Activity Stream
NuWays AG: R. STAHL AG: Kaufen
Original-Research: R. STAHL AG - from NuWays AG
Classification of NuWays AG to R. STAHL AG
Company Name: R. STAHL AG
ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 10.05.2024
Target price: EUR 29.00
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Final Q1 out // Good start into 2024; chg. est.
Topic: R. Stahl reported a solid final Q1 underpinning the strong demand
for electrical explosion protection solutions, which should continue due to
favorable structural trends. Management confirmed FY24e guidance, which
looks well in reach (eNuW).
To recap, Q1 sales grew 8.5% yoy to € 84.7m, driven by a strong order
backlog of € 115m at the end of FY23. Further, while global supply chains
remained partially disrupted in the previous year, there were no
significant restrictions in Q1 FY24. Q1 adj. EBITDA decreased 19% to € 8.4m
with a lower but still solid margin of 9.9% (-3.4 pp) due to inflationary
effects from personnel costs, a higher material expense ratio and a € 2m
one-off from the implementation of the EXcelerate strategy program; 12.3%
adj. EBITDA margin excluding one-offs.
After a subdued order intake of € 74.5m in the fourth quarter, order intake
came in surprisingly positive at € 92.3m, only slightly below the
exceptionally strong order intake of last year’s Q1 (€ 96.7m). Driven by an
increasing stabilization of global supply chains, the order intake in Q4
2023 was negatively affected by active destocking activities from customers
in addition to a soft chemical industry in the DACH region. While demand in
the chemical industry remained muted, the LNG, and petrochemical industry
as well as the nuclear sector showed positive momentum during Q1. Due to
the strong order intake, order backlog increased 6% to a solid level of €
122m (end of FY23: € 115m).
Management confirmed its FY24e guidance with sales in the range of € 335 –
350m and adj. EBITDA between € 35 – 45m. Thanks to the good start into the
year and a solid order backlog, the guidance seems to be well in reach
(eNuW sales: € 347m; adj. EBITDA: € 39.7m). Even more importantly, R.
Stahl’s mid-term prospects remain bright as the company strongly benefits
from (1) its superior market share along the LNG value chain (liquefaction
and shipping: 75%, natural gas production: 50% and regasification 25%), (2)
a rising need for production automation across offshore oil and gas rigs,
and production plants of several industries and (3) the ongoing nuclear
renaissance across Europe.
With that, R. Stahl is well positioned to gradually improve margins,
returns and cash flow generation. As shares are trading on only 5.9x
EV/EBITDA 2024e we confirm our BUY rating with an unchanged € 29 PT, based
on DCF.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29655.pdf
For additional information visit our website
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Contact for questions
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
NuWays AG: R. Stahl AG: Kaufen
Original-Research: R. Stahl AG - from NuWays AG
Classification of NuWays AG to R. Stahl AG
Company Name: R. Stahl AG
ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 18.04.2024
Target price: EUR 29.00
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Strong FY23 results with a record high in revenue; chg. est.
Topic: R. Stahl confirmed its strong FY23 prelims and released a promising
FY24e guidance supported by a solid preliminary first quarter revenue of €
84.7m.
To recap, FY23 sales increased by 21% yoy to a record high of € 331m,
exceeding the guidance range of € 305-320m. The remarkable increase in
revenue was carried by an unbroken demand for electrical explosion
protection solutions in the LNG and gas industry as well as further
improved supply chains and price increases. The adj. EBITDA grew by 73% to
€ 38.6m, hitting the guidance range of € 35-40m with a significantly
improved margin of 11.7% (+3.6 pp) due to price increases as well as a good
utilization of production capacities and targeted cost management.
What’s new: Free Cashflow improved to € 0.3m (FY23: € -4.4m), due to a
strong operating performance and despite a further expansion of working
capital. For instance, inventories and prepayments rose 30% yoy to € 64m
(FY22: € 37m) due to an increased stock in electronic materials.
Furthermore, R. Stahl recognized a full impairment of the 25% stake in the
Russian company ZAVOD Goreltex as expected (NuWays Update 16.02.2024).
However, the € 10.3m write-off did not affect liquidity and adjusting for
the impairment, EBT would have been € 12.3m (FY22: € 3.9m).
Solid Q1 sales with profitability on a high level: Preliminary sales in the
first quarter came in at € 84.7m (eNuW: € 81m), an 8.5% increase yoy (Q1
FY23: € 78.1m). After a subdued order intake of € 74.5 in the fourth
quarter, due to a soft chemical industry in the DACH region, order intake
came in at € 92.3m, slightly below last year (Q1 2023: € 96.7m). Adj.
EBITDA in the first quarter decreased 19% to € 8.4m (eNuW: € 7.9m), with a
lower but still solid margin of 9.9% (-3.4 pp) due to higher personnel
costs and a € 2m one-off from the implementation of the EXcelerate strategy
program.
Conservative FY24e guidance: Management expects sales in the range of €
335-350m (eNuW: € 347m) and an adj. EBITDA of € 35-45m (eNuW: € 39.7m)
supported by a strong demand from the LNG industry. In our view, the
guidance seems reasonable thanks to R. Stahl having done its homework by
implementing changes on the back of efficiency, structural trends kicking
in and a high preliminary order backlog of € 123m at the end of Q1. We
reiterate our BUY rating with a slightly reduced PT of € 29 (old: € 31),
based on DCF.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29451.pdf
For additional information visit our website
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Contact for questions
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
NuWays AG: R. STAHL AG: BUY
Original-Research: R. STAHL AG - from NuWays AG
Classification of NuWays AG to R. STAHL AG
Company Name: R. STAHL AG
ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: BUY
from: 29.02.2024
Target price: 31.00
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Several structural trends could drive mid-term growth
Topic: Despite a strong competitive quality, R. Stahl had difficulties
translating it into operating performance between 2016 and 2021. Thanks to
R. Stahl having done its homework by implementing changes on the back of
efficiency and structural trends kicking in, shares look poised for a
re-rating.
R. Stahl has begun to supply LED lightning solutions to a nuclear plant in
UK (Hinkley Point C) with a total expected revenue of € 10-12m, of which c.
€ 3.5m are already booked as revenue in FY23e (eNuW). Importantly, the UK
project is partially owned by the French utility company EDF, which also
manages France’s 56 power reactors. C. 54 of these need to be refurbished
within the next 20 years and 6 new reactors are planned by 2050. With an
estimated potential revenue of € 5m per refurbished reactor and € 10m for
the new ones, this implies a € 330m revenue opportunity for R. Stahl
(eNuW).
LNG delivers a material mid-term growth opportunity. R. Stahl is the
globally leading provider of explosion protection for LNG tankers,
terminals and liquification/regassification plants (25-75% market shares).
Independence from Russian energy imports leads to a rising demand for LNG
in Europe. For instance, Germany opened its first LNG terminal in
Wilhelmshaven during December 2022 to compensate for the Russian gas
imports. Until 2027, nine LNG terminals are planned in Germany, to import
capacities of up to 69 billion cubic meters, of which the majority is seen
to come from USA and Qatar.
In contrast to the booming LNG business, the chemical industry in Germany
was rather weak since the Russian invasion, due to substantially increased
energy and gas prices. We expect the softening to carry well into FY24e, as
the German chemical association (VCI) expects a revenue decline of 3%
during 2024e for its home market (2023: -12%). Despite the short-term
challenges, in the long-run we do not see the local chemical industry in
severe danger. It should hence remain an integral part of the company.
Order intake increased for the third consecutive year up to € 343m (+9.3%
yoy) leading to a strong order backlog of € 115m at the end of FY23e. We
expect to see mid-single-digit sales growth for FY24e in combination with
low double-digit EBITDA margins. Yet, valuation looks undemanding. Shares
are trading on a mere 5.0x EV/EBITDA (9x PE) 2024e, clearly below the
historical average of roughly 7x. This is despite the structural demand
tailwinds, which should fuel mid-term sales and margin growth.
Hence, we reiterate our BUY rating with an unchanged PT of € 31, based on
DCF.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29027.pdf
For additional information visit our website
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Contact for questions
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
NuWays AG: R. STAHL AG: BUY
Original-Research: R. STAHL AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu R. STAHL AG
Unternehmen: R. STAHL AG
ISIN: DE000A1PHBB5
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 16.02.2024
Kursziel: 31.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Q4 prelims: Operating turnaround intact; chg. est.
Topic: R. Stahl released solid FY23 preliminary figures, exceeding the
company’s guidance on the topline. However, Q4 profitability and order
intake were slightly weaker than expected due to a soft chemical industry
in the DACH-region.
Preliminary Q4 sales came in at € 89.9m (eNuW: € 77.3m), a 25.2% yoy
increase stemming from a strong order backlog and further improved supply
chains as well as logistics situations. Preliminary FY23 sales were up
20.5% yoy at € 331m, exceeding the guidance range of € 305-320m and our
expectations (eNuW: € 318m). Adj. EBITDA in Q4 stood at € 6.1m (eNuW: €
7.1m), up from € 5.7m yoy and with a slightly lower margin of 6.8% (-
1.1pp) due to a weak chemical business and wage inflation.
Strong order intake and backlog for FY23. R. Stahl’s order intake for FY23
increased 9.3% yoy, despite a weak Q4. With c. 20% of sales coming from the
chemical industry, R. Stahl’s final quarter of FY23 was affected by a
temporarily weak chemical sector. Despite a strong order intake for the
first weeks of FY24, we expect the softening to carry well into FY24e.
Nevertheless, FY24e sales should be supported by the strong € 115m in order
backlog (+5.2% yoy) and structural growth drivers kicking in.
LNG delivers a material mid-term growth opportunity. Independence from
Russian energy imports leads to a rising demand for LNG in Europe and R.
Stahl offers a wide range of explosion-proof equipment for this approach.
In 2023, the EU imported over 120 billion cubic meters (bcm) in LNG and
grew its capacity by 40 bcm. As a leading provider of explosion protection
solutions for LNG tankers, terminals and liquefaction/regassification
plants, R. Stahl should clearly benefit from this trend.
Potential impairment of investments in associated companies burdens the
financial result. In 2016, R. Stahl acquired a 25% stake in ZAVOD Goreltex,
the second largest company for explosion protection in Russia (company news
16.09.2016). In our view, a full write-off for the € 10.3m carrying amount
in FY23 is likely, as R. Stahl cannot participate in the earnings of ZAVOD
Goreltex and lost its influence in the company.
Apart from the investment in ZAVOD Goreltex, R. Stahl’s operating
turnaround is intact. We reiterate our BUY rating with an unchanged PT of €
31, based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28905.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.