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It is Fed day, and everyone’s base case scenario entails the announcement of a 75-basis points rate hike

02.11.2022

FOREX

The US dollar is losing ground to other major currencies during early Wednesday trading. It is Fed day, and everyone’s base case scenario entails the announcement of a 75-basis points rate hike later today. This increase will take the Federal Reserve’s fund rate to 4%, the highest level since 2007. However, the move has been expected and it is already baked into the value of the greenback, so today the markets will be looking beyond it and focusing on what comes next. In its pursuit of lower inflation, the US central bank risks causing considerable damage to the economy, so many observers now expect it to start telegraphing the shift to a less assertive stance. The FOMC press conference will be closely scrutinized by investors anxious for hints over the beginning of the end of the current cycle of monetary tightening. The relative dollar weakness of the last 24 hours could be a sign that some traders have already started to price in a Fed pivot.

Ricardo Evangelista – Senior Analyst, ActivTrades                                             

 

Source: ActivTrader

 

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The information provided does not constitute investment advice. It has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements intended to promote independent investment advice and should be regarded as a marketing communication.

All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not constitute an indication of AT's prices or an offer or solicitation of a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. All information does not take into account the recipient's individual investment objectives and financial situation. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. AT offers an order execution service only. Consequently, trading based on this information is at your own risk.

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