Activity Stream
GBC AG: Cenit AG: BUY
Original-Research: Cenit AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Cenit AG
Unternehmen: Cenit AG
ISIN: DE0005407100
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 21.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
1.HY 2023: Revenue growth of 18.3%, EBIT increase of 134.1%; forecasts
confirmed; price target raised to €21.00 (previously: €19.75) due to
roll-over effect
After CENIT AG had already made a very good start to the year in the first
quarter of 2023 with sales growth of 22.7%, the growth trend was continued
with a sales increase of 14.4% achieved in the second quarter. From the
perspective of the first half of 2023, this means that revenue has grown by
18.3% to € 87.47 million (previous year: € 73.91 million). The companies
acquired in the last reporting periods contributed significantly to this
development. ISR Information Products AG (ISR for short), which was
acquired as at 31 May 2022, is expected to have made an inorganic
contribution of approximately € 9.9 million due to its first full
consolidation in the first half of 2023. In addition, mip Management
Informations Partner GmbH (mip), which was acquired in January 2023,
contributed revenues of € 1.36 million. In total, we estimate the
M&A-related increase in turnover at € 11.23 million. Organically, the
company grew by approximately € 2.3 million or 3.1%.
The significant increase in EBIT to € 2.62 million (previous year: € 1.12
million) is partly due to a special income affecting the result. As of 1
June 2023, the subsidiary CENIT Japan K.K. was sold, which triggered a
one-off income of € 0.87 million. Adjusted EBIT of € 1.75 million (previous
year: € 1.12 million) is still visibly above the previous year's value. In
addition to the increase in high-margin consulting and service revenues,
the first effects of the Sirius cost-saving programme (savings in
personnel, licences, etc.) were noticeable in the first half of the year.
With the publication of the 2023 half-year figures, the CENIT management
has confirmed and substantiated the company guidance. Sales revenues of
around € 180 million and an EBIT of around € 9.5 million are expected.
Previously, revenues of € 175 to 180 million and an EBIT of € 9.0 to 9.5
million were expected and thus the upper end of the previously communicated
range was targeted.
This concretisation is probably also due in part to the two company
acquisitions reported after the reporting date of 30 June 2023. CENIT AG
acquired PI Informatik GmbH, a full-service provider in the field of
conception and consulting of SAP landscapes, on the first consolidation
date of 1 July 2023 (see GBC Research Comment of 11 July 2023). According
to our estimates, PI Informatik should contribute a turnover level of
approx. € 4 to 5 million p.a.. For the current 2023 financial year,
approximately half of this will be reflected in revenue due to the
consolidation that has only just taken place.
In their half-year report, CENIT AG also reports for the first time on the
acquisition of 60% of the Austrian SAP consulting company ACTIVE BUSINESS
CONSULT, effective 31 July 2023. The newly acquired company focuses on the
energy supply, logistics, industry, trade and public sector sectors and
strengthens CENIT AG's SAP PLM and analytics competencies. According to
CENIT CEO Peter Schneck, the new company has a sales level of around € 4.0
million. Due to the consolidation as of 1 August 2023, this should result
in an inorganic sales contribution of slightly more than € 1.5 million in
the current financial year.
The significant increase in earnings already visible in the first six
months of 2023 provides a good basis for the disproportionate earnings
growth expected for the full year. In addition, the effects of the Sirius
cost-savings programme should have an even stronger impact in Q3 and Q4.
In view of the two company acquisitions and the disproportionate earnings
development, the concretisation of the turnover and earnings guidance is
understandable. Since our previous forecasts were slightly above the upper
forecast range anyway, we are not making any changes to our previous
estimates (see Research Comment of 11 July 2023).
During the conference call on the 2023 half-year figures, the CENIT
Management Board presented a simulation for achieving the 'CENIT 2025'
agenda, according to which a sales level of € 300 million is to be reached
by 2025. Inorganic growth of almost € 10 million is simulated for the
current business year. If the inorganic growth contribution of the already
acquired companies in the amount of about € 4.0 million is deducted, about
€ 6.0 million remain. It is therefore obvious that CENIT AG considers the
chance of a further major company acquisition in 2023 to be realistic. In
our forecasts, we only include the known inorganic growth. This also
explains our 2025 sales estimates of € 233.91 million, which show a gap to
be filled inorganically up to the target sales of € 300 million.
Due to the unchanged forecasts, we also retain our DCF valuation model.
However, as the new target price is extended to 31 December 2024
(previously: 31 December 2023), the target price is increased to € 21.00
(previously: € 19.75). We continue to assign the rating BUY.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27467.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
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Date (time) of completion: 03/08/2023 (10:50 am)
Date (Time) first distribution: 03/08/2023 (12:00 pm)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: publity AG: Hold
Original-Research: publity AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu publity AG
Unternehmen: publity AG
ISIN: DE0006972508
Anlass der Studie: Research report (Anno)
Empfehlung: Hold
Kursziel: 20.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Marcel Schaffer
publity AG focuses on green growth: 50% ESG-compliant buildings by 2030.
The interest rate turnaround is a challenging situation for real estate
companies. Participation PREOS reports sharp decline in NAV.
In fiscal year 2022, publity AG recorded a significant decline in revenues
of 83.7% to €4.68 million (PY: €28.75 million). This was due to various
challenges, including the interest rate turnaround and the war in Ukraine.
The lower number of transactions resulted in less income from finder fees
and exit fees. In addition, the reversal of the GORE deal contributed to
fees from the Luxembourg deal from the first half of 2022 not being
settled. This resulted in lower revenue than originally expected.
EBITDA decreased to €-23.44 million, compared to €14.6 million in the
previous year. In addition to a significant decline in sales, other
operating expenses increased by 62.4% to €25.82 million, mainly due to
additional expenses of €14.4 million related to a failed deal with a
Luxembourg investor.
Originally, a net profit of €6 to €10 million was planned, yet the year
ended with a high net loss of €192.54 million. This is mainly due to value
adjustments on financial assets, in particular PREOS Global Office Real
Estate & Technology AG, amounting to €171.38 million, which was
characterized by strong price losses, resulting in a corresponding value
adjustment. However, in the event of a possible increase in the share price
of PREOS, there is the potential for appreciation.
publity AG plans to position itself as a green asset manager by 2030 and to
manage at least 50% ESG-compliant buildings. The company also plans to
reduce its CO2 footprint by 50% and become completely climate-neutral by
2030. A new 'Green Advisory' business unit is planned to provide expertise
on ESG-compliant building refurbishment.
For 2023, we expect an increase in sales, despite adverse effects from the
interest rate turnaround. We forecast sales of €11.5 million, followed by
€15.0 million in 2024 and €20.1 million in 2025, respectively. The guidance
calls for a break-even result after taxes, with a slightly positive EBIT.
To counteract the current challenges, the company is implementing strict
cost management. We expect EBIT of €0.3 million in 2023, followed by €3.32
million in 2024 and €6.64 million in 2025, respectively. We forecast net
income at €0.28 million in 2023, €2.39 million in 2024 and €4.71 million in
2025, respectively.
As part of our DCF valuation model, we have determined a target price of
€20.00 (previously: €46.50). We have allocated the investments in
affiliated companies and the loans to affiliated companies to net financial
assets. This primarily includes the PREOS investment. The share price of
PREOS as of December 30, 2022 was € 3.40 (Xetra), corresponding to a market
capitalization of € 385.79 million. Given publity AG's 94.3% stake, this
represents a value of €348.82 million on its balance sheet. Our revaluation
is based on the latest ad-hoc news from PREOS, according to which
devaluations have led to a reduction in equity to €204 million as of
December 31, 2022 (December 31, 2021: €418.0 million). In accordance with a
participation rate of 94.3%, a value of €192.37 million is attributable to
publity AG, which is thus significantly lower than the value recognized in
the balance sheet as of December 31, 2022. To determine the fair value of
publity AG, we refer to net financial assets of €224.05 million (December
31, 2024), which corresponds to a fair value of €15.06 per share based on
the number of shares in publity. Adding the value of the operating business
on the basis of the DCF model, we have calculated an overall price target
of €20.00 per share and, against the backdrop of the current share price,
assign a Hold rating (previously: BUY).
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27445.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a;11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the study: 01.08.2023 (13:30) German: 29.07.2023 (15:00)
Date and time of the first disclosure of the study: 02.08.2023 (10:00) German: 31.07.2023 (11:00)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Samara Asset Group plc: Buy
Original-Research: Samara Asset Group plc - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Samara Asset Group plc
Unternehmen: Samara Asset Group plc
ISIN: MT0001770107
Anlass der Studie: Research report (Anno)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 4.14 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Julien Desrosiers
Samara Asset Group is actively ramping up its investments in the
fund-of-fund approach. Samara Alpha Management launches flagship fund,
promising attractive risk-adjusted returns.
In June 2023, Samara Asset Group (formerly: Cryptology Asset Group) sold
its entire stake in Block.one, a crypto company, for $118.9 million,
resulting in a profit of about $52 million. Following this, they
distributed dividends of €1.30 per share, a total payout of around €74
million. Despite Block.one selling a significant portion of its Bitcoin
holdings, leading to a slight discount on the liquid asset value, Samara's
new strategy sees the allocation of $50 million for fund-to-fund
investments over the next year and a half. This aligns with their objective
to become a reliable institutional-grade investor. Samara, leveraging the
successful launch of Samara Alpha platform, aims for an annual expected
return of 25% to 35% with its market-neutral fund-of-fund strategy. The
strategy will exploit inefficiencies in traditional capital markets,
especially in the crypto landscape, to generate alpha and high returns,
while reducing exposure to underlying assets and volatility. Retail
investors' limited access to such opportunities has led Samara to hold onto
its investments, except for small illiquid ones.
Samara Alpha operates as an independent subsidiary of Samara Asset Group,
managing its funds independently with external members and limited
partners. Shareholders also participate in Samara Alpha's potential
success. While the subsidiary's valuation is currently based on cost basis,
strategic investors are being sought to increase its value. A potential
share capital increase could involve strategic investors who would invest
alongside Samara Asset Group.
Samara Asset Group has invested $10 million in the flagship market-neutral
multi-strategy fund launched by its subsidiary, Samara Alpha Management.
This US-based asset management subsidiary specializes in leveraging market
inefficiencies in the budding digital asset space, with a goal to yield
appealing risk-adjusted returns. Led by Chief Investment Officer Adil
Abdulali, the firm operates with a diversified digital asset managers
portfolio.
We have estimated the total valuation of investments for Samara Asset Group
to be €227.15 million. Factoring in an increased net debt and holding costs
of €-17.28 million (an increase from the previous €-15.22 million), we have
estimated a comprehensive Net Asset Value (NAV) for the company, which now
stands at €209.87 million. This translates to €4.14 per share. With the
current share price standing at €2.18 (Xetra on 25th July 2023 at 10:02am),
there is considerable upside potential. Consequently, we maintain a 'Buy'
rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27411.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a;5b;6a;7;11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the study: 25.07.2023 (2:15 pm)
Date and time of the first distribution: 26.07.2023 (10:00 am)
Validity of the target price: until max. 31.12.2024
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Health Italia S.p.A.: Management Interview
Original-Research: Health Italia S.p.A. - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Health Italia S.p.A.
Unternehmen: Health Italia S.p.A.
ISIN: IT0005221004
Anlass der Studie: Management Interview
Empfehlung: Management Interview
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Marcel Schaffer
“[…] we aim to strengthen our position as a leader in the healthcare
industry by prioritizing patient-centeredness, fostering innovation and
embracing digitization.”
This management interview features Livia Foglia, the CEO of Health Italia
S.p.A. GBC will soon initiate research coverage on Health Italia, and the
company has recently published its guidance, setting a revenue target of 50
to 52 million euros for the year 2026. Additionally, they aim for an EBITDA
of 12 to 14 million euros and a positive net financial position ranging
between 15.0 and 16.0 million euros. Today, we have the opportunity to
speak with Livia Foglia about the company's market positioning and future
prospects.
GBC AG: How would you describe your business model to investors who are not
familiar with your company, considering that you are the leader in the
Italian market?
Livia Foglia: Our company, which is a group, operates in the healthcare and
wellbeing market. We are an integrated operator offering a complete range
of solutions to improve the quality and accessibility of healthcare,
assistance, and welfare services. All the activities are grouped into
different companies and business lines (Promotion and Support Services,
Telemedicine, and Medical services) with significant opportunities for
cross-selling strategies and synergies among them.
Through Health Italia, our holding company, we promote corporate and retail
supplementary healthcare solutions to individuals and families in need of
healthcare coverage, as well as to companies for their employees as a
benefit. We also manage welfare services and flexible benefit plans for
companies or public entities' employees.
Through our subsidiaries, Health Assistance and Health Point, we provide
assistance services as a third-party administrator (service provider)
dedicated to assisted individuals who have subscribed to a healthcare plan.
We also offer innovative telemedicine and traditional medical services.
To support our business, we are constantly developing and improving our own
digital platforms that help us manage activities and seize new
opportunities.
Our distribution model is multichannel and based on different channels,
with the main one being our network of promoters, consisting of
approximately 2,000 individuals working throughout Italy. We also
collaborate with Banks Branches. Health Italia is the only company in Italy
to promote supplementary healthcare solutions through the banking channel.
Additionally, we work with other external independent distribution networks
interested in selling solutions for wellbeing and health protection.
GBC AG: Germany has a healthcare system with two pillars, namely Statutory
Health Insurance (Gesetzliche Krankenversicherung, GKV) and Private Health
Insurance (Private Krankenversicherung, PKV). In Italy, however, there is
an additional pillar consisting of Mutual Aid Societies and Health Funds,
which are voluntary health insurance schemes. Can you provide an overview
of this system to investors who may not be familiar with it?
Livia Foglia: In Italy, the healthcare system is composed of three areas
called Pillars: the first is represented by the Public National system, the
second is represented by Funds, and the third consists of private insurance
companies.
Funds include Mutual Benefit Companies and Healthcare Funds, which are
intended to complement the public health service and provide support. These
entities are non-profit and individuals who benefit from their services
become members rather than clients. They are registered in the Registry of
Healthcare Funds at the Ministry of Health, and the government provides
significant tax benefits (deductibility) to support the second pillar.
GBC AG: Italy offers flexible benefits through customizable remuneration
plans, enabling employees to choose from various options. How do these
flexible benefits present interesting opportunities for your company?
Hi Welfare is the division specifically dedicated to corporate welfare
services. Through our online platform, we manage flexible benefit programs
for companies and public entities' employees. With this formula, employees
can choose the composition of their individual welfare plan according to
their needs. We provide seven benefit areas:
- Health care plans
- Assistance: home care for the disabled or elderly
- Leisure: culture, sports, travel
- Supplementary pension
- Education: school fees, education expenses, from kindergarten to college
- Shopping vouchers
- Season tickets for public transportation
Additionally, with the support of Health Point, we can offer medical
services and telemedicine directly within company headquarters by setting
up dedicated spaces for services, check-ups, or in-house health screening
campaigns. This represents an important opportunity for our company from a
dual perspective.
Protective strategy: By being able to satisfy customers' welfare needs
beyond just health coverage, we prevent competitors from entering as their
exclusive suppliers and potentially stealing our customers.
Proactive strategy: We have two access channels for the corporate target
audience. Since a company may be interested in health coverage only or a
comprehensive welfare plan, we have the ability to meet their demands in
both cases. Furthermore, after acquiring the customer, we can employ a
cross-selling strategy to offer additional services in which they were
initially not interested.
GBC AG: Which primary markets does your company currently operate in, and
how do you envision the future development of these markets? How will these
market dynamics impact your company?
Livia Foglia: We operate in the healthcare market, where in 2020, the
national healthcare expenditure reached 160 billion euros. Out of this
amount, 122 billion euros were covered by public funds, while private
individuals contributed 38 billion euros. Among the private expenditure, 34
billion euros were paid out of pocket by citizens, with only 4 billion
euros being brokered by healthcare funds and insurance companies. The
untapped portion of this market represents our main addressable market.
In recent years, intermediated healthcare spending in Italy has been
steadily increasing, driven by a reduction in state intervention and the
aging population. The growth in the second pillar can be observed through
the data on entities registered in the Registry of Healthcare Funds at the
Ministry of Health. These entities include Funds and Mutual Benefit
Companies that enjoy tax benefits (excluding insurance companies). The
number of beneficiaries and registered entities has risen from
approximately 7 million in 2013 to 14 million in 2019.
The corporate welfare market in Italy has also experienced growth, with the
adoption of welfare plans by companies for their employees doubling from
2017 to 2021. The average budget allocated to welfare measures has also
increased, surpassing €1,000 in 2021.
Furthermore, on a global scale, since the pandemic in 2020, remote health
consultations have significantly increased from 0.1% to 43.5%. It is
projected that around 40% of patients will continue to use telemedicine, a
substantial increase compared to the pre-pandemic level of 11%. In 2021,
telemedicine accounted for 35.5% of the total revenue in the healthcare
sector, amounting to 62.4 billion dollars. Experts predict a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 36.5% from 2022 to 2028, reaching a market
value of $577 billion in 2028.
These data clearly indicate the opportunities within the sector. The
presence of growing reference markets, as projected above, suggests an
increase in turnover across all areas of our Group's business.
GBC AG: In light of the rapidly evolving technological landscape, how does
your company stay ahead of emerging trends and leverage innovation to
maintain its market leadership in Italy?
Livia Foglia: Significant technological investments are currently underway
to further implement the ongoing digital transformation that has been in
progress for several years. The Group is specifically investing in new
software to serve the main business areas, including CRM (Customer
Relationship Management), operations center management software,
back-office analysis software, and cloud programs and hardware. This
involves migrating to servers provided by major suppliers such as Oracle or
Microsoft, benefiting from their computational capacity.
Furthermore, the entire resident server infrastructure is being replaced
with cloud servers, which effectively addresses data protection concerns
and enhances cyber security. An important investment is also being made to
replace all existing firewalls, further bolstering security measures.
From a commercial perspective, a significant investment is being made to
integrate the current sales channels with online access and explore
distribution via modern online sales platforms. This initiative aims to
enhance the company's presence in the online market and capitalize on the
opportunities presented by e-commerce.
GBC AG: Looking ahead, where do you envision your company in five years?
Livia Foglia: The near future scenario for the health sector, particularly
regarding supplementary and/or complementary health coverage, presents a
significant challenge for the global community.
The healthcare landscape is undergoing transformative changes, exploring
innovative business models, and creating fresh opportunities.
Simultaneously, new players from the technology, consumer products,
services, and other sectors are entering the vast global health
marketplace, while consumers are increasingly embracing technology-enabled
solutions.
In this evolving global health space, Health Italia is making substantial
advancements by prioritizing patient-centricity, fostering innovation, and
embracing digitization. Through these efforts, we aim to strengthen our
position as a leader in the industry by adapting to the demands of diverse
populations and varying needs. We are committed to ongoing investments that
focus on technological innovation, service enhancement, and customer base
consolidation.
GBC AG: Thank you very much for the interview.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27405.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 20.07.2023 (14:00)
Date (time) of first publication: 25.07.2023 (12:00)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: UmweltBank AG: BUY
Original-Research: UmweltBank AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu UmweltBank AG
Unternehmen: UmweltBank AG
ISIN: DE0005570808
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 14.40 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
- Transformation process 'umwelt.neo' makes the Bank future proof
- Two transitional years expected
- Growth is expected again from 2025 onwards
In the past financial year 2022, UmweltBank AG was able to further expand
its business volume to € 6,602.1 million (31.12.21: € 6,451.0 million),
even in a difficult market environment. The basis for this increase is the
newly granted loans in the amount of € 623 million (previous year: € 845
million), which increased the outstanding loan volume to € 3,139.03 million
(31.12.21: € 3,072.52 million) and therefore to a new record value. The
decreasing dynamics in the volume of new loans is primarily due to a
decline in demand in the area of private construction financing, i.e. it is
a consequence of the more expensive financing on the one hand and the still
high price levels on the other. New loans also decreased in the renewable
energy sector, although this also includes the postponement of loans to the
current financial year in the amount of € 170 million.
Based on the expanded loan portfolio, interest income increased to € 74.40
million (previous year: € 70.90 million), the interest result, on the other
hand, declined to € 58.79 million (previous year: € 63.24 million). This
includes a further reduction of the interest margin to 1.07% (previous
year: 1.21%). On the one hand, higher interest rates can be enforced for
new loans, but the extensive loan portfolio only leads to a delayed
adjustment of interest rates instead. On the other hand, the interest rate
increases have made liabilities, which mainly consist of short-term
deposits, more expensive. In addition, part of the TLTRO funds at
favourable interest rates were repaid.
In contrast to the decline in net interest income, UmweltBank AG recorded a
significant increase in net commission income and other income to a total
of € 34.55 million (previous year: € 12.60 million). The sale of an
investment in a wind farm company, which generated net proceeds of
approximately € 20 million, played a special role in this development.
With an EBT of € 39.21 million (previous year: € 38.09 million), UmweltBank
AG met expectations. The only slight increase in earnings compared to the
significant rise in total income is a result of higher administrative
expenses, which include costs for the change of the core banking system (€
3.6 million) as well as increased expenses from the continued expansion of
the workforce. Another factor that led to the increase in costs was the
higher allocations to risk provisions for customer loans, which at € 9.29
million (previous year: € 3.26 million) were significantly above the
previous year's level.
The UmweltBank management considers the current and coming financial years
2023 and 2024 as transitional years, which will be characterised by a
declining development of the interest result and increasing expenses. For
the current financial year, the Board of Management expects EBT before the
formation of reserves to amount to approximately € 20 million. As in the
previous business year, proceeds from disposals are expected to contribute
significantly to this. Although an increase in the volume of new loans is
expected, net interest income should decrease significantly due to the
expected decline in the interest margin. Here, too, the effect that
interest rate increases being passed on more quickly on the deposit side
plays an important role. In addition, the expiry of the ECB's special
corona conditions will lead to a further increase in the cost of financing.
A noticeable improvement in the interest margin is not expected until 2025.
The decline in net interest income is to be offset by an increase in net
commission income and net trading income. The expansion of sales activities
for own funds of the 'UmweltSpektrum' brand as well as an expansion of the
issuing business should contribute to this. In addition to the planned
increase in awareness of this brand, investments in green projects are also
to be expanded, so that the contribution to income and results of business
outside of lending, i.e. in the business segments 'securities business' and
'investments', should increase. We expect a decline in income from
disposals and thus a decline in other income, so that overall a declining
income picture should prevail.
On the cost side, the migration costs to the new core banking system, for
which investments of around € 10 million are estimated for 2023 and around
€ 4 million for 2024, are likely to lead to an increase in administrative
expenses. In addition, the expansion of the workforce is to be continued.
In this respect, the company is undergoing a transformation process in the
financial years 2023 and 2024, at the end of which a modern IT
infrastructure will be in place from 2025 and more employees will be
employed at the new company headquarters 'UmweltHaus'. Finally, from 2025
onwards, significant improvements in earnings and results are to be
generated, also against the background of the then-increasing interest
margin.
For the financial years 2023 and 2024, we expect net interest income of €
49.81 million (2023) and € 53.25 million (2024), which should be below the
level of the past two financial years. We do not expect a noticeable
increase in the financial result until 2025, driven in particular by an
increase in the interest margin and lending. We assume a visible reduction
in other income (including commission income) due to the decline in
proceeds from disposals, before rising income from investments and
securities should lead to an increase from 2024.
Due to the strong increase in administrative expenses, which include both
the higher personnel expenses and the increased transformation costs, we
forecast a pre-tax result (before the formation of reserves) of € 20.84
million for the current financial year, which is in line with the company's
guidance. After another year of transformation, the pre-tax result should
not be above the level of the previous financial years until the 2025
financial year.
We have valued UmweltBank within the framework of a residual income
procedure. The sum of the discounted residual income results in a value of
€ 14.40 million (previously: € 14.65 million) per share. The price target
reduction is exclusively a consequence of the increased cost of equity
capital of 4.97% (previously: 4.20%), resulting from an increase in the
risk-free interest rate and the company-specific beta. At a current share
price of € 11.20, we continue to give the rating BUY.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27351.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (1,4,5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) completion of the study: 17.07.2023 (09:47 am)
Date (time) first publication: 17.07.2023 (11:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Coreo AG: BUY
Original-Research: Coreo AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Coreo AG
Unternehmen: Coreo AG
ISIN: DE000A0B9VV6
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Anno) 1
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 1.30 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
- FY 2022 was marked by portfolio optimisation
- Postponed investments should be realised in 2024
- Break-even expected from 2024
In the past financial year 2022, Coreo AG's focus was on active asset
management of the existing portfolio, whereas no new investments were made
for the first time since the start of real estate-related business
activities. In particular, the delay of the acquisition of the largest
portfolio in the company's history, which had been planned since 2021, was
responsible for this. In this respect, the focus of business activities was
on extensive refurbishments and conversion measures at existing properties
in Kiel, Wetzlar or Bruchsal.
Nevertheless, a significant increase in gross rental income to € 5.97
million (previous year: € 4.35 million) was achieved, in particular due to
the first full-year inclusion of properties acquired in 2021. In addition,
rental increases were achieved in the existing portfolio and vacancies in
the refurbished properties were reduced. On the other hand, proceeds from
disposals fell to €2.89 million (previous year: €10.32 million). These
primarily include the complete sale of the Mannheim portfolio and some
properties in the Göttingen portfolio. As a result, total income of €10.38
million (previous year: €16.53 million) was below the previous year's
level, but above our expectations (GBC forecast: €7.99 million) due to
higher than expected proceeds from disposals.
The decline in earnings is also reflected in the drop in EBIT to € 0.98
million (previous year: € 2.84 million). This was lower than we expected
due to higher maintenance measures (GBC forecast EBIT: € 2.63 million).
Based on this, Coreo AG was once again unable to reach break-even at the
level of the after-tax result. At present, the company's rental income is
still too low to cover its operating expenses, but it is still not
sufficient to cover its financial expenses.
The current P&L picture should only change with the expected expansion of
the rental portfolio. One possible property acquisition that is likely to
have a relevant influence on the company's revenue and earnings development
is the transfer of the so-called Spree East portfolio, for which a purchase
agreement was already reached in 2021. According to the company's
announcement at the time, the portfolio comprises a total of 1,341 flats
and 15 commercial units, which would make it the largest acquisition in the
history of Coreo AG. Although the company is currently still in
negotiations, we assume that the acquisition will not take place until the
coming financial year 2024. Likewise, an exclusive agreement for the
purchase of a portfolio in Hagen/Rostock with an investment volume of € 2.5
million was concluded in July 2022.
Assuming the expected addition of these portfolios and after taking into
account further investments in the coming financial years, rental income,
which will then be the most important earnings variable, should gradually
increase to € 6.53 million (2023e), € 9.56 million (2024e) and € 12.36
million (2025e). From the coming financial year onwards, these should be
enough to reach the break-even point at the level of the after-tax result.
Within the framework of our DCF valuation model, we have determined a new
target price of € 1.30 (previously: € 1.85). Compared to our previous
valuation, we have made a significant forecast adjustment. On the one hand,
we expect a slower build-up of the portfolios. On the other hand, rental
income is more important than in our previous forecasts. Compared to the
trading business, this is accompanied by lower revenues, but at the same
time there should be higher profitability. The weighting of capital costs
is also shifting towards debt capital, which has led to a reduction in the
WACC. We continue to give the rating BUY.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27345.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (4,5a,6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion: 14.07.2023 (08:47 am)
Date and time first distribution: 14.07.2023 (11:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: HAEMATO AG: BUY
Original-Research: HAEMATO AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu HAEMATO AG
Unternehmen: HAEMATO AG
ISIN: DE000A289VV1
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 30.75 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker; Marcel Goldmann
- Compulsory manufacturer discounts burden 'Specialty Pharma' segment
- Lifestyle & Aesthetics' segment should grow in 2023; high potentials
available with Botox launch
- Increase in profitability expected
As expected, HAEMATO AG reports a decline in revenue to € 248.14 million
(previous year: € 285.04 million) for the past financial year 2022 and is
thus just below the previously expected revenue range of € 250 to € 280
million. The decline in revenue is due to the discontinuation of the sale
of COVID 19 lay tests, which contributed significantly to the record value
of the 2021 financial year. Due to an existing oversupply on the market,
HAEMATO management had discontinued sales in mid-2021, which led to a
revenue gap in 2022.
The business activities of HAMEATO AG are divided into the two segments
'Lifestyle & Aesthetics' and 'Specialty Pharma'. In the Lifestyle &
Aesthetics segment, the marketing of pharmaceutical, medical and medical
technology products for aesthetic surgery and cosmetic dermatology takes
place. In the Specialty Pharma segment, HAEMATO AG acts as a wholesaler and
parallel importer. Since the decline in lay tests is assigned in particular
to the 'Lifestyle & Aesthetics' segment, this led to a decline in sales in
this high-margin segment to € 42.48 million (previous year: € 65.15
million). At the same time, the streamlining of the product portfolio
reduced sales in the 'Specialty Pharma' segment to € 205.66 million
(previous year: € 219.90 million).
The decline in revenue is also reflected in a decrease in EBIT to € 8.30
million (previous year: € 11.16 million). Although the EBIT margin fell to
3.3 % (previous year: 3.9 %), the inclusion of the high-margin 'Lifestyle &
Aesthetics' segment shows an increase in profitability in a multi-year
comparison. In the 2019 and 2020 financial years, the EBIT margin was below
1.0 % in each case.
For the current financial year 2023, the HAEMATO management expects
revenues of € 230 to € 250 million and EBIT of € 6 to € 8 million. A
slightly declining development is expected both at the revenue and at the
operating result level. This is likely to be primarily due to an expected
decline in business in the 'Specialty Pharma' segment. As part of the SHI
stabilisation law, the mandatory manufacturer discounts have been increased
from 7.0% to 12.0% by 31 December 2023, which should lead to corresponding
burdens for HAEMATO AG. Process optimisations and cost savings should
partially offset this effect. In the 'Lifestyle & Aesthetics' segment,
market shares are to be gained and profit margins further improved. The
focus here is on the development of high-margin own brands, which are to be
sold both through wholesalers and in the B2C business. In addition, the
distribution of botulinum toxin (Botox) products should become an important
growth driver in this segment.
For 2023, we expect sales revenues of € 242.04 million and EBIT of € 7.44
million. In the coming financial years, a return to sales growth and, with
the expected disproportionate increase in high-margin 'Lifestyle &
Aesthetics' sales, a gradual improvement in EBIT margins should be
achieved.
Within the framework of our DCF valuation model, we have determined a new
price target of € 30.75 (previously: € 31.70). We continue to assign the
BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27339.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (4,5a,5b,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the study: 13.07.2023 (11:04 am)
Date and time of the first dissemination of the study: 14.07.2023 (09:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Advanced Blockchain AG: Buy
Original-Research: Advanced Blockchain AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Advanced Blockchain AG
Unternehmen: Advanced Blockchain AG
ISIN: DE000A0M93V6
Anlass der Studie: Research report (Anno)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 11.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Julien Desrosiers
Considerable upside potential to portfolio valuation. Track record of
successful partial divestments and financing rounds.
In 2022, Advanced Blockchain AG expanded its portfolio by investing in 12
promising blockchain projects and Web3 infrastructure initiatives. Also
three in-house portfolio companies secured over $53 million in funding from
renowned co-investors and investors, solidifying the reputation and
confidence in Advanced Blockchain's ecosystem.
One standout success story is Composable Finance, which raised $32 million
with an implied valuation exceeding $350 million in a Series A financing
round and launched a blockchain cross-liquidity protocol. This achievement
established them as a prominent player in the DeFi ecosystem, attracting a
dedicated community of users and partners. Their focus on interoperability
and innovative financial products positions them for continued growth and
success.
peaq, another portfolio company, introduced DePIN technology, addressing
key challenges in decentralized finance and enhancing security,
scalability, and cost efficiency. peaq secured a total funding of $10.5
million, with a round of funding of $6 million, led by Fundamental Labs,
peaq solidified its position in the industry. Their advancements in
technology and investment efforts demonstrate their commitment to
revolutionizing decentralized finance and driving innovation.
In 2022, Advanced Blockchain AG faced a challenging year in the crypto
market but demonstrated resilience by maintaining its business operations.
Despite a 17.5% decline in revenues to €14.73 million, the company remained
committed to navigating the market and pursuing its strategic objectives.
To mitigate the impact of the challenging conditions, Advanced Blockchain
AG implemented a comprehensive cost reduction strategy to align expenses
with the market situation, improving financial stability.
In April 2023 Advanced Blockchain AG announced that Sebastian Markowsky, an
experienced investment banker and skilled dealmaker in the blockchain
industry, has joined as an Advisor and Venture Partner. With a successful
background advising top fintech and software companies on securing global
deals, Markowsky brings a wealth of expertise to the table. His focus is on
digital assets, blockchain, decentralized business models, and cutting-edge
technology. With his experience at notable firms like GP Bullhound,
Blockchain Valley Ventures, and Deutsche Bank, Markowsky has gained a
reputation for his commitment and long-term support.
The company experienced a decline in EBITDA to €2.77 million (PY: €6.65
million), leading to a reduced EBITDA margin of 18.8% (PY: 37.2%). The cost
of materials significantly increased by 210.3% to €23.80 million due to
rising development costs. However, Advanced Blockchain AG witnessed a
notable rise in other operating income to €15.10 million, attributed to
capitalizing internal work for software development in its subsidiaries.
Despite the obstacles, the company remained profitable, albeit with a
proportional reduction in net result. The net result for the year amounted
to €1.76 million (PY: €5.32 million), showcasing Advanced Blockchain AG's
ability to navigate challenges and maintain financial stability. With a net
margin of 12.0% (PY: 29.8%), the company displayed effective cost
management and resilience in the face of reduced revenues.
In fiscal year 2023, Advanced Blockchain AG focuses on sustainable growth
and cost management. The company plans to expand its team, make new
investments and implement cross-chain initiatives to maintain its leading
position as a blockchain incubator and Web3 investor. Ongoing research and
clear strategies will drive the development and adoption of various
blockchain topics and use cases.
The top 10 portfolio holdings (of the more than 30 holdings), including
companies like peaq/EoT Labs GmbH, Mero, and Contango, have a conservative
valuation of €39.65 million. However, we estimate that the fair value of
these holdings is considerably higher and to be around €45 million. The
total portfolio value, including remaining investments, is estimated at €90
million, considering a significant undervaluation in the current market
conditions.
Regarding the market, the recent endorsement of Bitcoin (BTC) by BlackRock
CEO Larry Fink has had a profound impact on the growing acceptance of
cryptocurrencies among Wall Street veterans. Fink, who was previously
skeptical about digital currencies, announced that BlackRock aims to
streamline and reduce the costs of trading and investing in Bitcoin. This
acknowledgment of Bitcoin's potential as a revolutionary financial
instrument marks a significant shift in the public stance of asset managers
and senior executives. It highlights BlackRock's responsiveness to client
demands and further validates Bitcoin's emergence as a mainstream asset
within traditional finance.
We approximate the net asset value (NAV) to be €88 million, with a
per-share value of €23.48. However, we applied an additional discount of
around 53% due to the ongoing 'crypto winter' and the decline in crypto
markets, resulting in a fair value of €41.74 million or €11.00 per share.
Based on the significant upside potential, we assign a Buy rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27327.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the study: 11.07.2023 (17:30)
Date and time of the first disclosure of the study: 12.07.2022 (09:30)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Cenit AG: BUY
Original-Research: Cenit AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Cenit AG
Unternehmen: Cenit AG
ISIN: DE0005407100
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 19.75 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2023
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
Inorganic growth continues with the second acquisition in 2023; price
target and rating unchanged
With the announcement of 06.07.2023, CENIT AG is continuing its inorganic
growth course with the acquisition of Berlin-based PI Informatik GmbH. The
company, which has been in existence since 1996, is a full service provider
in the field of conception and consulting of SAP landscapes and also acts
as a managed service provider of IT infrastructures. In addition, the
company is also active in the field of industrial software development. PI
Informatik GmbH's clientele includes not only industrial customers but also
public institutions and authorities.
In our view, the development of new clientele, in particular the public
sector, is likely to be a key factor in the acquisition of PI Informatik.
With the new customer access, CENIT AG could, for example, offer EIM
solutions, for which the public sector is predestined as a customer. In
addition, CENIT AG could address the Berlin area more strongly. Conversely,
the addition of the new company should also strengthen CENIT AG's SAP
expertise, software development and IT infrastructure management.
Information on the purchase price or the operating figures of PI Informatik
GmbH were not published in the company news. According to the most recently
published annual financial statements as of 31 December 2021 in the
ebundesanzeiger, the acquired company has a balance sheet total of € 3.20
million, equity capital of € 2.23 million and liquidity of € 1.92 million.
In addition, it can be seen that a balance sheet profit of € 0.29 million
was allocated in the 2021 financial year. Judging by these figures, we
assume that PI Informatik GmbH should report a turnover level in the mid
single-digit million range (approx. € 4 - 5 million). The purchase price
should even be below this level.
After the acquisition of mip Management Informations Partner GmbH in
January 2023, which is comparable in size to PI Informatik, this is the
second acquisition of the current financial year. This is to be seen as a
further step towards strengthening the SAP segment, which is to be expanded
as planned to a turnover volume of € 50 million. In addition, in accordance
with the 'CENIT 2025' agenda, the company plans to achieve a sales level of
approximately € 300 million and an EBIT margin of 8% to 10% by the 2025
business year. An important part of this is inorganic growth, which should
amount to more than € 50 million according to our forecasts. Accordingly,
further acquisitions are expected for the current and coming financial
year.
Due to the low sales and earnings impact of PI Informatik GmbH, which will
also only have a minor impact on the income statement for the current
fiscal year 2023 due to the initial consolidation date of 1 July 2023,
CENIT AG has not made any changes to its forecast. We are also maintaining
our previous forecasts (see study dated 12 May 2023) unchanged. With an
unchanged target price of € 19.75, we continue to assign a BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27319.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 11/07/2023 (10:54 am)
Date (Time) first distribution: 11/07/2023 (12:00 pm)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Aspermont Ltd: Buy
Original-Research: Aspermont Ltd - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Aspermont Ltd
Unternehmen: Aspermont Ltd
ISIN: AU000000ASP3
Anlass der Studie: Research (Note)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 0.08 AUD
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2023
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Julien Desrosiers, Matthias Greiffenberger
Growth even facing headwinds market conditions. Renowned top executive and
management hiring. Forecast focus on return to double digit growth.
Facing headwinds but growing. The revenues are up 1% YoY, reaching $9.36m
AUD. Revenues are in line with company’s guidance.
Increased net liquidity asset. The company has a net liquidity position of
4.4m, up from HY 2022 $3.9m.
HY gross margin, lower but healthy. The company’s gross margin has
decreased to 63.56% for the HY 2023.
Privileged position. While the entire sector is seeing important diminution
in publicity revenues and overall revenues, the company’s revenues are
still growing.
Accountable. The company’s guidance has proven right once again. The
management has a core understanding of their business and market
conditions.
Enviable Hiring. The company continues to hire top talent from different
bluechip companies, building a dream team. The fruit of this hiring should
be borne soon enough with implementation and scaling of new and existing
products.
Operational Agility. Decentralised structure and scalable human resources
for rapid launch or products while controlling investment risk as seen in
the increase of their net asset liquidity.
Continued double digit growth. The company guidance is to reach a double
digit growth in revenues for the FY2023.
Based on our DCF model, we maintain our Buy rating with a price target at
0.08 AUD (0.05 EUR) (previously: 0.10 AUD (0.07 EUR)) per share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27245.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of this research: 21.06.2023 16:00
Date and time of first distribution: 22.06.2023 10:00
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 5.30 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
Financial year 2022 closed with a significant improvement in revenue and
operating profit; A continuation of the profitable growth course is
expected for 2023; The expansion of the ad tech platform business should
lead to significant revenue and earnings growth in the future; Target
price: € 5.30 (previously: € 5.40); Rating: BUY
Based on the published business figures, Media and Games Invest SE (MGI)
continued its dynamic growth course in the past financial year 2022 with a
significant increase in turnover of 28.7% to € 324.44 million (PY: € 252.17
million) despite difficult general conditions and market situation. Their
digital programmatic advertising software platform business again proved to
be their main growth driver. In this high-growth area, the increase in
their software customer base to 551 customers (end of 2021: 418)
significantly increased their business volume. The strong business growth
achieved is also reflected in MGI's leading market position. According to a
market study (Pixalate's Mobile SSP Report), MGI's Verve Group is the
market leader in mobile programmatic advertising for Android in North
America with a 12% share. This exceeded the company's guidance at the upper
end of the target range (revenue of € 315.0m to € 325.0m) and also our
revenue estimate (GBCe: € 307.22m).
Parallel to the positive development of turnover, significant increases
were achieved at the operating result level. Compared to the previous year,
EBITDA grew significantly by 30.3% to € 84.75 million. Adjusted for one-off
effects (e.g. special and restructuring costs from M&As), EBITDA (Adj.
EBITDA) also grew rapidly with a dynamic increase of 31.1% to € 93.20
million. Accordingly, the company’s earnings guidance (Adj. EBITDA: € 83.0
million to € 93.0 million) and also our earnings estimate (Adj. EBITDA: €
91.72 million) were exceeded.
MGI's management is also positive about the current 2023 financial year and
expects to continue on its growth path. Specifically, the technology
company expects a renewed increase in sales revenues in a range of € 335.0
million to € 345.0 million. At the earnings level, an adjusted EBITDA of
between € 95.0 million and € 105.0 million is to be achieved.
As part of the publication of our research study on the preliminary annual
results of MGI's 2022 financial year, we have slightly reduced our previous
revenue and earnings forecasts for the current 2023 financial year for
conservative reasons. For the following year, we have left our previous
operating estimates unchanged. In view of the satisfactory Q1 performance,
the positive corporate outlook and the reaffirmation of the medium-term
guidance (revenue CAGR 25.0%-30.0%, EBITDA CAGR 25.0%-30.0%), we confirm
our previous revenue and earnings forecasts for the current financial year
and subsequent years. For 2022, we continue to expect revenues of € 340.12
million and EBITDA of € 89.44 million. For 2024 and 2025, we continue to
expect revenues (EBITDA) of € 402.55 million (€ 115.80 million) and €
471.39 million (€ 136.14 million), respectively.
Overall, the MGI Group, with its good market positioning and
fully-integrated programmatic ad tech platform with its own games content,
should succeed in continuing its dynamic growth course in the future. While
the technology company has built up a strong position on the supply side in
recent years, with a strong SDK base in the premium mobile app sector, the
demand side in particular should be the focus of targeted growth in the
future and be further expanded. The Contextual Mobile Demand Side Platform
'Dataseat', which was acquired in 2022, was an important building block of
MGI's growth strategy and has additionally strengthened the Demand Side and
also underlines their growth ambitions in this business area.
In addition, with liquidity of around € 130.0 million at the end of the
first quarter of 2023, MGI continues to be in a good financial position and
can thus take advantage of investment opportunities as well as being able
to comfortably cushion recessionary macroeconomic situations. The gearing
ratio, which was at a good level of 3.0x at the end of the last quarter,
should also improve further in the short and medium term due to their
positive cash flow and their expected EBITDA growth.
Based on our confirmed forecasts for the current financial year 2023 and
the following years and the changed cost of capital (WACC), we have
slightly lowered our previous price target to € 5.30 (previously: € 5.40).
Our price target reduction is the result of higher capital costs (increase
in the risk-free interest rate to 2.0% instead of the previous 1.5%). As a
consequence of the unchanged high inflation, we have raised the terminal
value growth rate to 2.5% (previously: 2.0%), which has had the effect of
raising the target price. In view of the current share price level, we thus
continue to assign a 'Buy' rating and see significant upside potential. The
results of our peer group analysis (see p. 21) also support our assessment
of the attractiveness and price potential of the MGI share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27233.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 20/06/2023 (8:43 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 20/06/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Aspermont Ltd: Buy
Original-Research: Aspermont Ltd - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Aspermont Ltd
Unternehmen: Aspermont Ltd
ISIN: AU000000ASP3
Anlass der Studie: Research Note
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 0.11 AUD
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Julien Desrosiers, Matthias Greiffenberger
Q2-2023 preliminary report shows increased growth
Aspermont, which is a leading global resource sector B2B media provider,
has once again demonstrated its robustness in Q2, maintaining an enviable
growth trajectory while expanding operational capacity. The company has
celebrated an impressive 27th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth in
subscriptions revenues, fueled by positive contributions from Content
Works.
The following are some of the company's highlights:
* Total revenue at $4.9m was up 3% year on year.
* Subscriptions revenue at $2.3m was up 10% year on year.
* Content Works revenue at $0.3m was up 102% year on year.
* Net liquidity at $4.5m was up 10% year on year.
* Partnership with Saudi Arabia confirmed
Aspermont's Q2 performance showcases its resilience and ability to thrive
in challenging market conditions. The company's unwavering focus on
subscriptions revenues, along with the remarkable growth of Content Works,
underscores its adaptability and capacity to seize new business
opportunities.
Furthermore, the net liquidity growth of 10% year-on-year reflects
Aspermont's prudent financial management and its ability to maintain a
solid financial foundation for future endeavors. This financial stability
is crucial in an industry where economic headwinds can impact revenue
streams, such as advertising.
With decreasing conventional advertising spending hitting the sector,
Aspermont's strategic partnership with Saudi Arabia solidifies its position
as a global player for content-based advertising in the mining sector and
opens doors to new revenue streams. This milestone underscores the
potential of the company's diversified business model and its ability to
cater to evolving market demands.
Recent key appointments within Aspermont's management team signal the
company's commitment to augmenting its operational capacity and expertise.
The addition of experienced professionals such as Josh Robertson, Graeme
McCracken, and Lindsay Santos further bolsters Aspermont's ability to
capitalize on growth opportunities and expand its global footprint.
The company appoints Josh Robertson as Group Chief Marketing Officer
Josh Robertson has extensive marketing experience gained at several large
global network agencies. Josh held senior management positions at Havas,
Publicis and Dentsu and as Chief Marketing Officer at VCCP serving large
corporate and government clients worldwide.
The company appoints Lindsay Santos as Group Head of Events
The role of Group Head of Events is a recently established position that
carries the crucial responsibility of overseeing the creation and execution
of Aspermont's global events, in alignment with the company's dedication to
crafting top-notch gatherings within the global resource sectors.
Ms Lindsay Santos brings with her more than 14 years of expertise in the
events industry, having excelled in various roles encompassing the
commercial, operations, and production domains. Her notable accomplishments
include spearheading trade shows for InfoComm Asia over the past two years,
catering to diverse industries. Lindsay's valuable experience in event
launches and the development of fresh initiatives will significantly
contribute to Aspermont's ambitious growth plans.
The company appoints Graeme McCracken as Non-Executive Director
Mr McCracken has more than 30 years of experience in media, events, data
and analytics across diverse industry sectors. Graeme has held senior
management roles at RELX Group and Warburg Pincus, and CEO positions at
Proagrica and CMD Group. Graeme is a graduate of the University of Glasgow
with a master’s degree in politics and economics.
In conclusion, Aspermont's continued double-digit growth in subscriptions
revenues, successful partnerships, and prudent operational expansions
highlight its position as a frontrunner in the global resource sectors' B2B
media landscape. The company's progressive inward investment program,
alongside its emphasis on strategic hires, demonstrates a forward-thinking
approach and positions Aspermont for sustained success.
The company's ambitious initiatives, including projects such as Skywave,
Esperanto, and archive digitalization, contribute to its long-term growth
prospects. Aspermont's unwavering commitment to delivering high-value
content to a global audience further enhances its monetization potential.
All this while boosting its overall net liquidity position.
Until then, the results published by the company for their Q2-2023
increases our confidence in the company achieving our FY 2023 financial
projections. We are therefore maintaining our BUY rating and our current
target price of 0.11 AUD / 0.07 EUR.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27057.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
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+++++++++++++++
Date (time) Completion: 19/05/2023 (13.45 am)
Date (time) first publication: 22/05/2022 (11.00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Cenit AG: Buy
Original-Research: Cenit AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Cenit AG
Unternehmen: Cenit AG
ISIN: DE0005407100
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 19.75 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2023
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
Q1 2023: Development in line with expectations; forecasts and price target
confirmed
As expected, CENIT AG achieved a visible jump in sales in the first quarter
of 2023 with an increase in sales of 22.7 % to € 43.42 million (PY: € 35.40
million). Inorganic effects contributed particularly to this development.
ISR Information Products, which was acquired on 31 May 2022, was not
included in the figures for the first quarter of the previous year. We
assume an inorganic effect of approximately € 6.0 million in connection
with the ISR acquisition. In addition, CENIT AG acquired mip Management
Information Partner GmbH (mip for short) as of 30 January 2023, which we
estimate to have contributed revenue of approximately € 0.7 million in the
first quarter of 2023. In total, we estimate that the M&A-related increase
in revenue amounts to approx. € 6.7 million, so that CENIT AG, adjusted for
this effect, is likely to have generated sales growth of approx. 3.7 % to
around € 36.7 million.
Parallel to the strong increase in turnover, the EBIT rose to € 0.01
million (previous year: € -0.39 million). The bottom line for CENIT AG is a
slightly negative result after tax of € -0.07 million (previous year: €
-0.60 million). In the following quarters, as in previous years, the
break-even threshold should be exceeded again. On the positive side, it
should be emphasised that CENIT AG has net liquidity of € 2.41 million,
even after the acquisition of ISR (purchase price: € 27.88 million). Bank
liabilities of € 22.19 million are offset by liquid funds of € 24.60
million. CENIT AG thus has good flexibility with regard to the
implementation of the further planned inorganic growth strategy.
With the publication of the Q1 2023 figures, which were in line with
expectations, the CENIT management has confirmed the forecasts for the
current fiscal year 2023. The updated guidance now expects consolidated
sales in a range of € 175.00 to 180.00 million and an EBIT of around € 9.0
to 9.5 million. In the 2023 annual report, sales revenues of around €180
million and an EBIT of more than €9.5 million were envisaged. According to
the CENIT management, the newly formulated guidance is not to be regarded
as a forecast adjustment, whereby the upper values of the guidance range
are still targeted.
Also on a full-year basis in 2023, the expected revenue growth of between 8
% to 11 % is likely to be due in particular to inorganic effects. The
first-time full-year inclusion of ISR sales is expected to result in an
additional revenue contribution of around €10 million. Furthermore, the
additional revenue contribution of the acquired mip should be around € 3.0
million, so that the inorganic effect adds up to a total of € 13.0 million.
In our opinion, organic revenue growth of 3.6% should be generated in
parallel, so that we continue to expect total revenue of €181.61 million
for 2023. In view of the order backlog, which at € 67.03 million (previous
year: € 54.37 million) as at 31 March 2023 was 23.3 % above the previous
year's value, this assumption is realistic. Based on the unchanged
guidance, we also confirm our EBIT forecast, according to which we expect
EBIT of €9.80 million for 2023.
The forecasts for the next two financial years 2024 and 2025 also remain
unchanged. We continue to be guided here by the 'CENIT 2025' agenda,
according to which a sales level of approx. € 300 million and an EBIT
margin of 8 % to 10 % are expected by 2025. Our forecasts do not take into
account the company acquisitions explicitly expected to achieve these
goals, which explains the sales gap between our 2025 estimates and the
'CENIT 2025' agenda.
Due to the unchanged input, there are also no changes in the result of the
DCF valuation model and we confirm our price target of €19.75. We continue
to assign a BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26997.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 12/05/2023 (08:49 am)
Date (Time) first distribution: 12/05/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Mexedia S.p.A.: Buy
Original-Research: Mexedia S.p.A. - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Mexedia S.p.A.
Unternehmen: Mexedia S.p.A.
ISIN: IT0005450819
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Initial Coverage)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 46.50 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2023
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Marcel Schaffer
From Telecom to Tech - Driving Innovation with Customer eXperience Platform
as a Service (CXPaaS). Significant boost in sales and profits anticipated.
Mexedia S.p.A. – Società Benefit (Mexedia) is a technology company that
started in the telecom business. Mexedia serves as an intermediary for
wholesale SMS and Voice traffic, facilitating interconnections between
carriers. In the telecommunications industry, international phone calls and
SMS messages are treated as tradeable commodities that are exchanged
wholesale between telcos. Voice traffic pertains to international calls
while A2P SMS traffic refers to messages received through apps. Mexedia
also offers fixed and cost-effective real-time liquidity to its partners
for voice and SMS services trading. This liquidity is secured against the
receivables of insured debtors of its partners. To accomplish this, Mexedia
conducts auctions of insured receivables from debtors to investors in
asset-backed securities and liquidity providers through Mexedia Exchange.
This activity generates an arbitrage margin for Mexedia by capitalizing on
the spread gained from advancing money in real-time against the auction of
its receivables.
Mexedia's telecom business has exhibited strong growth and profitability,
and is currently in the process of transitioning into a tech company with a
focus on offering advanced technological services and a complete customer
experience to its clients. To achieve this, Mexedia has developed a
Customer eXperience Platform as a Service (CXPaaS) that provides
cloud-based services and APIs to companies. Mexedia has a vertical
structure and offers a range of innovative technologies and tools that are
integrated into a technological ecosystem, facilitating all
consumer-oriented communications.
In 2022, the company experienced a 6.9% increase in revenue, reaching €
140.9m (PY: € 131.8m) due to new and better deals in voice and SMS traffic.
The majority of revenue was generated by the Irish subsidiary using a
classic business model. Despite an increase in expenses, the EBITDA showed
a significant improvement with an 18.7% increase to € 8.37m (€ 7.05m). The
net result increased by 49.8% to € 4.43m (PY: € 2.96m).
An important cornerstone of the growth strategy will be the new Mexedia ON
platform, which is the Customer Experience Platform as a Service (CXPaaS)
designed for businesses, especially those in the Telephone industry, to
improve customer engagement and provide a seamless and consistent
experience. The platform offers various features, including virtual agents
and assistants, omnichannel communication, automation, data analysis, and
innovative channels like Metaverse and Smart Voice Assistance. It also
includes an open app store that allows developers and market players to
create and sell a wide range of applications for Mexedia ON, such as
Sentiment Analysis, Voice Biometrics, Speech Analytics, RPA, VR & AR
Experience, Voice Smart Assistants, OTP & 2FA Authentication, and more. The
app store also offers services for SMS marketing, lead generation, content
marketing, and number masking, among others. Mexedia ON aims to be the most
varied and powerful ecosystem of CXPaaS solutions for brands.
We expect Mexedia to generate € 324.11m revenue in 2023, increasing to €
361.22m in 2024 and € 397.29m in 2025. The company has expanded to the USA,
strengthened its position in existing markets, and diversified its client
base. It recently acquired Matchcom Telecommunications Inc. and Phonetime
Inc. in the US, which are alone expected to bring in an additional € 190m
in revenue and € 6m in EBITDA in 2023.
We expect that Mexedia Ltd, the Irish subsidiary, will remain the key
earnings driver for the company, with an estimated EBITDA of € 6.3m in
2023. This figure is projected to increase to € 8m by 2025, reflecting a
strong and sustained growth trajectory. We forecast the net result to be €
5.53m in 2023, € 10.48m in 2024, and € 14.49m in 2025.
Based on our DCF-model we have determined a target price of € 46.50 and due
to the high upside potential, we issue a Buy rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26967.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the research report: 10.05.2023 (14:15)
Date and time of the first disclosure of the research report: 11.05.2023 (10:00)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: First Tin Plc: Buy
Original-Research: First Tin Plc - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu First Tin Plc
Unternehmen: First Tin Plc
ISIN: GB00BNR45554
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Anno)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 0.50 GBP
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Julien Desrosiers, Matthias Greiffenberger
Strong FY 2022 cash position of £13.8m. Management advancing rapidly both
projects. Possible Germany’s environmental permitting fast-track.
On-track projects. Even with the slight delay for Tellerhäuser, the company
remains on track to deliver DFS studies on both locations for mid-2024 at
latest and is advancing both projects very rapidly.
Tin price rebounds. On Monday April 18, 2023, the price of tin experienced
a significant surge due to news that Myanmar, the world's third-largest
producer of the soldering metal, may halt production. This unexpected
development caused London Metal Exchange three-month tin to soar by 11% and
reach a two-month high of $27,705 per ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange
had already recorded high levels of trading activity prior to the latest
development, and London Metal Exchange three-month tin followed suit. The
Central Economic Planning Committee of the Wa State, which is Myanmar's
most influential ethnic armed group and controls the tin-mining area on the
border with China, released a statement announcing that all mining and
processing activities would be 'suspended' from the start of August to
protect the remaining resource. This statement serves as an unexpected
threat to the global supply of tin. This development highlights the
importance of securing tin supply from tier-1 countries with reliable
mining assets, such as those of First Tin plc. The halt in production from
Myanmar could potentially disrupt the global tin supply chain, causing a
surge in prices and impacting various industries that rely on tin for their
products.
Taronga mineral tests. The latest mineral testwork confirms the previous
hypotheses that a majority of the tin will be liberated via a simple coarse
crush, followed by gravity separation.
Drilling delays compensated by historical data. Tellerhäuser has been hit
with drilling contractors’ delays but has found new historical data,
continuing to supply the geological team with vital and fresh information.
Strong cash position. The company finished FY2022 with a cash position of
£13.8m.
Tellerhäuser environmental permitting. The company is qualified for the
granting of a fast-track permit, reducing the overall permitted timeframe
by up to 12 to 18 months.
Renewable energy. First Tin partnered with BID Energy Partners to provide a
feasibility study on renewable energy supply options for the Taronga Tin
Project in Australia.
Based on our DCF model, we have maintained our price target of 0.50 GBP
(0.57 EUR) per share and a BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26943.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
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+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the research report: 05.05.2023 20:30
Date and time of the first disclosure of the research report: 08.05.2023 13:00
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: EasyMotionSkin Tec AG: Buy
Original-Research: EasyMotionSkin Tec AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu EasyMotionSkin Tec AG
Unternehmen: EasyMotionSkin Tec AG
ISIN: LI1147158318
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Anno)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 15.50 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Marcel Schaffer
Solid annual result 2022. Cooperations and new sales approaches contribute
to the high growth momentum expected in the medium term.
EasyMotionSkin Tec AG has published pro forma annual financial statements
for the listed parent company EasyMotionSkin Tec AG and the subsidiary
EasyMotionSkin Tec GmbH. There are no comparative figures for the previous
year, as EMS GmbH was no longer included due to a purchase reversal.
According to the management, external sales of around € 4.7 million were
generated in the 2021 financial year. Thus, in the past fiscal year 2022,
sales revenues increased by 110.4% to € 9.89 million, of which the largest
part of the sales came from the B2C sector. A TV documentary about the
'Power Suit' for astronaut training on the ISS also contributed
significantly to an increase in awareness.
The company and also the entire industry were hit by cost increases. The
cost increases were primarily caused by inflation and supply chain
disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic. In particular, the shortage of
chips led to production bottlenecks and cost increases. The company also
continued to invest heavily in marketing to strengthen its brand.
Nevertheless, a positive EBITDA of € 0.77 million was achieved and a net
result of € 0.35 million.
The company plans to expand its traditional sales strategy to include a
rental and subscription model. The transition to a subscription model may
lead to a temporary decrease in revenue, but may result in sustainable
revenue growth in the long term. We expect overall revenue shifts of one
year and forecast revenues of € 10.02 million for 2023, € 22.11 million for
2024, and € 28.0 million for 2025. EasyMotionSkin also plans to address the
occupational health management market. We see a lot of potential here, as
effective health management can offer many benefits for employees. In
addition, a new study has shown that EMS training for back pain can be an
effective measure as part of occupational health management.
We expect EBITDA to be € 1.16 million in 2023 and to increase to € 5.07
million by 2025 due to scaling effects. However, the high marketing
expenses will impact earnings. We forecast net income of € 0.73 million in
2023, € 2.26 million in 2024, and € 3.25 million in 2025.
We have changed our valuation model and forecasts to EUR (previously: CHF),
as the pro forma consolidation was carried out in EUR. Based on the DCF
model, we adjust our price target to € 15.50 (previously: CHF 20.00 / €
20.32). The reason for the reduced price target is the increased risk-free
interest rate and the adjusted forecast. Against the backdrop of the upside
potential, we assign a Buy rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26847.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the study: 26.04.2023 (11:45) German version: 25.04.2023 (12:15)
Date and time of the first disclosure of the study: 26.04.2023 (11:00) German version: 26.04.2023 (12:00)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: NEON EQUITY AG: BUY
Original-Research: NEON EQUITY AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu NEON EQUITY AG
Unternehmen: NEON EQUITY AG
ISIN: DE000A3DW408
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 10,76 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2023
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker; Marcel Schaffer
- Always positive results achieved since the company was founded
- Successful year 2022 with after-tax result of almost 12 million €
NEON EQUITY AG has been listed on the “Primärmarkt” of the Düsseldorf Stock
Exchange since 13 January 2023 and has been tradable on Xetra since 1
February 2023. This is a pure listing, without raising any proceeds from
the issue. In accordance with its corporate focus, the company plans to
participate as a strategic investor in companies with future potential or
to establish such companies. This is based on the strategic objective of
sustainably increasing the enterprise value of the portfolio companies by
implementing a capital market strategy. Within the framework of their
investment approach, the portfolio companies are not only provided with
capital, the companies can access the extensive industry know-how and the
network of NEON EQUITY AG. The investment focus is on small to medium-sized
companies operating in the real estate, consulting or technology sectors.
In principle, the portfolio candidates should have good development
potential and be able to be developed into an IPO candidate in the long
term.
Despite its recent stock market debut, the company has a corporate history
spanning several years. Since its foundation in 2012, NEON EQUITY AG has
acquired various investments and sold some or all of them again. In total,
exit transactions amounting to € 645.54 million have been carried out,
which have enabled the company to always show positive earnings levels.
This also applies to the past financial year 2022, in which total income of
€ 17.45 million (previous year: € 11.89 million) was generated. The
proceeds from the sale of shares in publity and PREOS played an important
role here, as did income from the reduction of individual value adjustments
on receivables. In addition, interest income was generated in connection
with publity bonds held. Based on the increased income, a higher after-tax
result of € 11.98 million (previous year: € 6.72 million) was generated
compared to the previous year.
Since profits have always been retained since the company's foundation,
NEON EQUITY AG has a high equity capital of € 245.47 million as at 31
December 2022, accompanied by a high equity ratio of 98.9%. The assets side
is primarily made up of shares held in publity AG and Preos AG as well as
publity bonds held. As NEON EQUITY AG prepares its accounts in accordance
with the principles of the German Commercial Code (HGB), the lower of cost
or market principle is applied rather than the market value approach.
For the coming financial years, we expect an expansion of the investment
portfolio and also assume an increase in advisory mandates. A key aspect of
the forecasts is the company's ability to identify and acquire portfolio
candidates with development potential and then to develop them in a way
that is suitable for the capital market. Then possible exit proceeds can be
achieved. In the current financial year, the sale of publity shares should
generate notable proceeds, before new investments in the following years
should ensure a strong increase in revenues and earnings.
We have determined the fair value of NEON EQUITY AG using a NAV model and a
DCF model. On average, the fair value we have determined is € 430.78
million, which corresponds to a fair value of € 10.76 per share. We assign
the rating BUY.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26827.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the study: 19.04.2023 (10:29 am)
Date and time of publication of the study: 19.04.2023 (11:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: HAEMATO AG: BUY
Original-Research: HAEMATO AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu HAEMATO AG
Unternehmen: HAEMATO AG
ISIN: DE000A289VV1
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 31.70 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2023
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker; Marcel Goldmann
Preliminary 2023 figures: Revenue and earnings development in line with
expectations; Guidance issued against the backdrop of increased mandatory
discounts; Target price: € 31.70; Rating: BUY
According to preliminary figures, HAEMATO AG had to accept a decline in
turnover of 12.9% to € 248.2 million (previous year: € 285.0 million) in
the past financial year 2022. This development is not surprising, as the
record figure for the 2021 financial year was largely due to the sale of a
COVID 19 lay test. However, due to an oversupply on the market, HAEMATO's
management discontinued sales activities in mid-2021, resulting in a
revenue gap for 2022. In the first half of 2021 alone, sales revenues of
around € 25 million were generated with the rapid antigen tests. In this
respect, a declining revenue development was to be expected. In our
forecasts, we had projected sales revenues of € 243.9 million, which were
even slightly exceeded.
The development of earnings is also in line with expectations. The
preliminary EBIT of € 8.3 million (previous year: € 11.16 million) was
within the company's guidance, which had forecast an EBIT in a range of € 8
to € 10 million. On this basis, we had expected an EBIT of € 8.9 million.
The decline in EBIT compared to the previous year is also primarily due to
the discontinuation of the corona lay tests. However, the focus on
higher-margin products in the Specialty Pharma segment and the inclusion of
the high-margin Lifestyle & Aesthetics segment has led to a visible
improvement in profitability, as shown by the comparison of margins with
the 2020 financial year, in which an EBIT margin of only 0.7% was achieved.
In 2022, the EBIT margin was 3.3%.
With the publication of the preliminary figures, the HAEMATO management has
issued guidance for the current financial year 2023. According to this,
consolidated sales of € 220 million to € 250 million and EBIT of € 6
million to € 8 million are expected for 2023. A special aspect of this
forecast is the increase in mandatory manufacturer discounts from 7.0% to
12.0% for 2023 as part of the GKV-Finanzstabilisierungsgesetz. For the
'Specialty Pharma' segment of HAEMATO, this means an increase in expenses
for the procurement of goods and for transport services, which should be
accompanied by a reduction in the recently-increased gross profit. However,
part of this effect could be absorbed by the initiated concentration on
high-margin products and the ongoing cost efficiency programme.
While declining sales and lower profit margins are to be expected in the
Specialty Pharma segment, growth in the Lifestyle & Aesthetics segment,
adjusted for corona tests, should continue. Here, sales of aesthetic
medicines, medical products and cosmetics are to be further expanded. In
addition, the distribution of Botulinum toxin (Botox) products should
become an important growth driver in this segment. In this regard, an
exclusive supply and licence agreement was concluded with the South Korean
company Huons BioPharma for the supply of Botox products. At the end of
January 2023, the application to conduct a clinical trial was submitted to
the authorities. Assuming a normal course of the trial, the company expects
approval in 2025.
We have adjusted our estimates for 2023 to the current guidance and made a
forecast reduction for both sales and EBIT. We expect revenues of € 242.10
million (previous forecast: € 269.23 million) and EBIT of € 7.45 million
(previous forecast: € 10.57 million). As we do not forecast any write-ups
on securities, the after-tax result of € 5.40 million should be
significantly below the level of the 2022 financial year. For the coming
financial year 2024, we expect a growth in turnover of 10.9% to € 268.54
million and an improvement in the EBIT margin to 4.5%. This is against the
backdrop of a disproportionate development of the high-margin 'Lifestyle &
Aesthetics' segment as well as the expected reduction of the mandatory
manufacturer's discount to 7.0%.
Within the framework of our updated DCF valuation model, we have determined
a target price of € 31.70 (previously: € 37.55). Both the forecast
adjustments and the increase in the risk-free interest rate contributed to
the reduction. We continue to assign the rating BUY.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26819.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) Completion: 17.04.23 (12:56 am)
Date (time) first transmission: 17.04.23 (2:30 pm)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: First Tin Plc: Kaufen
Original-Research: First Tin Plc - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu First Tin Plc
Unternehmen: First Tin Plc
ISIN: GB00BNR45554
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Initial Coverage)
Empfehlung: Kaufen
Kursziel: 0,57 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Julien Desrosiers, Matthias Greiffenberger
Zwei neue Zinnminen mit geringem Investitionsaufwand in Deutschland und
Australien. ESG-konform. Hohes Upside-Potenzial. DFS-Studien bis Ende 2023
geplant. Investitionsentscheidungen bis Q1 2024.
Steigende Nachfrage nach Zinn. Zinn ist ein wichtiger Werkstoff, wenn es um
die fortschreitende Elektrifizierung der Welt geht. Gleichzeitig sind die
Zinnvorkommen, insbesondere in Europa, begrenzt. Es wird erwartet, dass
Zinn in absehbarer Zukunft aufgrund der steigenden Nachfrage zu
Verknappungen kommen kann.
Durch die rasche Entwicklung hochwertiger Zinnvorkommen mit geringem
Kapitaleinsatz in Deutschland und Australien konzentriert sich das
Unternehmen darauf, ein Zinnlieferant in Ländern zu werden, in denen kein
Krieg herrscht und das politische Risiko gering ist.
Zwei fortgeschrittene Zinnprojekte, Tellerhäuser und Taronga.
Tier-1-Rechtsprechung (Deutschland und Australien), DFS für beide Projekte
im Gange.
Starkes ESG-Engagement. Ziel einer abfallfreien Mine. Aufbau einer
ethischen und zuverlässigen Zinnversorgung mit kohlenstoffarmer
Elektrizität.
Wichtige Meilensteine sollen bald erreicht werden. Die DFS für das
Taronga-Projekt sollte bis zum Jahresende 2023 fertiggestellt sein, damit
anschließend eine Investitionsentscheidung getroffen werden kann. Die DFS
für Tellerhäuser soll im ersten Halbjahr 2024 folgen. Das Unternehmen wurde
von der International Tin Association auf den siebten Platz für das Projekt
gesetzt, das am wahrscheinlichsten gebaut wird.
Starke Wirtschaftlichkeit. Die PFS für Tellerhäuser geht von 49 Mio. $
Capex und einem IRR von 55% aus. Die PFS für Taronga sieht 76 Mio. $ Capex
und einen IRR von 59% bei 30.000 $/t Zinn vor.
Wachstumschancen. Das Unternehmen führt derzeit an beiden Projektstandorten
Bohrungen zur Bestätigung, Erweiterung und Exploration durch.
Ein starkes und sehr erfahrenes Team auf dem Zinnmarkt, in der Metallurgie
und vom Abbau bis zur Lieferung.
Auf der Grundlage unseres DCF-Modells haben wir ein Kursziel von 0,50 GBP
(0,57 €) pro Aktie ermittelt und vergeben das Rating Kaufen.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26809.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Datum und Uhrzeit der Fertigstellung des Research Report: 12.04.2023 18:00 Englische Fassung: 03.04.2023 10:00
Datum und Uhrzeit der ersten Weitergabe des Research Reports: 17.04.2023 12:00 Englische Fassung: 05.04.2023 10:00
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Cenit AG: BUY
Original-Research: Cenit AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Cenit AG
Unternehmen: Cenit AG
ISIN: DE0005407100
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 19.75 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2023
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
- Clear corporate strategy for further growth in place
- Strong increase in sales and earnings expected according to “CENIT 2025”
- Slight price target increase
In the past business year 2022, CENIT AG achieved a significant increase in
sales of 11.0% to € 162.15 million (previous year: € 146.07 million) and
thus almost compensated for the sales dip of the past two business years.
ISR Information Products AG, which was acquired on 31 May 2022, made the
main contribution to the sales dynamics achieved. Since becoming part of
the CENIT Group, ISR had contributed sales of € 13.57 million. Without
inorganic effects, CENIT AG would have reported sales revenues of € 148.58
million and thus an organic sales increase of 1.7 %.
Broken down by individual types of revenues, it becomes clear that the
growth in revenues was achieved exclusively through the 39.9% increase in
consulting and service revenues to € 55.72 million (previous year: € 39.82
million). This includes ISR sales as well as catch-up effects after the
corona pandemic which had particularly affected this sales area. In
contrast, no growth was achieved in sales of third-party software and CENIT
software. It should be emphasised that the company has a high proportion of
recurring revenues of € 79.68 million, which account for 49.1% of total
revenues.
Despite the significant increase in revenues, EBIT improved only marginally
by 1.1% to € 6.31 million (previous year: € 6.23 million). This is due in
particular to increased costs in connection with the ISR acquisition,
increased travel and vehicle costs, higher project costs for new software
and one-off effects from the reorganisation of the company (approx. € 1.3
million). In addition, lower credits were received from tax incentives for
R&D in Germany and France, and finally, the discontinuation of the
short-time allowance, which was still around € 1.3 million in the previous
year, also made itself felt. The EBIT margin in 2022 was 3.9% (previous
year: 4.3%).
CENIT AG expects revenues of around € 180 million and an EBIT of more than
€ 9.5 million for 2023. At the same time, the 'CENIT 2025' agenda was
confirmed, in which sales revenues of approximately € 300 million are
expected by 2025, accompanied by an increase in the EBIT margin to 8% to
10%. We consider the company's guidance for 2023 to be very realistic, as
the first full-year inclusion of ISR and the acquisition of mip in January
2023 can be expected to result in an increase in sales of approximately €
13 million. In addition to the implementation of various organisational and
strategic measures, inorganic growth continues to play a very important
role in the implementation of 'CENIT 2025'. According to the company's
plans, two to three company acquisitions are to be made annually.
Our revenue and earnings estimates up to the 2025 financial year are based
on short- and medium-term corporate guidance. For 2023, we expect revenue
of €181.61 million, rising to €233.91 million by 2025. We do not include
inorganic growth, which explains the revenue gap to the expected €300
million. Therefore, we expect the EBIT margin to reach the lower half of
the expected range by 2025, with an improving EBIT margin trend.
Within the framework of our DCF valuation model, we have determined a new
target price of € 19.75 (previously: € 18.20). The price target increase is
exclusively a consequence of the first-time inclusion of the 2025 estimates
in the concrete estimation period, which provides a higher basis for the
continuity phase of the DCF valuation model. An even higher target price
increase was countered by the increase in the weighted cost of capital to
8.99% (previously: 8.51%) as a result of the higher risk-free interest
rate. We continue to assign the BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26743.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the study: 06.04.2023 (09:58 am)
Date and time of first transmission: 06.04.2023 (11:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
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