Activity Stream
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: Dreimonatsbericht
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 08.05.2024
Target price: €4,10
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 3,80 auf EUR
4,10.
Zusammenfassung:
Der Dreimonatsbericht setzte die Reihe positiver Nachrichten im Jahr 2024,
wie die Rückkehr zu einem soliden Wachstum und positive strukturelle
Veränderungen durch die Google-Partnerschaft, fort. Der Dreimonatsbericht
setzte die Reihe positiver Nachrichten im Jahr 2024, wie die Rückkehr zu
einem soliden Wachstum und positive strukturelle Veränderungen durch die
Google-Partnerschaft, fort. Letztere versetzt MGI in die Lage, das
Ertragswachstum zu maximieren und die KI-Initiativen voranzutreiben. Die
Ergebnisse übertrafen unsere Schätzung und wurden von einem organischen
Wachstum von 21% J/J angeführt, das zu einem Rekord-Q1 führte. Das
Management ist weiterhin zuversichtlich, dass sich der Werbemarkt erholen
wird, was durch verbesserte operative KPIs untermauert wird. Die erste
Guidance für das Geschäftsjahr 24 sieht einen Umsatz zwischen €350 Mio. und
€370 Mio. und ein AEBITDA zwischen €100 Mio. und €110 Mio. vor. Das
angenommene Wachstum von 9% bis 15% könnte sich als konservativ erweisen,
wenn: (1) die CPM-Preise anziehen und/oder (2) die Wahlkampfausgaben in den
USA einen fieberhaften Anstieg erreichen. Wir stufen MGI weiterhin mit
Kaufen ein bei einem Kursziel von €4,10 (zuvor: €3,80).
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 3.80 to EUR 4.10.
Abstract:
Q1 reporting extended the run of positive news flow in 2024 highlighted by
the return of solid growth and positive structural changes via the Google
partnership. The latter sets up MGI to maximise earnings growth and ramp up
AI initiatives. Results topped FBe and were led by 21% Y/Y organic growth
that drove a record first quarter. Management remain upbeat about the
recovery of the ad market; a view underpinned by improving operating KPIs.
The initial FY24 guide calls for sales between €350m to €370m and AEBITDA
ranging €100m to €110m. The implied 9% to 15% growth may prove conservative
if: (1) CPM pricing rebounds; and / or (2) US election spending reaches a
fever pitch. Our TP moves to €4.1 (old: €3.8) on the Q1 report, and we
remain Buy-rated on MGI.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29629.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 09.04.2024
Target price: €3,80
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 3,60 auf EUR
3,80.
Zusammenfassung:
MGI wird eine Partnerschaft mit Google Cloud eingehen, um seine Marktplätze
auf einer einzigen Cloud-Plattform zu konsolidieren. Die Zusammenführung
der Cloud-Infrastruktur zu einem einheitlichen Technologiepaket wird die
Entwicklungsagilität steigern und MGI erhebliche Kosteneinsparungen
bringen. Die Migration ist im Gange und soll 2025 weitgehend abgeschlossen
sein. Darüber hinaus kann das KI-Team von MGI die KI-Toolbox des
Tech-Giganten nutzen, um die Entwicklungs- und Markeinführungszeiten seiner
KI-gesteuerten Produkte (Moments.AI, ATOM) zu beschleunigen und
gleichzeitig die Zahl der Mitarbeiter in Grenzen zu halten. Unser
aktualisiertes DCF-Modell berücksichtigt die angekündigten
Kosteneinsparungen in Höhe von €20 Mio. und ergibt ein Kursziel von €3,80
(zuvor: €3,60). Wir stufen MGI mit Kaufen ein und betrachten die
Kooperation als strategischen Gewinn, der mittel- und langfristig zu einer
höheren operativen Effizienz führen wird.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 3.60 to EUR 3.80.
Abstract:
MGI will partner with Google Cloud to consolidate its marketplaces into a
single cloud platform. Streamlining the cloud infrastructure into a unified
technology stack will boost developmental agility and yield material cost
savings for MGI. Migration is underway and should be largely completed in
2025. Moreover, MGI's AI team can leverage the tech giant's AI-toolbox to
accelerate development and roll-out times of its AI-driven products
(Moments.AI, ATOM), while keeping headcount in check. Our updated DCF model
now factors in the announced €20m cost savings and points to a €3.8 TP
(old: €3.6). We are Buy-rated on MGI and view the deal as a strategic win
that stands to spur greater operating efficiency over the mid- and
long-term.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29355.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: OSG Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 20.03.2024
Target price: €3,60
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 3,60.
Zusammenfassung:
MGI meldete für den Monat Februar einen Rekordumsatz, der durch ein
organisches Umsatzwachstum (OSG) von 25% untermauert wurde. Dies folgt auf
einen starken Anstieg des KPI auf 16% im vierten Quartal, gefolgt von 18%
im Januar. Das Management wies darauf hin, dass die Treiber des jüngsten
Aufschwungs auch im Februar sichtbar waren: (1) höhere Werbebudgets von
Kunden, (2) Gewinnung von neuen Kunden, und (3) steigende Nachfrage nach
MGIs KI-gesteuerten Contextual-Data Lösungen, da Targeting-IDs weiterhin
verschwinden. Die Performance ist ermutigend, wenn man bedenkt, dass das
organische Umsatzwachstum im Zeitraum Januar bis September letzten Jahres
kaum 1% erreicht hatte. Wir stufen MGI weiterhin mit Kaufen und einem
Kursziel von €3,60 ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 3.60 price target.
Abstract:
MGI reported record sales for the month of February underpinned by 25% OSG
(organic sales growth). This comes on the heels of a strong uptick in the
KPI to 16% in Q4 followed by 18% in January. MGI brass pointed out that the
drivers behind the recent upswing were again visible in February: (1)
increased ad budgets from customers; (2) new customer onboardings; and (3)
rising demand for MGI's AI-driven contextual data solutions as targeting
identifiers continue to vanish. The performance is encouraging, considering
that the OSG-needle had barely budged at ~1% in January-to-September period
last year. We are Buy-rated on MGI with a €3.6 TP.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29199.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: Jahresergebnisse
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 11.03.2024
Target price: €3,60
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 3,20 auf EUR
3,60.
Zusammenfassung:
MGI überraschte im vierten Quartal mit einer Umsatzsteigerung, die durch
ein starkes J/J organisches Wachstum (+16%) im Zeitraum von Oktober bis
Dezember gekennzeichnet war. Das Management verwies auf: (1) die Skalierung
der neuen Software-Kunden, die im Laufe des Jahres 2023 hinzukommen sind,
(2) die beschleunigte Zugkraft der kontextbezogenen Tools (ATOM, moments.AI
und ML-Optimierung für SKAN), die in einer zunehmend ID-losen Welt auf
große Resonanz stoßen, und (3) erste Anzeichen einer Erholung des
Werbemarktes. Der Umsatz (€322 Mio.) übertraf die Guidance für 2023 (€303
Mio.) und FBe (€304 Mio.). Das Management zeigte sich auch für 2024
zuversichtlich und deutete ein zweistelliges Wachstum für dieses Jahr an.
Aufgrund dieses Ausblicks haben wir unsere Prognose und unser Kursziel auf
€3,60 (zuvor: €3,20) angehoben und sind der Meinung, dass der solide
Q4-Bericht dazu beitragen wird, die seit dem Abschwung im letzten Jahr am
Werbemarkt anhaltende Skepsis der Anleger zu beenden. Wir stufen MGI
weiterhin mit Kaufen ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 3.20 to EUR 3.60.
This is an abbreviated summary. The full text of this story (including
disclosure) is attached as a pdf document. For previous reports on this or
other companies covered by First Berlin contact Gaurav Tiwari directly
(g.tiwari@firstberlin.com).
Abstract:
MGI surprised with a Q4 topline beat that featured a strong rebound (+16%)
in Y/Y organic growth for the October-to-December period. Management
pointed to: (1) scaling of new software clients onboarded throughout 2023;
(2) accelerated traction of contextual tools (ATOM, moments.AI and ML
optimization for SKAN) that are resonating strongly in an increasingly
ID-less world; and (3) early signs of an ad market recovery. Sales (€322m)
topped the 2023 adjusted revenue guide (€303m) and FBe (€304m). Management
were also upbeat about 2024 and hinted at double digit growth for the year.
We have upped FBe and our TP to €3.6 (old: €3.2) on this outlook and
believe the solid Q4 report will help end investor ennui that has persisted
since last year's ad market downturn. We remain Buy-rated on MGI.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29109.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from GBC AG
Classification of GBC AG to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: Research study (Note)
Recommendation: BUY
Target price: 4.50 EUR
Last rating change:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
FY 2023 closed with solid sales performance; strong new customer business
ensured significant organic growth; return to dynamic growth path expected;
price target raised to € 4.50; buy rating confirmed
Sales and earnings development 2023
On 29 February 2029, Media and Games Invest SE (MGI) published its
preliminary business figures for the past financial year 2023. According to
these figures, the technology company achieved solid revenue growth
compared to the previous year (PY: € 324.44 million) with its fully
integrated advertising software platform (ad tech platform), generating
revenue of € 321.98 million. The majority of revenue was generated by the
traditionally largest advertising segment 'Supply Side Platform' (revenue
share of SSP: 93.6%) with revenue totalling € 301.39 million (PY: € 298.88
million).
On a comparable basis, the company reports a moderate increase in
consolidated sales of 5.0%, which achieved a particularly high growth rate
of 16.0% in the final quarter, traditionally the strongest quarter in terms
of sales. The sales growth achieved was mainly due to an increase in the
software customer base and the volume of advertising placed. The number of
customers on MGI's digital ad tech platform increased dynamically by 18.9%
year-on-year to 2,276 at the end of the fourth quarter (number of customers
at the end of Q4 2022: 1,915). At the same time, the volume of digital
advertising delivered increased significantly by 19.1% to 206 billion at
the end of the fourth quarter (advertising ads at the end of Q4 2022: 173
billion).
Thanks to the significant expansion of the software customer base and the
substantial increase in advertising volume, the company was able to hold
its own and even gain market share despite a previously difficult market
situation (low CPMs, subdued advertising budgets, etc.). The company's
further improved market position in the mobile sector is also reflected in
the market-leading positions on iOS and Android with a market share of
12.0% and 12.0% respectively, according to the industry experts at
Pixalate. Accordingly, we believe that MGI has outperformed the advertising
industry as a whole and the overall advertising market.
In terms of earnings, MGI achieved growth at all earnings levels, primarily
due to the revaluation of the AxesInMotion earn-out payment liability
(positive one-off effect of € 62.76 million). EBITDA increased dynamically
by 51.6% to € 128.46 million (PY: € 84.75 million) compared to the previous
year. Adjusted for special effects (e.g. M&A and restructuring costs or
revaluations of balance sheet items), adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA)
totalled € 95.20 million, a slight increase compared to the previous year
(PY: € 93.20 million).
The adjusted EBITDA margin (Adj. EBITDA margin) increased to 29.6% (PY:
28.7%). This increase in profitability reflects the first positive effects
of the savings programme launched last year, which is expected to generate
annual cost savings of around € 10.0 million once successfully implemented.
We believe that the majority of the planned savings effects should already
materialise in the current 2024 financial year.
In terms of net performance, a consolidated result (after minority
interests) of € 46.73 million was achieved, which was significantly above
the previous year's level (PY: € -20.32 million). This significant increase
in net income was mainly due to the positive one-off effect from the
revaluation of an M&A-related payment obligation described above. In
addition, a relatively low tax expense ratio also favoured their positive
earnings development.
The company guidance adjusted by MGI management in the third quarter of
2023 (sales of € 303 million and adjusted EBITDA of € 93.0 million) was
therefore exceeded. Our sales estimate (sales: € 303.21 million) and
adjusted EBITDA forecast (adjusted EBITDA: € 93.07 million) were also
exceeded.
Forecasts and evaluation
With the publication of the preliminary figures, MGI's management has also
provided a rough outlook for the current financial year, although this
guidance will be further specified as the year progresses. In view of a
strong fourth quarter (organic growth Q4 2023: 16.0%) and an even more
dynamic start to the year (organic growth Jan. 2024: 18.0%), MGI expects
double-digit percentage growth in consolidated sales for the current
financial year 2024. At the same time, an improvement in earnings is also
expected.
In light of the positive company outlook, the increased (organic) growth
momentum and the expected recovery of the advertising market, we have
adjusted our previous sales and earnings estimates upwards. Accordingly, we
now expect revenue of € 352.18 million (PY: € 324.74 million) and EBITDA of
€ 100.08 million (PY: € 95.56 million) for the current financial year. For
the following financial year 2025, we are forecasting sales of € 389.51
million (PY: € 357.66 million) and EBITDA of € 113.35 million (PY: € 108.49
million). With regard to the 2026 financial year, which we have included in
our detailed forecast period for the first time, we anticipate a further
increase in sales and EBITDA to € 437.03 million and € 130.67 million
respectively.
Overall, we therefore assume that MGI will succeed in returning to a
dynamic growth trajectory with its leading ad tech platform. The company's
strong positioning in the in-app and CTV segment in particular should prove
to be one of the main growth drivers. In terms of earnings, the
cost-cutting programme launched by the company last year should take full
effect from the current financial year onwards and thus provide an
additional boost to future earnings.
As part of our DCF valuation model, we have raised our price target to €
4.50 (previously: € 4.05) per share due to our increased sales and earnings
estimates. An even higher price target increase was counteracted by higher
capital costs (risk-free interest rate currently 2.50%, instead of 2.00%
previously). In view of the current share price level, we therefore
continue to give the stock a 'BUY' rating and see significant upside
potential.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29049.pdf
Contact for questions
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 04/03/2024 (8:20 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 04/03/2024 (10:00 am)
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Comment)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 4.05 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
Nine months 2023: Solid sales and operating earnings performance despite
challenging conditions; positive effects from the initiated savings
programme enabled an increase in profitability; GBC estimates and price
target confirmed
Business performance 9M 2023
Media and Games Invest (SE) published its nine-month and Q3 figures for the
current financial year on 30 November 2023. Based on these figures, the ad
tech group saw a moderate decline in digital Group revenue of 3.6% to €
223.27 million in the past nine months (9M 2022: € 231.55 million),
primarily due to divestments (in the games segment) and unfavourable
exchange rate developments. The revenue generated was primarily driven by
the traditionally largest advertising segment 'Supply Side Platform'
(revenue share: 89.7%), which generated revenue of € 200.35 million (9M
2022: € 209.65 million).
According to the company, an organic increase in consolidated sales was
achieved on a comparable basis. This revenue growth is primarily the result
of an increase in the software customer base and the volume of advertising
placed. The number of customers on MGI's digital advertising platform
increased significantly by 9.0% to 2,068 software customers at the end of
the third quarter compared to the same quarter of the previous year
(software customers at the end of Q3 2022: 1,898). At the same time, the
digital advertising volume delivered increased significantly by 8.0% to 186
billion at the end of the third quarter (advertising ads at the end of Q3
2022: 172 billion).
Thanks to the noticeable expansion of the software customer base, the
Ad-Tech Group was able to perform well amid the challenging market
situation and thus slightly overcompensate for negative market aspects such
as reduced customer advertising budgets and lower CPMs (cost-per-mile).
In addition, further market share was gained, enabling this technology
company to further expand its leading market position. According to a
recent Pixalate market study, MGI's subsidiary Verve Group remains the
market leader on Android and iOS in the US market with a market share of
11.0% and 28.0% respectively. In Europe, Verve recently achieved a
market-leading position on Android (No. 2 with a market share of 15.0%) and
iOS (No. 3 with a market share of 9.0%). In our view, MGI has thus
outperformed the general advertising market and the advertising industry as
a whole.
In contrast to the sales trend, MGI achieved growth at all earnings levels,
primarily due to the revaluation of the AxesInMotion earn-out payment
liability (positive one-off effect of € 62.76 million). EBITDA increased
dynamically by 73.6% to € 101.15 million compared to the same quarter of
the previous year (9M 2022: € 58.28 million). Adjusted for one-off effects
(e.g. M&A and restructuring costs or revaluations of balance sheet items),
adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) totalled € 63.50 million, which was slightly
higher than in the same period of the previous year (9M 2022: € 61.70
million).
In terms of operating profitability, an increase in profitability to 28.4%
(9M 2022: 26.6%) was achieved on the basis of the adjusted EBITDA margin
(Adj. EBITDA margin). This improvement in profitability reflects the first
positive effects of the company's cost-cutting programme, which is expected
to generate annual cost savings of around € 10.0 million once successfully
implemented.
After the first nine months of the financial year, consolidated net income
(after minority interests) totalled € 41.83 million (9M 2022: € 8.77
million), which was significantly higher than the previous year's level.
This significant increase in net income was mainly due to the positive
one-off effect from the revaluation of an M&A-related payment obligation
described above.
Business development Q3 2023
The negative effects of divestments and unfavourable exchange rate
developments were particularly noticeable in the third quarter.
Accordingly, the MGI Group suffered a significant year-on-year decline in
digital Group sales of 10.6% to € 78.34 million (Q3 2022: € 87.62 million).
Adjusted for these negative currency effects, however, organic sales growth
of 1.0% was achieved at Group level, according to the company. This revenue
growth was primarily the result of an increase in the software customer
base and the volume of advertising delivered.
At operating earnings level, adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) of € 23.10
million was achieved, mainly thanks to efficiency gains from the
cost-saving programme that has been initiated, thus confirming the high
earnings level of the previous year (Q3 2022: € 23.00 million). At the same
time, the adjusted EBITDA margin increased significantly to 29.5% (Q3 2022:
26.3%)
Forecast and price target
Against the backdrop of the company's solid performance in the first nine
months of 2023, MGI's management has confirmed its previously adjusted
guidance (dated 31 August 2023) for the current 2023 financial year with
the publication of its nine-month and Q3 figures. Accordingly, the
technology company continues to expect consolidated sales of around € 303.0
million and Adj. EBITDA of € 93.0 million. At the same time, the company
has also confirmed its medium-term guidance (Revenue CAGR: 25.0% to 30.0%;
Adj. EBITDA margin: 25.0% to 30.0%). As a result, MGI anticipates
significantly higher growth momentum again in the medium term on the basis
of an expected recovery in the advertising market.
Overall, we remain convinced that the ad tech group will be able to return
to growth from the 2024 financial year onwards, based on the gradual
recovery of the advertising market that we expect. In particular, the MGI
Group's strong positioning in the growth areas of programmatic advertising
and connected TV (CTV) in combination with innovative advertising solutions
(Moments.AI, ATOM etc.) should ensure further market share gains and a
significant outperformance compared to the general advertising industry in
the future. The significant expansion of their software customer base
achieved in recent quarters also provides a good basis for driving
(organic) growth even more strongly.
In light of the company's solid performance, the confirmed outlook and
their promising growth strategy, we confirm our previous revenue and
earnings estimates for the current financial year and subsequent years.
Accordingly, we also confirm our previous price target of € 4.05 per share.
With regard to the current share price level, we therefore continue to
assign a 'buy' rating and see significant upside potential in the MGI
share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28503.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 07/12/2023 (9:35 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 07/12/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Note)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 4.05 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
HY1 2023: Solid sales development despite economic headwinds; stable
operating earnings development due to strict cost management; GBC estimates
and price target adjusted after guidance reduction
Business development in HY1 2023
Media and Games Invest SE (MGI) published its half-year figures for the
current financial year on 31 August 2023. Based on this, the ad tech
platform group achieved a stable revenue development in the first six
months despite an economic headwind that led to a weakening of the
advertising industry. Compared to the same period last year, digital group
revenues increased slightly by around 1.0% to € 144.93 million (HY1 2022: €
143.93 million). This revenue growth was achieved despite past divestments
(streamlining of the gaming portfolio) and an unfavourable exchange rate
development.
Both advertising segments (Demand Side Platforms - DSP, Supply Side
Platforms - SSP) contributed to the robust Group revenue development with
stable or growing segment revenue development. In the first half of the
year, the SSP business segment was able to confirm the high half-year
revenue level of the previous year (HY1 2022: € 131.62 million) with
segment revenue of € 130.84 million. In contrast, the DSP business unit
even increased its segment revenue significantly by 14.5% to € 14.10
million (HY1 2022: € 12.31 million) compared to the same period of the
previous year.
In parallel to the stable revenue development, the consolidated operating
result (EBITDA) increased slightly by 1.4% to € 37.41 million (HY1 2022: €
36.91 million) compared to the same period of the previous year. Adjusted
for one-off costs and special effects (e.g. M&A costs), adjusted EBITDA
(Adj. EBITDA) for the first half of 2023 amounted to € 40.40 million, which
increased moderately by 4.6% compared to the same period of the previous
year (HY1 2022: € 38.60 million). At the same time, the adjusted EBITDA
margin increased slightly to 27.9% (HY1 2022: 26.8%).
On the net level, however, MGI suffered a 54.0% year-on-year decline in net
income (after minorities) to € 2.57 million in the first six months of the
current financial year (HY1 2022: € 5.59 million). This was mainly due to
higher tax and interest charges compared to the same period of the previous
year.
Business development in Q2 2023
The stable revenue development of the MGI Group is also evident at the
quarterly level. Despite difficult general conditions, the Group's revenue
remained at a high level in the second quarter with a revenue volume of €
76.18 million compared to the same quarter of the previous year (Q2 2022: €
78.06 million). Adjusted for currency effects, organic revenue growth in
the second quarter was 1.0% compared to the same quarter of the previous
year. Excluding divestment and currency effects, an adjusted increase in
turnover of 3.0% was even achieved.
According to the company, the technology company also succeeded in the past
quarter in further increasing its market share and thus expanding its
market position through innovative AI-based targeting products such as
Moments.AI, which significantly improve advertising results for publishers
and advertisers. MGI's strong market position is also reflected in the top
rankings achieved by various market segments. While MGI was already the
leading provider of in-app advertising on Android, the technology company
has also managed to be the leading provider on Apple's IOS in North America
and Europe since Q2 2023.
The robust (organic) business development in Q2 was supported in particular
by a renewed increase in software customers and advertising volume (ad
impressions). Compared to the previous year, ad impressions increased
significantly by 13.0% and the number of software clients also increased
significantly by 9.0%. Thus, the software client base (so-called total
software clients with an annual turnover of more than USD 100,000) was
expanded by 46 new software clients in the second quarter compared to the
same quarter of the previous year to a total of 559 (Q2 2022: 513).
At segment level, the previously smaller Demand Side Segment (DSP) was able
to further expand its digital business volume with a slight year-on-year
revenue increase of 2.3% to € 7.88 million (Q2 2022: € 7.70 million). In
contrast, the Supply-Side segment suffered a slight year-on-year decline in
segment revenue of 3.0% to € 68.30 million (Q2 2022: € 70.36 million), due
in particular to the divestments of small non-strategic games made in Q4
2022.
At the operating earnings level, MGI achieved an EBITDA of € 19.99 million
in the second quarter of 2023, which was almost at the previous year's
level (Q2 2022: € 20.04 million), in parallel with the solid revenue
development. In contrast, Group EBITDA adjusted for one-off and special
effects (e.g. M&A costs or headquarters relocation costs) increased
slightly by around 1.0% to € 21.30 million (Q2 2022: € 21.10 million). In
the same step, the adjusted EBITDA margin grew to 28.0% (Q2 2022: 27.0%).
The increased profitability also underlines the company's general strict
cost management.
Forecasts and evaluation
In order to further improve their earnings situation and to counteract
their lower growth dynamics, MGI has initiated a cost-saving programme in
the current third quarter. This cost-optimisation programme, which is
primarily aimed at reducing personnel costs, includes annual cost savings
of € 10.0 million. The main effects of the planned cost reduction measures
are expected to take effect from the fourth quarter of 2024.
Against the backdrop of the weakening advertising market and the lower
growth expected by MGI in the second half of 2023, the technology company
has reduced its previous corporate guidance (revenue of € 335.0 million to
€ 345.0 million and Adj. EBITDA of € 95.0 million to € 105.0 million) for
the current financial year. The company now expects consolidated revenue of
approximately € 303.0 million and Adj. EBITDA of € 93.0 million.
In the context of the publication of the Q2 and half-year figures at the
'MGI Capital Markets Day 2023', the technology company confirmed its
medium-term corporate guidance (revenue CAGR: 25.0% to 30.0%; Adj. EBITDA
margin: 25.0% to 30.0%). Accordingly, the technology company expects higher
growth momentum again in the medium term.
In view of the lowered corporate guidance, we have also adjusted our
previous turnover and earnings forecasts for the current financial year and
the following years downwards. For the current financial year, we now
expect consolidated revenue of € 303.21 million (previously: € 340.12
million) and EBITDA of € 85.37 million (previously: € 89.44 million). With
regard to the subsequent years 2024 and 2025, we expect, under conservative
premises, a turnover (EBITDA) of € 324.74 million (€ 95.56 million) and €
357.66 million (€ 108.49 million) respectively.
Despite our reduced revenue and earnings estimates, the MGI Group should be
able to return to its growth path from the 2024 financial year onwards,
based on the gradual recovery of the advertising market that we expect. In
particular, the strong positioning of the ad tech company in the
programmatic advertising market, the fastest-growing segment of the digital
advertising market, should ensure further gains in market share and
outperformance compared to the overall advertising market in the future.
Our forecast EBITDA growth for the future financial years should also be
boosted by the expected positive effects from the company's initiated
cost-efficiency programme (targeted annual cost savings of € 10.0 million
from FY 2024).
Against the backdrop of our adjusted revenue and earnings forecasts, we are
lowering our previous price target to € 4.05 (previously: € 5.30) per
share. In view of the current share price level, we continue to give the
MGI share a 'buy' rating and continue to see significant upside potential.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27697.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 11/09/2023 (8:59 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 11/09/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 5.30 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
Financial year 2022 closed with a significant improvement in revenue and
operating profit; A continuation of the profitable growth course is
expected for 2023; The expansion of the ad tech platform business should
lead to significant revenue and earnings growth in the future; Target
price: € 5.30 (previously: € 5.40); Rating: BUY
Based on the published business figures, Media and Games Invest SE (MGI)
continued its dynamic growth course in the past financial year 2022 with a
significant increase in turnover of 28.7% to € 324.44 million (PY: € 252.17
million) despite difficult general conditions and market situation. Their
digital programmatic advertising software platform business again proved to
be their main growth driver. In this high-growth area, the increase in
their software customer base to 551 customers (end of 2021: 418)
significantly increased their business volume. The strong business growth
achieved is also reflected in MGI's leading market position. According to a
market study (Pixalate's Mobile SSP Report), MGI's Verve Group is the
market leader in mobile programmatic advertising for Android in North
America with a 12% share. This exceeded the company's guidance at the upper
end of the target range (revenue of € 315.0m to € 325.0m) and also our
revenue estimate (GBCe: € 307.22m).
Parallel to the positive development of turnover, significant increases
were achieved at the operating result level. Compared to the previous year,
EBITDA grew significantly by 30.3% to € 84.75 million. Adjusted for one-off
effects (e.g. special and restructuring costs from M&As), EBITDA (Adj.
EBITDA) also grew rapidly with a dynamic increase of 31.1% to € 93.20
million. Accordingly, the company’s earnings guidance (Adj. EBITDA: € 83.0
million to € 93.0 million) and also our earnings estimate (Adj. EBITDA: €
91.72 million) were exceeded.
MGI's management is also positive about the current 2023 financial year and
expects to continue on its growth path. Specifically, the technology
company expects a renewed increase in sales revenues in a range of € 335.0
million to € 345.0 million. At the earnings level, an adjusted EBITDA of
between € 95.0 million and € 105.0 million is to be achieved.
As part of the publication of our research study on the preliminary annual
results of MGI's 2022 financial year, we have slightly reduced our previous
revenue and earnings forecasts for the current 2023 financial year for
conservative reasons. For the following year, we have left our previous
operating estimates unchanged. In view of the satisfactory Q1 performance,
the positive corporate outlook and the reaffirmation of the medium-term
guidance (revenue CAGR 25.0%-30.0%, EBITDA CAGR 25.0%-30.0%), we confirm
our previous revenue and earnings forecasts for the current financial year
and subsequent years. For 2022, we continue to expect revenues of € 340.12
million and EBITDA of € 89.44 million. For 2024 and 2025, we continue to
expect revenues (EBITDA) of € 402.55 million (€ 115.80 million) and €
471.39 million (€ 136.14 million), respectively.
Overall, the MGI Group, with its good market positioning and
fully-integrated programmatic ad tech platform with its own games content,
should succeed in continuing its dynamic growth course in the future. While
the technology company has built up a strong position on the supply side in
recent years, with a strong SDK base in the premium mobile app sector, the
demand side in particular should be the focus of targeted growth in the
future and be further expanded. The Contextual Mobile Demand Side Platform
'Dataseat', which was acquired in 2022, was an important building block of
MGI's growth strategy and has additionally strengthened the Demand Side and
also underlines their growth ambitions in this business area.
In addition, with liquidity of around € 130.0 million at the end of the
first quarter of 2023, MGI continues to be in a good financial position and
can thus take advantage of investment opportunities as well as being able
to comfortably cushion recessionary macroeconomic situations. The gearing
ratio, which was at a good level of 3.0x at the end of the last quarter,
should also improve further in the short and medium term due to their
positive cash flow and their expected EBITDA growth.
Based on our confirmed forecasts for the current financial year 2023 and
the following years and the changed cost of capital (WACC), we have
slightly lowered our previous price target to € 5.30 (previously: € 5.40).
Our price target reduction is the result of higher capital costs (increase
in the risk-free interest rate to 2.0% instead of the previous 1.5%). As a
consequence of the unchanged high inflation, we have raised the terminal
value growth rate to 2.5% (previously: 2.0%), which has had the effect of
raising the target price. In view of the current share price level, we thus
continue to assign a 'Buy' rating and see significant upside potential. The
results of our peer group analysis (see p. 21) also support our assessment
of the attractiveness and price potential of the MGI share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27233.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 20/06/2023 (8:43 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 20/06/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Q1 Ergebnisse
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 02.06.2023
Kursziel: €4
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 4,00.
Zusammenfassung:
Der Dreimonatsbericht entsprach weitgehend unseren Erwartungen. Der Umsatz
von €68,8 Mio. erreichte unser Ziel, und die Erträge waren dank einer
optimierten Kostenstruktur ermutigend stark. Das Programmatic-Geschäft
wuchs um 8% J/J und übertraf die Marktperformance. Außerdem zeigt ein neuer
Marktbericht, dass die Verve-Gruppe von MGI mit einem Anteil von 12%
Marktführer für mobile programmatische Werbung für Android in Nordamerika
ist. Die Anleger setzen praktisch alle Unternehmen mit einem
Werbeengagement auf die Strafbank, und wir erwarten, dass die Skepsis der
Anleger gegenüber der MGI-Aktie kurzfristig anhalten wird. Aufgrund der
stabilen operativen Leistung sehen wir ein ausgezeichnetes Potenzial für
eine Kurserholung und stufen MGI weiterhin mit Kaufen und einem Kursziel
von €4 ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 4.00 price target.
Abstract:
Q1 reporting was broadly in line with FBe. Turnover of €68.8m hit our mark,
and earnings were encouragingly strong, boosted by an optimised cost
structure. The programmatic business grew 8% Y/Y and outperformed the
market. Plus, a new market report shows MGI's Verve group is the market
leader for North American mobile programmatic advertising for Android with
a 12% share. Investors are placing virtually all companies with advertising
exposure in the 'sin bin,' and we expect investor ennui to persist over the
near term. Based on the steady operational performance, we see excellent
share price rebound potential and remain Buy-rated on MGI with a €4 TP.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27137.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research Note
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 5.40 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
FY 2022 closed with positive operating performance; Strong new customer
acquisition enabled high growth; Positioning as a fully integrated ad tech
platform should ensure further dynamic growth; Price target slightly
lowered; Buy rating confirmed
Turnover and earnings development 2022
On 28 February 2023, Media and Games Invest SE published its preliminary
business figures for the past financial year 2022. According to these
figures, the technology group with its advertising software platform
(so-called Ad-Tech platform) continued its dynamic growth course in the
past financial year with an increase in turnover of 28.7% to € 324.44
million (previous year: € 252.17 million). Despite difficult general
conditions and the market situation (budget cuts, declining CPM, etc.), the
company succeeded in maintaining its growth rate and gaining market share.
The significant increase in turnover was based on both organic and
inorganic turnover effects (18.0% organic growth & 11.0% inorganic growth).
The significant increase in Group revenues was primarily driven by the
continued growth in digital advertising revenues (ad software revenues) of
the Group. In the past financial year, ad software revenues increased
significantly by 49.2% to € 259.55 million (previous year: € 174.00
million) and thus accounted for around 80.0% of Group revenues.
The strong acquisition of new customers proved to be a significant growth
driver of this digital advertising business. In the past financial year,
133 new software customers were added to the customer portfolio, which
currently consists of 551 customers (end of 2021: 418). In addition, the ad
tech business also benefited from the clearly positive effects of M&A
measures (e.g. AxesInMotion, DataSeat, etc.).
Parallel to the positive development of turnover, significant increases
were also achieved at the operating result level. Compared to the previous
year, EBITDA increased significantly by 30.3% to € 84.75 million (previous
year: € 65.04 million). EBITDA, adjusted for one-off effects (e.g. special
and restructuring costs from M&A transactions), also increased
significantly by 31.1% to € 93.20 million (previous year: € 71.10 million).
As a result, the adjusted EBITDA margin increased slightly to 28.7%
(previous year: 28.2%). At the net level, a negative consolidated result of
€ -20.41 million (previous year: € 16.06 million) had to be accepted due to
a one-time depreciation effect (one-time PPA depreciation on intangible
assets) and higher tax and interest charges. This one-off depreciation
effect resulted from an adjustment of the corporate strategy and a related
withdrawal from business activities with small MMO games. Adjusted for the
non-recurring and regular PPA amortisation of € 41.49 million, the adjusted
group result was € 21.09 million.
The most recent corporate guidance issued by MGI management was thus
achieved at the upper end of the target range. Our turnover estimate
(turnover: € 307.22 million) and adjusted EBITDA forecast (adjusted EBITDA:
€ 91.72 million) were exceeded. However, due to the PPA amortisation, which
we did not anticipate in this amount, the net result was significantly
below our expectations.
Forecasts and evaluation
With the publication of the preliminary figures, MGI has confirmed the
previously published medium-term guidance (revenue CAGR: 25.0% - 30.0%;
Adj. EBITDA margin: 25.0% - 30.0%). In addition, the technology company
plans to announce a concrete company forecast for the current financial
year 2023 with the publication of the Q1 business figures or hereafter.
Based on the current company performance, we have slightly reduced our
revenue and EBITDA estimates for the current 2023 financial year from a
conservative perspective and now expect revenue of € 340.12 million
(previously: € 345.11 million) and EBITDA of € 89.44 million (previously: €
96.05 million). For the coming financial year 2024, we are leaving our
previous operating estimates unchanged. In addition, we have included the
2025 financial year in our detailed estimates for the first time.
Against the background that we expect significantly higher interest and tax
expenses in the future than was previously the case, we have significantly
lowered our net forecasts for the 2023 and 2024 financial years.
Overall, we continue to see MGI well-positioned to further expand its
market position with its leading ad tech platform with proprietary games
content, innovative contextual customer solutions and multi-channel
platform approach. Even in a difficult advertising market, this technology
group should succeed in continuing its successful course with its promising
focus on digital programmatic advertising. In doing so, the company should
be able to benefit in particular from the increased customer demand for
efficient (digital) advertising solutions.
Within the framework of our DCF valuation model, we have slightly reduced
our target price to € 5.40 (previously: € 5.75 per share) due to our
adjusted estimates and the increased cost of capital. The resulting
lowering of the target price was offset by the first-time inclusion of FY
2025 in our detailed estimation period and the associated higher starting
point for the subsequent estimation periods. In view of the current price
level, we continue to give the share a 'Buy' rating and see signi-ficant
upside potential.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26523.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,5b,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 07/03/2023 (10:57)
Date (time) of first distribution: 08/03/2023 (10:30)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: 2022 Ergebnisse
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 06.03.2023
Kursziel: €4,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und senkt das Kursziel von EUR 4,40 auf EUR
4,00.
Zusammenfassung:
Trotz des unsicheren wirtschaftlichen Umfelds beendete MGI das Jahr 2022
mit einem soliden Ergebnis. Trotz des unsicheren wirtschaftlichen Umfelds
beendete MGI das Jahr 2022 mit einem soliden Ergebnis. Der Umsatz stieg im
vierten Quartal um 16% J/J und das AEBITDA um 35%, dank eines organischen
Wachstums von 13% im Zeitraum Oktober bis Dezember. Die Entwicklung des
Unternehmens hin zu einer Ad-Software-Plattform zahlt sich weiterhin aus,
und MGIs Software-Kundenbasis beläuft sich nun auf 551, nachdem im letzten
Jahr 133 neue Kunden hinzugekommen sind (+32%). Dieses Wachstum trug dazu
bei, den Druck auf die CPM-Preise (Cost-per-Mille) auszugleichen. Die
Hauptkennzahlen erreichten das obere Ende der Guidance für 2022 und
übertrafen unsere Prognosen. Wir erwarten weiterhin weiteres Umsatz- und
Gewinnwachstum für 2023. Unser Kursziel sinkt aufgrund der Verwässerung
durch die im vierten Quartal ausgegebenen Optionsscheine auf €4,00 (zuvor:
€4,40), und wir stufen MGI weiterhin mit Kaufen ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and decreased the price target from EUR 4.40 to EUR 4.00.
Abstract:
Despite the bumpy economic environment, MGI ended 2022 on a solid note with
Q4 turnover up 16% Y/Y and AEBITDA 35% higher, thanks to 13% organic growth
for the October-to-December quarter. The company's evolution towards an
ad-software platform continues to pay off, and MGI's software client base
now totals 551 after acquiring 133 new customers last year (+32%). This
growth helped offset CPM (cost per thousands) pricing pressure. Headline
figures reached the upper end of 2022 guidance and topped our forecasts,
and we continue to expect further topline and earnings growth in 2023. Our
target price moves to €4.0 (old: €4.4) on the dilution from warrants issued
in Q4, and we remain Buy-rated on MGI.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26515.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Buy
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Update
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 17.11.2022
Kursziel: €4,40
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 4,40.
Zusammenfassung:
Der Q3-Bericht war ermutigend, wenn man bedenkt, mit welchem Gegenwind die
digitalen Werbetreibenden zu kämpfen haben. Die Performance von MGI wurde
durch einen Umsatzanstieg von 39% J/J angeführt, der durch ein organisches
Umsatzwachstum von 23% unterstützt wurde. Das AEBITDA kletterte ebenfalls
um 21% gegenüber dem Vorjahr. Die Erträge führten zu einem starken
operativen Cashflow, und der Verschuldungsgrad sank im Quartalsvergleich
auf 3,6x. MGI erhöhte ihre Umsatzprognose auf €315 Mio. bis €325 Mio.
(vorher: €295 Mio. bis €315 Mio.), beließ aber die AEBTIDA-Guidance
unverändert bei €83 Mio. bis €93 Mio. Das Management zeigte sich
zuversichtlich, dass das Unternehmen in der Lage ist, sich an die
veränderten Marktbedingungen anzupassen, was uns zuversichtlich stimmt,
dass MGI als Gewinner aus dem Abschwung hervorgehen wird. Wir behalten
unsere Kaufempfehlung mit einem unveränderten Kursziel von €4,40 bei.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 4.40 price target.
Abstract:
Third quarter reporting was encouraging considering the macro headwinds
faced by digital ad operators. Performance was led by a 39% year-on-year
rise in sales helped by 23% organic sales growth (OSG). AEBITDA also
climbed 21% Y/Y. Earnings translated into strong operating cash flows, and
the leverage ratio edged lower Q/Q to 3.6x (Q2: 3.7x). MGI upped revenue
guidance to €315m to €325m (old: €295m to €315m) but left its AEBTIDA
target unchanged at €83m to €93m. Management was upbeat in the company’s
ability to adapt to changing market conditions, giving us confidence that
MGI will emerge from the downturn a winner. We remain Buy-rated on MGI with
a €4.4 target price.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/25957.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 09.09.2022
Kursziel: €4.40
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 4,40.
Zusammenfassung:
Die Q2-Ergebnisse übertrafen unsere Erwartungen, und die Gesamtperformance
wurde von einer Die Q2-Ergebnisse übertrafen unsere Erwartungen, und die
Gesamtperformance wurde von einer weiteren Periode guten organischen
Wachstums (+18%) angeführt, das mit dem KPI des Q1 Schritt hielt, sowie von
Währungseffekten. Der Umsatz kletterte im Jahresvergleich um 37% auf €78
Mio., während die Erträge in ähnlichem Umfang stiegen. MGI veranstaltete
auch seinen Capital Markets Day (CMD) und gewährte einen Blick unter die
operative Haube, der eine überzeugende Präsentation des Dataseat-Chefs
darüber beinhaltete, wie sein Unternehmen eine digitale Werbewelt ohne
Identifiers vorhersagte und nun erfolgreich ist. Nach einem soliden zweiten
Quartal, in dem MGI in einem sich verlangsamenden Markt mit schrumpfenden
Werbebudgets viele Konkurrenten übertraf, bewegt sich MGI gut auf die
bestätigte Guidance (17% bis 25% Wachstum) zu. Wir behalten unsere
Kaufempfehlung bei einem unveränderten Kursziel von €4,40 bei.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 4.40 price target.
Abstract:
Q2 reporting topped our expectations and overall performance was led by
another period of good organic growth (+18%) that kept pace with the Q1 KPI
as well as currency (Fx) effects. Turnover climbed some 37% year on year to
€78m, while earnings grew at a similar clip. MGI also hosted its Capital
Markets Day (CMD) and provided a look under the operational hood that
included a compelling presentation by the Dataseat boss on how his business
predicted and is now succeeding in a post-identifier digital advertising
world. MGI is tracking well towards confirmed guidance (17% to 25% growth)
after a solid Q2 in which it outperformed many rivals in a slowing market
with shrinking advertising budgets. We remain Buy-rated on MGI with a €4.4
target price.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/25407.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Research Note
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 5.75 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
H1 2022: Continuation of dynamic revenue growth despite more challenging
market environment; solid financial performance through platform-based
business model; GBC estimates and target price maintained after
confirmation of corporate guidance
Business development in the HY1 2022
Media and Games (MGI) announced its half-year figures for the current
financial year on 31 August 2022. According to these figures, the ad-tech
platform group was able to continue its dynamic growth course in the first
six months of the current financial year despite challenging general
conditions that have led to a slowdown in the growth of the advertising
industry. Compared to the same period of the previous year, digital group
revenues increased significantly by 32.0% to EUR 143.93 million (HY1 2021:
EUR 109.05 million).
This was due to strong organic growth effects in both advertising segments
(Demand Side Platforms - DSP, Supply Side Platforms - SSP). In addition,
inorganic growth effects as a result of the M&As carried out (especially
AxesInMotion and Smaato) also contributed significantly to the positive
revenue trend. The growth achieved was also reflected in a significant
expansion of the software client base (so-called Total Software Clients
with an annual turnover of more than USD 100,000), which had risen to more
than 500 software clients by the end of the second quarter (31/12/2021: 400
software clients). In the second quarter alone, 34 new software clients
were acquired for the ad-tech platform.
In parallel to their positive revenue development, the consolidated
operating result (EBITDA) also increased significantly by 38.6% to EUR
36.91 million (HY1 2021: EUR 26.63 million) compared to the same period of
the previous year. Adjusted for special effects (e.g. M&A costs), adjusted
EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) for the first half of 2022 amounted to EUR 38.60
million, which increased by around 34.5% compared to the same period of the
previous year (HY1 2021: EUR 28.70 million). In terms of profitability, the
adjusted EBITDA margin thus improved to 26.8% (HY1 2021: 26.3%).
At the net level, MGI confirmed the high level of the previous year in the
first six months of the current financial year with a net result (after
minorities) of EUR 5.59 million (HY1 2021: EUR 5.64 million). An even more
positive development of the result was offset by significantly higher
depreciation (especially PPA depreciation) and interest expenses from bonds
issued.
Business development in Q2 2022
The steady dynamic growth of the technology company is also particularly
evident in the quarterly view. After a pleasing first quarter, MGI
continued on its growth path with high growth momentum in the second
quarter of the current financial year, with a 36.7% increase in
consolidated sales to EUR 78.06 million (Q2 2021: EUR 57.12 million). About
half of the increase in turnover was the result of organic growth effects,
despite a weaker market environment that became apparent in the course of
the second quarter.
According to the company, both business segments contributed to the dynamic
increase in Group turnover with high revenue growth. For example, the
previously smaller Demand Side Segment (DSP), with a year-on-year revenue
increase of 104.0%, significantly drove the growth of the business segment.
Organic revenue growth accounted for 76.0% of this, driven by scaling
software clients with innovative advertising products such as ATOM and
Moments A. I. was achieved.
The Supply Side segment also achieved strong quarterly revenue growth with
a year-on-year increase of 32.0%. 14.0% of this growth was organic and
resulted from more than 25 additional publishers/software customers and
content updates in the games portfolio. The remaining growth effects were
based on inorganic growth as a result of the acquisitions of Smaato and
AxesInMotion.
At the operating result level, significant increases were also achieved in
line with the positive development of turnover. Compared to the same
quarter of the previous year, EBITDA grew significantly by 37.8% to EUR
20.04 million (Q2 2021: EUR 14.54 million) and thus slightly stronger than
the development of turnover. In parallel, the EBITDA margin improved
slightly to 25.7% (Q2 2021: 25.5%). Group EBITDA adjusted for special
effects (e.g. M&A costs) also increased significantly by 37.9% to EUR 21.10
million (Q2 2021: EUR 15.30 million) compared to the same quarter of the
previous year. In the same step, the adjusted EBITDA margin increased to
27.0% (Q2 2021: 26.8%).
Against the background of the positive company performance and the good
positioning of the technology group, MGI's management has decided to
confirm the guidance previously raised with the AxesInMotion acquisition.
MGI therefore continues to expect consolidated revenues in a range of EUR
295.0 million to EUR 315.0 million and adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) in a
range of EUR 83.0 million to EUR 93.0 million for the current financial
year 2022.
All in all, the development of turnover and results in the first half of
2022 was satisfactory. Despite the more difficult general conditions, the
company managed to keep up the pace of growth. A solid performance was
achieved in terms of earnings development.
Forecast and evaluation
In view of their convincing half-year development, the promising growth
strategy of the Group and the confirmed corporate guidance, we have also
maintained our previous forecasts for the current financial year and the
following years.
Overall, we continue to see the MGI Group well positioned to grow
dynamically with its ad-tech platform and its own first-party data from
games content. Here, the technology company should be able to benefit from
its strong positioning as a programmatic digital advertising platform with
a focus on the (stable) digital entertainment and games sector, especially
in a more difficult environment. In addition, the innovative advertising
products, such as ATOM and Moments A.I., and the Dataseat acquisition
should enable the company to take advantage of the opportunities arising
from changes in the advertising industry (disappearance of identifiers,
etc.) and thus further expand its market position. In addition, we expect
that the increased integration of the most recent M&As (Dataseat,
AxesInMotion) will generate significant synergy effects within the Group
and thus also boost future revenue and earnings development.
Against the background of our unchanged sales and earnings forecasts, we
hereby confirm our previous price target of EUR 5.75 per share. In view of
the current price level, we continue to give the share a 'buy' rating and
see significant upside potential.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/25351.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,5b,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 06/09/2022 (17:01)
Date (time) of first distribution: 07/09/2022 (10:00)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 5.75 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
2021 financial year with significant revenue and earnings increases
completed; Significant increase in revenue and earnings also expected for
the current financial year 2022; The successful growth strategy and the
very scalable business model should lead to a disproportionately earnings
development; Target price: EUR 5.75 (previously: EUR 9.40); Rating: BUY
According to published business figures, Media and Games Invest SE (MGI)
achieved a new record in the past financial year 2021 with growth of around
80.0% to EUR 252.17 million (PY: EUR 140.22 million). The strong growth in
the fourth quarter in particular contributed to their high revenue growth
(Q4 2021: EUR 80.2 million vs. revenue Q4 2020: EUR 48.70 million), which
was also the strongest quarter in terms of revenue and earnings in the
company's history to date. The main growth driver has been the advertising
software platform business on the supply side which, in recent years, has
built up a strong SDK base with direct integration in over 20,000 apps,
many of which come from the premium sector and have a large reach, enabling
MGI to reach more than two billion mobile end users, according to its own
figures. Accordingly, MGI is now one of the top five providers in the
mobile advertising market when it comes to reach and is also the leading
provider when it comes to traffic quality, according to Pixalate's Mobile
Seller Trust Index. This exceeded the company's guidance (revenue of EUR
234.0 million to EUR 254.0 million) and also our revenue estimate (GBCe:
EUR 234.15 million).
Even stronger growth was achieved at the earnings level. Compared to the
previous year, EBITDA grew very dynamically by around 145.0% to EUR 65.04
million (previous year: EUR 26.55 million). EBITDA, adjusted for one-off
effects (e.g. special and restructuring costs from M&As), increased by
144.3% to EUR 71.10 million (previous year: EUR 29.55 million). This means
that the company's earnings guidance (adjusted EBITDA: EUR 65.0 million to
EUR 70.0 million) and also our earnings estimate (adjusted EBITDA: EUR
65.71 million) were also exceeded.
MGI also expects to continue its dynamic growth course in the current
financial year 2022. Thus, despite the macroeconomic trends, management
expects to significantly increase revenue in a range of EUR 295.0 million
to EUR 315.0 million. At the earnings level, adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA)
of between EUR 83.0 million and EUR 93.0 million should be achieved.
In our last research report on the MGI Q1 figures, we confirmed our
previously raised revenue and earnings forecasts due to the strong first
quarter, the promising growth strategy and the unchanged outlook. For the
current financial year 2022, we continue to expect revenues of EUR 307.22
million and EBITDA of EUR 87.52 million. For the following financial years
2023 and 2024, we are conservatively adjusting our previous estimates
downwards due to the current recessionary trends and the latest news from
the advertising market. We now expect revenues of EUR 345.11 million
(previously: EUR 377.76 million) and EUR 402.55 million (previously: EUR
473.08 million). With regard to EBITDA, we expect EUR 96.05 million
(previously: EUR 116.94 million) and EUR 115.80 million (previously: EUR
147.33 million).
Overall, MGI's good market position should enable it to continue to grow
very dynamically and highly profitably as an ad tech platform with its own
games content. While the company has built up a strong position on the
supply side in recent years, with a strong SDK base in the premium mobile
app sector, the demand side is to be significantly strengthened in the
future. With the recently acquired Contextual Mobile Demand Side Platform
'Dataseat', the company has acquired an important building block for this.
As a result of the acquisition, the management would like to concentrate on
organic growth for the time being, but does not completely rule out further
acquisitions if the right opportunities arise. Due to the high scalability
of the business model and the expected efficiency gains tob e achieved
through the close interlinking of the business areas, the group's
profitability should remain at a high level in the future.
In addition, MGI is very well positioned with a liquidity estimated by us
at the end of H1 2022 of around EUR 130 million (including credit lines)
after the last earn-out payments for KingsIsle and can thus both seize
investment opportunities and comfortably cushion a possible recession. The
leverage ratio, which we estimate to be around 3.5x due to the cash-out in
Q2 2022, should also fall to below 3.0 in the medium term due to the
positive cash flow and expected EBITDA growth. In our view, the market
should have already priced in the debt, so we see a potential catalyst in a
possible reduction in the leverage ratio in the coming 12 months.
Within the framework of our DCF valuation model, we have lowered our target
price to EUR 5.75 (previously: EUR 9.40) per share due to our reduced
forecasts for the 2023 and 2024 financial years and the associated lower
starting point for the subsequent estimation periods. Higher capital costs
(increase in the risk-free interest rate to 1.25% instead of 0.40%) have
also had the effect of reducing the price target. The so-called 'roll-over
effect' (price target related to the following financial year 2023 instead
of 2022) counteracted an even stronger price target reduction. In view of
the current share price level, we continue to issue a 'buy' rating and see
significant upside potential. The results of our peer group analysis (see
p. 18) also support our assessment of the attractiveness and price
potential of the MGI share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/24719.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,5b,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 01/08/2022 (12:42)
Date (time) of first distribution: 02/08/2022 (10:30)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Buy
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 29.07.2022
Kursziel: €4,40
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und senkt das Kursziel von EUR 8,20 auf EUR
4,40.
Zusammenfassung:
Wir senken unsere Prognose für 2023 und erhöhen unsere WACC-Schätzung um
160 Basispunkte auf 9,7%, um dem zunehmenden Gegenwind des Marktes Rechnung
zu tragen. Marktanalysten reduzieren ihre Erwartungen für die weltweiten
Werbeausgaben für 2023, und der Technologiesektor ist zyklisch. Wir haben
daher unser Umsatzwachstumsziel für 2023 auf 8% gesenkt (zuvor: 20%).
Jedoch erwarten wir, dass die Kosteneinsparungsmaßnahmen den
konservativeren Ausblick ausgleichen und MGI in die Lage versetzen werden,
ihre AEBITDA-Marge von ~27% zu halten. Wir sind weiterhin der Meinung, dass
MGI das richtige Geschäftsmodell im richtigen Markt hat und dass es sich
lediglich um eine zyklische Abschwächung handelt. Die Anpassungen unseres
DCF-Modells führen zu einem Kursziel von €4,40 (zuvor: €8,20). Unsere
Empfehlung bleibt Kaufen.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and decreased the price target from EUR 8.20 to EUR 4.40.
Abstract:
We are reducing 2023 FBe and raising our WACC estimate by 160 bps to 9.7%
to account for increasing market headwinds. Market watchers are reducing
global ad-spend expectations for 2023, and the tech sector is experiencing
cyclicality. We have thus cut our topline growth target for 2023 to 8%
(old: 20%) but expect cost saving measures to compensate for the more
conservative outlook and allow MGI to sustain its ~27% AEBITDA margin. We
continue to believe MGI has the right business in the right market and that
this is a merely cyclical slowdown. Adjustments to our DCF model result in
a €4.4 target price (old: €8.2). Our rating remains Buy.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/24707.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Research Comment
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 9.40 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
Q1 2022: MGI continues to grow strongly; Significant earnings increase due
to scale, efficiency and M&A effects; Continuation of dynamic sales growth
expected; GBC estimates and target price confirmed
Business development Q1 2022
Media and Games Invest SE (MGI) published its Q1 business figures on 31 May
2022. According to these figures, the Group again achieved a significant
increase in revenue in the first quarter of the year compared to the same
quarter of the previous year by around 27.0% to EUR 65.87 million (Q1 2021:
EUR 51.93 million) and was thus able to continue its dynamic growth course.
In addition to inorganic growth impulses (e.g. through the Smaato
acquisition), the growth was primarily driven by organic growth effects
(+18.0%) within the MGI Demand Side and Supply Side business segments.
In addition, the Group announced that the number of software customers
increased significantly by 26.0% in the first quarter compared to the
previous quarter (Q4 2021). MGI has thus established a good basis for
further growth, as the business customers acquired typically increase their
business volume with the Group gradually over time.
In addition, the business volume with existing software customers with an
annual turnover of more than USD 100,000 was also significantly expanded in
the first quarter, which was also reflected in an increased business
expansion rate (so-called 'net dollar expansion rate') of 125.0%. Key
success factors for this included an extensive team, (first-party) games
content and a high level of expertise in the area of cross-channel
advertising campaigns for brands.
At the adjusted EBITDA level (Adj. EBITDA), the MGI Group achieved an
increase in earnings of around 30.0% to EUR 17.55 million (Q1 2021: EUR
13.48 million) compared to the same quarter of the previous year, despite
considerable personnel investments, and thus increased its profitability
slightly disproportionately. This is mainly due to economies of scale,
synergies and efficiency gains. In addition, positive earnings effects from
previously completed M&As also boosted Group profitability.
Significant increases were also achieved in terms of cash flow development.
Compared to the same quarter of the previous year, the operating cash flow
(after working capital changes) increased significantly by 44.8% to EUR
16.30 million (Q1 2021: EUR 11.26 million). In terms of value, there is
only a slight difference between adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow,
which is an indication of the good quality of the company's results.
Forecasts and target price
In view of the very positive business performance in the first quarter and
the positive expectations for the rest of the year, MGI's management has
confirmed the corporate guidance (dated 28 April 2022) for the current
financial period, which was previously raised as a result of the
AxesInMotion acquisition. The company continues to expect consolidated
revenues in a range of EUR 295.00 to EUR 315.00 million and adjusted EBITDA
between EUR 83.00 to EUR 93.00 million. Based on this, the company expects
year-on-year revenue growth of between 17.0% and 25.0% and EBITDA growth of
between 17.0% and 31.0%.
Against this background of the strong company performance, the promising
growth strategy and the maintained company guidance, we confirm our
previous sales and earnings forecasts as well as our previous price target
of EUR 9.40 per share. Based on the current share price level, we continue
to give the rating 'Buy' and see significant upside potential.
Overall, we continue to see the MGI Group well positioned to grow very
dynamically and highly profitably in the future as an ad software platform
with its own games content. Through the even stronger transformation into
an ad-tech company, the company should succeed in continuing to 'keep up'
the current growth rate and additionally increase profitability. In
addition, MGI's extensive liquid funds (including credit lines), which most
recently amounted to around EUR 170.0 million (as of 31 March 2022), offer
the possibility of setting additional growth impulses through M&A
transactions at any time and further advancing the group's profitability.
It should be mentioned here that M&As are an important component of the
company's growth strategy.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/24377.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,5b,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 07/06/2022 (8:44 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 07/06/2022 (10:00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Research Note
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 9.40 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
AxesInMotion acquisition significantly strengthens ad software platform
with high-quality first-party data; Acquired company should significantly
boost future company performance due to multiple synergy potentials;
Forecasts and price target raised; Buy rating
Acquisition of the AxesInMotion
Media and Games Invest SE (MGI) recently announced an agreement to fully
acquire Spanish mobile games developer AxesInMotion S.L. (AxesInMotion).
The acquired company was founded in 2014 and is based in Seville, Spain.
AxesInMotion is one of the leading free-to-play mobile game developers,
with a strong portfolio of high-definition racing games that have already
generated over 700 million downloads worldwide.
The company has succeeded in building a portfolio of high-quality racing
games over the past few years, with 87.0% of revenues generated through ingame
advertising. The developer's flagship titles include 'Car Driving
Simulator', 'Mega Ramps' and 'Extreme SUV Driving Simulator'. In addition,
the company has two new titles in the pipeline, one of which is already
almost fully developed. In terms of geographic revenue distribution, the
USA was the most important single market for the company with an estimated
revenue share of approximately 33.0% at last count.
With normalised IFRS revenue of EUR 7.90 million and adjusted EBITDA (adj.
EBITDA) of EUR 5.00 million (adj. EBITDA margin of 64.0%) in 2021, combined
with an organic growth rate of 36.0% over the past three years,
AxesInMotion is well positioned for further growth opportunities within the
MGI Group, according to the company. Based on management assumptions and
taking into account the (expected) medium-term synergies with MGI,
AxesInMotion would have contributed an additional EBITDA of EUR 17.0
million on a pro-forma basis (2021) and provided for an increase in
adjusted EBITDA (adj. EBITDA) of more than 20.0%, according to the company.
MGI has agreed with the AxesInMotion owners on a fixed purchase price of
EUR 55.0 million plus a performance-based purchase price component (earn
out) of up to EUR 110.0 million. To finance the acquisition, the MGI Group
has carried out a capital increase with a volume of around EUR 30.0 million
and also plans to draw on its own liquid funds (cash and cash flow). The
transaction is expected to be completed in May 2022.
According to the company, taking into account the earn-out component, the
EV/EBITDA multiple from the acquisition - depending on the realised revenue
and EBITDA synergies until 2024 - will be in a range of 6.8x to 9.1x.
Against the backdrop of the potential multiples to be incurred or paid, we
rate the purchase price as favourable.
Forecast adjustment with consideration of the inorganic effect
In parallel to the announced acquisition, MGI has slightly increased its
previous corporate guidance for the current financial year 2022, also based
on the expected positive effects from the acquisition. The company now
expects revenues in a range of EUR 295.0 million to EUR 315.0 million
(previously: EUR 290.0 million to EUR 310.0 million) and adjusted EBITDA of
EUR 83.0 million to EUR 93.0 million (previously: adjusted EBITDA of EUR
80.0 million to EUR 90.0 million).
For us, the highly synergistic acquisition represents a good strategic move
for the MGI Group, as it is a promising addition to the existing games
portfolio and at the same time significantly supports the pursued growth
strategy (MGI's Vision 2025) through the acquisition of mobile game
content. The acquisition of AxesInMotion also reflects the MGI Group's new
investment focus following the company's transformation into an ad software
platform with first-party data from game content.
The acquisition of AxesInMotion and the expected positive effects
(including synergies) associated with it should have a significantly
positive impact on the future revenue and earnings situation of the MGI
Group. In this context, we assume that significant revenue synergies can be
realised in particular through the integration of the company's mobile
games into MGI's ad software platform. These should result primarily from
more efficient and extensive user acquisition and better monetisation of
the in-game advertising space.
In view of the very promising acquisition and the positive effects
(including synergy effects) we expect from the Group integration, we have
adjusted our previous revenue and earnings forecasts for the current
financial year 2022 and also for subsequent years upwards.
For the current financial year, we now expect revenues of EUR 307.22
million (previously: EUR 302.22 million) and EBITDA of EUR 87.52 million
(previously: EUR 84.52 million). For the subsequent years 2023 and 2024, we
calculate revenue growth to EUR 377.76 million (previously: EUR 364.76
million) and EUR 473.08 million (previously: EUR 455.08 million),
respectively. In parallel, we expect EBITDA to increase to EUR 116.94
million (previously: EUR 108.03 million) and EUR 147.03 million
(previously: EUR 134.43 million).
Overall, we continue to see the MGI Group well positioned to grow very
dynamically and highly profitably in the future as an ad tech company with
its own gaming activities (access to 'first party data' and advertising
space of gaming assets). The combination and close integration of
synergetic media and gaming business activities should continue to
significantly boost their profitable growth to date. In addition, the
currently available liquid funds (GBCe: approximately EUR 100 million)
offer the company the possibility at any time of further strengthening the
group through planned M&A transactions and, at the same time, to further
increase their earning power and pace of growth.
Within the framework of our DCF valuation model, we have raised our
previous price target to EUR 9.40 (previously: EUR 9.20 per share) due to
our increased estimates for the current financial year and the following
years. The increase in our previous WACC due to a higher risk-free interest
rate (to 0.40%, from 0.25% previously) and the dilution effect due to the
completed capital increase to finance the M&A transaction have counteracted
an even stronger price target increase. In view of the current share price
level, we therefore continue to assign a 'Buy' rating and see significant
upside potential.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/24015.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,5b,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 05/05/2022 (9:13 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 05/05/2022 (10:00 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Acquisition Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 04.05.2022
Kursziel: €8,20
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 7,90 auf EUR
8,20.
Zusammenfassung:
MGI hat einen Vertrag zur Übernahme von AxesInMotion für €55 Mio. plus bis
zu €110 Mio. an Earn-Outs, die von EBITDA-Hürden abhängen, unterzeichnet.
Der in Spanien ansässige Videospielentwickler erwartet für 2022 einen
Umsatz von €9,2 Mio. und ein bereinigtes EBITDA von €6,0 Mio. (65% Marge)
mit starken Wachstumsaussichten für die Zukunft. Die Akquisition wurde
durch eine Kapitalerhöhung in Höhe von €29 Mio. plus vorhandene liquide
Mittel finanziert, um den Verschuldungsgrad auf einem komfortablen Niveau
zu halten. Die Geschäftsdynamik von MGI ist nach wie vor gut, wie die
soliden Q1-Zwischenergebnisse und die potenziellen Synergien aus der
AxesInMotion-Übernahme zeigen. Unser Kursziel steigt auf €8,20 (zuvor:
€7,90) und enthält aktualisierte Prognosen sowie eine höhere
WACC-Schätzung, die die gestiegene Rendite für 10-jährige Bundesanleihen
berücksichtigt. Um den Wert der Transaktion zu unterstreichen, weisen wir
darauf hin, dass unser Kursziel auf Basis eines vergleichbaren WACC auf
€8,60 gestiegen wäre. Wir bekräftigen unsere Kaufempfehlung.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 7.90 to EUR 8.20.
Abstract:
MGI has signed a deal to take over AxesInMotion for €55m plus up to €110m
in earn-outs depending on EBITDA performance hurdles. The Spain-based video
game developer projects 2022 revenues of €9.2m and adjusted EBITDA of €6.0m
(65% margin) with strong growth prospects going forward. The acquisition
was financed with a €29m capital increase plus existing cash to keep
leverage ratios at comfortable levels. MGI's business momentum remains good
as evidenced by solid Q1 prelims and now the potential synergies from the
AxesInMotion deal. Our target price increases to €8.2 (old: €7.9) and
factors in updated forecasts as well as a higher WACC estimate to account
for rising 10 year Bund yields. To underscore the value of the deal, we
note that our price target would have increased to €8.6 on a like-for-like
WACC basis. We remain Buy-rated on MGI.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23999.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Buy
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: MT0000580101
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Buy
seit: 25.04.2022
Kursziel: €7.90
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 7,90.
Zusammenfassung:
Media and Games Invest hat Hauptkennzahlen für das erste Quartal
veröffentlicht, die leicht über unseren Prognosen und über dem oberen Ende
der Guidance für 2022 lagen. Der Umsatz für den Dreimonatszeitraum belief
sich auf €66 Mio. gegenüber €52 Mio. im Vorjahreszeitraum (+27% J/J), und
das bereinigte EBITDA stieg auf Jahresbasis um 30% auf €17,6 Mio. Beide
Zahlen übertrafen die Guidance, die einen Anstieg des Umsatzes um 15% bis
23% J/J und ein Wachstum des bereinigten EBITDA von 13% bis 27% vorsehen.
Die Performance wurde erneut durch organisches Umsatzwachstum angetrieben,
während die M&A-Aktivitäten derzeit ruhen. Wir behalten unsere
Kaufempfehlung bei einem unveränderten Kursziel von €7,90 bei.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: MT0000580101). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 7.90 price target.
Abstract:
Media and Games Invest published first quarter KPIs that were slightly
ahead of our forecasts and above the upper end of 2022 guidance. Sales for
the three month period totalled €66m vs €52m in the prior year period (+27%
Y/Y), and adj. EBITDA rose 30% on an annualised basis to €17.6m. Both
figures topped guidance, which calls for the topline to increase 15% to 23%
Y/Y with adj. EBITDA growth of 13% to 27%. The performance was again led by
organic sales growth with M&A activity currently idling. We maintain our
Buy rating with an unchanged €7.9 target price.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/23877.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
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