Activity Stream
GBC AG: Mexedia SPA-SB: Buy
Original-Research: Mexedia SPA-SB - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Mexedia SPA-SB
Unternehmen: Mexedia SPA-SB
ISIN: IT0005450819
Anlass der Studie: Management Interview
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 36.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Marcel Schaffer
Pioneering Tomorrow's Tech Landscape: Mexedia's Visionary Journey Unfolds
The MKK Conference in Munich has provided the backdrop for a compelling
conversation between the Mexedia's CEO, Orlando Taddeo, and equity research
analyst Matthias Greiffenberger. Against the vibrant atmosphere of one of
Germany’s leading conferences, this interview delves into Mexedia's
remarkable journey and strategic vision.
Listed on the Euronext Growth Paris exchange, Mexedia has rapidly evolved
beyond its roots in international voice and SMS termination activities.
Orlando Taddeo, at the helm of Mexedia's leadership, shares exclusive
insights into the company's trajectory, recent financial successes, and its
proactive stance on embracing cutting-edge technologies.
This engaging discussion explores Mexedia's commitment to staying ahead in
the dynamic tech landscape, utilizing artificial intelligence, and
fostering collaboration with developers. Against the backdrop of the MKK
Conference, renowned for showcasing innovations and trends, Matthias
Greiffenberger delves into Mexedia's open-platform philosophy and
strategies for both organic growth and acquisitions. This interview
promises a unique perspective into Mexedia's unfolding story, directly from
the visionary insights of CEO Orlando Taddeo.
GBC AG: To provide investors with a comprehensive understanding of Mexedia,
could you give an introductory overview of the company?
Orlando Taddeo: We're a dynamic tech company listed on the Euronext Growth
Paris exchange. Our journey began with a strong focus on international
voice and SMS termination activities, a sector where we've established a
significant presence. However, Mexedia's vision has always been
forward-looking and adaptive. Recognizing the evolving needs of our
customers and the market, we've expanded our portfolio to include
cutting-edge Customer Engagement and Customer Experience Business Services.
In these areas, we're not just participating; we're aiming to be pioneers,
leveraging advanced technologies like Artificial Intelligence to enhance
our tools and services. This expansion reflects our commitment to staying
at the forefront of technological advancements and our dedication to
offering solutions that are highly relevant and effective in today's
rapidly changing digital landscape. Our journey is one of continuous
evolution, and we're excited to bring our investors and customers along as
we explore new horizons in the tech world.
GBC AG: Following the recent publication of your half-year results, could
you provide a concise summary and share whether the results align with your
expectations?
Orlando Taddeo: We're quite pleased to share that our half-year results
have been quite encouraging. There has been a noticeable growth in our
revenues and EBITDA, which, to our satisfaction, aligns well with the
expectations and forecasts we had set for this period. This positive
outcome is a testament to the hard work and dedication of our team, and it
reflects the strength of our strategic initiatives, including our efforts
in diversifying our services and enhancing our cross-selling capabilities.
We believe these strategies have been key in navigating the challenges and
seizing the opportunities of our dynamic industry. We remain committed to
maintaining this momentum and continuing to deliver value to our
stakeholders.
GBC AG: Aligning with market demand, could you shed light on the current
sought-after products and services, and how Mexedia is positioned to meet
these demands?
Orlando Taddeo: One of the most fascinating aspects in the current market,
which we at Mexedia are keenly focused on, involves innovative value-added
services, particularly in the realm of business automation solutions. We
recognize that in today's fast-paced business environment, efficiency and
innovation are essential components of a successful strategy. At Mexedia,
we are excited about harnessing the power of artificial intelligence to
revolutionize customer engagement. Our approach involves using AI not just
as a tool, but as a transformative force to enhance and streamline
communication processes. This technology is pivotal in accelerating
operations, enabling businesses to operate more efficiently and
cost-effectively. We understand that the landscape of customer engagement
is constantly evolving, and staying ahead of these changes is crucial. By
integrating AI into our solutions, we are anticipating future trends. This
forward-thinking approach positions Mexedia as a leader in providing
innovative solutions that meet the ever-changing needs of businesses in the
digital age.
GBC AG: Exploring the open-platform nature of Mexedia, could you elaborate
on how developers contribute to the platform's growth and the development
of new features?
Orlando Taddeo: Mexedia’s open-platform approach allows developers to
contribute significantly, leading to new features and innovations, thereby
enhancing its service offerings. This collaborative environment enables
Mexedia to maintain its edge in the market. The open-platform nature of
Mexedia is one of its most distinctive and innovative aspects, particularly
evident through our App Store marketplace. This platform is not just a
repository of applications; it's a thriving ecosystem that fosters
continuous growth and innovation. By allowing both proprietary and
third-party Mini-Apps to be activated, we ensure that our users have access
to a diverse and comprehensive range of choices, tailored to meet their
specific needs. What truly sets Mexedia apart and serves as a catalyst for
its evolution is our inclusive approach toward developers and
industry-specific companies. By opening up the Mexedia App Store to these
external contributors, we've created a dynamic environment where continuous
development is not just encouraged but is a fundamental part of the
ecosystem. This approach allows us to offer brands a novel, comprehensive,
and dynamic mode of customer interaction. Our platform encompasses a wide
array of functionalities – from SMS, chat, and voice services to relational
AI, payments, authentications, augmented reality, and voice smart
assistants. The diversity of our Mini-App offerings means there's a
solution for every objective. Developers play a crucial role in this
ecosystem; their contributions in terms of innovative Mini-Apps and
features are invaluable. They not only expand the capabilities of the
Mexedia platform but also ensure that it remains at the forefront of
technological advancement and market relevance.
GBC AG: In terms of growth, can you outline Mexedia's strategy for both
organic expansion and acquisitions?
Orlando Taddeo: At the core of our organic growth strategy is a strong
emphasis on innovation and market penetration. We believe that by
continuously innovating our products and services, we can anticipate future
needs. This forward-thinking approach is complemented by our efforts to
penetrate deeper into existing markets and to identify and establish
ourselves in new ones. Our goal is to grow organically by enhancing our
offerings and extending our reach, thereby solidifying our position in the
market. Strategic acquisitions, on the other hand, play a pivotal role in
our expansion strategy. We seek opportunities to acquire companies in
sectors that align with our vision and can contribute to our service
portfolio. These acquisitions are selected to ensure they complement our
existing services but also bring new capabilities and expertise to the
table. By integrating these acquired companies and their unique strengths
into our operations, we can offer a more comprehensive suite of services to
our clients.
GBC AG: Looking ahead, how does Mexedia plan to enhance its EBITDA margin
in the coming years?
Orlando Taddeo: As we look towards the future, Mexedia is committed to
enhancing its EBITDA margin through a multifaceted strategy that focuses on
leveraging our existing services, improving operational efficiencies, and
introducing innovative solutions. We understand that a healthy EBITDA
margin is crucial for our long-term sustainability and success, and our
approach is designed to address this on multiple fronts.
GBC AG: Can you provide a practical example or case study that highlights
the capabilities and impact of Mexedia ON?
Orlando Taddeo: I can share a practical example that showcases the
advantages of using Mexedia ON in the retail sector: a retail client was
looking to enhance their customer engagement and drive sales. Before
implementing Mexedia ON, they faced challenges in effectively reaching and
engaging with their diverse customer base. Their communication strategies
were somewhat generic and did not fully leverage the potential of
multi-channel communication. This is where Mexedia ON stepped in. With
Mexedia ON, we developed and implemented a personalized communication
strategy tailored to the unique preferences and behaviors of their
customers. By harnessing the power of Mexedia ON's advanced analytics and
AI capabilities, we were able to gain deep insights into customer
preferences and engagement patterns. These insights enabled us to craft
targeted messages and offers that were delivered through the most effective
channels for each customer segment. Whether it was through SMS or other
digital channels, each message was optimized for maximum relevance and
impact. The results were remarkable. The client saw a significant increase
in customer engagement, which translated into higher sales figures.
Customers responded positively to the personalized communication, feeling
more valued and understood. This also helped in building long-term customer
loyalty. Basically, the efficiency of Mexedia ON in managing and automating
these multi-channel communications allowed the client to scale their
efforts without a corresponding increase in complexity or resource
allocation.
GBC AG: What is the future vision for Mexedia, and are there any upcoming
developments in the next two years that you find particularly exciting or
noteworthy?
Orlando Taddeo: As we look towards the future, Mexedia is firmly focused on
deepening its role as a key player in the realms of digital transformation
and communication innovation. Our vision is to be at the forefront, driving
change and setting new standards in the industry. In the next two years, we
have several exciting developments lined up that align with this vision.
One of the key areas we are focusing on is the expansion of our service
portfolio. We are constantly exploring new technologies and solutions that
can add value to our clients, by enriching our existing offerings with more
advanced, efficient, and cutting-edge solutions. Another significant area of
development is exploring new markets. Mexedia recognizes the importance of
global reach in today’s interconnected world. We are actively assessing
opportunities to enter new geographic markets, which gives us invaluable
insights into diverse market dynamics. This expansion is a strategic move
to reinforce our global footprint and bring our advanced technology and
communication solutions to a wider audience. These developments are
particularly exciting as they represent our commitment to lead and innovate
in the technology and communication sectors. We are enthusiastic about the
potential of these initiatives to strengthen our leadership position and to
offer even more value to our clients and stakeholders.
GBC AG: Thank you very much for the interview.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28451.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
https://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 01.12.2023 (16:20)
Date (time) of first publication: 07.12.2023 (12:00)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Comment)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 4.05 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
Nine months 2023: Solid sales and operating earnings performance despite
challenging conditions; positive effects from the initiated savings
programme enabled an increase in profitability; GBC estimates and price
target confirmed
Business performance 9M 2023
Media and Games Invest (SE) published its nine-month and Q3 figures for the
current financial year on 30 November 2023. Based on these figures, the ad
tech group saw a moderate decline in digital Group revenue of 3.6% to €
223.27 million in the past nine months (9M 2022: € 231.55 million),
primarily due to divestments (in the games segment) and unfavourable
exchange rate developments. The revenue generated was primarily driven by
the traditionally largest advertising segment 'Supply Side Platform'
(revenue share: 89.7%), which generated revenue of € 200.35 million (9M
2022: € 209.65 million).
According to the company, an organic increase in consolidated sales was
achieved on a comparable basis. This revenue growth is primarily the result
of an increase in the software customer base and the volume of advertising
placed. The number of customers on MGI's digital advertising platform
increased significantly by 9.0% to 2,068 software customers at the end of
the third quarter compared to the same quarter of the previous year
(software customers at the end of Q3 2022: 1,898). At the same time, the
digital advertising volume delivered increased significantly by 8.0% to 186
billion at the end of the third quarter (advertising ads at the end of Q3
2022: 172 billion).
Thanks to the noticeable expansion of the software customer base, the
Ad-Tech Group was able to perform well amid the challenging market
situation and thus slightly overcompensate for negative market aspects such
as reduced customer advertising budgets and lower CPMs (cost-per-mile).
In addition, further market share was gained, enabling this technology
company to further expand its leading market position. According to a
recent Pixalate market study, MGI's subsidiary Verve Group remains the
market leader on Android and iOS in the US market with a market share of
11.0% and 28.0% respectively. In Europe, Verve recently achieved a
market-leading position on Android (No. 2 with a market share of 15.0%) and
iOS (No. 3 with a market share of 9.0%). In our view, MGI has thus
outperformed the general advertising market and the advertising industry as
a whole.
In contrast to the sales trend, MGI achieved growth at all earnings levels,
primarily due to the revaluation of the AxesInMotion earn-out payment
liability (positive one-off effect of € 62.76 million). EBITDA increased
dynamically by 73.6% to € 101.15 million compared to the same quarter of
the previous year (9M 2022: € 58.28 million). Adjusted for one-off effects
(e.g. M&A and restructuring costs or revaluations of balance sheet items),
adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) totalled € 63.50 million, which was slightly
higher than in the same period of the previous year (9M 2022: € 61.70
million).
In terms of operating profitability, an increase in profitability to 28.4%
(9M 2022: 26.6%) was achieved on the basis of the adjusted EBITDA margin
(Adj. EBITDA margin). This improvement in profitability reflects the first
positive effects of the company's cost-cutting programme, which is expected
to generate annual cost savings of around € 10.0 million once successfully
implemented.
After the first nine months of the financial year, consolidated net income
(after minority interests) totalled € 41.83 million (9M 2022: € 8.77
million), which was significantly higher than the previous year's level.
This significant increase in net income was mainly due to the positive
one-off effect from the revaluation of an M&A-related payment obligation
described above.
Business development Q3 2023
The negative effects of divestments and unfavourable exchange rate
developments were particularly noticeable in the third quarter.
Accordingly, the MGI Group suffered a significant year-on-year decline in
digital Group sales of 10.6% to € 78.34 million (Q3 2022: € 87.62 million).
Adjusted for these negative currency effects, however, organic sales growth
of 1.0% was achieved at Group level, according to the company. This revenue
growth was primarily the result of an increase in the software customer
base and the volume of advertising delivered.
At operating earnings level, adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) of € 23.10
million was achieved, mainly thanks to efficiency gains from the
cost-saving programme that has been initiated, thus confirming the high
earnings level of the previous year (Q3 2022: € 23.00 million). At the same
time, the adjusted EBITDA margin increased significantly to 29.5% (Q3 2022:
26.3%)
Forecast and price target
Against the backdrop of the company's solid performance in the first nine
months of 2023, MGI's management has confirmed its previously adjusted
guidance (dated 31 August 2023) for the current 2023 financial year with
the publication of its nine-month and Q3 figures. Accordingly, the
technology company continues to expect consolidated sales of around € 303.0
million and Adj. EBITDA of € 93.0 million. At the same time, the company
has also confirmed its medium-term guidance (Revenue CAGR: 25.0% to 30.0%;
Adj. EBITDA margin: 25.0% to 30.0%). As a result, MGI anticipates
significantly higher growth momentum again in the medium term on the basis
of an expected recovery in the advertising market.
Overall, we remain convinced that the ad tech group will be able to return
to growth from the 2024 financial year onwards, based on the gradual
recovery of the advertising market that we expect. In particular, the MGI
Group's strong positioning in the growth areas of programmatic advertising
and connected TV (CTV) in combination with innovative advertising solutions
(Moments.AI, ATOM etc.) should ensure further market share gains and a
significant outperformance compared to the general advertising industry in
the future. The significant expansion of their software customer base
achieved in recent quarters also provides a good basis for driving
(organic) growth even more strongly.
In light of the company's solid performance, the confirmed outlook and
their promising growth strategy, we confirm our previous revenue and
earnings estimates for the current financial year and subsequent years.
Accordingly, we also confirm our previous price target of € 4.05 per share.
With regard to the current share price level, we therefore continue to
assign a 'buy' rating and see significant upside potential in the MGI
share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28503.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 07/12/2023 (9:35 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 07/12/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Marley Spoon Group SE: BUY
Original-Research: Marley Spoon Group SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Marley Spoon Group SE
Unternehmen: Marley Spoon Group SE
ISIN: LU2380748603
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 07.12.2023
Kursziel: € 8,20
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Mark-Hendrik Schüssler
RS feedback: Venture-like D2C meal kit opportunity
Yesterday, we hosted a digital roadshow with the CEO of Marley Spoon. Here
are our key takeaways:
Adjusted voucher strategy and turnaround. In Q3, the company rectified a
previously changed voucher strategy and has already seen promising signs of
increasing marketing efficiency and early cohort retention rates in Q4,
paving the way to return to sales growth in 2024e aided by a more
stabilized order frequency, growing basket size (c. 2% eNuW), as well as
growing subscriber quality and base (c. 3% eNuW; currently 15% retention
rate over > 20 quarters).
Ongoing reduction in G&A expenses should contribute to a positive operating
EBITDA in 2024e. Executing on its strategic shift from growth to
profitability, Marley Spoon managed to significantly decrease G&A expenses
by 20% yoy in Q3 2023 (excl. one-time charges) as it continues to reduce
costs through automation, business service centralization, and realizing
cost synergies from its Chefgood integration. Moreover, installed capacity
should help it produce c. € 1bn in sales, rendering future capex
superfluous
and supporting break-even to positive free cash flow generation starting
2024e.
Process of ending dual-listed status underway. The company is in the
process of transferring its float from ASX to Frankfurt Stock Exchange
through a tender offer to acquire the remaining shares of the Australianlisted
Marley Spoon SE (
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28499.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Mexedia SPA-SB: Buy
Original-Research: Mexedia SPA-SB - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Mexedia SPA-SB
Unternehmen: Mexedia SPA-SB
ISIN: IT0005450819
Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Note)
Empfehlung: Buy
Kursziel: 36.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2024
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Marcel Schaffer
Advancing Mexedia: Expanding Services, Strategic Acquisitions, and
Innovative Offerings
During the first half of 2023, the Mexedia Group witnessed a substantial
surge in revenue propelled by strategic acquisitions of Phonetime Inc. and
Matchcom Telecommunications Inc., executed through Mexedia Inc. These
acquisitions strategically redirected revenue from Mexedia Ltd.'s
voice-based electronic termination services to the flourishing U.S. market,
with the goal of fortifying the competitive position and streamlining the
integration of the newly acquired entities.
Concurrently, Mexedia S.p.A. SB, the parent company, introduced SMS
electronic termination services, yielding positive impacts on both revenue
and margin. The Mexedia Group achieved consolidated revenues of €133.36
million in the initial six months of 2023, showcasing an impressive growth
of 59.4% compared to the corresponding period in the previous year.
EBITDA remained steadfast at €4.10 million, reflecting a 1.9% increase from
the parallel period in the prior year. Mexedia Ltd. contributed 71% to the
EBITDA, while the remaining portion was attributed to Mexedia Inc. The dip
in the EBITDA margin stemmed from continuous optimization processes within
the U.S. companies.
Financial expenses rose to €2.36 million due to elevated working capital
and foreign exchange losses linked to the multicurrency operations of
Matchcom Telecommunications Inc., compared to €1.72 million in the
corresponding period of the previous year. The overall net result for the
group amounted to €1.44 million, a slight decrease from €1.58 million in
the same period of 2022.
Following deliberations at the MKK Conference, the forecast was fine-tuned,
anticipating revenues of €280 million for 2023 and €300 million for 2024.
The management is laser-focused on margin improvement, sustainable growth,
and a gradual transition to opportunities with higher margins.
The positive market projections in the telecommunications sector are fueled
by the escalating demand for communication services. Mexedia strategically
positions itself for substantial revenue growth through initiatives such as
the acquisition of Matchcom Telecommunications Inc. and Phonetime Inc.,
along with the introduction of Mexedia ON.
Mexedia ON, a pivotal element in the growth strategy, serves as a Customer
Experience Platform offering innovative channels like Metaverse and Smart
Voice Assistance. The refined forecast indicates an enhanced margin, with
an anticipated EBITDA of €13.12 million for 2023 and €18.15 million for
2024. Mexedia is committed to a comprehensive strategy aimed at boosting
the EBITDA margin, encompassing the optimization of existing services and
the introduction of innovative solutions.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28447.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,6a,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
https://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the research report: 01.12.2023 (17:00)
Date and time of the first disclosure of the research report: 06.12.2023 (12:00)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: 123fahrschule SE: BUY
Original-Research: 123fahrschule SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu 123fahrschule SE
Unternehmen: 123fahrschule SE
ISIN: DE000A2P4HL9
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 06.12.2023
Kursziel: € 8,70
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Sound Q3 confirms positive momentum
123fahrschule published a sound set of Q3 results, showing continuous
top-line growth and a significantly improved profitability. Here are the
key takeaways:
Q3 sales increased by 23% yoy to € 5.2m (eNuW: € 5.1m) driven by a
significantly increased number of overall driving lessons (+19% to 146k) as
well as a strong performance of the Professional Driver Education segment.
In detail: Sales of the company’s core segment Private Customers rose 18%
yoy to € 4.0m (eNuW: € 4.3m) thanks to last year’s M&A activities as well
as organic growth carried by improving utilization rates. Notably,
Professional Drivers Education continues to gain traction with yoy topline
growth of 114% to € 0.6m (eNuW: € 0.4m) after management significantly
strengthened the respective salesforce, which is bearing fruit quicker than
anticipated. Only the Driving Instructor Training segment fell slightly
behind our estimates with sales down 12% yoy to € 0.4m (eNuW: € 0.5m).
Against this backdrop, the company provided a neutral Q3 EBITDA, which is a
significant improvement compared to a negative € 2.0m in Q3’22. Mind you,
that the FY EBITDA is still seen to turn negative (eNuW: € -0.7m) which is
due to two main effects: (1) Seasonally weak December as students are
generally reluctant to take driving lessons during Christmas. (2) Other
OpEx are seasonally higher in Q4 based on the built up of provisions,
especially vacation accruals, which are entirely built up at YE.
Still, from 2024e onwards, FY EBITDA looks set to turn positive driven by
efficiency gains and economies of scale based on continuous strong oganic
growth of 15% (eNuW). Thanks to its own driving instructor training
centers, 123f is seen to cope well with the shortage of skilled workforce
and thus continue to outperform the market. That said, the current budget
crisis could have a negative impact on the awarding of education vouchers
(eNuW: 70% of sales in Professional Driver Education & Driving Instructor
Training segments), which implies some downside risk to our esimates.
Liquidity issue resolved. As flagged in our initiation, the company
recently resolved a cash capital increase, raising gross proceeds of €
1.7m. With this, management eliminated liquidity as a risk factor as the
company is now fully financed until FCF generation is seen to kick in in
2025e.
Shares continue to appear undervalued trading at 0.7x EV/Sales 2023e,
especially after the recent weakness following the capital increase.
Remains a BUY with an unchanged PT of € 8.70 based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28489.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: CEL-SCI Corporation: Buy
Original-Research: CEL-SCI Corporation - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu CEL-SCI Corporation
Unternehmen: CEL-SCI Corporation
ISIN: US1508376076
Anlass der Studie: Initiation of coverage
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 05.12.2023
Kursziel: USD8.40
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 months
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Christian Orquera
First Berlin Equity Research has initiated coverage on CEL-SCI Corporation
(ISIN: US1508376076). Analyst Christian Orquera's rating is BUY with a
price target of USD 8.40 (€7.70).
Abstract:
CEL-SCI Corporation (CEL-SCI) is a biotech company with a development-stage
immunotherapeutic product pipeline focused on cancer. The company's lead
drug candidate, Multikine, is a biological product that contains a mixture
of naturally derived and naturally occurring human proteins called
cytokines, capable of activating a patient's immune system to fight and
kill cancerous tumours. The drug candidate has been primarily developed as
a neo-adjuvant (prior to standard therapy which mostly implies surgical
removal of the tumour) immunotherapy for the treatment of various types of
solid tumours, the lead indication, primary advanced head and neck squamous
cell carcinoma (HNSCC). While Multikine did not meet the primary endpoint
of the overall phase 3 trials in 923 patients, it demonstrated superior
performance compared to standard of care in the pre-defined low-risk arm
(n=380). Moreover, post-hoc data analysis of the whole study showed that
the drug candidate achieves an even stronger performance in less sick
locally advanced disease patients meeting certain criteria (No lymph node
involvement - N0 - and low PD-L1 tumour expression). These patients showed
a 73% 5-year survival rate vs 45% for the control group, a 28 percentage
point overall survival advantage vs control (p=0.0015). Importantly, 38% of
these patients saw pre-surgical responses with Multikine which led to a
>32% 5-year absolute overall survival advantage vs control (p=0.0019).
Based on this data, we believe CEL-SCI's lead drug candidate, Multikine,
has a good chance of receiving conditional approval in Canada and the UK in
H2 2024, followed by Europe and the US in 2025. Subject to approval, the
company will be able to commercialise the drug while conducting a
confirmatory study. We project sales potential for Multikine in these
markets of >USD970m. We expect positive news flow from Multikine's approval
process to add substantial value to CEL-SCI and positively impact the share
price. We initiate coverage of CEL-SCI with a Buy rating and a USD8.40
(€7.70) price target.
First Berlin Equity Research hat die Coverage von CEL-SCI Corporation
(ISIN: US1508376076) aufgenommen. Das Rating von Analyst Christian Orquera
ist BUY bei einem Kursziel von USD 8,40 (€7,70).
Zusammenfassung:
CEL-SCI Corporation (CEL-SCI) ist ein Biotech-Unternehmen mit einer
immuntherapeutischen Produktpipeline im Entwicklungsstadium, die sich auf
Krebs konzentriert. Der führende Arzneimittelkandidat des Unternehmens,
Multikine, ist ein biologisches Produkt, das eine Mischung aus natürlich
gewonnenen und natürlich vorkommenden menschlichen Proteinen, so genannten
Zytokinen, enthält, die das Immunsystem des Patienten aktivieren können, um
Krebstumore zu bekämpfen und abzutöten. Der Arzneimittelkandidat wurde in
erster Linie als neoadjuvante (vor der Standardtherapie, die meist eine
chirurgische Entfernung des Tumors beinhaltet) Immuntherapie zur Behandlung
verschiedener Arten solider Tumore entwickelt, wobei die Hauptindikation
das primäre fortgeschrittene Plattenepithelkarzinom des Kopfes und Halses
(HNSCC) ist. Während Multikine den primären Endpunkt der gesamten
Phase-3-Studie mit 923 Patienten nicht erreichte, zeigte es im
vordefinierten Niedrigrisiko-Arm (n=380) eine überlegene Leistung im
Vergleich zur Standardbehandlung. Darüber hinaus zeigte eine
Post-hoc-Datenanalyse der gesamten Studie, dass der Medikamentenkandidat
bei weniger kranken Patienten mit lokal fortgeschrittener Erkrankung, die
bestimmte Kriterien erfüllen (kein Lymphknotenbefall - N0 - und geringe
PD-L1-Tumorexpression), eine noch bessere Leistung erzielt. Diese Patienten
wiesen eine 5-Jahres-Überlebensrate von 73% gegenüber 45% in der
Kontrollgruppe auf, was einem Gesamtüberlebensvorteil von 28 Prozentpunkten
gegenüber der Kontrollgruppe entspricht (p=0,0015). Wichtig ist, dass 38 %
dieser Patienten vor der Operation auf Multikine ansprachen, was zu einem
absoluten 5-Jahres-Gesamtüberlebensvorteil von mehr als 32% gegenüber der
Kontrollgruppe führte (p=0,0019). Auf der Grundlage dieser Daten glauben
wir, dass der führende Medikamentenkandidat von CEL-SCI, Multikine, gute
Chancen hat, im zweiten Halbjahr 2024 eine bedingte Zulassung in Kanada und
Großbritannien zu erhalten, gefolgt von Europa und den USA im Jahr 2025.
Vorbehaltlich der Zulassung wird das Unternehmen in der Lage sein, das
Medikament zu vermarkten und gleichzeitig eine Bestätigungsstudie
durchzuführen. Wir gehen von einem Umsatzpotenzial für Multikine in diesen
Märkten von >USD970 Mio. aus. Wir gehen davon aus, dass ein positiver
Nachrichtenfluss aus dem Zulassungsverfahren von Multikine den Wert von
CEL-SCI erheblich steigern und den Aktienkurs positiv beeinflussen wird.
Wir beginnen die Coverage von CEL-SCI mit einem Buy-Rating und einem
Kursziel von USD8,40 (€7,70).
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §85 Abs. 1 S. 1 WpHG und des
Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28487.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: MAX Automation SE: BUY
Original-Research: MAX Automation SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MAX Automation SE
Unternehmen: MAX Automation SE
ISIN: DE000A2DA588
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 05.12.2023
Kursziel: € 8,20
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Konstantin Völk
Strong growth opportunities carried by structural trends; PT up
Despite a strong competitive quality and structural growth drivers, MAX
Automation had difficulties translating it into operating performance
between 2016 and 2020. Thanks to MAX having done its homework by adjusting
its portfolio and structural trends kicking in, shares look poised for a
re-rating.
Until 2025e, MAX Automation should be able to grow sales to € 510m while
achieving disproportionate EBITDA growth of 15% (2022-25e CAGR) thanks to:
Structural growth drivers: MAX's subsidiary bdtronic is a leading provider
of trickling impregnation, which significantly improves performance and
safety metrics of electric drive trains. With the number of electric
vehicles likely to continue to soar during the foreseeable future, the need
for its automated solutions, that enable particularly high production speed
without sacrificing quality, should enable bdtronc’s sales to grow >20%
annually.
Defensible competitive quality: Bdtronic's trickling impregnation business
is based on highly specific know-how and a strong reputation, establishing
lock-in effects and hence high entry barriers. Once the impregnation
machines are installed, it is costly for OEMs to switch to different
suppliers, enabling bdtronic a lucrative service business, allowing for
EBITDA margins north of 17% for bdtronic (eNuW).
With that, MAX’s group KPIs should also further improve: EBIT margins (5.4%
in FY22 -> 7.6%), ROCEs (9.4% in FY22 to >11%) and free cashflow generation
(neg. in FY22 to € 20m) going forward.
In addition to the improving operating performance, a successful divestment
of the subsidiary MA micro (company news 08.09.2023) should be a notable
share price catalyst, revealing that the value of the “parts” clearly
exceeds the current Enterprise Value of the MAX Automation group, in our
view. A strategic buyer should be willing to pay at least 10x EBITDA for
this highly profitable and return-rich specialty
business, implying a purchase price of above € 100m (eNuW).
Importantly, even after a divestment, MAX would own hidden Mittelstand
champions such as bdtronic and Vecoplan, amongst other, whose combined
value alone would well exceed the remaining (theoretical) € 200m EV of the
group ex MA micro (eNuW), underpinning the undervaluation of the stock.
Hence, we reiterate our BUY rating with an increased € 8.20 PT (old: €
7.30) based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28479.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: SFC Energy AG: Buy
Original-Research: SFC Energy AG - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu SFC Energy AG
Unternehmen: SFC Energy AG
ISIN: DE0007568578
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 04.12.2023
Kursziel: 34,00 Euro
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: 16.2.2021: Hochstufung von Hinzufügen auf Kaufen
Analyst: Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu SFC Energy AG
(ISIN: DE0007568578) veröffentlicht. Analyst Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 34,00.
Zusammenfassung:
SFC hat ihre mittelfristige Guidance veröffentlicht, die für 2028 einen
Umsatz von €400 Mio. bis €500 Mio. vorsieht. Eine organische 2022-2026 CAGR
von fast 30% sollte zu einem Umsatz von ca. €400 Mio. führen, die
restlichen €100 Mio. könnten durch M&A generiert werden. SFC strebt bis
2028 eine bereinigte EBITDA-Marge von >15% an (2022: Umsatz von €85 Mio.,
bereinigte EBITDA-Marge von 9,6%). Die wichtigsten organischen
Wachstumstreiber sind die regionale Expansion, insbesondere in Asien und
Nordamerika, sowie eine deutliche Steigerung des Absatzes von
Wasserstoff-Brennstoffzellen. Die mittelfristige Guidance von SFC deckt
sich in etwa mit unseren Erwartungen. Ein aktualisiertes DCF-Modell führt
zu einem unveränderten Kursziel von €34. Wir bestätigen unser
Kaufen-Rating.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on SFC Energy
AG (ISIN: DE0007568578). Analyst Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 34.00 price target.
Abstract:
SFC has published mid-term guidance, which targets 2028 revenue of €400m -
€500m. An organic 2022-2026 CAGR of almost 30% should result in revenue of
ca. €400m, and the remaining €100m could come from M&A. SFC is aiming for
an adjusted EBITDA margin of >15% before 2028 (2022: revenue of €85m,
adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.6%). The main organic growth drivers are
regional expansion, especially in Asia and North America, and a significant
increase in sales of hydrogen fuel cells. SFC's mid-term guidance is
roughly in line with our expectations. An updated DCF model yields an
unchanged price target of €34. We confirm our Buy rating.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §85 Abs. 1 S. 1 WpHG und des
Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28475.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Netfonds AG: BUY
Original-Research: Netfonds AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Netfonds AG
Unternehmen: Netfonds AG
ISIN: DE000A1MME74
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 04.12.2023
Kursziel: € 70,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
FY23 guidance in reach after solid Q3 figures; chg
Netfonds published solid Q3 figures with further sequential top and bottom
line growth and confirmed its FY23 guidance. In detail:
Gross sales came in at € 48.4m (21% yoy, 4% qoq), broadly in line with our
estimate of € 49.0m. The sequential improvement is mainly driven by the
strong growth of high margin AuM in the wealth and asset management (c. €
3bn AuM in Q3 vs eNuW: € 2.8bn after Q2), while overall AuA stagnated on
record levels of € 22.7bn. Importantly, AuA inflows compensated for weaker
stock market performance. Due to higher material expenses (relative to
sales), net sales of only € 8.5m (20% yoy, -11% qoq) came in below our
estimate of € 9.7m.
EBITDA remained rather stable on high levels of € 1.3m (vs € -0.2m in
Q2´22, -13% qoq), but significantly below our estimate of € 2.3m, solely
due to the weaker net sales. While personnel expenses should have been in
line with our estimates (eNuW: € 5.0m), other operating expenses should
have been below (€ 2.2m vs eNuW: € 2.4m), despite further investments into
the finfire platform.
EBT of € 0.4m (vs € -0.6m in Q3´22) resulted from stable D&A of c. € 0.8m
financial result of € -0.1m.
On the back of the solid Q3 figures, the FY23 guidance of € 185-190m gross
sales and € 35-37m net sales looks well achievable given that 1) Q4 was
historically the strongest quarter of the year and 2) stock markets rose
close to all-time highs in November, which should fuel AuA/AuM. A guidance
beat is still in the cards.
Apart from that, the proprietary, 360° finfire platform, which enables
onboarded advisors to offer a wide range of investment, insurance,
financing and banking solutions to its customers via one holistic platform,
remains the company´s key mid- to long-term growth and scalability driver.
Netfonds leading market position in an oligopolistic market with high entry
barriers and long-term structural growth drivers (growing AuM´s and number
of advisors, ongoing digitization of the financial sector, stricter
regulation) should further support future growth.
In light of the growth prospects, the promising mid-term guidance and the
undemanding valuation, we reiterate BUY with an unchanged PT of € 70.00,
based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28455.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: ASMALLWORLD AG: BUY
Original-Research: ASMALLWORLD AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu ASMALLWORLD AG
Unternehmen: ASMALLWORLD AG
ISIN: CH0404880129
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 01.12.2023
Kursziel: CHF 4,90
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henrey Wendisch
JetBeds acquisition to fill important gap
Topic: ASW announced the acquisition of first and business class booking
engine JetBeds.com (JetBeds GmbH, Germany), which is closing an open gap in
ASW’s modular product offering.
All assets of JetBeds are acquired by ASW including the valuable booking
engine as well as other important intangible assets like the customer base.
JetBeds offers a unique USP to travel sassy customers, by finding
attractive deals for first and business class flights of renowned airlines.
While its flight booking engine combines non-cooperating and cooperating
airlines, the company also negotiates
exclusive discount deals for their customers.
With the social network of paying, luxury- and travel-sassy members in its
core, ASW now extends its broad monetization opportunities (see p.2). The
addition of JetBeds completes ASW’s product offering in the travel booking
offering, as members can now also book a flight via ASW next to to hotel
booking (ASW Collection) and bespoke travel services (First Class and More
& ASW Private).
However, the most important synergies should arise from a potential
combination of flight booking and mile optimization but also a potential
technological integration into the hotel-booking engine “ASW Collection”
providing customers a full services for a luxury journey. Moreover, the
sensible acquisition should lift notable cross selling opportunities, once
fully integrated into ASW (eNuW: not before H2’24e) while turning ASW more
and more into a one-stop shop for luxury travel-sassy customers.
While these new scalable monetization expansions should not impact FY'23e,
we expect notable growth of top and bottom line in FY'24e thanks to a
growing member base coupled with increasing average revenues per user
thanks to the continuous expansion of offered services, which serve a niche
ofcurrently 67k high income members.
With shares currently trading at 7.3x EV/EBITDA FY'24e (vs. 15x average
EV/EBITDA FY'20-'22), current levels offer an attractive entry oppurtunity.
Hence, we reiterate our BUY recommendation with unchanged PT of CHF 4.90,
based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28443.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: S Immo AG: BUY
Original-Research: S Immo AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu S Immo AG
Unternehmen: S Immo AG
ISIN: AT0000652250
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 30.11.2023
Kursziel: € 17,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Strong Q3 and another acquisition; chg.
Yesterday, S IMMO released a strong set of Q3 results, showing continued
top-line growth as well as significantly improved operating profitability.
Moreover, the company announced the acquisition of another portfolio in the
CEE region.
Q3 total revenues increased 24% yoy to € 81.1m (eNuW: € 79.8m) which was
mainly driven by last year’s acquisitions in the CEE region, resulting in a
rental income increase of 24% yoy to € 49.0m (eNuW: € 47.5m). Notably, Q3
revenues from hotel operations continued to recover post Covid, as segment
sales increased 26% yoy to € 18.5m (eNuW: € 19.0m) while the segment’s
operating margin significantly improved by 8.9pp yoy to 29.9%.
Against this backdrop, FFO was up 34% yoy to € 25.1m, which was however
below our estimate of € 28.3m. The gap is mainly explained by negative FX
effects to the tune of € 2.9m. The still overproportionate FFO increase is
based on reduced property operating as well as SG&A expenses.
While the operating business remains on a strong level, the company
provided further positive newsflow with another major CEE acquisition. As
flagged in our recent preview note, the company signed an LOI for a Czech
portfolio. Meanwhile, the deal for the 11 properties, which comprise a
lettable area of 138k sqm, has been signed. The portfolio is currently
valued at € 481m an generated rental income of c. € 29m. With this, S IMMO
acquired properties with a total annual rental income of c. € 50m YTD.
The new acquisitions are seen to be mainly financed with the proceeds from
the current disposal program in Germany. While properties worth € 621m have
already been sold, € 400m are still in the disposal pipeline (eNuW: € 250m
of which in Germany). As a quick reminder, yields in CEE are on average
3-4pp higher compared to German residential. Hence, the rebalancing of the
portfolio (e.g. selling German properties & buying CEE properties) should
substantially increase annual rental income, thus creating significant
shareholder value.
We confirm our BUY recommendation with an unchanged PT of € 17.00 based on
NTA and DDM.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28431.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA: BUY
Original-Research: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
Unternehmen: Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co KGaA
ISIN: DE0005493092
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 30.11.2023
Kursziel: € 5,50
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Returning from Milan with pockets full of cash; chg.
On Tuesday, BVB visited AC Milan to play their penultimate Champions League
group stage match. Thanks to a 3-1 victory, the team has already qualified
for the knock-out stage before the last matchday, thus securing € 9.6m
additional premium payments on top of the € 2.8m for winning the match.
As Paris St. Germain only managed to get a draw (1-1) in their final home
game against Newcastle, BVB is now also in pole position finish first in
their group, as they only need a draw in the last match at home against
Paris. Mind you, BVB have not lost at home in the Champions League for two
years and overall lost only one out of the last 29 matches at Signal Iduna
Park. As the group winners play the second- placed team from another group
(i.e. an “easier” opponent) in the round of sixteen, this would clearly
improve BVB’s chances to advance even to the quarterfinals, which would
secure another € 10.6m in premium payments (not reflected in our
estimates). Keep in mind, that those premium payments have a de facto 100%
margin, as no costs are incurred and that sales from ticketing, catering
and merchandising are not yet included in that number.
While the club is performing above expectations in the Champions League in
what we called an unlucky drawn group (Paris, Milan, Newcastle) back in
October, the Bundesliga performance appears somewhat lackluster so far as
BVB is only in 4th place after one third of the season. Although this would
be sufficient to qualify for the Champions League at the end of the season,
the team is seen to face tough competition from the surprisingly strong
Stuttgart (currently 3rd) and Leipzig (5th), while Leverkusen and Bayern
look set to decide the championship among themselves. Hence, BVB should be
competing with Stuttgart and Leipzig for the remaining two spots to qualify
for the CL. However, thanks to the depth and experience of the squad and
the fact that Stuttgart will have to withdraw several key players for the
Africa Cup and the Asian games in Q1, we regard BVB’s chances for a Top-4
finish as high. Notably, this
will be more important than ever, as UEFA will introduce a new format
starting next season which will increase overall price money by c. 33%.
Valuation remains undemanding, in our view, as BVB shares are trading at
only 1.0x EV/Sales 2023/24, which marks a notable discount to its peers
Juventus (2.0x), OL (2.3x) and Manchester United (4.3x).
Reiterate BUY with an unchanged PT of € 5.50 based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28437.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Nabaltec AG: BUY
Original-Research: Nabaltec AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Nabaltec AG
Unternehmen: Nabaltec AG
ISIN: DE000A0KPPR7
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 24.11.2023
Kursziel: € 31,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Q3 review: better-than-feared margin thanks to boehmite; chg
Q3 sales decreased by 12% yoy to € 49.8m (eNuW: € 50.5m) as a result of
continued weak end markets, which left a particularly strong mark on the
group’s Specialty Alumina segment (-24% yoy to € 14.1m). Positively, demand
for its high-margin product boehmite, which has been weak for more than one
year, has begun to pick up. This explains the “only” 6% sales decline of
the Functional Fillers segment to € 53.7m. In fact, monthly sales volumes
should have improved from ~450t to roughly 600t as customers across Eastern
Europe are gradually (but slowly) ramping up battery production volumes and
Asian customers are slowly reverting back to regular orders.
Q3 EBIT came in better than feared at € 4.6m (eNuW: € 3.4m), a 9.3% margin
driven by the improved product mix (higher boehmite and lower Specialty
Alumina sales shares) and slightly lower input costs (vs. previous
quarters) that compensated for general labour cost inflation.
FY guidance confirmed. At the beginning of August, the company adjusted its
FY23 guidance to a 4-6% yoy sales decline (eNuW: 5% with an EBIT margin of
6-8% (eNuW new: 7.8%). While we still expect Nabaltec to meet the mid-point
of the sales guidance, the upper end of the EBIT margin guidance should be
in reach (9M: 8.4% margin), implying a margin of only 5.8% in Q4.
Balance sheet remains strong. At the end of Q3, Nabaltec’s balance sheet
featured roughly € 15m net cash (€ 93m cash, € 15m short-term financial
assets and € 90m debt). During the next 2-3 years, the company looks set to
invest roughly € 45m into expanding production capacities of boehmite and
APYRAL, a gap filler that is mixed with glues used in battery packs/EVs to
redirect heat away from the
cells. Fully utilized boehmite and APYRAL capacity expansions would yield €
65-70m incremental sales and € 16m EBIT.
What to expect from 2024e. Nabaltec is seen to return to slight growth,
thanks to stabilizing sales of core products, environmental friendly flame
retardants, and a gradually improving order momentum for boehmite and
APYRAL as European EV and battery productions are ramping up. The resulting
improvement of the product mix and slight raw material/energy price
deflation should allow for further expanding
margins. Beyond 2024e, core products should also return to structural
growth, in our view.
Nabaltec remains a BUY with an unchanged € 31 PT, based on FCFY 2024e.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28395.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: NFON AG: BUY
Original-Research: NFON AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu NFON AG
Unternehmen: NFON AG
ISIN: DE000A0N4N52
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 24.11.2023
Kursziel: € 11,30 (old: € 10,50)
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Strong Q3 bottom-line leads to another upgrade; chg.
Yesterday, NFON released a strong set of Q3 results. While recurring
revenues were in line with our estimates, the company provided a
significant beat on the bottom line.
Q3 recurring revenues came in at € 19.4m, up 5.3% yoy (eNuW: € 19.4m) based
on a slightly increased seat base of 646k (+3.7% yoy; eNuW: 650k) following
successful key customer gains as well as the cross- and up-selling of
premium solutions to both, new and existing customers. Total sales
increased 1.1% yoy to € 20.5m (eNuW: € 21m), implying a strong recurring
revenue ratio of 94.4% (+3.8pp
yoy).
Adj. EBITDA increased substantially by 274% yoy to € 2.6m, which is a
strong beat on our estimate of € 1.5m. Main drivers of the significant
profitability improvements were an improved gross margin of 84.5% (+2.2pp
yoy) as well as the imposed efficiency measures, which gained traction
quicker than anticipated. In detail: Personnel costs decreased 10% yoy
following a 14% staff reduction. Moreover, marketing costs significantly
declined by 51% yoy as the new management is focusing on more efficient
marketing
measures (e.g. channel marketing).
Against this backdrop, management is lifting its adj. EBITDA guidance for
the second time this year to now € 7.8-8.3m (prior: € 6-7m). We regard the
upgrade as sensible and the new outlook as achievable, given the strong Q3
release, and position ourselves at the mid-point (eNuW: € 8.0m). The ARR
guidance (3-9% yoy growth & >88% ratio) was confirmed.
New CTO announced. Starting January 1st, Andreas Wesselmann will take over
as CTO to lead NFON’s path toward a data driven organization, which should
in turn enhance the scalability of the platform. Previously, Wesselmann was
part part of SAP’s Global Leadership Team where he has proven his ability
to expand and improve existing cloud solutions in a cost efficient manner.
In our view, the release fully confirms that the turnaround remains in full
swing as NFON is seen to continuously grow profitably based in the still
underpenetrated European PBX market.
We confirm our BUY recommendation with an increased PT of € 11.30 (old: €
10.50) based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28397.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: UBM Development AG: BUY
Original-Research: UBM Development AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu UBM Development AG
Unternehmen: UBM Development AG
ISIN: AT0000815402
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 24.11.2023
Kursziel: € 31,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Q3 displays ongoing transaction market standstill, chg.
Yesterday, UBM released another uninspiring set of quarterly results as the
real estate transaction market continues to be in a complete standstill as
volumes in Europe decreased another 16% qoq. Still, positive news came from
several building permits that were granted during the quarter.
Q3 sales declined 15% yoy to € 25m following the ongoing transaction market
standstill as we saw no relevant sales of fully consolidated projects. More
significant contributions came from a couple of residential and office
projects in Poland.
After additional negative valuation effects, mainly stemming from a
shopping center project in Poland as well as negative operating leverage,
Q3 EBITDA came in at a negative € 13.0m (vs € 3.3m in Q3’22). However,
following the preliminary building permit for the Timber Factory project in
Munich (Baubergerstraße) the purchase price for the second half of the JV
partner’s share in the project became due. This mainly drove the positive
financial result of € 27.8m in Q3 which led to a Q3 EBT of € 14.1m, thus
almost halving the H1 EBT (€ -17.4m at 9M vs € -31.6m after H1).
Visibility remains low, as CEO Winkler stated that at least H1’24 will
likely show no substantial recovery of the market. While this is seen to
push a large number of developers towards the brink of bankruptcy, UBM
remains well prepared for what appears to be a perfect storm for the
company. With c. €
160m cash at hand (incl € 91m bond repayment in Q4) and de facto no
refinancing event until Q4’25, UBM has a major advantage over most of its
peers and might even allow to snap some lucky-buys, which is however not
the #1 priority at the moment.
Once the market is starting to regain traction, UBM should be in the pole
position thanks to its superior product offering. Mind you, that the
requirements of the EU taxonomy, which also affects real estate AIFs, will
continue to increase. Hence, demand for sustainable properties (72% of
UBM’s pipeline is timber construction) should grow further.
Despite the lackluster operating performance YTD, which is in our view
entirely due to market headwinds, the mid-term prospects of UBM remain
fully intact, given the compelling product offering of the company. Remains
a BUY with an unchanged PT of € 31.00 based on DDM.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28399.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: CLIQ Digital AG: BUY
Original-Research: CLIQ Digital AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu CLIQ Digital AG
Unternehmen: CLIQ Digital AG
ISIN: DE000A35JS40
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 24.11.2023
Kursziel: € 78,30
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marie-Thérèse Grübner
Analyst teach-in highlights data-driven content distribution
On Friday, November 17th, CLIQ hosted its first ever analyst teach-in, a
welcome step in increasing transparency. Here are our key takeaways:
Savvy performance marketing as USP. While CLIQ offers streaming content, it
is anything but a mere streaming platform; its main competitive edge lies
in its performance marketing expertise. Aided by proprietary business
intelligence and predictive analysis, the company places ad banners on
numerous marketing URLs, thereby boosting conversions and traffic on its
own landing pages.
Investments in quality content. To increase platform desirability and
customer retention, the company continues to improve its content catalogue
across all verticals with tailored movies, series, sports, audiobooks,
music, and gaming. Particularly CLIQ’s entry into cloud gaming capitalizes
on the rapidly advancing market, which is expected to grow by 46% CAGR
until 2030, according to Statista. Instead of owning
the content outright, the company licenses finished content from well-known
partners on either a fixed, revenue-linked, or pay-per-use basis (e.g. 90%
of CLIQ's licensing agreements are based on a fixed licensing fee). While
this will enable CLIQ to operate a flexible and asset-light business model,
higher content quality will result in higher licensing fees, presently
captured in our estimates.
Sales target of € 500m by 2025 confirmed. Three drivers should contribute
to € 500m in sales by 2025: (1) The quality of the membership base is
continuously improving with LTV at € 89.01 as of Q3 (+1.7% qoq; +24% yoy)
due to selling bundled content as opposed to single content, which
strengthens customer loyalty, (2) geographic expansion (e.g. Latin
America), and (3) exploring B2B partnerships and resuming
affiliate marketing with trusted partners to position CLIQ as a unique D2C
brand.
Outlook. FY 23e guidance of sales > € 345m, EBITDA > € 50m and marketing
spend > € 120m is maintained. Although sales developed slightly below
expectations due to muted consumer sentiment, management maintains the
EBITDA guidance and margins should remain at the levels of 9M, in our view.
Importantly, CLIQ’s debt-free balance sheet, strong FCF (€ 15m as of 9M)
and net cash position of € 12m should support its 40% payout ratio and
strong 10% dividend yield, going forward.
CLIQ remains a BUY with an unchanged PT of € 78.30 based on FCFY 23e & 24e.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28401.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: USU Software AG: BUY
Original-Research: USU Software AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu USU Software AG
Unternehmen: USU Software AG
ISIN: DE000A0BVU28
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 23.11.2023
Kursziel: € 30,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Philipp Sennewald
Final Q3 in line with est. amid sequential improvements; chg.
Yesterday, USU released a solid set of Q3 results, showing sequential
improvements compared to the second quarter despite an ongoing
underperformance of license revenues.
Q3 sales increased 4.2% qoq to € 32.9 (eNuW: € 33.3m), implying a muted 1%
yoy growth against a tough comparable base. Main drivers were the
continuously strong growth in SaaS sales of 15.1% yoy to € 4.3m (eNuW: €
4.6m) as well as the consulting business, which grew 12% yoy to € 20.6m
(eNuW: € 20.2m) thanks to the continuing strong demand for digitization
services. However, this could not fully compensate for the again weak
license sales, which declined 67% yoy to € 1.3m (eNuW: € 1.4m), due to
prolonged sales cycles.
On this basis as well as due to continuously increased R&D expenses in
connection with the SaaS platform and AI projects, Q3 EBITDA steeply
declined by 43% yoy to € 2.5m (eNuW: € 2.9m). Notably, USU introduced an
employee stock option program in Q3 following the 2022 share buyback.
Although not cash relevant, this marks a specific extraordinary expense
under IFRS, which is why management decided to henceforth report an
adjusted EBITDA figure. For Q3, adjusted EBITDA amounted to € 2.8m. Going
forward, this will also include the newly introduced share program for
executives, which is fed by Udo Strehl's personal stock portfolio. As a
result, both the company’s FY as well as the mid-term guidance now refer to
adjusted EBITDA.
Speaking of which, management confirmed its FY outlook of € 132-139m sales
(eNuW: € 133m) and now adjusted EBITDA of € 13-15m (eNuW: € 13.1m). While
this looks well achievable on the top-line (+1.6% yoy implied Q4 growth at
low end), license sales (eNuW: -50% yoy to € 2.2m) need to pick up the pace
in Q4 in order to reach to bottom-line target (12.4% implied Q4 margin at
low end).
Overall, the case remains fully intact, in our view. Mind you, that a
temporary decline in profitability was always in the cards given the lower
initial margin of SaaS contracts compared to license sales (full payment at
closing). However, as the annual SaaS payments are seen to equal the
one-time license costs (+maintenance) after c. 3 years and SaaS sales
showing strong growth (25% CAGR ’21‘ 25e), margins are seen strongly expand
from 2025e onwards, while 2024e is seen to be another transition year.
BUY, unchanged PT of € 30.00 based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28377.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG
Mittelweg 16-17
20148 Hamburg
Germany
info@nuways-ag.com
www.nuways-ag.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Einhell Germany AG: BUY
Original-Research: Einhell Germany AG - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Einhell Germany AG
Unternehmen: Einhell Germany AG
ISIN: DE0005654933
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 23.11.2023
Kursziel: € 225,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Christian Salis
Final Q3 slightly better than expected // Bottom-line stays strong
Einhell released better-than-expected final Q3 results, reflecting that the
company executes tight cost control amid a challenging market environment.
Q3 sales decreased by 5% yoy to € 230m (prelim: € 225m). While Eastern
Europe showed strong growth of 30% yoy, DACH decreased by 8% yoy as DIY
partners remained cautious to buy inventories. Positively, however, the
Power X-Change trend remained fully intact, growing by 3pp yoy to 45% of
group sales. Einhell confirmed its adjusted FY 23 guidance of €
1.0bn revenue. This implies an 8% sales growth yoy in Q4, which we consider
ambitious and therefore sit a notch lower at € 991m, implying 4% sales
growth against an easier comparable base.
Importantly, profitability remained at a healthy level. A significantly
improved gross margin of 39.7% (+3.7pp yoy) on the back of favorable mix
(i.e. higher share of PXC) and price increases almost fully compensated for
negative operating leverage and cost inflation. Hence, EBT margin decreased
by only 0.7pp yoy to 8.0%, still significantly exceeding pre-pandemic
levels (Q3 19: 4.5%). This also explains why Einhell confirmed its FY 23
bottom-line range of 8.0-8.5% (“low end”, eNuW: 8.0%) despite
the weaker top-line.
In Q4, Einhell is seen to show a gradual recovery on both top- and
bottom-line. During our recent roadshow, CFO Teichert indicated that
discussions with DIY partners indicate a recovery in DACH while Einhell
continues to gain market share. In FY 24e, Einhell should return to growth
on the back of easier comps, sustained market share gains, positive M&A and
FX effects. Hence, we model 6% sales growth yoy to € 1,050m in FY 24e and
EBT margin is seen to recover slightly by 0.2pp yoy to 8.2% thanks to lower
input costs, positive mix effects and FX, which should turn into a tailwind
latest in H2 2024e.
Strategically, the US market should provide an attractive growth
opportunity. Following its successful international expansion in e.g.
Australia and Canada, a potential market entry could happen already in FY
24 via Einhell’s proven success model: Gaining market access through the
acquisition of a small- to mid-sized local DIY brand and gradually
replacing the assortment with best-in-class price/value PXC products. The
US market looks attractive given that it is by far the largest DIY market
globally and Einhell’s major rival Ryobi seems to neglect the online
channel as well as Tier-2/3 DIY stores, which Einhell aims to tackle.
Against this backdrop, valuation looks undemanding, trading at 8.9x PER 24e
and an 11.4% FCF yield. BUY, PT € 225.00, based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28379.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: Multitude SE: BUY
Original-Research: Multitude SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu Multitude SE
Unternehmen: Multitude SE
ISIN: FI4000106299
Anlass der Studie: CMD Feedback
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 22.11.2023
Kursziel: € 10,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
Leaner business structure and new guidance; chg
During yesterday´s CMD, Multitude unveiled its new, regrouped business
tribes as well as a new net income guidance for 2026 that should be well in
reach.
New tribe “Wholesale Banking” introduced. The wholesale business, that was
previously grouped under SweepBank, should deal with the financing issues
of larger Multitude Bank clients. While the business should grow
organically, further inorganic growth (after the sortter acquisition) is
clearly in the cards.
Sweep grouped under ferratum and capitalbox. After a thorough analysis,
management decided to group sweep under ferratum (consumer banking) and
capitalbox (SME banking) in order to realize crossselling potentials
arising from i.e. sweeps extended product offering (i.e. credit card
offering). On top, the sweep tech team should further improve the digital
offering of capitalbox and ferratum.
New net income guidance for 2026. After having reached its EBIT guidance in
2022 and being well on track regarding the 2023 EBIT guidance, management
introduced a new net income guidance for 2026 of € 30m. While we consider
the new target as well achievable (eNuW: € 31m), it implies an impressive
CAGR of 26% given the rising interest rates, indicating further topline
growth and scale effects.
Overall, the CMD provided a lot of confidence, that Multitude is on track
to further: 1) profitably grow the business while being very restrictive
and selective on the risk side, 2) reduce costs by steadily increasing
efficiency and automating processes and 3) enjoy scale effects.
For 2023, this should translate into € 45m EBIT, implying an EBIT margin of
19.6% and EPS of € 0.65. Note that management´s current dividend policy
implies a payout ratio of 25-50%, which would translate into a 5-10% yield.
Despite the recovery during the last days, the stock is still heavily
mispriced, trading at negative EV and a 4.1x PE´23, conseridering that
Multitude is a growing, highly profitable, resilient and dividend paying
company. With the share overhang that burdened the stock over last quarters
now hopefully off the table (after the recent share reduction of Union
Investment), we see further tailwind for the stock and reiterate BUY with a
slightly reduced € 10 PT, based on our residual income model.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28365.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: ZEAL Network SE: BUY
Original-Research: ZEAL Network SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu ZEAL Network SE
Unternehmen: ZEAL Network SE
ISIN: DE000ZEAL241
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 22.11.2023
Kursziel: € 51,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Lucrative “Games” business metrics
In Q3, ZEAL’s games business showed first meaningful impacts, but more
importantly provided some tangible KPIs. Hence, we evaluate those metrics
to compare Games with Lottery.
New KPI 'Pay-Ins': ZEAL introduced this new KPI to better compare Lottery
and Games. Pay-in refers to the amount of cash customers deposit in their
accounts at ZEAL to play Lottery or Games. One would assume that pay-ins
are equal to billings, as players use that money to play. However, players
win back a certain percentage of their stakes (Q3 average RTP: 50% at
Lottery, 88% at Games), which can be used to play a second time and create
more billings than pay-ins (see p. 2). This is the key differentiator of
Games, as users play at a much higher frequency than Lottery players,
leading to a strong pay-in to billings ratio of 4.9x (vs. only 1.3x at
Lottery).
Higher pay-in margin: The pay-in margin (sales in % of pay-in) is 2x higher
(35.3% in Q3 vs. 15.8% at Lottery), which shows the better monetization of
Games users. The comparably lower gross margin of 7.1% (vs. 12.5% at
Lottery) is overcomepansation by the strong billings to pay-in ratio, which
in sum led to a strong effect in Q3: ARPU stood at € 22.02 for Games vs. €
7.67 for Lottery.
Improving profitability: Games should contribute with an incremental EBITDA
margin of 85%, as one-off development costs are mostly incurred already, no
substantial marketing expenses are planned (targeting of existing Lottery
users) and only few additional OpEx should arise.
No cannibalization so far: Prior to launch of Games, the company expected
some cannibalization of the Lottery business. However, the average spend on
Lottery remained stable (-0.8% qoq), showing lower than expected
cannibalization and that players tend to spend additional money on Games.
Lots of catch-up potential: Back in 2018, ZEAL accounted for 404k MAU in
total with € 13.6m sales generated from Games (Q3'23: € 1.2m sales). Once
monthly active users rise to more meaningful levels (only 18k in Q3), the
positive impact on top-line and profitability should further increase
(eNuW: 32k MAU, € 10m sales and € 8.5m EBITDA from Games in FY'24e).
In sum, there is a lot to like about ZEAL’s new EBITDA booster, that has
just been turned on. Hence, we reiterate our BUY recommendation with
unchanged PT of € 51.00, based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28367.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Showing 101 to 120 of 388 entries