Activity Stream
Sphene Capital GmbH: Ikonisys SA: Buy
Original-Research: Ikonisys SA - von Sphene Capital GmbH
Einstufung von Sphene Capital GmbH zu Ikonisys SA
Unternehmen: Ikonisys SA
ISIN: FR00140048X2
Anlass der Studie: Update Report
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 06.02.2024
Kursziel: EUR 6,30 (bisher: EUR 4,50)
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 36 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Peter Thilo Hasler, CEFA
Creating a leading player in cancer diagnostics
Only weeks after Ikonisys entered a strategic partnership with Biocare
Medical, the company made the next strategic step in business development
by announcing the takeover of Hospitex, an Italian-based cytology company
specialising in oncological diagnostics. According to the company, Hospitex
has developed a unique ecosystem around a technology called Nephelometric
Smart Technology (NST). Central to the ecosystem is CYTOfast Plus, which is
claimed to be the most advanced processing solution to produce filter-less,
standardized, single-layer liquid based cytology (LBC) diagnostic slides.
While competitor technologies were originally designed only for the
so-called Pap test, a screening test for cervical cancer, the patent
protected NST is the only certified technology for the entire cytology
universe and for all target organs, according to the company. We believe
that Hospitex could prove a perfect fit to extend Ikonisys’ value chain and
should significantly support the company's growth and profitability in the
years ahead. After adjusting our financial model to the acquisition and the
new number of shares, the intrinsic value derived from our three-stage DCF
entity model increases to EUR 6.30 from EUR 4.50 per share (base case
scenario). We reiterate our Buy rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28825.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Peter Thilo Hasler, CEFA
+49 (89) 74443558/ +49 (152) 31764553
peter-thilo.hasler@sphene-capital.de
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NuWays AG: Rubean AG: BUY
Original-Research: Rubean AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Rubean AG
Unternehmen: Rubean AG
ISIN: DE0005120802
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 06.02.2024
Kursziel: 8.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
Promising start into 2024
Topic: Yesterday, Rubean announced to have reached more than € 340k of
sales only in January. This represents the highest monthly turnover in the
company´s history.
Rubean has realized more than one-third of previous year´s sales in only
one month. According to management, the sales-jump is the result of the
sharp increase in user numbers as well as one-offs from contract work that
should potentially further expand the capabilities of Rubean´s payment
platform. Indeed, no. of user quadrupled to c. 25k in FY23 from 6k in FY22
(eNuW). We hence expect that roughly one-third of January revenues are
stemming from recurring license fees, while two-third of the revenues are
coming from contract works and have a one-off character. As a result, we
anticipate Q1 sales to come in at € 0.5-0.6m (eNuW).
Positively, contract works often are initially necessary in order to
onboard new customers and hence a precondition for future recurring license
fees. This, paired with the recently announced new partnerships with i.e.
Correos in Spain and emerchantpay as well as the quadrupling of app users
should bode well for Rubean and is seen to become visible in a strongly
growing topline. Importantly, with Correos, Rubean is not only earning a
monthly license fee per user, but is also participating in every
transaction, executed via the software. Note, we consider this highly
profitable revenue sharing scheme as blueprint for future partnerships
(eNuW).
As Rubean´s leading softPOS product is ready for roll-out, further customer
wins and partnerships are clearly in the cards for this year, further
driving sales growth. Rubean should already be in advanced discussions with
several potential partners. We hence expect positive newsflow from new
partnerships within the next couple of weeks and months.
Rubean runs a scalable Saas business model. With an increasing number of
customers (eNuW: several customer wins to come in the short-term), the
scalable nature of the group’s set-up should increasingly become visible.
While EBIT is still seen to be negative at € -1.6m in FY24e, the operating
breakeven is likely to be reached in FY25e.
BUY with an unchanged PT of € 8.00, based on our DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28819.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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NuWays AG: S Immo AG: BUY
Original-Research: S Immo AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu S Immo AG
Unternehmen: S Immo AG
ISIN: AT0000652250
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 06.02.2024
Kursziel: 18.40
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Delisting indications getting stronger; chg. PT
On Friday, S IMMO announced that the company will part ways with board
member Herwig Teufelsdorfer with immediate effect. At the same time the
supervisory board decided to appoint Tomáš Salajka to the board, who is
also member of the Board of Directors of CPI Property Group (CPI), S IMMOs
majority shareholder. This comes after the company already parted ways with
former board member Holger Schmidtmayr in June. Like Mr Teufelsdorfer, Mr
Schmidtmayer was replaced with a person closely associated with CPI: Radka
Döhring. After Ms Döhring acted as Finance Director at CPI from 2012-2014,
she was announced as member of the board at IMMOFINANZ just two months
after CPI gained voting rights majority at the company.
With this, Radovan Vitek, founder, and majority shareholder (90.3% of
voting rights) of CPI, is seemingly implementing full operating control
over S IMMO and IMMOFINANZ, after acquiring majority stakes (88.4% in SPI &
77% in IIA) in 2022. Mind you, S IMMO also has 4.44% treasury shares. The
cancellation of which would lift CPI above the 90% squeeze-out threshold.
Moreover, S IMMO is currently running the second consecutive quarterly
share buyback (0.25% of targeted 1% bought back in Q4), hence lowering the
number of shares CPI would have to acquire at a higher price in the event
of a squeeze out.
Although a delisting would be sensible at first glance, considering the
current dual listing on the Vienna Stock Exchange (S IMMO & IMMOFINANZ) as
well as facilitation with regards to related-party-transactions, the
following questions arise: When and why not so far? While the question of
when is difficult to answer, one possible answer to the question of why it
has not happened yet is that CPI would have to pay a significant premium to
the current share price given the NTA of € 25.16 as well as the € 19.50 per
share, which IMMOFINANZ paid to acquire a 50% S IMMO stake from CPI in Q4
‘22. Given CPIs high leverage (>50% LTV) as well as the short attack by
hedgefond Muddy Waters it is hence uncertain if the company is currently
willing to pay an additional € 100m (eNuW) for the remaining S IMMO share.
Yet, this brings us to the crucial point: Despite best-in-class metrics,
the incipient recovery of the real estate market and the looming
squeeze-out possibility, shares are trading on an NTA-discount similar to
the peer group (-41% as of yesterday’s close price), which we regard highly
unjustified. The stock hence remains a strong BUY with a new PT of € 18.40
based on NTA and DDM.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28821.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
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NuWays AG: Cantourage Group SE: BUY
Original-Research: Cantourage Group SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Cantourage Group SE
Unternehmen: Cantourage Group SE
ISIN: DE000A3DSV01
Anlass der Studie: Long Note
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 06.02.2024
Kursziel: 11.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Cannabis legalization around the corner
Topic: With the approval of the 'Cannabis Act', which is now expected to
take place at the beginning of April, Germany is seen to take a big leap
forward in regards to legalizing cannabis. This should translate into a
significant tailwind for players such as Cantourage.
As per consistent and reliable German media reports from ZEIT, dpa and
Berliner Morgenpost, the governing coalition of SPD, Greens and FDP has
finalized the specifics for the legalization of cannabis. The legislation
is scheduled to take effect on April 1st.
Once the “Cannabis Act” becomes effective, Germany will not only allow
adults to own 25 grams of cannabis, grow up to three plants and establish
non-profit cannabis clubs but cannabis will also loose its narcotic drug
status. Cantourage should particularly benefit from the latter as it
significantly simplifies the process of getting a prescription for medical
cannabis. In fact, it should get as easy as getting one for ibuprofen 600.
With this, the number of patients should remain on a stellar growth path at
the expense of the black market (~4m cannabis users as of 2021) and in
favour of established players such as Cantourage. In Canada, the number of
medial cannabis patients grew from 24k in 2015 to 330k in 2018, the year of
the full legalization. Thanks to its broad global supplier network with
more than 60 grower partners, its own recently launched telemedicine
platform, telecan°, and a growing distribution network across Europe, we
regard Cantourage as well positioned to benefit from this change. In fact,
the company looks set to grow sales at a 59% CAGR (2022-25e) while at the
same time reaching a high single-digit EBITDA margins thanks to the
resulting operating leverage.
Ending FY23e on a high note. Following 9M results with € 17.2m sales (+85%
yoy) and EBITDA of € -0.4m, the forth quarter looks set to remain on a
strong growth trajectory: sales +54% yoy to € 7.5m and EBITDA of € 0.6m.
Above all, this should be carried by the ongoing ramp-up, i.e. a gradually
increasing number of fully onboarded cultivators having a product deployed
at pharmacies.
We confirm our BUY rating with an unchanged € 11 PT, based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28823.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Montega AG: Havila Kystruten AS: Buy
Original-Research: Havila Kystruten AS - von Montega AG
Einstufung von Montega AG zu Havila Kystruten AS
Unternehmen: Havila Kystruten AS
ISIN: NO0011045429
Anlass der Studie: Initiation of Coverage
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 05.02.2024
Kursziel: 2.80 NOK
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Tim Kruse, CFA
Back on course after the perfect storm
Havila Kystruten AS is a cruise line operator from Norway. Founded in 2017,
it is the only company besides the incumbent Hurtigruten Group AS mandated
by the Norwegian government to serve the 130 year old post ship service
from Bergen to Kirkenes. Next to the port-to-port service for locals, their
four vessels offer all the amenities and activities of a modern cruise ship
tailored for tourists visiting the Norwegian coast.
Shortly after winning the contract and placing a shipbuilding order with
two shipyards in 2019, Havila was hit by the perfect storm with one of the
shipyards going bankrupt,COVID-19, and their Russian fleet financier GTLK
falling under sanctions. This brought the company to the brink of
bankruptcy. Consequently, shareholders have had a rough voyage so far with
depressed sales and earnings development due to substantially delayed
delivery of the ships. Also, the company had to refinance under
unfavourable conditions leading to a massive dilution for shareholders and
high interest rates.
That said, the market for cruises in general, and the Coastal Express in
particular, has seen increasing demand in the past decade, with yearly
passenger numbers rising in the high single digits up until 2019. COVID hit
the industry severely, but cruises have come back strongly, with passenger
numbers set to surpass 2019 levels this year and growth rates expected to
be in the mid to high single digits going forward.
The rising popularity of the coastal route, combined with the government's
support, has enabled the incumbent, Hurtigruten Group AS, to achieve solid
EBITDA margins in excess of 25% for this part of their business. However,
due to Havila's brand-new and identical ships, which enable significantly
leaner operations, as well as a more consistent and tailored customer
experience, we see Havila in an excellent position to outperform its
competitor. Additionally, the much better environmental footprint of its
fleet not only attracts a more eco-friendly and younger target group, but
will also serve as a strong differentiator if emission regulation is
imposed for parts of the route as proposed. Due to the high investment
backlog of Hurtigruten (average fleet age ~ 30years) in combination with
its already crushing leverage (Net debt/EBITDA 9.6), we see Havila well
positioned to not only prolong their current contract ending in 2030 but
also to win additional capacity from their main rival.
2024 will be the first full year with all ships in operation, which will
lead to another jump in revenue of which 50% has already been pre-sold. and
a disproportionate increase in EBITDA due to the strong operating leverage
exhibited by the cruise line industry. Thereafter, rising occupancy levels
from increasing word-of-mouth effects and streamlined operations should
further improve margins. Furthermore, the expected refinancing closer to
industry spreads will be an additional driver for FCF development.
Conclusions: The disadvantageous news flow Havila had to endure so far has
led to a significant mispricing of Havila's shares with a discount of 75%
to our estimate of fair value indicated by all valuation models (DCF
scenarios, peer group, net asset value). However, the ramp-up in operations
will not only lead to a strong uptake in free cashflow, but should also
pave the way for a more favourable refinancing, which should be the main
catalysts for a re-rating. We therefore see current levels as a unique
opportunity to invest in a profitable niche market safeguarded by
monopolistic revenuestreams and initiate with a 'Buy' rating and a price
target of 2.80 NOK per share.
+++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss
bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Bitte lesen Sie unseren RISIKOHINWEIS /
HAFTUNGSAUSSCHLUSS unter http://www.montega.de +++
Über Montega:
Die Montega AG ist eines der führenden bankenunabhängigen Researchhäuser
mit klarem Fokus auf den deutschen Mittelstand. Das Coverage-Universum
umfasst Titel aus dem MDAX, TecDAX, SDAX sowie ausgewählte Nebenwerte und
wird durch erfolgreiches Stock-Picking stetig erweitert. Montega versteht
sich als ausgelagerter Researchanbieter für institutionelle Investoren und
fokussiert sich auf die Erstellung von Research-Publikationen sowie die
Veranstaltung von Roadshows, Fieldtrips und Konferenzen. Zu den Kunden
zählen langfristig orientierte Value-Investoren, Vermögensverwalter und
Family Offices primär aus Deutschland, der Schweiz und Luxemburg. Die
Analysten von Montega zeichnen sich dabei durch exzellente Kontakte zum
Top-Management, profunde Marktkenntnisse und langjährige Erfahrung in der
Analyse von deutschen Small- und MidCap-Unternehmen aus.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28815.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Montega AG - Equity Research
Tel.: +49 (0)40 41111 37-80
Web: www.montega.de
E-Mail: research@montega.de
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/montega-ag
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
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NuWays AG: CLIQ Digital AG: BUY
Original-Research: CLIQ Digital AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu CLIQ Digital AG
Unternehmen: CLIQ Digital AG
ISIN: DE000A35JS40
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 05.02.2024
Kursziel: 75.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marie-Thérèse Grübner
Solid FY prelims & strong cash generation; est. & PT chg.
This week, CLIQ released solid preliminary FY'23 results, marked by a
slightly softer-than-expected top and bottom line, but strong cash
generation:
Sales: FY'23 sales were up 18.2% yoy to € 326.4m (eNuW: € 331m), albeit
below expectations due to a slower-than-expected revenue ramp-up, but solid
overall, considering the rather demanding comps from FY'22, in which sales
had grown 84% yoy to € 276m. Top line development was mainly driven by
online advertising campaigns aimed at increasing the quality of the
membership base. As a result, the company significantly increased the LTV
per customer by 17% yoy to € 85, likely due to a heightened focus on
bundled content.
EBITDA: FY'23 EBITDA came in slightly lower than expected at € 50.3m (eNuW:
€ 53m) with the margin contracting by c. 40bps yoy to 15.4% (eNuW: 15.9%),
largely driven by higher customer acquisition and marketing costs (higher
ad prices) amounting to € 135m (+21% yoy) as well as one-off other
operating expenses in Q4'23.
Free cash flow: Operating free cash flow amounted to € 18.6m, up 21% yoy,
building up the already formidable net cash position by 60% yoy to c. € 16m
(eNuW: € 17m), roughly in line with our expectations. CLIQ’s debtfree
balance sheet and strong FCF generation should support its 40% payout ratio
and ~10% dividend yield.
Growth drivers and 2024e outlook. Although sales are likely to be affected
by a continued muted consumer sentiment, leading us to slightly adjust our
FY24e sales estimates to c. € 401.5m (eNuW old: € 407.5m), EBITDA is still
seen to come in at c. € 63m (eNuW old: € 63.4m) for the full year. Three
drivers should contribute to this development: (1) The quality of the
membership base is continuously improving with an LTV at € ~90 due to
selling bundled content as opposed to single content, (2) further
geographic expansion (e.g. Latin America and Asia), and (3) exploring B2B
partnerships and intensifying affiliate marketing with trusted partners to
position CLIQ as a unique D2C brand.
CLIQ remains a BUY with a changed PT of € 75.00 based on FCFY 24e.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28807.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Rosenbauer International AG: BUY
Original-Research: Rosenbauer International AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Rosenbauer International AG
Unternehmen: Rosenbauer International AG
ISIN: AT0000922554
Anlass der Studie:
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 01.02.2024
Kursziel: 54.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Topic: Oshkosh, Rosenbauer’s largest competitor in North America, published
its FY23 numbers on
Tuesday, providing a positive cross read. Here are the key takeaways:
The conglomerate Oshkosh Corporation is the dominant player for
firefighting trucks in North America,
followed by REV Group and Rosenbauer. Oshkosh reported strong FY23 revenues
for its firefighting segment
coupled with a significant margin increase. Revenues rose 9.3% yoy to $
1.2bn, while order intake
grew to $ 4.6bn, indicating a continued strong demand in the firefighting
business. The operating margin
improved due to an enhanced supply chain and substantial price increases.
Rosenbauer’s competitors were in a similarly difficult situation during
FY22 and the first quarter of FY23,
struggling with substantially longer chassis lead times and raw material
cost inflation. However, as other
firetruck manufacturers start to get back to a more normal environment, it
gives us confidence for the
upcoming Q4 numbers. Rosenbauer already showed a successive improvement in
its profitability during
FY23. The EBIT margin in Q1 came in at -2.6% and climbed to 2.1% in Q2 and
4.4% in Q3. With Q4
being usually the strongest quarter, responsible for c. one third of total
sales and the restructuring program
kicking in, we expect the operating margin further to improve in Q4 FY23e
(eNuW: 6.8%).
In August 2022, Rosenbauer launched its new efficiency program “Refocus,
Restart”, which is based on
four different pillars and is increasingly bearing fruit. The first pillar
is price negotiations with customers
on existing frame orders and is responsible for c. € 4-5m out of the € 31m
savings target. Furthermore,
Rosenbauer is simplifying its products without sacrificing the quality with
the purpose of reducing
production costs. This pillar takes the longest time to materialize and
should show its full effect in
FY24. The third important lever is to increase production efficiency, which
is clearly possible due to
the improved supply chains since last year. The last endeavor is the price
negotiation with suppliers.
Compared to FY22, raw material prices came down substantially, for example
Rosenbauer experienced
a price reduction of c. 27% for aluminum sheets within FY23.
We expect Rosenbauer to continue its turnaround in FY24e with a 4.9%
increase in sales and EBIT margins
of 4.5% (+1.0 pp). As the supply chain situation further improves and with
a record high in order
backlog, shares look poised for a re-rating. Reiterate BUY with an
unchanged € 54.00 PT based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28791.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Marley Spoon Group SE: BUY
Original-Research: Marley Spoon Group SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Marley Spoon Group SE
Unternehmen: Marley Spoon Group SE
ISIN: LU2380748603
Anlass der Studie:
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 01.02.2024
Kursziel: 8.60
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Mark-Hendrik Schüssler
Yesterday, Marley Spoon Group ('MSG') released Q4 and preliminary FY'23
results that were in line with
our expectations. Q4 sales came in at € 73.5m (-18% yoy; eNuW: € 73.1m),
implying revenues of €
328.5m for the full year (-18% yoy; eNuW: € 328.1m), which was mainly
driven by a smaller active subscriber
base of c. 193k (-22% yoy; eNuW: 189k) and lower order frequency per
subscriber on account of
a very challenging macroeconomic environment and pronounced consumer budget
concerns throughout
2023. While macroeconomic uncertainties persist, MSG has made operational
and non-operational
progress on several fronts and thus looks set to disproportionately benefit
from an eventual return of
consumer confidence and a less hawkish monetary policy:
Removing operational roadblocks. Operationally, MSG continued to expand its
industry-leading contribution
margins for Q4 and the full year to 32.6% and 31.7% (+290bps yoy, eNuW:
31.5%),
respectively, through operational efficiencies in fulfilment (180bps
yoy fulfilment costs) and marginbased
menu planning (+120bps in gross margin). Notably, MSG was able to translate
a higher contribution
margin into a strong operating EBITDA margin of 4% for Q4 (eNuW: 3.4%) and
0.8%
for the full
year (+140bps yoy, eNuW: -1%). This healthy margin development was aided by
(1) rectifying a previously
changed voucher strategy, allowing the company to increase marketing
efficiency and early cohort
retention rates in H2'23 and into Q1'24 as well as a more stabilized order
frequency and enhanced subscriber
quality; and (2) a more streamlined G&A setup (-11% yoy to c. € 69m,
excluding one-off costs) as
cost-reduction measures from automation, business service centralization,
the closure of underutilized
operations, and cost synergies from its Chefgood integration began to kick
in.
Progress in ending dual-listed status. In Q4’23, the Group closed its
tender offer to the remaining
shareholders of Marley Spoon SE (listed on the ASX). The results indicated
that it successfully acquired
10.4% of the total issued capital of Marley Spoon SE, increasing the stake
to 95% (see illustration on
page 2) and further paving the way to delist Marley Spoon SE from the ASX
in H1 2024e (eNuW). In our
view, this should benefit liquidity for MSG shares and help reduce
investment complexity stemming from
its current dual-listed status. Additionally, each share of MSG now owns
10ppts. more of Marley Spoon
SE, which is reflected in our raised PT.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28789.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
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NuWays AG: elumeo SE: BUY
Original-Research: elumeo SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu elumeo SE
Unternehmen: elumeo SE
ISIN: DE000A11Q059
Anlass der Studie:
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 02.02.2024
Kursziel: 5.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Mark-Hendrik Schüssler
Progress & outlook on jooli. Launched in the Indian market to capitalize on
both lower customer acquisition
costs and and a trove of data needed to enhance the app's algorithm, jooli
has already witnessed a
considerable boost in order volume (+560% in December vs. the previous
month), aided by
jooliPay. While first KPIs are promising, they are not yet meaningful, and
hence we do not expect material
top or bottom line contributions from jooli before 2026e, leading us to
adjust our estimates accordingly.
FY'23e preview & long-term growth. As we expect Q4 sales to be burdened by
the muted consumer
sentiment witnessed over the last quarters, and hence softer-than-expected
revenues from the holiday
season, we trimmed our estimates: Q4 sales are now seen to come in at c. €
11.3m (flat yoy), implying
sales of € 44.7m for the full year (-3% yoy; eNuW old: € 45.3m), largely
driven by a lower average sales
price of € 67 (-7% yoy) as customers postpone big ticket items sales, and
only partial recovery of items
sold to 168k (+7% yoy). While the weaker-than-expected top line will likely
be affected by a weaker-thanexpected top line, the company's cost cutting
program should continue to bear fruit and thus partially
offset a lacking fixed cost coverage. EBIT should hence run to c. € -0.13m
for Q4'23
(+89% yoy) and c. € -1.2m for the full year (+17% yoy; eNuW old: € -0.8m).
Convertible bond financing. In Q4'23, elumeo was able to secure a favorable
5-year convertible debt
financing of c. € 1.2m at a 3.8% interest rate from selected suppliers of
the company. The out-of-themoney
strike price (€ 4.50) along with the belowthe-market interest rate provide
elumeo with a cash infusion
that should give elumeo room to maneuver and to focus on its long-term
growth initiative #juwelo100.
The outlook for the long term remains bright. As the company prepares jooli
for a successful roll-out
in its European markets, elumeo's core business is well-positioned to
capitalize on an eventual recovery
of the jewelry and overall e-commerce market, with sales prices and items
sold likely to recover to their
historical means. Overall, elumeo looks set to grow sales by 7% CAGR to c.
€ 55m by FY'26e along with
reaching a healthy EBIT margin of c. 3% in FY'26e (eNuW), supported by
scale efficiencies. Mind you,
that positive effects stemming from the jooli roll-out are not reflected in
our estimates.
BUY with a changed PT of € 5.00 based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28785.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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NuWays AG: 123fahrschule SE: BUY
Original-Research: 123fahrschule SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu 123fahrschule SE
Unternehmen: 123fahrschule SE
ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9
Anlass der Studie:
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 02.02.2024
Kursziel: 8.70
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Topic: 123fahrschule looks set to report a decent set of FY ’23 figures in
Q1. Here is what investors can
expect from the release:
After a strong first nine months, we expect the company to keep up the
momentum and report an increase
in total sales by 21% yoy to € 20.2m (eNuW; eCons: € 20.9m), driven by
strong growth of the
Private Customer segment to € 15.9m (+18% yoy) as well as the Professional
Drivers Education segment,
which is seen to more than double yoy to € 2.2m. The Education segment
however is seen to provide
a muted development and come in at € 2.2m (+1% yoy), although we expect a
sequential improvement
in Q4 (flat yoy vs -14% in Q3). Despite a neutral EBITDA at 9M ‘23, the
company is seen to report a
FY EBITDA of € -0.7m as profitability is seasonally weak in Q4 due to (1)
students' general reluctance to
take driving lessons during Christmas and (2) higher other OpEx based on
the built up of provisions, especially
vacation accruals, which happens almost entirely at YE. Still, this will be
a significant improvement
compared to a negative € 2.7m EBITDA in FY ’22, thanks to the successful
implementation of
cost-cutting measures leading to efficiency gains.
What to expect for FY '24e: 123fahrschule looks set to remain on its growth
path, as sales is seen to
increase by 13% to € 22.9m (eNuW; eCons: € 24.7m), which should be largely
driven by the Private
Customer segment (+12% yoy to € 17.8m) based on increased capacity of
driving instructor FTEs (+22%
yoy at YE ‘24e). Mind you, 123fahrschule is seen to cope well with the
general shortage of driving instructors
thanks to its own driving instructor training centers. Moreover, we expect
another strong
growth contribution from the Professional Driver Education segment (+20%
yoy to € 2.6m), as an
increased focus on corporate clients (i.e. logistics, retail, agriculture)
is seen to offset a possible negative
effect of the current government budget crisis on the awarding of education
vouchers.
Against this backdrop, EBITDA is seen to further improve to a neutral level
(eNuW; eCons: € 2.1m)
before turning positive in FY ‘25e (eNuW: € 2.2m; eCons: € 3.5m). Keep in
mind, that the likely return of
online theory in 2025 is seen to allow for higher capacities and improved
constructor utilization, thus
supporting growth and profitability at 123fahrschule.
Valuation looks undemanding at 0.6 EV/Sales ‘23e. Reiterate BUY, € 8.70 PT
based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28783.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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NuWays AG: Westwing Group AG: BUY
Original-Research: Westwing Group AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Westwing Group AG
Unternehmen: Westwing Group AG
ISIN: DE000A2N4H07
Anlass der Studie: Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 31.01.2024
Kursziel: € 19,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Mark-Hendrik Schüssler
Q4 prelims: Upper end of FY guidance reached; est. chg.
Westwing released solid preliminary Q4’23 results, indicating that Q4 GMV
was up 4% yoy to € 147m (+37.4% qoq), implying a robust FY’23 GMV of € 481m
(flat yoy). As in the past, revenue development will be slightly below GMV
development and should increase by 0.4% yoy to € 129m for Q4’23 and
slightly decrease (-1% yoy) to € 427m for FY’23 (eNuW: € 438m, eCons: €
433m). Importantly, for the second consecutive quarter, the number of
active customers has grown: +1% qoq to 1.28m with a healthy average GMV per
customer of € 377 (+4% yoy) for the full year.
The company is on track to deliver its fifth profitable quarter in a row as
management expects to have reached the upper end of the already raised adj.
EBITDA guidance of € 13m to € 19m (eNuW: € 20m, eCons: € 14.2m. Above all,
this should have been carried by the continued strong expansion
of its private label share: +6pps yoy to 47% of GMV The adjusted EBITDA
margin is seen to have risen by 4-5.5pps to 3-4.5%, respectively (eNuW:
4.7%,
eCons: 3.3%). Aided by a strong adj. EBITDA development as well as lower
inventory levels, Westwing is on track to generate positive free cash flow
in both Q4’23 and FY’23, further increasing its considerable net cash
position to € ~75m (eNuW), which should protect the stock’s downside.
Importantly, this preliminary release underpins that the company has been
able to return to sustainable top and bottom line growth in H2‘23 despite a
very challenging macroeconomic environment for the Home & Living market.
Moreover, the continued growth in the number of active customers and a
healthy basket size development indicate that a positive inflection point
has been reached. Given that efficiency measures have been successfully
implemented along with a rising private label share, the company is not
only seen to deliver its full year 2023 guidance, but also offers a
compelling mix of growth and value as we head into 2024, in our view.
Trading at only ~0.2x EV/Sales FY23e (~60% discount to e-commerce peers),
we reiterate our BUY rating
with an unchanged PT € 19.00, based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28769.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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GBC AG: Avemio AG: BUY
Original-Research: Avemio AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Avemio AG
Unternehmen: Avemio AG
ISIN: DE000A2LQ1P6
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 32.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker; Niklas Ripplinger
Sales and earnings for 2023 below expectations, forecasts and price target
reduced, BUY rating confirmed
According to preliminary figures for the past financial year, Avemio AG
suffered a decline in sales to around € 103 million (previous year: € 108.7
million), contrary to previously communicated expectations. The company had
previously expected sales of € 120 million. The expected recovery in demand
in the second half of the year failed to materialise, primarily due to the
persistently weak economy. The trading companies VDH Video Data Handels
GmbH and BPM Broadcast & Professional Media GmbH were particularly affected
by this, while the trading company Teltec AG recorded a robust sales trend.
In addition to lower demand from consumers (VDH) and for high-priced
equipment (BPM), the decline in sales was also due to a lack of innovation
in the area of professional film and television technology. In addition,
many customers had made investments during the coronavirus pandemic, which
led to certain pull-forward effects for previous years. Despite these
difficulties, sales exceeded the € 100 million mark for the third time in a
row, although sales were significantly below our previous expectations (old
GBC forecast: € 127.50 million).
According to the company, the decline in sales was compounded by pressure
on margins due to market prices, which led to a fall in the gross margin.
The preliminary EBITDA of around € 0.8 million (previous year: € 4.4
million) is therefore significantly below the previous guidance and our
forecasts. The company had previously forecast EBITDA of € 5.0 million, on
the basis of which we had forecast EBITDA of € 5.6 million. EBITDA of € 1.0
million in the first half of the year is therefore offset by negative
EBITDA of € -0.2 million in the second half of the year.
In the corporate news of 22 January 2014, Avemio's management emphasised
the company's continued solid capital base. With equity of € 12.5 million
(30.06.23: € 13.0 million) and an equity ratio of 35% (30.06.23: 37%), the
company has cash and cash equivalents of € 5.8 million. In addition, credit
lines totalling € 2.6 million can be utilised and there is a commitment
from the state of Hesse for mezzanine financing in the amount of € 5
million. This capitalisation is intended to further drive M&A growth as one
of the company's most important strategic pillars. A further company
acquisition could be announced in the first half of 2024.
We are adjusting our original forecast for the past financial year in line
with the preliminary figures. Based on EBITDA of € 0.8 million, we expect
negative earnings after taxes of around € -0.5 million. Due to the lower
starting position, we are also reducing our estimates for the two financial
years 2024 and 2025. Our estimates still do not include organic growth,
which is, however, an important part of the corporate strategy. Based on
the forecast reduction, we have set a new target price of €32.00. We
continue to assign a BUY rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28767.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Disclosure of potential conflicts of interest pursuant to Section 85 WpHG and Art. 20 MAR The company analysed above has the following potential conflict of interest: (5a,11); A catalogue of potential conflicts of interest can be found at
https://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 29/01/24 (9:33 am)
Date (time) first distribution: 29/01/24 (11:00 am)
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First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: PNE AG: Buy
Original-Research: PNE AG - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu PNE AG
Unternehmen: PNE AG
ISIN: DE000A0JBPG2
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 25.01.2024
Kursziel: 22,00 Euro
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung: 02.02.2023: Hochstufung von Hinzufügen auf Kaufen
Analyst: Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu PNE AG (ISIN:
DE000A0JBPG2) veröffentlicht. Analyst Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal bestätigt
seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 22,00.
Zusammenfassung:
PNE hat zum Jahreswechsel zwei deutsche Windparks mit einer Gesamtleistung
von 22 MW in Betrieb genommen. Damit erweitert sich PNEs Portfoliokapazität
auf 370 MW. Weitere elf Windparks mit einer Gesamtleistung von ca. 281 MW
befinden sich im Bau und werden nach Inbetriebnahme ebenfalls in das
Portfolio übernommen. Damit erhöht sich die Portfoliokapazität auf 651 MW.
Dies ist ein wichtiger Schritt in Richtung des von PNE bis 2027
angestrebten Ökostromportfolios von bis zu 1,5 GW/GWp. Im Dezember
verkaufte PNE PV-Projekte in Rumänien und Italien (insgesamt: 176 MWp). Wir
glauben, dass diese Projektverkäufe und die guten Windverhältnisse im
vierten Quartal ausreichen, um die EBITDA-Prognose für 2023 von €30 Mio.
bis €40 Mio. (FBe: €34,8 Mio.) zu erreichen. Im Jahr 2024 wird ein sich
verbessernder deutscher Windmarkt die Wachstumsstrategie von PNE
unterstützen. Mit einer starken Projektpipeline, einem wachsenden
Servicegeschäft und dem weiteren Ausbau des Stromerzeugungsportfolios sehen
wir PNE auf einem guten Weg, sein mittelfristiges Ziel von >€150 Mio.
EBITDA bis 2027 zu erreichen. Wir bestätigen unsere Kauf-Empfehlung und das
Kursziel von €22.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on PNE AG
(ISIN: DE000A0JBPG2). Analyst Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal reiterated his BUY
rating and maintained his EUR 22.00 price target.
PNE commissioned two German wind farms with a total capacity of 22 MW at
the turn of the year. This expands PNE’s portfolio capacity to 370 MW. A
further eleven wind farms with a total output of ca. 281 MW are under
construction and will be transferred to the portfolio after commissioning.
This will increase portfolio capacity to 651 MW and be an important step
towards PNE’s 1.5 GW/GWp green power portfolio target by 2027. In December,
PNE sold PV projects in Romania and Italy (in total: 176 MWp). We believe
that these project sales and strong wind conditions in Q4 will have enabled
PNE to reach 2023 EBITDA guidance of €30m - €40m (FBe: €34.8m). In 2024, an
improving German wind market will support PNE’s growth strategy. With a
strong project pipeline, an increasing service business and the ongoing
expansion of the power generation portfolio, we see PNE on track to reach
its medium-term target of >€150m EBITDA by 2027. We confirm our Buy rating
and €22 price target.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §85 Abs. 1 S. 1 WpHG und des
Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28755.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
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NuWays AG: q.beyond AG: BUY
Original-Research: q.beyond AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu q.beyond AG
Unternehmen: q.beyond AG
ISIN: DE0005137004
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 25.01.2024
Kursziel: 1.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
One q.beyond to drive margins in 2024e
In light of the ongoing restructuring process as well as macro-headwinds,
we observed a rather uninspiring operating performance, especially on the
bottom-line, as of 9M ‘23. Despite that, q.beyond is seen to achieve its FY
’23 guidance: €185-191m sales, € 5-7m EBITDA and > € -4m FCF. While the
lower end of the sales guidance should be reached (eNuW: € 186m) and FCF
generation should even be positive (eNuW: € 1.4m), meeting the EBITDA
outlook (eNuW: € 5.1m) still depends on a decision by the tax authorities
concerning the Plusnet sale in 2019. The group's operating EBITDA looks set
to come in at only € 0.3m (eNuW).
That said, the company is seen to publish preliminary FY figures in early
March, (final: March 30th) as well as an initial FY ’24 guidance. As
management aims to reap the fruits of the imposed efficiency measures in
connection with the 2025 Strategy, investors should expect an outlook,
targeting sales growth in the mid-to-high-single-digit range (eNuW: +7%;
eCons: +5.4%), positive FCF generation (eNuW: € 5.3m; eCons: € 3.7m) as
well as EBITDA of € 6-9m (eNuW: € 6.1m; eCons: € 8.1m).
As a reminder, with the 2025 Strategy, management set itself three
strategic priorities: (1) Ongoing focus on key verticals (retail, logistics
& manufacturing) coupled with an expansion of the consulting and
development business, (2) effective go-to-market with an increased emphasis
on the indirect sales channels (35% of Q3 order intake) as well as (3) the
continuous implementation of One q.beyond, which is the company’s current
efficiency program. Here, the focus is on streamlined processes via the
elimination of duplicate structures, an optimized order-to-cash process and
an increased near-/offshoring share (target: >20% vs c. 10% currently).
While some of those measures, such as the improved receivables management,
already took effect (improved FCF guidance (old: > € 8m), the
implementation of One q.beyond is seen to fully unfold from 2024e onwards,
thus allowing for expanding margins.
We hence turn cautiously optimistic but keep our PT unchanged at € 1.00.
While the stock should have downside protection thanks to the € 37m net
cash position as well as a land plot in Hamburg (€ 17m book value), an
upbeat FY guidance in March as well as a strong start into the year (Q1 to
be released on May 8th) could serve as re-rating catalysts. Remains a BUY.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28751.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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NuWays AG: MLP SE: BUY
Original-Research: MLP SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MLP SE
Unternehmen: MLP SE
ISIN: DE0006569908
Anlass der Studie: 5-Pager
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 25.01.2024
Kursziel: 11.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Low risk, high reward - added to NuWays' Alpha List
At current levels, MLP’s stock offers a strong upside potential while
potential downside risks seem priced in and should not impact bottom line
significantly. Here is our take:
(1) Strong diversification of negatively correlated business segments
protects MLP against changing macroeconomic environments. Currently, the
downturn in real estate and the absence of performance fees due to burdened
capital markets, are overcompensated by a strong banking business.
(2) Solid visibility on profitability: For FY’24e, we expect EBIT to
improve by € 11m to € 90m (+13% yoy), mainly supported by the strong
banking business (55% of EBIT), but also by easing OPEX inflation compared
to FY’23e, all the while top-line growth remains intact (+4% yoy).
(3) Tailwinds from new interest rate era: Due to recent interest rate hikes
as well as a favourable customer deposit mix, MLP can rely on comfortable
interest spreads in its banking business. As significant interest rate cuts
seem unlikely at the moment, we expect this effect to carry on throughout
204 and beyond. This should yield an interest result of € 54m for FY'24e
(eNuW), which has an incremental EBIT margin of close to 100%.
(4) Positive upside potential from highly profitable performance fees
around the corner: FERI’s largest fund “Optoflex” recently exceeded its
threshold to receive highly profitable performance fees. Should capital
markets continue to develop favourably, an additional EBIT contribution of
c. € 10-30m for FY'24e could serve as a cherry on top, as these are not
reflected in our estimates.
(5) Further downside from real estate unlikely: With Germany's RE
transaction market slightly picking up again and no major rate cuts in
sight, a worsening of MLP's real estate business seems unlikely. With only
a 3% sales share, the impact of RE on the group is also limited.
Current valuation is unjustified: Underlying profitability nearly
quadrupled over the last years, but the stock has not performed
accordingly, now trading at historically cheap multiples, a 21% FCFY’24e, a
58% discount to its fair SOTP value and a 5% dividend yield. Given this
superb value for money profile, MLP shares look set for a re-rating. As a
result, we add MLP to our NuWays' Alpha List 2024 and strongly recommend to
BUY with unchanged PT of € 11.00, based on FCFY’24e and SOTP.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28753.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: VOQUZ Labs AG: BUY
Original-Research: VOQUZ Labs AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu VOQUZ Labs AG
Unternehmen: VOQUZ Labs AG
ISIN: DE000A3CSTW4
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 24.01.2024
Kursziel: 20.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Reassuring order intake and strong trading momentum
Yesterday, VOQUZ published reassuring 2023 order intake figures, pointing
towards improved operations in the second half of the year.
Total order intake increased by 11.5% yoy to € 5.5m with recurring orders
accounting for a solid 58% (€ 3.2m). The share of product related sales
slightly declined to 73% (-6.1pp yoy), while the proportion of orders from
SAP license management stood at 85% (-4.3pp yoy) stemming from samQ (eNuW:
75%) and the company´s new product visoryQ (eNuW: 10%).
Overall, this indicates sequential improvements in H2´23 after a rather
lackluster operating performance in H1´23 with only 3% sales growth and
negative EBTIDA (€ -0.5m). In fact, we expect an acceleration in top-line
growth to 6% on a FY basis as well as a containment of the EBTIDA loss to
only € -0.2m. Given the compelling order intake, these estimates could even
serve as conservative in the end. That said, we expect management to put
out preliminary FY23 figures in the course of Q1.
While 2023 has to be seen as a transition year, VOQUZ’ compelling mid-term
prospects remain fully intact: On the one hand, the still lagging SAP
S/4HANA transition - only 1/3 of customer adapted the new ERP software so
far - should provide tailwinds going forward. Mind you, SAP-ERP customers
must switch from ECC to S/4HANA until 2027 when the mainstream maintenance
fades out, which should in turn lead to exponentially increasing adoption
rates in the coming quarters. Even though capacities are not unlimited,
VOQUZ looks set to be one of the main beneficiaries, especially thanks to
its new software visoryQ, which helps clients to set up an efficient ERP
strategy. According to management, the new product is perceived well by the
market, allowing for significant cross-selling with the company's legacy
software samQ, which gets visible in a continuously strong current trading.
Against this backdrop, the company should be well positioned to return to
double-digit top-line growth (eNuW: +14.5% yoy), positive EBITDA (€ 0.6m)
as well as FCF generation (€ 0.5m) in 2024e.
Given the recent weakness as well as the strong underlying mid-term trends
combined with the scalability of the capital-light business model,
valuation continues to look undemanding with shares trading at only 1.3x
EV/Sales ‘23e. We hence reiterate BUY with an unchanged PT of € 20.00 based
on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28731.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: NFON AG: BUY
Original-Research: NFON AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu NFON AG
Unternehmen: NFON AG
ISIN: DE000A0N4N52
Anlass der Studie: 5-Pager
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 24.01.2024
Kursziel: 11.70
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Operational turnaround in full swing – Added to Alpha List; chg.
While the company has not been on the radar of most investors due to rather
underwhelming operating performances in recent years, efficiency measures,
which have been imposed lately as well as the reorganization of the topand
C-level management are starting to bear fruit, thus making NFON a clear
BUY with 92% upside.
Between 2018 and 2022, the German market leader of integrated business
communication was not able to translate its strong technological edge into
a profitable business. While in the first years after the IPO,
profitability was subordinated to market share gains and sales growth (24%
CAGR ’17’ 20), operational inefficiencies paired with supply bottlenecks
(hardware) as well as an inflated cost base on the marketing and personnel
level prevented expanding margins since.
However, not only since the arrival of Patrik Heider as new CEO in May ’23
things have changed and NFON is on track to become profitable on the EBIT
line and deliver positive FCF for the first time in 2024e on a FY basis.
This is mainly due to: (1) A structurally growing and historically
underpenetrated market: NFON finds itself amid a dynamic European market
cloud-PBX, which is set for double-digit growth rates in the mid-term (13%
CAGR ’22‘ 26e). Especially the final fading out of ISDN by telecom carriers
(end of ’22) should be seen as an inflection point as businesses are forced
to switch to VoIP based solutions such as multi-tenant cloud-PBX. Hence,
the generell market penetration is seen to sharply increase, especially in
historically underpenetrated markets like Germany (H1 '23: 14% penetration;
2027e: 43%). (2) Efficiency measures bearing fruit: Since H2 ’22, NFON
implemented strict cost saving/efficiency measures, which are already
visible in the personnel expense ratio (-4.6pp yoy at 9M’23) as well as
with other OpEx (-9.2pp yoy, especially related to marketing).
Against this backdrop, NFON should be on track to further improve EBIT
margins (>8%), ROICs (>11%) and FCF generation (>€ 3m) going forward.
Despite operational and structural tailwinds which are set to support
mid-term sales and margin expansion, valuation continues to look
attractive. After shares declined 11% YTD, NFON is now trading on a mere
1.1x EV/Sales, marking a significant discount compared to the historical
average of 2.3x. We thus confirm our BUY recommendation with an increased
PT of € 11.70 based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28733.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Westwing Group AG: BUY
Original-Research: Westwing Group AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Westwing Group AG
Unternehmen: Westwing Group AG
ISIN: DE000A2N4H07
Anlass der Studie: 5 Pager
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 23.01.2024
Kursziel: 19.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Mark-Hendrik Schüssler
Storytelling-based value and growth play for 2024
With its storytelling-based retail approach and inspiration-driven revenue
generation, Westwing is a unique play on the growing online penetration in
the home and living segment. The latter still stands at 25% for fashion or >35% for electronics. Its focus on
curated home furnishings along with strong app engagement in 11 European
countries helped the company generate € 431m in FY'22 revenues and reach
1.3m, mostly female customers with an impressive >80% retention rate, and a
superb mobile share rate of 80%.
Westwing’s strong gross margins of c. 50% are carried by a high share of
private labels (48% in Q3’23). As sales look set to grow at a 8.3% CAGR
23e-27e, scalability should allow for profitability improvement especially
in G&A (c. 21% of sales vs 7-10% industry average) such that the EBIT
margin is seen to reach break-even in 2024e.
Notably, after several quarters of decline in the number of active
customers and order frequency normalization following the pandemic boom,
Westwing was able to return to growth both in active customers and GMV per
customer in Q3 2023, indicating that the company seems to have passed the
trough. Hence, structural drivers are back to the fore and the company is
on track to continue top and bottom line growth into 2024 thanks to
fruitful efforts to improve customer experience, product offering and a
growing share of the higher-margin private label.
Westwing's market cap stands at only c. € 151m. Having a healthy balance
sheet with a current net cash position of € 69m (or € 3.30 per share or
>45% of the current share price), an investor acquires the entire operating
business for only € 3.90 per share. With FCF LTM of € 23.8m and trading at
only c. 0.2x EV/Sales FY23e (~60% discount to e-commerce peers), Westwing
provides both a strong downside protection and a bargain opportunity to
disproportionately profit from an eventual recovery of the Home & Living
market and possibly a less hawkish monetary policy.
Regarding the stock as a compelling mix of growth and value, we remain our
BUY rating with an unchanged PT € 19.00, based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28725.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: LION E-Mobility AG: BUY
Original-Research: LION E-Mobility AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu LION E-Mobility AG
Unternehmen: LION E-Mobility AG
ISIN: CH0560888270
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 22.01.2024
Kursziel: 10.50
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
A new CEO to kick off the year
Topic: LION announced to have a singed a highly qualified successor for the
current CEO, which is leaving at the end of January. Following LION‘s major
transformation last year, the company looks poised for strong growth.
At the end of November, LION announced the departure of its CEO Winfried
Buss end of January due to personal reasons. The company has already been
able to find a successor, namely Dr. Joachim Damasky. Dr. Damasky has
recently worked as Senior Advisor to BMW and ran the German Automotive
Association. Until 2015, he was part of Webasto’s Management Board. This
bolsters well with hire of Dr. Urlich Eichhorn, former CTO of Volkswagen,
as Chairman of its newly established Global Technical Advisory Committee at
the beginning of November. Both hires, alongside an increased salesforce
should allow for a continuation of the positive trends witnessed in Q4.
Mind you, during the Q3 earnings call in December, management highlighted €
25m of sales (vs. 9M of € 29m) from battery packs out of its own production
in Q4 alone. With that, LION produced roughly 4.5k battery packs during
FY23, significantly below the factory’s annual capacity of 45k. Over the
next few years, we expect the utilization to gradually increase, partially
carried by the introduction of its gen 2 battery packs during the second
half of this year.
Thanks to the partnership with SVOLT, the company will produce higher
energy density (20% more vs currently used cells) NMC and LFP battery
packs. Especially the latter is set to turn into a notable tailwind as it
should allow LION to fully break into the thriving energy storage market,
which prefers LFP over NMC cells. Energy storage customers already account
for roughly 50% of sales.
Coupled with customer wins in the mobility segment, the company looks set
to strongly grow sales in the short- to mid-term (33% 2022-25e CAGR).
During the same time, the EBITDA margin is seen to significantly increase
to 4.6% by 2025e as the plant‘s operating leverage should kick in.
Valuation remains attractive. While LION has gone through a full
transformation during 2023, the company should now be ready to reap the
rewards of the hard work. Yet, this is still under-appreciated by the share
price, which implies a valuation of only 0.6x/0.4x EV/sales FY2023/24e.
LION remains a BUY with an unchanged € 10.50 PT based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28719.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Cardiol Therapeutics Inc: Buy
Original-Research: Cardiol Therapeutics Inc - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Cardiol Therapeutics Inc
Unternehmen: Cardiol Therapeutics Inc
ISIN: CA14161Y2006
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 19.01.2024
Kursziel: USD 3.60
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 months
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Orquera
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Cardiol
Therapeutics Inc. (ISIN: CA14161Y2006). Analyst Christian Orquera
reiterated his BUY rating and maintained his USD 3.60 price target.
Abstract:
Cardiol Therapeutics (Cardiol) has completed >50% of patient recruitment
for CardiolRx's two lead indications, acute myocarditis (AM) and recurrent
pericarditis (RP). Enrolment of the planned 100 patients for the ongoing
international phase II trial in AM is progressing rapidly. Enrolment of the
planned 25 patients for the ongoing phase II pilot study in RP has taken
some time to gain traction. However, we now expect enrolment to progress
faster leading to 100% completion within the next few weeks. We anticipate
the company will report headline results in early Q2 2024 and meet with the
FDA shortly thereafter to obtain approval for immediate initiation of a
phase III trial. The announcement of this data would be a major near-term
catalyst for the stock. We continue to see Cardiol as an attractive
investment opportunity. We reiterate our Buy recommendation and price
target of USD 3.60 (€3.30).
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Cardiol
Therapeutics Inc. (ISIN: CA14161Y2006) veröffentlicht. Analyst Christian
Orquera bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von USD
3,60.
Zusammenfassung:
Cardiol Therapeutics (Cardiol) hat mehr als 50 % der Patientenrekrutierung
für die beiden Hauptindikationen von CardiolRx, akute Myokarditis (AM) und
rezidivierende Perikarditis (RP), abgeschlossen. Die Rekrutierung der
geplanten 100 Patienten für die laufende internationale Phase-II-Studie in
AM schreitet zügig voran. Die Rekrutierung der geplanten 25 Patienten für
die laufende Phase-II-Pilotstudie in RP hat einige Zeit in Anspruch
genommen. Wir gehen jedoch davon aus, dass die Rekrutierung nun schneller
voranschreitet und in den nächsten Wochen zu 100% abgeschlossen sein wird.
Wir erwarten, dass das Unternehmen Anfang des zweiten Quartals 2024 die
wichtigsten Ergebnisse vorlegen und kurz darauf mit der FDA zusammentreffen
wird, um die Genehmigung für den sofortigen Beginn einer Phase-III-Studie
zu erhalten. Die Bekanntgabe dieser Daten wäre ein wichtiger kurzfristiger
Katalysator für die Aktie. Wir halten Cardiol weiterhin für eine attraktive
Anlagemöglichkeit. Wir bekräftigen unsere Kaufempfehlung und unser Kursziel
von USD 3,60 (€3,30).
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §85 Abs. 1 S. 1 WpHG und des
Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28715.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
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