank balance sheet growth isn’t bad if it meets the public's need during a speech at her bank on Thursday.
Gold recovers as sellers fail to hold below $4,600, USD and yields ease
Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound on Thursday and trims most of its intraday losses as sellers fail to sustain a move below the $4,600 level, while easing US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields provide additional support.
NBP: Policy repricing risks grow – BNY
BNY's EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu argues that the National Bank of Poland’s (NBP) March rate cut underestimated inflation risks linked to the regional conflict.
CEE: Energy shock erases PMI optimism – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that improving PMIs in Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary had signalled a potential upswing, helped by Germany’s earlier recovery signs.
EUR/GBP edges higher in choppy trade as Middle East tensions buoy Euro over Pound
EUR/GBP edges higher on Thursday, though it lacks strong follow-through buying, as choppy price action persists amid heightened volatility across the FX space.
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