Activity Stream
NuWays AG: INDUS Holding AG: Kaufen
Original-Research: INDUS Holding AG - from NuWays AG
Classification of NuWays AG to INDUS Holding AG
Company Name: INDUS Holding AG
ISIN: DE0006200108
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 15.05.2024
Target price: EUR 36.00
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change:
Analyst: Christian Sandherr
Mixed Q1 results // strong FCF generation; chg. est.
Topic: INDUS reported a mixed Q1 with sales below but EBIT above estimates
as well as strong free cashflow supported by a lower seasonal working
capital increase.
Q1 sales decreased by 9% yoy to € 410m (eNuW: € 434m) due to customers’
current reluctance to buy and spend as a result of the weak German economy.
Q1 EBIT was down 40% yoy to € 26.7m (eNuW: € 25.3m), implying a margin of
6.5% (-3.4pp) driven by neg. op. leverage as well as pressure from
significantly higher wages and salaries. Mind you Q1 FY23 was an
exceptionally strong quarter, which also benefited from decreased material
costs within the Materials segment. Positive, while sales in the
Infrastructure segment declined 6.8% yoy to € 132m, EBIT rose to € 11.4m
(Q1 FY23: € 10.7m) supported by internal efficiency gains.
Strong cash generation: Free cashflow in the first quarter came in at €
6.1m (Q1 FY23: € 7.5) driven by a lower seasonal working capital increase
due to the stabilization of supply chains and lower procurement prices.
Mind you, last years’ FCF includes a € 14.4m one-time cash inflow from a
property sale.
FY guidance confirmed. Management confirmed its FY24e guidance of €
1.85-1.95m (eNuW: € 1.85m) revenue and € 145-165m EBIT (eNuW: € 157m),
despite the challenging start into the year, which was largely anticipated
by the market. In our view, the guidance seems plausible, however we expect
sales to come in at the lower end of the guidance range due to an
increasing pressure on selling prices in the Materials segment. In
addition, the outlook for the construction sector remains cautious, as the
German construction industry federation (HDB) expects a 3.5% decline in
real-term sales in 2024.
INDUS remains an attractive investment case and dividend-stock for the
mid-term. Mind you, management proposed a dividend of € 1.20 per share (AGM
on 22 May), making INDUS an attractive dividend stock with a yield of 4.4%
based on yesterday’s closing price. Due to the divestment of the lossmaking
automotive business in FY23 and an ongoing solid operating business, we
expect a further dividend rise for the current fiscal year (eNuW: € 1.40).
INDUS remains a BUY with an unchanged € 36 PT based on FCFY 2024e as (1)
shares seem attractively valued trading at 4.7x EV/EBITDA 2024e, which is
23% below the 10-year historical average, (2) INDUS is generating
double-digit ROCEs and (3) has a strong future dividend yield potential.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29747.pdf
For additional information visit our website
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Contact for questions
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
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GBC AG: A.H.T. Syngas Technology N.V.: BUY
Original-Research: A.H.T. Syngas Technology N.V. - from GBC AG
Classification of GBC AG to A.H.T. Syngas Technology N.V.
Company Name: A.H.T. Syngas Technology N.V.
ISIN: NL0010872388
Reason for the research: Research study (initial coverage)
Recommendation: BUY
Target price: 37,50 EUR
Target price on sight of: 31.12.2024
Last rating change:
Analyst: Marcel Schaffer, Cosmin Filker
- Growth strategy to become a multinational CleanTec and clean energy
providers
- Financial year 2023 successfully concluded with record sales, record
earnings and a promising backlog according to preliminary figures
AHT Syngas Technology N.V. (AHT) is a global company that develops
technologies for converting carbon-based fuels into synthesis gas. The
company focuses on the development, system integration and sale of
decentralized power plants and gas purification systems. AHT's range of
services includes, for example, compact/biomass power plants, hot gas
systems for purely industrial heat applications, clean gas systems for
decentralized power generation plants as well as project planning, project
management and maintenance services. The AHT plants are designed to convert
carbonaceous fuels such as biomass, wood, waste and coal into synthesis
gas. The synthesis gas can be used as a feedstock for various applications
such as power generation, heat generation and the production of chemicals
and fuels.
In recent financial years, AHT has further developed its technology and
made useful additions through acquisitions. With the acquisition of FHT
Hydrogen Separations GmbH, the production of hydrogen will also be an
integral part of AHT's plants in future. Know-how in the field of biomass
processing is pooled in the subsidiary aremtech GmbH. This will create the
basis for supplying the company's own plants and at the same time lay the
foundations for the future trade and sale of processed biogenic materials.
Thanks to aremtech's know-how and the addition of additives, a
standardized, CO2-neutral feedstock can be created from a mixture of waste
materials.
Thanks to this addition, AHT’s technology covers the entire value chain of
plant operation, from the provision of input materials to the generation of
energy and heat. The proof of concept for AHT technology was achieved by
winning a major framework agreement to supply plants to a Japanese
customer. This is an important milestone for the company, especially as the
contract for the delivery of 20 plants comprises an order volume of around
€ 160 million.
Parallel to this important milestone, AHT intends to fully exploit the
potential of its technology and also position itself as an electricity and
heat supplier (contracting). Revenues from the sale of plants would then be
supplemented by recurring revenues, which would also be accompanied by
particularly high profit margins. This is against the backdrop that the
added value remains in house, both for the input materials and for plant
planning and construction.
In addition to the expected increase in high-margin contracting sales,
AHT's profitability should also benefit from the supply chain, which is
increasingly geared towards series production. This is due to higher
purchase volumes of components, which can lead to economies of scale for
suppliers in terms of series production. Finally, new technologies such as
the production of green hydrogen from biomass or the carbonization of
liquid feedstock (HTC) are to be integrated into existing or new plants.
The positive effects of the growth strategy prepared and implemented in the
past financial years are already reflected in the preliminary figures for
2023. According to preliminary figures (HGB), AHT generated revenue of €
12.12 million, setting a new all-time revenue record. The new major order
resulting from the investments made led to a significant improvement in
earnings in line with the strong increase in sales. According to
preliminary figures, a clearly positive net profit of € 0.86 million
(previous year: € -0.42 million) was achieved, which is also a record
figure.
Based on the expected contracting sales and the existing framework
agreement, we anticipate a significant increase in sales and a gradual
improvement in profitability. Based on expected sales of € 77.15 million in
the 2028 financial year, the last estimated year of our detailed planning
period, the target EBITDA should amount to € 12.72 million. These plans do
not include any inorganic effects that would lead to a significant
acceleration in growth.
As part of the DCF valuation model, we have determined a target price of €
37.50. Based on the current share price of € 23.00, we assign a BUY rating.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29729.pdf
Contact for questions
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,5b,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
https://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung.htm
+++++++++++++++
Date and time of completion of the study (german version): 22.04.2024 (3:50 pm)
Date and time of the first dissemination of the study (german version): 23.04.2024 (10:30 am)
Date and time of completion of the study (english version): 13.05.2024 (4:45 pm)
Date and time of the first dissemination of the study (english version): 14.05.2024 (10:00 am)
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
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The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Deutsche Rohstoff AG: Add
Original-Research: Deutsche Rohstoff AG - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Deutsche Rohstoff AG
Company Name: Deutsche Rohstoff AG
ISIN: DE000A0XYG76
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Add
from: 08.05.2024
Target price: €51.00
Target price on sight of: 12 months
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Simon Scholes, CFA
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Deutsche
Rohstoff AG (ISIN: DE000A0XYG76). Analyst Simon Scholes downgraded the
stock to ADD and decreased the price target from EUR 54.00 to EUR 51.00.
Abstract:
DRAG's final 2023 numbers were very close to the preliminary figures
published in February. Revenue climbed 18.9% to €196.7m (2022: €165.4m)
while EBITDA was 13.8% higher at €158.3m (2022: €139.1m). Revenue growth
was driven by volume growth of 33% to 12,762 boepd (2022: 9,594 boepd) as
the prices realised by DRAG for oil and gas after hedges fell by 3.5% and
33% respectively. Given the price differential between oil and gas (one
barrel of oil equivalent of gas is worth only 20% of a boe of oil) and that
gas volume was only half of oil volume, last year's oil and gas price
declines had a roughly equal impact on sales. DRAG invested a record €180m
in new wells last year. On a 100% working interest basis, 13.6 new wells
started production, all of them in Wyoming. When it began operations in
Wyoming in 2021/22, DRAG budgeted for an average reserve of 500,000 barrels
of oil per well in the key Niobrara formation. In the 2023 annual report
DRAG revealed that after the first 6 to 18 months of production, its
Wyoming wells are producing at a rate ca. 15% above that expected for
500,000 barrel wells. We believe higher than budgeted production from new
and existing wells was the main reason for the three upwards revisions to
2023 guidance made by DRAG last year. DRAG has so far developed only around
15% of its Wyoming acreage. The robust production figures delivered so far
by DRAG in the state bode very well for coming years. However, the average
levels of the oil futures strips for 2024 and 2025 are currently 6% and 5%
below where they were at the time of our most recent note of 16 April. We
now see fair value for the DRAG share at €51.0 (previously: €54.0). As the
upside to our price target is below 25% we downgrade the recommendation
from Buy to Add.
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Deutsche Rohstoff
AG (ISIN: DE000A0XYG76) veröffentlicht. Analyst Simon Scholes stuft die
Aktie auf ADD herab und senkt das Kursziel von EUR 54,00 auf EUR 51,00.
Zusammenfassung:
Die endgültigen Zahlen der DRAG für 2023 lagen sehr nahe an den im Februar
veröffentlichten vorläufigen Zahlen. Der Umsatz kletterte um 18,9 % auf
€196,7 Mio. (2022: €165,4 Mio.), während das EBITDA um 13,8 % auf €158,3
Mio. (2022: €139,1 Mio.) stieg. Das Umsatzwachstum wurde durch ein
Mengenwachstum von 33% auf 12.762 boepd (2022: 9.594 boepd) getrieben, da
die von der DRAG erzielten Preise für Öl und Gas nach Absicherung um 3,5%
bzw. 33% gesunken sind. Angesichts des Preisgefälles zwischen Öl und Gas
(ein Barrel Öläquivalent Gas ist nur 20 % eines Boe Öl wert) und der
Tatsache, dass das Gasvolumen nur die Hälfte des Ölvolumens betrug, wirkten
sich die Preisrückgänge bei Öl und Gas im vergangenen Jahr in etwa gleich
stark auf den Umsatz aus. Die DRAG investierte im vergangenen Jahr eine
Rekordsumme von €180 Mio. in neue Bohrungen. Auf der Basis einer
100-prozentigen Beteiligung nahmen 13,6 neue Bohrungen die Produktion auf,
alle in Wyoming. Bei der Betriebsaufnahme in Wyoming im Jahr 2021/22
rechnete die DRAG mit einer durchschnittlichen Reserve von 500.000 Barrel
Öl pro Bohrung in der wichtigen Niobrara-Formation. Im Jahresbericht 2023
teilte die DRAG mit, dass ihre Bohrungen in Wyoming nach den ersten 6 bis
18 Monaten der Produktion eine Förderrate aufweisen, die ca. 15 % über den
Erwartungen für 500.000-Barrel-Bohrungen liegt. Wir glauben, dass die über
den Planungen liegende Produktion aus neuen und bestehenden Bohrungen der
Hauptgrund für die dreimal nach oben korrigierte Guidance der DRAG für 2023
war. Die DRAG hat bisher nur etwa 15 % ihrer Anbauflächen in Wyoming
erschlossen. Die robusten Produktionszahlen, die die DRAG in diesem
Bundesstaat bisher geliefert hat, lassen für die kommenden Jahre viel Gutes
erwarten. Allerdings liegen die Durchschnittswerte der Öl-Futures-Strips
für 2024 und 2025 derzeit 6 % bzw. 5 % unter den Werten zum Zeitpunkt
unserer letzten Studie vom 16. April. Wir sehen den fairen Wert der
DRAG-Aktie nun bei €51,0 (vorher:€54,0). Da das Aufwärtspotential zu
unserem Kursziel weniger als 25% beträgt, stufen wir die Empfehlung von
Kaufen auf Hinzufügen zurück.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §85 Abs. 1 S. 1 WpHG und des
Haftungsausschlusses siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29639.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
Sphene Capital GmbH: Ikonisys SA: Buy
Original-Research: Ikonisys SA - von Sphene Capital GmbH
Einstufung von Sphene Capital GmbH zu Ikonisys SA
Unternehmen: Ikonisys SA
ISIN: FR00140048X2
Anlass der Studie: Update Report
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 06.02.2024
Kursziel: EUR 6,30 (bisher: EUR 4,50)
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 36 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Peter Thilo Hasler, CEFA
Creating a leading player in cancer diagnostics
Only weeks after Ikonisys entered a strategic partnership with Biocare
Medical, the company made the next strategic step in business development
by announcing the takeover of Hospitex, an Italian-based cytology company
specialising in oncological diagnostics. According to the company, Hospitex
has developed a unique ecosystem around a technology called Nephelometric
Smart Technology (NST). Central to the ecosystem is CYTOfast Plus, which is
claimed to be the most advanced processing solution to produce filter-less,
standardized, single-layer liquid based cytology (LBC) diagnostic slides.
While competitor technologies were originally designed only for the
so-called Pap test, a screening test for cervical cancer, the patent
protected NST is the only certified technology for the entire cytology
universe and for all target organs, according to the company. We believe
that Hospitex could prove a perfect fit to extend Ikonisys’ value chain and
should significantly support the company's growth and profitability in the
years ahead. After adjusting our financial model to the acquisition and the
new number of shares, the intrinsic value derived from our three-stage DCF
entity model increases to EUR 6.30 from EUR 4.50 per share (base case
scenario). We reiterate our Buy rating.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28825.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Peter Thilo Hasler, CEFA
+49 (89) 74443558/ +49 (152) 31764553
peter-thilo.hasler@sphene-capital.de
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Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
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Montega AG: Havila Kystruten AS: Buy
Original-Research: Havila Kystruten AS - von Montega AG
Einstufung von Montega AG zu Havila Kystruten AS
Unternehmen: Havila Kystruten AS
ISIN: NO0011045429
Anlass der Studie: Initiation of Coverage
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 05.02.2024
Kursziel: 2.80 NOK
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Tim Kruse, CFA
Back on course after the perfect storm
Havila Kystruten AS is a cruise line operator from Norway. Founded in 2017,
it is the only company besides the incumbent Hurtigruten Group AS mandated
by the Norwegian government to serve the 130 year old post ship service
from Bergen to Kirkenes. Next to the port-to-port service for locals, their
four vessels offer all the amenities and activities of a modern cruise ship
tailored for tourists visiting the Norwegian coast.
Shortly after winning the contract and placing a shipbuilding order with
two shipyards in 2019, Havila was hit by the perfect storm with one of the
shipyards going bankrupt,COVID-19, and their Russian fleet financier GTLK
falling under sanctions. This brought the company to the brink of
bankruptcy. Consequently, shareholders have had a rough voyage so far with
depressed sales and earnings development due to substantially delayed
delivery of the ships. Also, the company had to refinance under
unfavourable conditions leading to a massive dilution for shareholders and
high interest rates.
That said, the market for cruises in general, and the Coastal Express in
particular, has seen increasing demand in the past decade, with yearly
passenger numbers rising in the high single digits up until 2019. COVID hit
the industry severely, but cruises have come back strongly, with passenger
numbers set to surpass 2019 levels this year and growth rates expected to
be in the mid to high single digits going forward.
The rising popularity of the coastal route, combined with the government's
support, has enabled the incumbent, Hurtigruten Group AS, to achieve solid
EBITDA margins in excess of 25% for this part of their business. However,
due to Havila's brand-new and identical ships, which enable significantly
leaner operations, as well as a more consistent and tailored customer
experience, we see Havila in an excellent position to outperform its
competitor. Additionally, the much better environmental footprint of its
fleet not only attracts a more eco-friendly and younger target group, but
will also serve as a strong differentiator if emission regulation is
imposed for parts of the route as proposed. Due to the high investment
backlog of Hurtigruten (average fleet age ~ 30years) in combination with
its already crushing leverage (Net debt/EBITDA 9.6), we see Havila well
positioned to not only prolong their current contract ending in 2030 but
also to win additional capacity from their main rival.
2024 will be the first full year with all ships in operation, which will
lead to another jump in revenue of which 50% has already been pre-sold. and
a disproportionate increase in EBITDA due to the strong operating leverage
exhibited by the cruise line industry. Thereafter, rising occupancy levels
from increasing word-of-mouth effects and streamlined operations should
further improve margins. Furthermore, the expected refinancing closer to
industry spreads will be an additional driver for FCF development.
Conclusions: The disadvantageous news flow Havila had to endure so far has
led to a significant mispricing of Havila's shares with a discount of 75%
to our estimate of fair value indicated by all valuation models (DCF
scenarios, peer group, net asset value). However, the ramp-up in operations
will not only lead to a strong uptake in free cashflow, but should also
pave the way for a more favourable refinancing, which should be the main
catalysts for a re-rating. We therefore see current levels as a unique
opportunity to invest in a profitable niche market safeguarded by
monopolistic revenuestreams and initiate with a 'Buy' rating and a price
target of 2.80 NOK per share.
+++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss
bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Bitte lesen Sie unseren RISIKOHINWEIS /
HAFTUNGSAUSSCHLUSS unter http://www.montega.de +++
Über Montega:
Die Montega AG ist eines der führenden bankenunabhängigen Researchhäuser
mit klarem Fokus auf den deutschen Mittelstand. Das Coverage-Universum
umfasst Titel aus dem MDAX, TecDAX, SDAX sowie ausgewählte Nebenwerte und
wird durch erfolgreiches Stock-Picking stetig erweitert. Montega versteht
sich als ausgelagerter Researchanbieter für institutionelle Investoren und
fokussiert sich auf die Erstellung von Research-Publikationen sowie die
Veranstaltung von Roadshows, Fieldtrips und Konferenzen. Zu den Kunden
zählen langfristig orientierte Value-Investoren, Vermögensverwalter und
Family Offices primär aus Deutschland, der Schweiz und Luxemburg. Die
Analysten von Montega zeichnen sich dabei durch exzellente Kontakte zum
Top-Management, profunde Marktkenntnisse und langjährige Erfahrung in der
Analyse von deutschen Small- und MidCap-Unternehmen aus.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28815.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
Montega AG - Equity Research
Tel.: +49 (0)40 41111 37-80
Web: www.montega.de
E-Mail: research@montega.de
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/montega-ag
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Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Navigating challenges in 2022
bet-at-home’s (BAH’s) interim results were consistent with the view in our May 2022 outlook note that 2022 would be a challenging year, as the group continues to navigate the regulatory landscape in its key markets. Full year guidance was lowered in June given legal and regulatory changes in Germany and Switzerland, and BAH exited the UK market in July following a licence review. Management continues to look forward to a potential new licence in the Netherlands, which would provide a new growth opportunity. Given the significant fall in BAH’s share price in the year to date, the group’s June 2022 net cash position (excluding client money) of €28.3m would represent 92% of its current market capitalisation.
BankM AG: All for One Group SE: n.a.
Original-Research: All for One Group SE - von BankM AG
Einstufung von BankM AG zu All for One Group SE
Unternehmen: All for One Group SE
ISIN: DE0005110001
Anlass der Studie: Beendigung der Coverage
Empfehlung: n.a.
seit: 11.10.2022
Kursziel: n.a.
Letzte Ratingänderung: 11.10.2022, vormals Kaufen
Analyst: Daniel Grossjohann
Termination of Coverage
Due to the expiration of the contract, we are terminating our coverage of
the company.
Our target price as well as our valuation rating are no longer valid.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/25575.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
http://www.bankm.de/webdyn/141_cs_Research%20Reports%20Disclaimer.html.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
BankM AG
Daniel Grossjohann
Mainzer Landstrasse 61, 60329 Frankfurt
Tel. +49 69 71 91 838-42
Fax +49 69 71 91 838-50
Email: daniel.grossjohann@bankm.de
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.