Activity Stream
GBC AG: Aspermont Limited: BUY
Original-Research: Aspermont Limited - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Aspermont Limited
Unternehmen: Aspermont Limited
ISIN: AU000000ASP3
Anlass der Studie: Research Update
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 0,09 AUD
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2022
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Julien Desrosiers; Felix Haugg
Impressive revenue growth and notable raise in gross profit
Aspermont's performance demonstrates the company's ability to grow at a
fast rate. When compared to Q4-2020, the company's revenues increased in
all sectors in Q4-2021. Currently, we can only look at partial numbers due
to Australian stock market regulatory laws.
These figures show a clear increase in all revenue sectors. Their XaaS and
service sectors grew by 20% and 17%, respectively, and now account for over
85% of total revenue. Their new data sector grew at a rate of 162%. Because
this division is less developed, faster growth is expected. Nonetheless, it
demonstrates how much potential management saw in this opportunity.
The increase in revenue did not result in a proportional increase in gross
profits margin. The quarter-on-quarter increase was only 12%, half of the
total revenue increase of 24%. This is unsurprising, as we believe
Aspermont needed to invest more money to maintain its current level of
growth and develop the new Data sector, as evidenced by their Q4-2021 OPEX
increase. Direct OPEX costs increased by 33%, owing to investments in new
businesses and increased operational capacity to support long-term growth.
All new investments are adequately funded by internal cash flow.
However, reaching a gross margin of 65% is a significant achievement. We
believe that the key to their new development strategy was to generate
higher margins and use the extra cash flow to fuel growth. This appears to
be working for the company at the moment, and we are eagerly awaiting the
full Q4-2021 and FY-2021 results, which should be released very soon, to
confirm our position.
In the fourth quarter, Aspermont experienced two significant events. The
company announced the establishment of a new fintech joint venture as well
as the launch of their first-generation capital raising platform.
Aspermont's current product offering in the mining sector will be enhanced
by the new partnership with Spark Plus and IPC. Spark Plus is a corporate
advisory firm that specializes in Asian roadshows for Asian companies. IPC
is a Sydney-based licensed securities dealer. Across Asia and Australia,
they provide Wealth Management and Corporate Advisory services to wholesale
and sophisticated investors.
The importance of the capital raising sector cannot be overstated. This is
a fiercely competitive industry that is undergoing a complete
transformation. Traditional banks and institutions continue to dominate the
market, but new entrants are gaining traction.
We believe that Aspermont unique position in the mining sector can pave the
way for important financing activities and the timing of the company could
not be better as the commodities have now entered in a super cycle. The
association with both Spark Plus, and IPC could generate substantial cash
flow within the next few years.
We believe the gross profits to be very healthy and the growth to be in
line with our expectations. We therefore confirm our buy rating with a 0.09
AUD target price.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23119.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
+++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of this research: 19.11.2021 (05:58 pm)
Date and time of first distribution: 19.11.2021 (08:00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Cardiol Therapeutics: BUY
Original-Research: Cardiol Therapeutics - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Cardiol Therapeutics
Unternehmen: Cardiol Therapeutics
ISIN: CA14161Y2006
Anlass der Studie: Research Update
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 17,49 CAD
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2022
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Julien Desrosiers; Felix Haugg
GBC AG to present an investor round table conference call with Cardiol
Therapeutics and will present latest development.
With the completion of the Public Offering, the company will have raised
more than $ 52.4 million in cash. Included is $ 2.4 million from the
warrants' accelerated expiration date of June 4, 2020. On November 2nd, the
company filed a preliminary prospectus, and on November 3rd, the company
announced the pricing. Cardiol Therapeutics announced the closing of its
$50 million public offering less than 24 hours later. This demonstrates the
American markets' appetite for Cardiol Therapeutics and the significance of
their NASDAQ listing. The holder of each share of the offering received a
half warrant for $3.75 until November 5, 2024.
With higher costs due to the expansion of recruitment for their LANCER
study in Brazil, Mexico and Canada, this new influx of cash can allow the
company to run full steam ahead without compromising R&D.
As discussed in our initial coverage report (June 2021), http://www.moreir.
de/d/22609.pdf, we believe that the LANCER study could produce its first
results in the fourth quarter of 2021 or the first quarter of 2022. The
inclusion of new markets for patients recruitment indicates that the
company is on track to meet their timeline. We believe that with the
additional funds raised, the company could also increase the number of
participants.
Cardiol Therapeutics also received approval from Health Canada for its
CardiolRxTM for Acute Myocarditis Phase II Clinical Trial. The approval
comes after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) granted clearance
to proceed with Cardiol Therapeutics' Investigational New Drug (IND)
application to begin this trial, as announced by the company on August
24th, 2021. The trial's primary endpoints will be left ventricular function
(ejection fraction and longitudinal strain) and myocardial edema (extracellular
volume), both of which have been shown to predict long-term
prognosis in patients with acute myocarditis after 12 weeks of double-blind
therapy.
The resurgence of the COVID-19 crisis in Europe has boosted the projected
demand for their treatments in development. Finally, because of their
strong cash position, we believe the capital increase has resulted in a
lower company risk. Based on this we reduced BETA in our model, considered
the cash inflow but adjusted for dilution. The different effects balance
each other out. As a result, we maintain our current rating and price
target.
Upcoming Event: GBC AG to present Cardiol Therapeutics Investors round
table
In light of the above new developments, we are organizing an online
investor presentation on 24.11.2021 15.00h (UTC+1). Here, the CEO of the
company will present the latest developments and be available for questions
via chat function.
Investors and press can register for the call with following link
https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_uGcldjqxQua5TozjaPCXJA
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23089.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
+++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of this research: 15/11/2021 (06:00 pm)
Date and time of first distribution: 16/11/2021 (11:00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: MagForce AG: Buy
Original-Research: MagForce AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu MagForce AG
Unternehmen: MagForce AG
ISIN: DE000A0HGQF5
Anlass der Studie: Research Note
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 11.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2022
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
1st HY 2021: FDA approval for final pivotal study received, forecasts and
price target confirmed, rating: BUY
In the context of the research study (Anno) of 20.07.2021, we had already
postulated our expectations that MagForce AG would probably report low
treatment figures overall in Europe (indication area: glioblastoma) in the
first half of 2021. This is due in particular to the pandemic-related
closure measures, which led to low patient enquiries in both the first and
second quarters. In our previous research study, we had only expected an
increase in commercial treatments and thus in revenues for the second half
of 2021. Consequently, sales revenues of EUR 0.19 million (previous year:
EUR 0.38 million) were still below the previous year's value. Due to the
unchanged low level of sales, there is still no cost coverage, so that
negative values are reported both at the EBIT level and at the level of the
after-tax result.
In mid-October 2021, MagForce AG received the conditions for approval of
the final clinical protocol for the Phase 2b trial from the FDA. After the
company submitted the required documents to the regulatory authority, the
FDA approved the final study protocol and the start of Stage 2b on 5
November 2021. This means that this Stage 2b, in which up to 100 patients
are enrolled, can begin promptly. According to the company's applications,
targeted biopsies can be used as desired to assess efficacy. The trial will
demonstrate that the Mag-Force technology can be used to treat prostate
patients in a targeted manner with minimal side effects. The first results
are to be delivered to the FDA after 15 and after 30 treated patients in
order to provide an early first indication of the study objective, while
patient treatments continue.
In the current company announcement, the summer of 2022 was confirmed as
the expected approval date. This confirms our previous assumption (see
Comment of 18.10.2021), according to which we expected commercialisation to
start in the second half of 2022. A rapid start of commercial treatments is
possible primarily because the treatment centres and personnel required for
commercialisation are already in place for the conduct of the pivotal
trial. Accordingly, there is no need to build up the infrastructure.
However, it is likely that further centres will be added to the current
MagForce treatment centres in Texas, Washington and Florida as early as the
2022 financial year, thus enabling broader regional coverage.
Our assumptions for glioblastoma treatment in Europe have also been
confirmed with the publication of the half-year report and the cooperation
now in place in Spain. We expect that the current portfolio of four
NanoActivator devices, in addition to Spain, will be expanded in Italy,
Austria and Germany, so that eight treatment centres will be in operation
in 2022. In addition, reimbursement will remain a focus. In Spain, for
example, an Investigator-Initiated Trial (IIT) is to be carried out at the
Carlos Haya Malaga University Hospital, on the basis of which reimbursement
is to take place. The treatments in Poland are also to form the basis for
reimbursement within the framework of an IIT.
With the expansion of the treatment offer, a noticeable increase in
commercial treatments is to be achieved in Europe. Parallel to this, with
the expected approval in the USA, commercialisation activities for prostate
treatment are also to begin from 2022. While the current financial year
2021 should still be characterised by low sales revenues, the company
should achieve a visible jump in sales from the coming financial year 2022.
As early as the coming 2022 financial year, MagForce AG should be in a
position to break even for the first time and at all earnings levels. As we
consequently maintain our previous revenue and earnings estimates
unchanged, we confirm our previous price target of EUR 11.00 per share. We
continue to assign a BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23079.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 15/11/2021 (08:30 am)
Date (Time) first distribution: 15/11/2021 (10:00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: CENIT AG: BUY
Original-Research: CENIT AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu CENIT AG
Unternehmen: CENIT AG
ISIN: DE0005407100
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 18.80 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2022
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
9M 2021: Constant revenue development, noticeable improvement in earnings;
forecasts and target price confirmed; rating: BUY
From the perspective of the first nine months of 2021, CENIT AG achieved an
overall constant sales development with a slight decline in sales of -0.4%.
After the first quarter was still strongly affected by the pandemic
containment measures (Q1 2021: -7.7%), a clear catch-up trend became
apparent in the second quarter (Q2 2021: +6.3%). In the third quarter (Q3
2021: +0.8%), the development of turnover remained constant compared to the
same period of the previous year.
Separated according to the individual revenue groups, it is evident that
only the somewhat higher-margin revenues from proprietary software
increased by +2.8%. In contrast, sales of third-party software remained at
the previous year's level (+0.4%) and consulting sales were, as expected,
still below the previous year's level (-2.7%). The consulting business was
affected by project postponements and budget cuts, particularly in the
context of the closure measures and thus at the beginning of the business
year. However, there is a tendency to catch up here, because in each of the
last two quarters an increase in consulting revenues of just over 10% was
achieved.
Against the background of the constant sales development, the noticeable
EBIT jump to EUR 2.44 million (previous year: EUR 1.67 million) should be
emphasised. In addition to the increase in software sales, CENIT AG
benefited in particular from a significant increase in their particularly
high-margin licence sales. Non-recurring sales of software licences
increased by 34.4% to EUR 12.53 million (previous year: EUR 9.33 million),
whereas SaaS sales decreased by 3.7% to EUR 68.35 million (previous year:
EUR 70.95 million). According to CENIT's management, the strong increase in
licence sales is on the one hand due to catch-up effects and on the other
hand, an expression of the customers' overall increased willingness to
invest.
The positive cash flow development should also be emphasised after nine
months of 2021. The operating cash flow of EUR 8.38 million (previous year:
EUR 12.32 million) was again significantly above EBIT. Even adjusted for
the decline in working capital, CENIT AG would have reported an operating
cash flow of EUR 4.75 million (previous year: EUR 6.28 million).
With the publication of the nine-month figures, the company has confirmed
the forecast for the current 2021 financial year. Revenues of EUR 152.00
million and an EBIT of EUR 4.90 million are still expected. This means that
in the fourth quarter, which is traditionally strong during the year,
revenues of around EUR 42.8 million and an EBIT of around EUR 2.5 million
should be generated. The last time such figures were achieved in a fourth
quarter was before the start of the corona pandemic.
In discussions with the CENIT management we got the impression that the
guidance confirmed by the company is a realistic assumption. This is
especially true since there are basically positive signals from customers.
Even against the background of the current delivery difficulties, a
positive demand trend can be observed both from the automotive sector and
from the mechanical engineering industry. Airbus, one of CENIT's most
important customers, is also giving a positive outlook in view of
increasing air travel and the weakness of its competitor Boeing.
Furthermore, a total of 600 deliveries are expected by the end of 2021.
Finally, the recovery trend that has begun should also continue in the
consulting segment. In both Q2 and Q3 2021, consultancy revenues increased
by slightly more than 10.0% as a result of the normalisation of the order
situation. This should also continue in the fourth quarter of 2021.
In view of the overall promising signals, we are maintaining our previous
revenue and earnings forecasts (see research study dated 06.08.2021).
Although our revenue and earnings forecast for the current financial year
is slightly above the company's guidance, we are still confident that it is
well within reach. Due to the expected noticeably higher sales revenues in
the coming business years, CENIT AG should successively improve its
profitability. An increasing share of proprietary software sales should be
an important factor in this.
As we also leave the DCF valuation model unchanged, we confirm our price
target of EUR 18.80 and continue to assign a BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23066.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 11/11/2021 (9:25 am)
Date (Time) first distribution: 11/11/2021 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: SYZYGY AG: BUY
Original-Research: SYZYGY AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu SYZYGY AG
Unternehmen: SYZYGY AG
ISIN: DE0005104806
Anlass der Studie: Research Note
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 10.20 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2022
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker; Marcel Goldmann
9 months 2021: Turnaround successful; revenue and earnings development 'in
line'; forecasts, estimates and target price confirmed
Based on the first nine months of 2021, Syzygy AG's sales revenues of EUR
44.66 million (previous year: EUR 40.69 million) were 9.8 % above the
previous year's level and thus in line with our expectations. Although the
gap in turnover caused by the Corona pandemic in the previous business year
could not yet be completely closed, a new nine-month record was achieved at
the EBIT level. In the previous business years, only the German companies
had made a positive contribution to the result. After completion of the
restructuring measures and the associated implementation of cost savings at
the foreign companies, a positive contribution to earnings was also
generated here for the first time in two years.
The fact that a new record was achieved with a Group EBIT of EUR 4.62
million (previous year: EUR 2.61 million) is also due to the cost savings
implemented in the context of the Corona pandemic. As a result, sales and
marketing costs as well as administrative costs, for example, are
significantly below the pre-Corona level. Although it can be assumed that
marketing costs will rise again in the future, Syzygy AG has a sustainably
leaner cost structure overall.
Syzygy's management has confirmed its guidance with the publication of the
nine-month report. The outlook remains unchanged for sales growth of around
10.0% and an EBIT margin of around 10.0%. Both geographic segments are
expected to contribute equally to this. In view of the figures achieved in
the first nine months of 2021, namely revenue growth of 9.8 % and an EBIT
margin of 10.3 %, the company guidance is a very realistic scenario.
The foreign companies are likely to show higher growth dynamics, also on a
full-year basis. In the last research study, we had already anticipated
that the growth momentum of sales generated abroad would flatten out
somewhat after an unusually strong performance in the first two quarters.
This has occurred as expected, but we continue to assume that the budget
increases from existing customers as well as the new customers acquired
provide a good basis for a sustainable increase in turnover.
Parallel to this, the more stable business in Germany should benefit from
an expansion of the business with existing clients as well as from the new
clients already acquired. Worth mentioning here is the expansion of the
mandate with Mazda Motors Germany, for which Syzygy is developing and
implementing the communication strategy. New clients such as the Erwin
Hymer Group, the Frankfurt Book Fair and Miles & More support the
assumption of expected sales growth. For Miles & More, Syzygy AG is
responsible for digital brand management, the further development of the
Miles & More platform and shop management. In addition, the company is
likely to benefit from the increasing digitisation needs of clients in the
area of business consultancy. With the combination of consulting and
technical implementation expertise, the company should be able to win new
customers in this area as well.
Based on the reported revenue and earnings development as well as the
confirmed corporate guidance, we also confirm our previous forecasts. For
2021, we continue to expect revenue growth of 10.0% and an EBIT margin of
10.3%. These are exactly the values that were already achieved after nine
months. For the coming financial years, we assume that the growth dynamic
will remain unchanged and, conservatively, we initially expect only slight
improvements in the EBIT margin. We have made slight forecast adjustments
at the level of the after-tax result. For 2021, we now assume a tax rate of
25.0% (previously: 28.3%), after no deferred taxes were recognised for the
foreign companies in 2020. For 2022 and 2023, however, we increase this to
30.0% (previously: 28.3%).
The changes in the tax rate and thus the slight change in the after-tax
forecasts have only a minor impact on the DCF model. Therefore, we confirm
our price target of EUR 10.20 and, at a current price of EUR 6.12, continue
to assign a BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23053.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) completion german version: 05.11.21 (1:54 pm)
Date (time) first transmission german version: 08.11.21 (9:30 am)
Date (time) completion english version: 09.11.21 (10:29 pm)
Date (time) first transmission english version: 09.11.21 (12:00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Bitcoin Group SE: BUY
Original-Research: Bitcoin Group SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Bitcoin Group SE
Unternehmen: Bitcoin Group SE
ISIN: DE000A1TNV91
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Initial Coverage)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 120.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2022
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Felix Haugg
Highly profitable trading platform for cryptocurrency exceeds 1 million
customers and continues to grow. The business model is relatively
independent of the crypto price.
Bitcoin Group SE, as the holding company, primarily operates the crypto
trading site bitcoin.de. The trading platform is highly profitable and is
experiencing dynamic growth. Furthermore, according to management, the
company holds crypto stocks of EUR 234 million as of 24.10.2021, which
corresponds to net crypto stocks of EUR 172.93 million according to our
approximation. With a market cap of EUR 250,00 million and enterprise value
of EUR 49.80 million (market cap less crypto and cash holdings), we
currently view the company as highly undervalued. In our opinion, the
extensive net cash could also lead to a share buyback program.
Significant revenue and earnings growth were recorded in the past financial
year 2020. This was due to the significant increase in trading volumes on
the bitcoin.de trading platform and the steadily rising number of
registered users. The resulting commissions also led to a significant
increase in the company's own cryptocurrency holdings. The highly favorable
development continued in the first half of 2021.
The increase in sales in the 2020 financial year by 138.7% to EUR 15.03
million (PY: EUR 6.30 million) can be explained on the one hand by the
relatively low base of the previous year and, on the other hand, by the
high trading volume in 2020. The strong interest in cryptocurrencies has
continued in 2021 and sales increased by 184.2% to EUR 17.70 million (PY:
EUR 6.23 million) as of 30.06.2021.
Due to the high scalability of the business model, EBITDA increased to EUR
10.55 million (previous year: EUR 2.59 million), which corresponds to an
improvement in the margin from 41.2% to 70.1%. Operating costs rose by
24.0% to EUR 4.70 million (previous year: EUR 3.79 million), with a large
part of the increase being due to the full consolidation of futurum bank
AG, which has higher personnel expenses. Overall, net income for the year
thus increased to EUR 9.52 million (previous year: EUR 2.15 million). On
the earnings side, the company improved even more in the first half of
2021, with EBITDA rising by 245.8% to EUR 14.44 million (PY: EUR 4.18
million). The net result for the first half of 2021 also increased
disproportionately by 190.0% to EUR 10.17 million (previous year: EUR 3.51
million). This means that the full-year result for 2020 was already
exceeded in the first half of 2021.
In balance sheet terms, the company is in a very good position, with equity
as of 31.12.2020 of EUR 80.15 million (31.12.2019: EUR 30.42 million) and
an equity ratio of 73.7% (PY: 77.0%). The increase in equity is due on the
one hand to the net profit for the year and on the other hand to the
strongly positive development of the cryptocurrencies held in the amount of
EUR 90.31 million less the potentially incurred taxes in the amount of EUR
23.66 million. As of 30.06.2021, equity improved again to EUR 115.25
million due to the high net result, which corresponds to a high equity
ratio of 73.7%.
The guidance was confirmed for the first half of 2021. The company expects
moderate to strong revenue growth and EBITDA in the low to mid double-digit
million range. Our current forecast is based, among other things, on the
stock-to-flow model, which currently has the most accurate bitcoin price
predictions. We believe revenues should increase 59.6% to EUR 24,00 million
in the current fiscal year, followed by EUR 25.92 million in fiscal 2022.
Due to the high scalability of the business model, we also expect margins
to improve as revenues increase and anticipate EBITDA of EUR 18.31 million
in 2021 and EUR 20.05 million in 2022. Net income should grow accordingly
to EUR12.40 million in 2021 and EUR 13.63 million in 2022.
The company is highly profitable and comparatively independent of the
cryptocurrency price trend. Nevertheless, the share price is still strongly
oriented towards the bitcoin price. Based on our DCF model, we have
determined a fair value of EUR 120.00 per share and assign a BUY rating due
to the very high upside potential.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23029.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
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Date and time of completion of the study: 02.11.2021 (09:00) – German version: 28.10.2021 (09:00)
Date and time of the first disclosure of the study: 09.11.2021 (10:00) – German version: 02.11.2021 (10:00)
Validity of the target price: until max. 31.12.2022
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: The NAGA Group AG: BUY
Original-Research: The NAGA Group AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu The NAGA Group AG
Unternehmen: The NAGA Group AG
ISIN: DE000A161NR7
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 11.70 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2022
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker
Stronger focus on customer growth, financial flexibility through capital
increase, forecasts raised, target price: EUR11.70
As expected, The NAGA Group AG (NAGA for short) has been able to continue
its impressive growth course in 2021. This is evident from both the
published half-year report 2021 and the preliminary figures for the third
quarter 2021 published at the same time. After nine months of 2021, the
company reports a doubling of sales revenues to around EUR 40.5 million (9M
2020: EUR 20.0 million). On the one hand, NA-GA is benefiting from a market
environment characterised by high volatility. In addition, NAGA's
management has made significant investments to increase brand and product
awareness, which is reflected in continued customer growth. In the first
three quarters, 218,000 new users were added, surpassing the 1.0 million
registered account mark. In the first six months, marketing expenses
climbed significantly to EUR 10.75 million (H1 2020: EUR 2.88 million).
Despite visibly expanded marketing activities, EBITDA improved to around
EUR 8.6 million in the first nine months (9M 2020: EUR 5.8 million) and is
thus even significantly above the EBITDA generated in the full year 2020
(2020: EUR 6.57 million). Accordingly, NAGA's management continues to
expect an increase in revenues to up to EUR52 million (achievement level
after nine months: 77.9%) and EBITDA to up to EUR15 million (achievement
level after nine months: 57.3%) in 2021.
First and foremost, NAGA will continue to keep marketing activities high in
order to accelerate the growth rate of new customers. For the full year,
marketing expenses (including main sponsorship of Sevilla FC) are expected
to amount to approximately EUR 22.0 million (2020: EUR 6.6 million).
Following the largest capital increase in the company's history, the
growth-oriented corporate strategy has a substantial financial cushion in
this respect. In September 2021, growth capital of EUR 22.7 million was
raised in a capital increase.
Further growth drivers are likely to be the product launches that have
already taken place and others that are in the pipeline. With NAGA Pay, for
example, a new payment platform has been introduced to the market. NAGA Pay
combines an IBAN account, a Visa debit card, a share deposit account and
physical crypto-wallets (licensing for crypto-wallets is still pending).
With this app, customers should be more integrated into the NAGA product
world. In addition, NAGA customers have been able to trade physical shares
at a very competitive price of EUR 0.99 per trade since October 2021.
Finally, an expansion of the business base is also to take place through
geographical expansion. The focus is on Australia, South Africa and the
United Arab Emirates.
In our view, once the product range is largely developed, NAGA will focus
even more on customer growth and thus expand its marketing activities even
more than we expect. While we are only making a small forecast adjustment
for the current 2020 financial year with estimated sales of EUR 54.06
million (previous estimate: EUR 51.00 million), we expect significantly
higher growth rates for the coming financial years. For 2022, we expect
revenues of EUR 81.10 million (previously: EUR 66.30 million) and for 2023
of EUR 113.53 million (previously: EUR 66.30 million). In view of higher
marketing expenses, the EBITDA margin should be below our previous
estimates. In absolute terms, however, EBITDA should increase significantly
from 2023 onwards.
The significant adjustment of our revenue estimates and, from 2023, the
higher EBITDA estimate, which at the same time forms the basis for the
continuity phase of our DCF valuation model, have led to an overall
increase in the fair value of the company. Even taking into account the
extensive capital increase, we are raising our price target to EUR11.70
(previously: EUR 9.10). We thus continue to give the rating BUY.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23047.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
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Date (time) Completion: 08/11/21 (08:28 am)
Date (time) first transmission: 08/11/21 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
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