Activity Stream
NuWays AG: Netfonds AG: BUY
Original-Research: Netfonds AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Netfonds AG
Unternehmen: Netfonds AG
ISIN: DE000A1MME74
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 19.01.2024
Kursziel: 71.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
Strategic acquisition to improve profitability; chg
Yesterday, Netfonds announced to have acquired a majority stake in “Meine
Finanzkanzlei GmbH” (“MFK”) through its fully owned subsidiary NVS Netfonds
Versicherungsservice AG. In detail:
We assume that Netfonds has acquired a stake of 65-85% (eNuW) at a low to
mid, single digit EV/EBITDA multiple (eNuW). As the network of advisors
from MFK has already been cooperating with NVS for many years, we do not
expect a significant increase of gross sales. Stand alone, MFK should
generate gross sales of c. € 1.5-2.0m (eNuW). Due to synergy effects, we
expect a positive EBITDA effect of some € 0.3-0.5m (eNuW).
Importantly, MFK is actively supporting NVS in customer advice for banks
that are affiliated with NVS. These services are increasingly important for
banks, hence providing a significant growth potential for Netfonds going
forward.
Overall, we consider the acquisition as highly value accretive. While the
price should have been absolutely reasonable, MFK is seen to strengthen the
insurance division of Netfonds and contributing to its profitability.
More positive newsflow comes from IGBCE Bonusagentur, which extended its
cooperation agreement with NVS in connection with the acquisition of MFK.
With that, NVS keeps its access to more than 3m potential CareFlex
customers. As a strategic partner of IGBCE, MFK should support NVS in the
distribution of CareFlex by advising selected private and corporate
customers.
Apart from the value accretive acquisition, Netfonds proprietary, 360°
finfire platform, which enables onboarded advisors to offer a wide range of
investment, insurance, financing and banking solutions to its customers via
one holistic platform, remains the company´s key mid- to long-term growth
and scalability driver and should start to lift off in FY24.
That, paired with 1) Netfonds market leading position in an oligopolistic
market with high entry barriers and long-term structural growth drivers
(growing AuM´s and number of advisors, ongoing digitization of the
financial sector, stricter regulation), 2) the likely guidance beat in FY23
and 3) the promising mid-term guidance makes the stock a clear BUY with a
new PT of € 71.00, based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28709.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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NuWays AG: MAX Automation SE: BUY
Original-Research: MAX Automation SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MAX Automation SE
Unternehmen: MAX Automation SE
ISIN: DE000A2DA588
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 18.01.2024
Kursziel: 8.20
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Konstantin Völk
MAX lays the foundation for outperformance in 2024
Topic: MAX Automation has another promising year in front of it. We expect
the company to grow its topline by 7% in 2024e while sustaining last year’s
profitability (eNuW).
Topline growth ahead: With several structural trends kicking in, MAX should
be able to grow its revenue in the current fiscal year at a
mid-single-digit growth rate. Around 35% of the growth is expected to come
alone from MAX’s crown jewel bdtronic (eNuW). With c. 80% of bdtronic’s
revenue coming from dispensing solutions mainly in the automotive sector,
bdtronic largely profits from an increasing number of electric components
inside and outside the vehicles. Different dispensing applications are used
to protect electric control units from overheating, vibration during
driving and environmental influences such as salt or dirt. MAX largest
holding, Vecoplan, is expected to grow by 6% in 2024e (eNuW), outpacing the
slow growing recycling market, due to its strong competitive quality.
Vecoplan is an expert in producing machines and plants for shredding,
conveying, and processing of primary and secondary raw materials, such as
wood or plastic.
Consistent profitability: We expect MAX to deliver an EBITDA margin of 9.8%
in 2024e, which is roughly in line with 2023e (eNuW). Going forward,
margins should further improve to > 10% by 2025e due to economies of scale
but more importantly due to an improving product mix from bdtronic. Despite
labour cost pressure, the company has not only strong growth potential but
can also improve margins in a tough market due to its technological
leadership.
In addition to the improving operating performance, a successful divestment
of the subsidiary MA micro (company news 08.09.2023) should be a notable
share price catalyst, revealing that the value of the “parts” clearly
exceeds the current Enterprise Value of the MAX Automation group, in our
view. A strategic buyer should be willing to pay at least 10x EBITDA for
this highly profitable and return-rich specialty business, implying a
purchase price of above € 100m (eNuW).
Importantly, even after a divestment, MAX would own hidden Mittelstand
champions such as bdtronic and Vecoplan, amongst other, whose combined
value alone would well exceed the remaining (theoretical) € 200m EV of the
group ex MA micro (eNuW), underpinning the undervaluation of the stock.
Hence, we reiterate our BUY rating with an unchanged € 8.20 PT based on
DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28703.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
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NuWays AG: INDUS Holding AG: BUY
Original-Research: INDUS Holding AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu INDUS Holding AG
Unternehmen: INDUS Holding AG
ISIN: DE0006200108
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 17.01.2024
Kursziel: 34.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Another promising year for INDUS
Topic: While INDUS should experience some margin pressure in 2024e, the
EBIT margin is still seen to come in at 8.0%, which is the highest
operating margin since 2017. With an appealing dividend yield of 5.5%
(eNuW) and an attractive valuation of only 4.6x EV/EBITDA, the stock
remains a buy.
Normalizing margins: In FY23, INDUS benefited from lower material prices,
especially in the Materials segment, which is seen to lead to a FY23e EBIT
margin of 8.6%. On group level, the material cost ratio declined by 1.6pp
to 46.8%. However, this positive price effect should revert in FY24e, as
customers are starting to renegotiate in light of the deflating price
levels. In addition, wage inflation remains an issue for FY24e. After the
personnel expense ratio rose by 1.1pp yoy to 28.5% at FY23e, further wage
increases are in the books as unions are increasing the pressure. Hence, we
expect the EBIT margin in FY24e to decrease by 0.3pp (eNuW FY23: 8.3%),
which is still the highest margin since 2017.
Supply-chain issues solved: After the start of the Covid19 pandemic, global
supply-chains were significantly dislocated, jeopardizing normal
operations. This also affected the portfolio companies of INDUS during the
previous fiscal years. However, at the end of FY23, supply-chain issues
were largely solved and not a single portfolio company was materially
affected.
Portfolio realignment completed: As part of its ‘PARKOUR’ efficiency
program, INDUS decided to discontinue the majority of its highly
loss-making automotive-related business. While SMA filed for insolvency in
Oct.’22, management sold SCHÄFER economically effective on July 31, 2023,
and SELZER on August 31, 2023. SELZER alone is seen to rake up a € 22m loss
while generating € 65m in sales during FY23e.
Appealing dividend yield: Caused by the weak performance of the
automotive-related companies SELZER and SCHÄFER, dividends for the last two
years came in rather low compared to previous years. Due to the divestment
of the automotive business and a successful operating performance in FY23,
we expect a dividend of € 1.2 (eNuW) per share for the recent fiscal year
(FY22: € 0.8). Based on yesterday’s closing price, this would lead to an
appealing dividend yield of 5.5% (FY22: 3.6%).
INDUS remains attractively priced trading at only 4.6x EV/EBITDA 2023e,
which is 34% below its historical average. We reiterate our BUY rating with
an unchanged PT of € 34 based on FCFY 2024e.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28691.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Cenit AG: BUY
Original-Research: Cenit AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Cenit AG
Unternehmen: Cenit AG
ISIN: DE0005407100
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 20.90 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Cosmin Filker, Marcel Goldmann
First acquisition of 2024 strengthens the 3DS Solutions division; forecasts
and target price unchanged
As expected, CENIT AG is continuing the high level of acquisition activity
implemented since the 2022 financial year in the 2024 financial year. As
the company announced in the second calendar week of the still young year,
CCE b:digital GmbH & Co. KG (CCE for short) was acquired with effect from 1
January 2024. CCE offers consulting, implementation and software
development in the business areas of Digital Services, PLM Services and
Application Services. Similar to CENIT's '3DS Solutions' business segment,
CCE's offering is based on Dassault Systèmes solutions, with a particular
focus on the CATIA products and the 3DEXPERIENCE PLM platform. This shows a
high degree of congruence with the PLM business field of CENIT AG.
CENIT AG emphasises that CCE has special expertise in the migration and
introduction of Dassault standard software. For this purpose, concepts have
been developed that are specially tailored to medium-sized and smaller
customers. In addition, the acquisition of CCE will expand the local
presence in the Ostwestfalen Lippe region. Finally, company acquisitions
have proven to be an effective strategy for expanding the Group's workforce
against the backdrop of challenging personnel recruitment. The acquisition
of CCE will expand the CENIT team by 16 employees. In addition, CENIT's
position as one of Dassault Systèmes' most important Platinum Partners
worldwide will be further strengthened. This is already a declared goal of
CENIT AG.
No further details on the size of CCE or the purchase price are known. The
Federal Gazette only contains a balance sheet as of 31 December 2021, which
shows that the company is relatively small at this point in time. With
total assets of € 1.72 million, CCE had equity of € 0.19 million and cash
and cash equivalents of € 1.15 million. Based on this information, we
assume a purchase price in the low single-digit million range.
The CCE acquisition should be seen as a further step towards achieving the
medium-term goals of CENIT AG. The aim is to achieve sales of € 300 million
and an EBIT margin of 8-10% by the end of the 2025 financial year. As part
of this strategy, all five business divisions are expected to grow
organically and inorganically. In the 3DS Solutions division, sales are to
be increased from the current level of around € 100 million to € 150
million.
Due to what we consider to be the low impact on the CENIT Group's sales and
earnings, we are maintaining our estimates compared to our last research
study (see study dated 03 November 2023). We therefore confirm our price
target of € 20.90 and continue to rate the share as BUY.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28671.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
https://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
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Date (time) of completion: 16/01/24 (08:04 am)
Date (Time) first distribution: 16/01/24 (10:00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
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Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Sphene Capital GmbH: Eloro Resources Ltd.: Buy
Original-Research: Eloro Resources Ltd. - von Sphene Capital GmbH
Einstufung von Sphene Capital GmbH zu Eloro Resources Ltd.
Unternehmen: Eloro Resources Ltd.
ISIN: CA2899003008
Anlass der Studie: Update Report
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 15.01.2024
Kursziel: CAD 12,70 (unverändert)
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 24 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Peter Thilo Hasler
New intersections highlight potential for extraordinary grades
Eloro Resources intersected the highest-grade silver sample at Iska Iska so
far, confirming the strategy adopted by the Board of Directors to expand
and upgrade the high-grade area of the Santa Barbara Breccia Pipe in
particular. With mineralised intercepts of up to 118.86 g Ag eq/t over
81.28 m (including a high-grade sample of 5,080 g Ag eq/t over 1.46 m), the
silver equivalent results from recent definition drilling are significantly
higher than the results from the Iska Iska Project's maiden Mineral
Resource Estimate ('MRE'). In particular, these higher silver equivalent
results are the result of higher tin recoveries of up to 152.29 g Ag eq/t
over 81.28 m (including 4,746.46 g Ag aq/t over 1.46 m). The high tin and
silver values found could in turn be the result of high temperature
sulphidation centres identified as feeders within the open pit area.
According to the company, the geophysical information and deep drilling
indicate that the tin-silver mineralisation could extend to a depth of more
than 1 km, which is not uncommon in the southern Bolivian Tin Belt, with
the Cerro Rico de Potosi, Animas-Siete Suyos-Chocaya and Tatasi deposits
located in the same geological setting as Iska Iska.
Our valuation is based on the shallow higher-grade resource in the
polymetallic domain of 132 million tonnes at 1.11% Zn, 0.50% Pb, and 24.3 g
Ag/t, as shown in the MRE. It does not take into account that an upcoming
PEA could increase this initial resource and that current metal prices are
now significantly higher than the three-year averages used in the MRE.
Applying a P/NAV discount of 70%, which we feel reasonable these days, we
calculate a net asset value driven price target of CAD 12.70 per share. We
therefore reiterate our Buy rating for the shares of Eloro Resources. We
highlight that our price target could rise further after the recently
reported higher tin and silver grades are included in a next MRE. The
current pullback in the company’s share price is an interesting entry point
for long-term investors, in our view.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28669.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Peter Thilo Hasler, CEFA
+49 (89) 74443558/ +49 (152) 31764553
peter-thilo.hasler@sphene-capital.de
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
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NuWays AG: S Immo AG: BUY
Original-Research: S Immo AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu S Immo AG
Unternehmen: S Immo AG
ISIN: AT0000652250
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 15.01.2024
Kursziel: 17.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Appealing risk/reward profile makes S IMMO a clear BUY
It seems like management shares this view, as the company announced yet
another share buy-back program after having already bought back shares
worth € 2.4m in Q4. In detail:
Last week, the management of S IMMO resolved another repurchase program of
up to 365,340 shares (c. 0.5% of share capital; € 5.1m given an avg. price
of € 14 per share). Shares are going to be bought back over the stock
exchange at a maximum 15% premium to the 10-day VWAP while the price must
not exceed € 15 per share. The program starts today and will run until
March 31st.
Although the scope of the program is rather small, it is a reasonable step
which points towards the undemanding valuation of the shares. In fact, S
IMMO is offering one of the most appealing risk/reward profile in the
industry:
- Loan-to-value: As of Q3’23 S IMMO is providing an LTV ratio of 38.1%
which compares to our peer group’s average of > 40% (e.g.: Vonovia: 46.8%;
LEG: 46.8%; Aroundtown: 41.3%).
- Equity ratio: A similar picture emerges when looking at the equity ratio
which stood at 46.0% at S IMMO as of Q3’23 (e.g.: Vonovia: 32.8%; LEG:
40.4%; Aroundtown: 46.6%).
Furthermore, S IMMO continues to create shareholder value by scaling up its
engagement in the high yielding CEE region. Just recently the company
acquired another portfolio with a 6% yield (€ 29m annual rental income) in
the Czech Republic. To fund the expansion in CEE, S IMMO continuously
disposes a significant portion of its residential portfolio in Germany.
While € 621m have been already sold here, another € 400m are still in the
pipeline (€ 250m in Germany). The ongoing rebalancing of the portfolio (e.g
selling in Germany & buying in CEE) is seen to significantly increase
rental income (eNuW: +26% in ‘24e) and FFO (+16% in ’24).
Despite best-in-class metrics and a strong YTD performance, S IMMO is yet
trading on an NTA-discount similar to the peer group (-43% as of Friday’s
close price).
Stock hence remains a strong BUY with an unchanged PT of € 17.00 based on
NTA and DDM.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28659.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
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NuWays AG: USU Software AG: BUY
Original-Research: USU Software AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu USU Software AG
Unternehmen: USU Software AG
ISIN: DE000A0BVU28
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 12.01.2024
Kursziel: 30
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Strong order intake to start transitionary 2024e
This week, USU announced to have won two public sector framework contracts
to start the year on a positive note: (1) Germany’s Federal Employment
Agency (BA) commissioned USU for its TEBIT (Technical Inventory Management
System IT) project. The TEBIT system of the BA is based on the USU
Valuemation software and has been in productive use since 2016. To ensure a
continuous stable operation, USU is now carrying out an update to the
latest USU Service Management (former Valuemation) software. The deal
comprises the delivery of the software licenses as well as a service
package over 4 years. While the total volume was not disclosed, we estimate
it to be in the lower single-digit million range. (2) A large system house
from the public sector has commissioned USU to supply and implement a
solution for end-to-end monitoring (E2E) in order to enable the customer to
proactively monitor their applications and document the availability and
performance of IT services. The total volume of the framework is in the
high 6-digit range.
With this, the company is kicking off a year in style, which is likely
going to be another transitionary period. Mind you, USU is currently amid a
SaaS transformation, which is seen to cause temporarily declining margins,
due to the subscription-nature of SaaS contracts which come with lower
initial margins compared to perpetual license deals where full payment is
incurred at closing (+annual maintenance). However, as the annual
subscription payments are seen to equal perpetual license sales including
maintenance after c. 3 years and SaaS sales showing strong growth (25% CAGR
’21‘-25e), margins are seen to strongly expand from 2025 onwards.
That said, we expect sales to grow 10% in 2024e to € 146m (eCons: € 146m)
based on a strong order backlog (eNuW: € 81m at YE’23e), continuously
increasing SaaS order intake as well as a stabilization of license sales
(eNuW: -60% yoy in 2023e). Against this backdrop, adj. EBITDA is seen to
return to growth (eNuW: € 18.6m). Yet, due to the aforementioned effects in
relation to the SaaS transition, margins are seen slightly below ’21 & ’22
levels with 12.5%.
Despite another transition year likely laying ahead, current valuation is
looking undemanding and should offer an attractive entry opportunity given
a 14x EV/EBIT ‘24e which compares to the historic average of 20x. BUY with
an unchanged PT of € 30.00 based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28645.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Rosenbauer International AG: BUY
Original-Research: Rosenbauer International AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Rosenbauer International AG
Unternehmen: Rosenbauer International AG
ISIN: AT0000922554
Anlass der Studie: 5-pager
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 12.01.2024
Kursziel: EUR 54.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Rosenbauer is back on track with a record high in order intake
Caused by supply chain issues and raw material price inflation,
Rosenbauer’s operating result turned negative during FY’22. However,
Rosenbauer successfully managed the operating turnaround and delivers
positive results again since Q2 2023. Thanks to Rosenbauer having done its
homework and structural trends kicking in, we expect this turnaround to
continue in 2024.
Until 2025e, Rosenbauer should be able to grow sales by 6.9% p.a. (2022-25e
CAGR) to € 1.2bn with EBIT margins north of 5% (eNuW 2025: 5.4%) thanks to:
Supply chain improvements: During FY’22 chassis lead times of OEMs
deteriorated significantly. Although lead times are still not back at
pre-crisis levels, the situation is noticeable better than in FY’22. For
example, the average MAN chassis lead time decreased from over 18 months in
FY’22 to 10-12 months in FY’23. However there is no further material
improvement of delivery times expected at MAN and Daimler in 2024, while
Volvo and Scania should approach pre-crisis levels.
Significant price increases: Rosenbauer raised its vehicle prices
substantially during FY’23, to account for a higher cost base. The average
price per fire truck in 9M 2023 increased by 9.8% yoy and the average price
per vehicle body increased by 22.7% yoy. Old unprofitable customer
contracts not reflecting the higher cost base are successively leaving the
order book and giving room for a further margin improvement.
Structural growth drivers: Global warming for instance causes a severe rise
in natural disasters such as wildfires, storms, and floods which elevates
the demand for firefighting equipment and trucks. Another growth driver is
the electrification of firefighting trucks, supporting the demand for
Rosenbauer’s high margin electric models RT (Revolutionary Technology) and
the PANTHER electric.
As the supply chain situation further improves and with a record high in
order backlog (9M 2023: € 1758m) in the hand, shares look poised for a
re-rating. Furthermore, Rosenbauer is currently examining the issuance of a
hybrid bond to strengthen its balance sheet. A successful issuance could
work as a catalyst, bringing the shares back to its intrinsic value. Hence,
we reiterate our BUY rating with an unchanged € 54.00 PT based on DCF.
-continued-
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28647.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA: BUY
Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
Unternehmen: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 09.01.2024
Kursziel: 5.50
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Watzke to step down in 2025 / crucial months ahead
Yesterday, BVB published an ad-hoc stating that CEO Hans-Joachim Watzke
will not extend his contract
and will step down from management in the fall of 2025, when his contract
expires.
Watzke was appointed as CEO in February 2005 when the club was in a
financially precarious situation. After the turn of the millennium, an
inflated cost base paired with a lack of sporting success brought the club
to the brink of bankruptcy. Watzke is regarded as the man who turned
matters around for the BVB at a creditors' meeting in March 2005. From then
on, the club continuously reduced its debt while at the same time
developing into a European top club under Watzke’s leadership, winning two
Bundesliga titles, three DFB Cups and reaching the final of the Champions
League in 2013. Watzke's departure is therefore certainly a bitter blow for
the club as he is likely not replaceable on a one-to-one basis. However, as
there are almost two years left until his departure, we are convinced that
a suitable successor will be found in cooperation with the current CEO.
That said, it is also worthwhile looking at the current sporting
performance of BVB, which is kind of a mixed bag. Although reaching the
knock-out stage of the Champions League (CL), the club is only sitting in
5th place in the Bundesliga, six points behind Leipzig in 4th after failing
to win a match in Decembre. However, thanks to the depth and experience of
the squad and the fact that Stuttgart (3rd, +7 points) will have to
withdraw several key players for the Africa Cup and the Asian games in Q1,
BVB should still have a valid opportunity to secure 4th place, which is
crucial to qualify for the newly formatted 2024/25 CL under which
participants overall price money will increase by a third. Moreover, 5th
place might also be sufficient should Germany remain 2nd in the UEFA clubs
coefficient which however appears unlikely given the strength of the clubs
from Spain and England as well as the slim advantage of only 0.017 points
(see p. 2 for more detail). Hence, while there is upside to this years
estimate given a feasible opponent in the CL round of sixteen (Eindhoven),
our 24/25e could serve as too bullish should the club not participate in
the CL at all (eNuW: round of sixteen).
Despite the recent performance dip, valuation remains undemanding, in our
view, as BVB shares are trading at only 1.0x EV/Sales 2023/24, which marks
a notable discount to its peers Juventus (2.1x), OL (2.5x) and Manchester
United (4.6x). We reiterate BUY with an unchanged PT of € 5.50 based on
DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28617.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Rubean AG: BUY
Original-Research: Rubean AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Rubean AG
Unternehmen: Rubean AG
ISIN: DE0005120802
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 09.01.2024
Kursziel: 8.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
FY23 sales in line with estimates // POS rollout has started; chg
Topic: Yesterday, Rubean announced to have reached more than € 1.0m in
sales (prelims) and quadrupled number of app users to c. 25k vs 6k at the
end of 2022 (eNuW).
With > € 1.0m, Rubean increased sales by >20% yoy, which is slightly better
than expected (eNuW old: € 0.98m; 17% yoy). Still, we consider 2023 as a
transition year that was characterized by a delayed product roll-out
resulting in a negative EBIT to the tune of € 3.6m (eNuW).
Positively, the recently announced new partnerships with i.e. Correos in
Spain and emerchantpay as well as the quadrupling of app users is seen to
bode well for Rubean and should start to materialize this year.
Importantly, with Correos (12k devices already in use, further 15k should
follow this month), Rubean is not only earning a monthly license fee per
user, but is also participating in every transaction, executed via the
software. Indeed, we consider this highly profitable revenue sharing scheme
as a blueprint for future partnerships.
As Rubean´s leading softPOS product is ready for rollout, further new
customer wins and partnerships are clearly in the cards for this year
allowing for a continued dynamic top-line development. As Rubean should
already be in advanced discussions with several potential partners, we
expect positive newsflow from several new partnerships within the next
couple of weeks and months that should further ramp-up sales and EBIT going
forward.
In detail, we expect sales of € 2.9m and an EBIT of € -1.6m for FY24e. Mind
you, that these estimates can be seen as rather conservative, as we have
only considered growing sales with already signed customers.
Thanks to the SaaS model, scalability should kick-in quickly. Operating
break-even should be hence reached already within next year. As said,
considering a high likelihood of additional customer-wins, the break-even
could be achieved even earlier.
In order to reflect the ramp-up potential stemming from the product
roll-out and new partnerships, we reiterate BUY with an unchanged PT of €
8.00, based on our DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28621.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: ZEAL Network SE: BUY
Original-Research: ZEAL Network SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu ZEAL Network SE
Unternehmen: ZEAL Network SE
ISIN: DE000ZEAL241
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 05.01.2024
Kursziel: 51
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Online transformation with ongoing momentum
Topic: Yesterday, the state lottery operator DLTB released its 2023 lottery
data, revealing a continuous and strong outperformance of the online
distribution channel.
Online transformation in full swing: In total, lottery players played for
c. € 2bn via online channels, marking a solid 10.4% growth and 25% online
penetration in 2023. While brick-and-mortar lottery still accounted for
75% of overall lottery stakes, it could only grow by 0.7% yoy. Hence, the
online transformation remains in full swing and still offers plenty of
growth potential for ZEAL's lottery business, as online penetration still
stands at a mere 25% (vs. 23% in 2022). Going forward, we expect this trend
to continue and catch up to penetration rates of other industries (online
banking: 50%; online music: 80%; online holiday booking: 66%) and other
European countries such as Sweden (48% online penetration and +11% yoy
growth of online in 2022).
Slight outperformance against main competitor: Out of the € 2.04bn online
billings, ZEAL should make up a market share of 41.2% in 2023 (vs. 41% in
2022), based on our estimate of € 841m billings in FY23e. This implies a
growth rate of 11% yoy, slightly outgrowing the state lottery's landing
page Lotto.de and the federal states' online presences (€ 1.2bn in
billings, +10% yoy).
Strong current trading due to peaking jackpots. Currently, the jackpots of
both major lottery products are close to record levels resulting in an
increasing user activity. We hence expect solid Q4'23e figures that should
reflect the higher activity levels. Even better, the EuroJackpot currently
peaks at € 120m and the Lotto 6aus49 reached its highest jackpot in history
of € 48m (€ 50m maximum jackpot, before Nov' 23: € 45m) indicating a strong
start into Q1'24e. Mind you that this is the time, when ZEAL acquires most
of its new users and hence increases marketing activities.
Games roll-out to drive top line in FY'24e: Following the better than
expected first full quarter (Q3'23) of the new Games business, we expect an
improved Q4'23e as well as continous expansion of the rollout throughout
the year, In sum, we expect some additional revenue from Games of € 10m,
that comes on top of the intact growth of the lottery business (eNuW: €
119m, +12% yoy) for FY'24e.
All in all, ZEAL continues to drive the online transformation while the
Games roll-out should serve as a cherry on top. BUY with unchanged PT of €
51.00, based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28613.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Landi Renzo S.p.A.: Buy
Original-Research: Landi Renzo S.p.A. - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Landi Renzo S.p.A.
Unternehmen: Landi Renzo S.p.A.
ISIN: IT0004210289
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Note)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 0.60 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
Nine-months 2023: Landi Renzo continues to grow thanks to strong OEM
business; unfavourable sales mix weighs on profitability; operating margin
recovery continues in Q3; GBC estimates and price target adjusted; Buy
rating confirmed
Business performance 9M 2023
The Landi Renzo Group announced its nine-month figures for the current 2023
financial year in mid-November. Based on these figures, the technology
group continued its growth streak in the first three quarters of the
financial year despite difficult conditions (war in Ukraine, inflationary
pressure, higher interest rates, etc.). Group sales increased moderately by
2.2% to € 221.14 million compared to the same period of the previous year
(9M 2022: € 216.35 million).
The strong expansion of business in the main business area of 'Green
Transportation' proved to be a key growth driver. This enabled the company
to benefit significantly from the increased demand from leading car
manufacturers for technological solutions for more climate-friendly
mobility and more environmentally-friendly drive systems in the volume
sector (mass car market).
The consolidated sales revenue generated was primarily driven by the core
business segment 'Green Transportation' (share of sales: 70.1%). In this
business segment, sales revenue increased significantly by 9.8% to € 155.01
million (9M 2022: € 141.24 million), mainly thanks to stronger OEM
business.
The increased growth in the OEM sales channel (9M 2023: +33.2% to € 98.70
million) was driven by a sharp rise in orders for bi-fuel engines and
increased sales of components in the OEM Mid & Heavy Duty segment. Due to
weaker sales in some Latin American and Eastern European markets, the
After-Market sales channel recorded a significant decline in revenue to €
56.30 million (9M 2022: € 67.10 million).
In contrast to the core business ('Green Transportation'), the 'Clean Tech
Solutions' business division recorded a significant decline in segment
sales to € 66.13 million (9M 2022: € 75.12 million). The main reason for
this decline in sales was not only the reduced production, which
particularly affected the third quarter, but also the postponement of some
major orders planned for 2023 to the following financial year 2024.
In contrast to the positive Group sales trend, Landi Renzo suffered a
significant decline in operating earnings (EBITDA) to € -1.12 million (9M
2022: € 7.07 million). This was mainly due to an unfavourable sales mix in
the 'Green Transportation' business segment (lower-margin OEM car sales
share), a lower business volume in the 'Clean Tech Solutions' segment and
higher fixed costs incurred to strengthen the company's operating
structure. As a result, the EBITDA margin also fell compared to the same
period of the previous year and even slipped into negative territory at -
0.5% (9M 2022: 3.3%).
This decline in consolidated operating profit was only partially offset by
an agreed list price change with a major customer of the Landi Renzo Group
in the OEM distribution channel in the second half of the half-year and a
price increase in the OEM Mid & Heavy Duty business area in the final
months of the financial year.
Adjusted for special costs and one-off costs (e.g. M&A costs or
restructuring costs), adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) of € 4.57 million was
achieved in the past three quarters, which was significantly below the
earnings level of the same period in the previous year (9M 2022: € 8.70
million). The adjusted EBITDA margin (Adj. EBITDA margin) also fell
accordingly to 2.1% (9M 2022: 4.0%). The (adjusted) Group EBITDA of € 3.25
million (9M 2022: € 4.28 million) was primarily attributable to the Clean
Tech Solutions segment. Meanwhile, the core business segment 'Green
Transportation' contributed € 1.33 million (9M 2022: € 4.42 million) to the
Group result.
At the after-tax level, the technology group recorded a negative
consolidated net result (after minority interests) of € -27.73 million
compared to the same period of the previous year and thus had to accept a
significant decline in net earnings compared to the same period of the
previous year (9M 2022: € -10.12 million). In addition to the weaker
operating performance and high one-off extraordinary costs, significant
write-downs on a portion of the deferred tax assets recognised in the
previous year for tax losses also had a significant negative impact on the
earnings trend. In addition, significantly higher (incurred) tax expenses
of € 5.62 million (9M 2022: € 1.02 million) also had a negative impact on
earnings.
Business performance in Q3 2023
At a quarterly level, the Landi Renzo Group recorded a 3.6% decline in
consolidated sales to € 69.33 million (Q3 2022: € 71.91 million) compared
to the same quarter of the previous year due to weaker business development
in its infrastructure business segment. Segment sales in the Clean Tech
Solutions division fell by 24.2% to € 18.58 million at the end of the third
quarter (Q3 2022: € 24.52 million), mainly due to a lower production
volume. The decline in production volume was primarily the result of orders
being postponed to the following financial year 2024.
By contrast, the core business area 'Green Transportation' developed in the
opposite direction. Thanks to increased OEM customer demand for
technological solutions for bi-fuel engines in particular, segment revenue
in this division increased significantly by 7.1% to € 50.75 million (Q3
2022: € 47.39 million).
At Group operating result level, adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) fell by
30.1% to € 0.65 million (Q3 2022: € 2.16 million), primarily due to the
decline in sales and earnings in the Clean Tech Solutions division. At the
same time, the adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 1.00% (Q3 2022: 3.0%).
Forecast and evaluation
With the publication of its nine-month and Q3 figures, the Landi Renzo
Group has confirmed its most recently adjusted corporate guidance for the
2023 financial year in the form of the outlook for the two business
segments 'Green Transportation' (sales growth and lower profitability
compared to the previous year, but margin improvement in H2 2023) and
'Clean Tech Solutions“ (sales at the previous year's level, but with an
improvement in profitability on an Adj. EBITDA basis).
In this context, the technology group specifically expects a slight
increase in sales in the core segment 'Green Transportation' for the fourth
quarter of the current financial year, which has already begun, compared to
the previous third quarter, which should result in particular from
increased sales in the OEM sales channel. Due to the increase in
profitability achieved in this segment in the previous third quarter, Landi
Renzo expects a (further) improvement in adjusted EBITDA for the fourth
quarter compared to the previous nine months. After the 'Clean Tech
Solutions' segment suffered from postponed orders in the third quarter, the
technology company is nevertheless anticipating an increase in sales and
profitability for the current fourth quarter compared to the previous
quarter.
In view of the company's performance falling short of our expectations, the
significant slowdown in growth momentum and the persistently difficult
general conditions, we have adjusted our previous sales and earnings
estimates downwards. For the current 2023 financial year, we are now
forecasting sales of € 307.14 million (previously: € 323.88 million) and
EBITDA of € 0.64 million (previously: € 9.58 million). Our significantly
reduced operating earnings forecast is the result of a lower expected
business volume as well as significantly higher expected one-off costs and
special costs (e.g. restructuring costs).
For the following financial year 2024, we expect sales of € 316.86 million
(previously: € 357.17 million) and EBITDA of € 13.31 million (previously: €
24.76 million). In the following year 2025, sales and EBITDA should
increase again to € 345.89 million (previously: € 379.73 million) and €
21.10 million (previously: € 37.94 million) respectively.
Our forecast for the Landi Renzo Group's future margin recovery is based on
rather conservative assumptions, i.e. the expected improvement in Group
profitability may be significantly stronger if, for example, the
after-market business and infrastructure business recover more quickly.
Overall, despite their temporary weakness, we believe that the Landi Renzo
Group is in a good starting position to return to a significant growth
trajectory from the coming 2024 financial year. The expected recovery of
the high-margin after-market business and the increased expansion of the
infrastructure and MHD business (mid- and heavy-duty business) should prove
to be key growth drivers. Landi Renzo has recently gained significant
momentum, particularly in the expansion of their high-margin MHD business
(LNG & CNG trucks), and should also be able to continue their growth streak
in this niche. Thanks to an expected improved sales mix in the 'Green
Transportation segment' (higher share of the lucrative after-market
business and MHD business) and the forecast recovery of their profitable
infrastructure business, this technology company should be able to
significantly improve its earnings situation from the coming financial
year.
The measures initiated by the management to optimise and strengthen their
business model and corporate structure should also help the technology
group to continue its growth trajectory in the area of sustainable
mobility, particularly in mid and heavy-duty vehicles, as well as in the
area of natural gas, biomethane and hydrogen infrastructures. At the same
time, the acceleration of growth and the optimisation of their business
model should also lead to a significant improvement in future
profitability.
We assume that Landi Renzo's management will publish new corporate guidance
in the first quarter of the coming 2024 financial year.
In light of our lowered sales and earnings forecasts for the current
financial year and subsequent years, we have lowered our previous price
target to € 0.60 (previously: € 0.70) per share. In view of the current
share price level, we therefore assign a 'BUY' rating and see significant
upside potential in the Landi Renzo share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28597.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 21/12/2023 (7:21 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 21/12/2023 (10:00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Diversified Energy PLC: Buy
Original-Research: Diversified Energy PLC - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Diversified Energy PLC
Unternehmen: Diversified Energy PLC
ISIN: GB00BYX7JT74
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 19.12.2023
Kursziel: GBp3,600
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 months
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Simon Scholes
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Diversified
Energy PLC (ISIN: GB00BYX7JT74). Analyst Simon Scholes reiterated his BUY
rating and maintained his GBp 3600.00 price target.
Abstract:
Production from DEC's existing wells declines at 10% annually. DEC makes
acquisitions to replace declining production as drilling wells is not part
of its business model. Interest rate volatility has hampered acquisition
activity since February this year. The hiatus in acquisitions, coupled with
the 13% lower average hedge price for DEC's natural gas in 2024 vs 2023 has
prompted concerns that the company's dividend (currently equating to a 21%
yield) is under threat. We think these worries are exaggerated. As
acquisitions are an indispensable part of DEC's business model, we expect
one or more transactions over the next twelve months, especially as the
interest rate environment appears to be becoming more benign. However, our
2024 forecast does not include acquisitions. We forecast 2024 hedged
adjusted EBITDA of USD365m (in line with consensus) before asset disposals,
which becomes free cashflow of ca. USD320m after interest, tax and CAPEX.
In every reporting period to date, acquisition-related debt financing has
meant that new debt has exceeded debt repayments. This will not be the case
in 2024 under a no-acquisition scenario. Scheduled 2024 debt repayments are
USD200m, we expect interest costs of USD120m, and holding the current
dividend will cost USD168m. These numbers imply a financing requirement of
ca. USD170m if the dividend is held. We do not expect an equity raise at
the current low share price. DEC could raise the USD170m from existing
liquidity (USD135m as of mid-November), the disposal of
undeveloped/partially developed acreage worth >USD200m, and liquidity
release through further refinancing of the reserve-based credit facility
with asset-backed securitised lending. Furthermore, following the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency's recently announced final rule on methane
emissions reduction, we note that with its commitment to Scope 1 and 2 net
zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2040, DEC is still ahead of the regulatory
curve. We think DEC will hold its dividend and that the share price will
appreciate once concerns in this regard subside. We maintain our Buy
recommendation and price target of GBp3,600.
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Diversified Energy
PLC (ISIN: GB00BYX7JT74) veröffentlicht. Analyst Simon Scholes bestätigt
seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von GBp 3600,00.
Zusammenfassung:
Die Produktion aus den bestehenden Bohrlöchern von DEC geht jährlich um 10
% zurück. DEC tätigt Übernahmen, um die rückläufige Produktion zu ersetzen,
da das Bohren von Bohrlöchern nicht zu ihrem Geschäftsmodell gehört. Die
Volatilität der Zinssätze hat die Akquisitionstätigkeit seit Februar dieses
Jahres gebremst. Die Pause bei den Akquisitionen in Verbindung mit dem um
13 % niedrigeren durchschnittlichen Hedge-Preis für DEC-Erdgas im Jahr 2024
gegenüber 2023 hat zu Bedenken geführt, dass die Dividende des Unternehmens
(die derzeit einer Rendite von 21 % entspricht) in Gefahr ist. Wir halten
diese Befürchtungen für übertrieben. Da Akquisitionen ein unverzichtbarer
Bestandteil des Geschäftsmodells von DEC sind, rechnen wir in den nächsten
zwölf Monaten mit einer oder mehreren Transaktionen, zumal sich das
Zinsumfeld zu entspannen scheint. In unserer Prognose für 2024 sind jedoch
keine Akquisitionen enthalten. Wir prognostizieren für 2024 ein
abgesichertes bereinigtes EBITDA von USD365 Mio. (im Einklang mit dem
Konsens) vor Veräußerungen von Vermögenswerten, was zu einem freien
Cashflow von ca. USD320 Mio. nach Zinsen, Steuern und CAPEX führt. In allen
bisherigen Berichtszeiträumen hat die akquisitionsbedingte
Fremdfinanzierung dazu geführt, dass die Neuverschuldung die
Schuldentilgung überstieg. Bei einem Szenario ohne Akquisitionen wird dies
2024 nicht mehr der Fall sein. Die für 2024 geplanten Schuldentilgungen
belaufen sich auf USD200 Mio., wir erwarten Zinskosten in Höhe von USD120
Mio., und die Beibehaltung der aktuellen Dividende wird USD168 Mio. kosten.
Diese Zahlen implizieren einen Finanzierungsbedarf von ca. USD170 Mio.,
wenn die Dividende beibehalten wird. Bei dem derzeit niedrigen Aktienkurs
rechnen wir nicht mit einer Kapitalerhöhung. DEC könnte die USD170 Mio. aus
der vorhandenen Liquidität (USD135 Mio. per Mitte November), der
Veräußerung von unerschlossenen/teilerschlossenen Flächen im Wert von mehr
als USD200 Mio. und der Freisetzung von Liquidität durch die weitere
Refinanzierung der Reserve-basierten Kreditfazilität mit verbrieften
Krediten auf Basis von Vermögenswerten aufbringen. Darüber hinaus stellen
wir nach der kürzlich angekündigten endgültigen Regelung der U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency zur Reduzierung von Methanemissionen fest,
dass DEC mit ihrer Verpflichtung zu Scope 1 und 2
Netto-Null-Treibhausgasemissionen bis 2040 der regulatorischen Kurve immer
noch voraus ist. Wir sind der Meinung, dass DEC ihre Dividende beibehalten
wird und dass der Aktienkurs ansteigen wird, sobald sich die
diesbezüglichen Bedenken legen. Wir halten an unserer Kaufempfehlung und
unserem Kursziel von GBp3.600 fest.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §85 Abs. 1 S. 1 WpHG und des
Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28573.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: LION E-Mobility AG: BUY
Original-Research: LION E-Mobility AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu LION E-Mobility AG
Unternehmen: LION E-Mobility AG
ISIN: CH0560888270
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 19.12.2023
Kursziel: € 10,50
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Preparing for growth following 2023 as transition year
Topcic: LION published its solid 9M figures, which should be followed by a
2024 marked by strong growth and op. improvements. The recent share price
weakness provides a good risk/reward opportunity, in our view.
Solid 9M performance amid significant operational changes. Throughout H1
'23, LION was moving a highly automatized production for EV battery packs
(purchased from BMW) to its new site. With completion at the end of Q2, the
company has begun selling packs produced on this line on top of remaining
inventory to bride the moving time for customers. 9M sales came in at €
29.8m (Q3: € 10.5m). Positively, and despite significant ramp-up costs, the
9M EBITDA came in positive at € 0.1m. Further, the 9M op. cashflow came in
at € 1.1m as the company sold down pre produced battery packs.
Strong Q4 in the books. With two weeks remaining in Q4, LION recorded Q4
sales of € 20m with another at least € 5m to be booked in the remaining two
weeks. With around € 25m of sales, the fourth quarter will show significant
sequential and yoy growth underpinning the plant’s revenue potential. With
this, the FY '23 sales guidance of more than € 55m remains unchanged and in
reach, eNuW.
SVOLT partnership to unlock energy storage growth. Thanks to the
partnership with SVOLT, the company will produce higher energy density (20%
more vs currently used cells) NMC and LFP battery packs from H2 '24
onwards. Especially the latter is set to turn into a notable tailwind as it
should allow LION to fully break into the thriving energy storage market,
which prefers LFP over NMC cells.
LIGHT Battery project progressing. A LIGHT Battery prototype (immersion
cooled battery pack for ultra- fast charging and discharging) has been
delivered to an OEM and is going through a so far successful testing phase.
Following 2023, a major transition year, one should expect FY '24e to be
marked by (1) strong sales growth (eNuW: 44% yoy) thanks to a running
production and an increased sales force, (2) LION turning at least EBITDA
breakeven thanks to operating leverage, (3) the launch of LFP battery packs
and (4) further progress on the LIGHT battery. With shares trading at a
mere 0.4x EV/sales 2024e, this is not adequately reflected in the current
share price. BUY with an unchanged € 10.5 PT based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28567.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
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First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Energiekontor AG: Buy
Original-Research: Energiekontor AG - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Energiekontor AG
Unternehmen: Energiekontor AG
ISIN: DE0005313506
Anlass der Studie:
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 18.12.2023
Kursziel: 134,00 Euro
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: 18.10.2022: Hochstufung von Hinzufügen auf Kaufen
Analyst: Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Energiekontor AG
(ISIN: DE0005313506) veröffentlicht. Analyst Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 116,00 auf
EUR 134,00.
Zusammenfassung:
Energiekontor (EKT) hat ein großes schottisches Windparkprojekt verkauft
und die EBT-Prognose für 2023 auf €80 Mio. bis €100 Mio. angehoben (bisher:
ca. €69 Mio. bis €75 Mio.). Das bedeutet, dass EKT das letztjährige
Rekord-EBT von €62,9 Mio. um ca. 30% - 60% übertreffen und für dieses Jahr
wieder ein Rekordergebnis präsentieren wird. Wir haben unsere Prognose für
2023 angehoben. Eine aktualisierte Sum-of-the-Parts-Bewertung führt zu
einem neuen Kursziel von €134 (bisher: €116). Angesichts der
Wachstumsaussichten und der hohen Profitabilität von EKT ist das
Unternehmen attraktiv bewertet. Wir bestätigen unser Kaufen-Rating.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on
Energiekontor AG (ISIN: DE0005313506). Analyst Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal
reiterated his BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 116.00 to
EUR 134.00.
Abstract:
Energiekontor (EKT) has sold a large Scottish wind farm project and raised
2023 EBT guidance to €80m - €100m (previously: ca. €69m - €75m). This means
that EKT will top last year's record EBT of €62.9m by ca. 30% - 60% and
present another record result this year. We have raised our 2023 forecast.
An updated sum-of-the-parts valuation yields a new price target of €134
(previously: €116). Given EKT's growth prospects and high profitability,
the company is attractively valued. We confirm our Buy rating.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §85 Abs. 1 S. 1 WpHG und des
Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28559.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Rubean AG: BUY
Original-Research: Rubean AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Rubean AG
Unternehmen: Rubean AG
ISIN: DE0005120802
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 18.12.2023
Kursziel: € 8,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
PhonePOS rollout is starting right now; chg
Topic: After Rubean 1) solved its liquidity issues, 2) finally published
its FY22 figures that were in line with expectations and 3) announced
several promising partnerships, we are more optimistic that the rollout of
POS is starting right now and should have the potential to ramp-up sales.
Liquidity issues off the table for now. Several capital increases
throughout 2023 that amount to an aggregated € 3.7m, as well as an
increased debt position of € 4.9m (eNuW) should secure the liquidity for
the short term. Yet, as the company's equity remains negative at € -3.6m,
we would expect additional capital increases to be in the cards.
FY22 sales came in at € 0.8m (+26% yoy) with EBIT of € -4.0m (vs. € -4.1m
in FY21). While sales was bang in line with estimates (eNuW: € 0.8m) EBIT
was slightly better than anticipated (eNuW: € -4.3m), thanks to lower
personnel and other operating costs.
Promising customer wins. While we consider FY23e as a transition year that
was mainly characterized by the delayed product rollout, which should
result in sales of only c. € 1.0m (eNuW +17% yoy) and a negative EBIT to
the tune of € 3.6m, promising recently announced partnerships with i.e.
Correos in Spain and emerchantspay, should ramp-up sales in FY24e and
beyond. Importantly, with Correos (12k devices already in use, further 15k
should follow in January), Rubean is not only earning a monthly license fee
per user, but is also participating in every transaction, executed via the
software.
POS roll-out to ramp-up sales. In numbers, we expect sales of € 2.9m and an
EBIT of € -1.6m for FY24e. Mind you, that these estimates can be seen as
rather conservative, as we have only considered growing sales with signed
customers. As Rubean´s leading softPOS product is ready for rollout,
further new customer wins and partnerships are in the cards and could
further lift sales. Thanks to the SaaS model, scalability should kick-in
quickly. Operating break-even should be hence reached within FY25. As said,
with new customer-wins that are likely, the break-even could be achieved
even earlier.
To reflect delays of the rollout, we cut FY23e and beyond. As the product
rollout is in full swing, we expect the hypergrowth to start right now.
Positive surprises to our rather conservative estimates are likely.
We reiterate BUY with a reduced PT of € 8.00, based on our DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28553.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Nynomic AG: BUY
Original-Research: Nynomic AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Nynomic AG
Unternehmen: Nynomic AG
ISIN: DE000A0MSN11
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 18.12.2023
Kursziel: € 54
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Bolt-on acquisition with high synergy potential; chg.
Topic: Nynomic announced the 100% acquisition of art photonic (13th pillar
of the Nynomic group), which should be highly value accretive during the
coming years thanks to significant synergy potential.
In detail, art photonic is a Berlin-based expert in the development and
production of highly specialized fiber optic cables used for optical
measurement technology with a focus on mid-infrared (MIR) wavelength,
making it highly compatible with the the recently acquired NLIR (early
Oct.). Its products enable ultra-fast transmission of light to the
measurement point and back to the sensor to process the received data. Both
acquisitions support Nynomic's strategy to bring MIR in a scalable way into
production processes integrated into stationary machines, production
plants, commercial vehicles and similar, thus expanding Nynomic's future
solution portfolio.
In 2023e, art photonics is seen to generate some € 4m sales with an EBIT
margin of roughly 10% (eNuW). Thanks to significant cross-selling
opportunities across Nynomic’s broad customer base, we expect art
photonic’s annual sales growth potential to be at around 20% for the next
three to four years. The resulting positive operating leverage should
quickly enable EBIT margins of >15%, in our
view. While the purchase price was not disclosed, we expect it to be in
line with Nynomic’s recent acquisitions, i.e. ~1x EV/sales, or € 4m in the
case of art photonics, making it a clearly value accretive deal.
Additional acquisitions to follow in H1 2024e. Carried by its inherently
cash flow generating business model, the € 18.9m capital increase in May
and in line with its buy and build strategy, Nynomic looks set to acquire
1-2, potentially also larger targets with up to € 20m sales during FY
2024e.
Further positive newsflow to stem from a strong Q4 and a continued strong
momentum throughout 2024e. Following solid 9M results with € 83m sales and
a 10% EBIT margin, Nynomic looks set to report a disproportionally strong
Q4 due to confirmed call-off dates of formerly delayed orders, several new
projects within structurally growing markets. Q4 sales should come in at €
37.6m (+14% yoy, eNuW) with an EBIT margin of 19.7% (eNuW). With several
products (e.g. Spectral Engines) beginning to gain traction and
structurally growing demand for existing solutions, organic sales growth
during the next years should exceed 10% (eNuW).
BUY with an unchanged € 54 PT based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28555.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: MLP SE: BUY
Original-Research: MLP SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MLP SE
Unternehmen: MLP SE
ISIN: DE0006569908
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 15.12.2023
Kursziel: € 11,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Prepared for the future - Analyst meeting feedback
Topic: MLP recently hosted its annual analyst meeting and gave insights
into strategic developments:
Advanced digitalization: On group level as well as for all MLP consultants,
the company has invested heavily into its digitalization. For example, AI
enabled robotic process automations significantly reduced the time spent on
daily and repetitive tasks for MLP consultants, increasing operating
efficiency and giving the consultants more time for valuable sales
activities. On the customer side, the newly launched web- and mobile app
'Financial Home' gives customers a full overview of all their assets,
including
third party insurance contracts, brokerage- and bank accounts. This should
mitigate potential churn to insurtechs as well as create lock in effects
and a better user experience for MLP customers.
Managing demography: MLP's new 'trainee program' started in July '23 and
aims to attract the new generation of MLP consultants. With a meaningful
part of consultants aged above 55 years, the constant and reliable inflow
of new consultants is a major priority in the coming years in order to find
well-suited successors if old consultants retire. This is especially
important, as clients are more prone to churn if their consultant retires
without a suitable successor due to the personal relationship. Hence, MLP
plans to attract more than 500 new consultants in the mid-term, which seems
achievable given c. 100 new hires in FY' 23e and c. 200 planned for FY
'24e.
M&A strategy: With RVM already in the group, MLP aims to expand its reach
into industrial insurance brokerage segment. with the goal to lift notable
synergies across the group. However, this is a highly fragmented but
strongly consolidating market which is why valuations are still too high to
acquire targets at reasonable prices.
Regulatory environment: MLP feels very comfortable with the current
regulations and looks optimistically into the future: (1) the proposed
comission ban (on EU level) has been removed in May, (2) Germany aims to
reform the tax-priviledged private old-age provision which should create
demand for consultancy and (3) the proposed tax incentives for real estate
investments by changing the depreciation method should foster demand for
real estate brokerage as well as development, where
MLP focuses on retirement homes.
All in all, MLP seems to well prepared for the future. BUY with unchanged
PT of € 11.00 (FCFY' 24e).
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28551.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Sphene Capital GmbH: Rover Metals Corp.: Buy
Original-Research: Rover Metals Corp. - von Sphene Capital GmbH
Einstufung von Sphene Capital GmbH zu Rover Metals Corp.
Unternehmen: Rover Metals Corp.
ISIN: CA77937B2003
Anlass der Studie: Update Report
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 14.12.2023
Kursziel: CAD 0,62 (bisher: CAD 0,75)
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 36 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Peter Thilo Hasler
Cabin Lake offered for sale – Focus on Lithium assets
With a strict focus on the Let’s Go Lithium project in Nevada and the IML
project in the Northwest Territories, Rover Metals has announced that it
intends to offer its 100% owned Cabin Lake gold project for sale. Located
110 km northwest of Yellowknife at the northern end of Russell Lake, Cabin
Gold reportedly hosts high-grade gold in iron formation in Archean
metasedimentary rocks. After acquiring the project in 2018, Rover Metals
confirmed and expanded the historical gold resource, including by
completing an airborne magnetic geophysical survey on the Bugow iron
formation. A phase 1 diamond drilling exploration program at the historical
Arrow Zone resulted in the discovery and definition of a high-grade (31.9
meters averaging 13.66 g/t Au) gold ore vein at the Cabin Arrow Zone that
extends 140 meters at surface and is open at depth.
According to the company, the property is being offered under a
staged-ownership purchase option, that includes an up-front cash payment
and ongoing royalty payments. The transaction is intended to bring-in
needed working capital for 2024e, among others for further permitting work
at the LGL project (Rover Metals' main asset) and further exploration and
identification of pegmatites at the IML project.
The sale will be preceded by the publication of the NI 43-101 Technical
Report for the Cabin Lake project, which is scheduled for Q1/2024e. This
will reportedly include multiple high-grade gold drill intercepts with
drill results of up to 13.66 g/t Au that were published in 2020.
After the recent decline in LCE prices, we have adjusted our valuation
model and now calculate a probability weighted net asset value based and
fully diluted price target of CAD 0.62 per share. Our price target is based
solely on the speculative lithium resources of the LGL project, other
assets were not included in our valuation, representing a potential bonus
to our NAV calculation. We maintain our Buy rating for the shares of Rover
Metals.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28545.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Peter Thilo Hasler, CEFA
+49 (89) 74443558/ +49 (152) 31764553
peter-thilo.hasler@sphene-capital.de
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Advanced Blockchain AG: Buy
Original-Research: Advanced Blockchain AG - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Advanced Blockchain AG
Unternehmen: Advanced Blockchain AG
ISIN: DE000A0M93V6
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 11.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Julien Desrosiers
Expected increase in profitability
Advanced Blockchain AG was recently presented at the Eigenkapitalforum by
CEO Simon Telian and Sebastian Markowsky, which met with considerable
interest from investors. Initial plans for 2024 have been communicated.
Assuming that the current very positive trend in the crypto market
continues, the management is planning strategic divestments of token
generation events in the amount of around € 2.5 million. These events could
take place, for example, with LAYR from Composable or Krest from peaq.
These token generation events are expected to have a recurring character
and thus increase the company's predictability, which could enable
sustainable positive results. In addition, the focus remains on closing
further OTC deals, which could amount to around € 2 million. With these
planned transactions, we forecast that revenue will increase to around € 5
million in total in 2024.
Advanced Blockchain AG has rethought its business model in light of the
rise in interest rates and the changed market situation. The focus is now
increasingly on recurring income, particularly through data-based solutions
that the company is currently developing and which could make a significant
contribution in the future. The focus for new incubations continues to be
on resource-efficient deployment. Management is also concentrating on
developing strategic partnerships, particularly in the core markets of
Switzerland, Dubai and Tokyo, and on building up highly qualified staff. We
expect a noticeable increase in net income, especially after the
implementation of a cost-cutting program in the current financial year
2023. We therefore assume that net income in 2024 will probably be around €
1 million. Furthermore, given the extremely positive market environment and
business development, this year's result may already exceed market
expectations.
The crypto markets are currently experiencing a significant upward
movement, with Bitcoin breaking through the USD 43,000 threshold and now
having a market capitalization of over USD 900 billion. Binance's recent
settlement with the US Department of Justice has influenced market
momentum. The growing anticipation of a Bitcoin ETF approval continues to
drive this momentum and significant capital inflows are expected to drive
prices higher in the cryptocurrency market.
Furthermore, important milestones were reached in the investments of
Advanced Blockchain AG: Panoptic recently raised USD 11.5 million in a seed
financing led by Greenfield Capital, resulting in a valuation of more than
USD 30 million. peaq recorded a successful launch of the first Wicrypt
hotspots on the Krest network. The Krest token price has seen a steady
increase since August, contributing a significant seven-figure amount to
the group's portfolio.
In addition, the company is now also represented in Dubai and will
participate in the upcoming Global Blockchain Congress on December 11 and
12. CEO Simon Telian is currently in Tokyo to explore potential
collaborations with the Japanese government. A white paper from the
Japanese government proposes crypto-friendly measures. These include
recommendations for tax changes, accelerated token valuations, regulation
of stablecoins and support for legal frameworks for NFTs. The document
proposes the creation of a Web3 minister, the introduction of crypto visas
and the expansion of startup visas.
We confirm our current valuation of € 11.00 per share and continue to
assign a Buy rating due to the considerable upside potential.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28523.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
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Date (time) of completion: 11.12.2023 (10:50)
Date (time) of first publication: 11.12.2023 (12:00)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
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