Activity Stream
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: Dreimonatsbericht
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 08.05.2024
Target price: €4,10
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 3,80 auf EUR
4,10.
Zusammenfassung:
Der Dreimonatsbericht setzte die Reihe positiver Nachrichten im Jahr 2024,
wie die Rückkehr zu einem soliden Wachstum und positive strukturelle
Veränderungen durch die Google-Partnerschaft, fort. Der Dreimonatsbericht
setzte die Reihe positiver Nachrichten im Jahr 2024, wie die Rückkehr zu
einem soliden Wachstum und positive strukturelle Veränderungen durch die
Google-Partnerschaft, fort. Letztere versetzt MGI in die Lage, das
Ertragswachstum zu maximieren und die KI-Initiativen voranzutreiben. Die
Ergebnisse übertrafen unsere Schätzung und wurden von einem organischen
Wachstum von 21% J/J angeführt, das zu einem Rekord-Q1 führte. Das
Management ist weiterhin zuversichtlich, dass sich der Werbemarkt erholen
wird, was durch verbesserte operative KPIs untermauert wird. Die erste
Guidance für das Geschäftsjahr 24 sieht einen Umsatz zwischen €350 Mio. und
€370 Mio. und ein AEBITDA zwischen €100 Mio. und €110 Mio. vor. Das
angenommene Wachstum von 9% bis 15% könnte sich als konservativ erweisen,
wenn: (1) die CPM-Preise anziehen und/oder (2) die Wahlkampfausgaben in den
USA einen fieberhaften Anstieg erreichen. Wir stufen MGI weiterhin mit
Kaufen ein bei einem Kursziel von €4,10 (zuvor: €3,80).
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 3.80 to EUR 4.10.
Abstract:
Q1 reporting extended the run of positive news flow in 2024 highlighted by
the return of solid growth and positive structural changes via the Google
partnership. The latter sets up MGI to maximise earnings growth and ramp up
AI initiatives. Results topped FBe and were led by 21% Y/Y organic growth
that drove a record first quarter. Management remain upbeat about the
recovery of the ad market; a view underpinned by improving operating KPIs.
The initial FY24 guide calls for sales between €350m to €370m and AEBITDA
ranging €100m to €110m. The implied 9% to 15% growth may prove conservative
if: (1) CPM pricing rebounds; and / or (2) US election spending reaches a
fever pitch. Our TP moves to €4.1 (old: €3.8) on the Q1 report, and we
remain Buy-rated on MGI.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29629.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 09.04.2024
Target price: €3,80
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 3,60 auf EUR
3,80.
Zusammenfassung:
MGI wird eine Partnerschaft mit Google Cloud eingehen, um seine Marktplätze
auf einer einzigen Cloud-Plattform zu konsolidieren. Die Zusammenführung
der Cloud-Infrastruktur zu einem einheitlichen Technologiepaket wird die
Entwicklungsagilität steigern und MGI erhebliche Kosteneinsparungen
bringen. Die Migration ist im Gange und soll 2025 weitgehend abgeschlossen
sein. Darüber hinaus kann das KI-Team von MGI die KI-Toolbox des
Tech-Giganten nutzen, um die Entwicklungs- und Markeinführungszeiten seiner
KI-gesteuerten Produkte (Moments.AI, ATOM) zu beschleunigen und
gleichzeitig die Zahl der Mitarbeiter in Grenzen zu halten. Unser
aktualisiertes DCF-Modell berücksichtigt die angekündigten
Kosteneinsparungen in Höhe von €20 Mio. und ergibt ein Kursziel von €3,80
(zuvor: €3,60). Wir stufen MGI mit Kaufen ein und betrachten die
Kooperation als strategischen Gewinn, der mittel- und langfristig zu einer
höheren operativen Effizienz führen wird.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 3.60 to EUR 3.80.
Abstract:
MGI will partner with Google Cloud to consolidate its marketplaces into a
single cloud platform. Streamlining the cloud infrastructure into a unified
technology stack will boost developmental agility and yield material cost
savings for MGI. Migration is underway and should be largely completed in
2025. Moreover, MGI's AI team can leverage the tech giant's AI-toolbox to
accelerate development and roll-out times of its AI-driven products
(Moments.AI, ATOM), while keeping headcount in check. Our updated DCF model
now factors in the announced €20m cost savings and points to a €3.8 TP
(old: €3.6). We are Buy-rated on MGI and view the deal as a strategic win
that stands to spur greater operating efficiency over the mid- and
long-term.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29355.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: OSG Update
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 20.03.2024
Target price: €3,60
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 3,60.
Zusammenfassung:
MGI meldete für den Monat Februar einen Rekordumsatz, der durch ein
organisches Umsatzwachstum (OSG) von 25% untermauert wurde. Dies folgt auf
einen starken Anstieg des KPI auf 16% im vierten Quartal, gefolgt von 18%
im Januar. Das Management wies darauf hin, dass die Treiber des jüngsten
Aufschwungs auch im Februar sichtbar waren: (1) höhere Werbebudgets von
Kunden, (2) Gewinnung von neuen Kunden, und (3) steigende Nachfrage nach
MGIs KI-gesteuerten Contextual-Data Lösungen, da Targeting-IDs weiterhin
verschwinden. Die Performance ist ermutigend, wenn man bedenkt, dass das
organische Umsatzwachstum im Zeitraum Januar bis September letzten Jahres
kaum 1% erreicht hatte. Wir stufen MGI weiterhin mit Kaufen und einem
Kursziel von €3,60 ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 3.60 price target.
Abstract:
MGI reported record sales for the month of February underpinned by 25% OSG
(organic sales growth). This comes on the heels of a strong uptick in the
KPI to 16% in Q4 followed by 18% in January. MGI brass pointed out that the
drivers behind the recent upswing were again visible in February: (1)
increased ad budgets from customers; (2) new customer onboardings; and (3)
rising demand for MGI's AI-driven contextual data solutions as targeting
identifiers continue to vanish. The performance is encouraging, considering
that the OSG-needle had barely budged at ~1% in January-to-September period
last year. We are Buy-rated on MGI with a €3.6 TP.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29199.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Classification of First Berlin Equity Research GmbH to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: Jahresergebnisse
Recommendation: Kaufen
from: 11.03.2024
Target price: €3,60
Target price on sight of: 12 Monate
Last rating change: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und erhöht das Kursziel von EUR 3,20 auf EUR
3,60.
Zusammenfassung:
MGI überraschte im vierten Quartal mit einer Umsatzsteigerung, die durch
ein starkes J/J organisches Wachstum (+16%) im Zeitraum von Oktober bis
Dezember gekennzeichnet war. Das Management verwies auf: (1) die Skalierung
der neuen Software-Kunden, die im Laufe des Jahres 2023 hinzukommen sind,
(2) die beschleunigte Zugkraft der kontextbezogenen Tools (ATOM, moments.AI
und ML-Optimierung für SKAN), die in einer zunehmend ID-losen Welt auf
große Resonanz stoßen, und (3) erste Anzeichen einer Erholung des
Werbemarktes. Der Umsatz (€322 Mio.) übertraf die Guidance für 2023 (€303
Mio.) und FBe (€304 Mio.). Das Management zeigte sich auch für 2024
zuversichtlich und deutete ein zweistelliges Wachstum für dieses Jahr an.
Aufgrund dieses Ausblicks haben wir unsere Prognose und unser Kursziel auf
€3,60 (zuvor: €3,20) angehoben und sind der Meinung, dass der solide
Q4-Bericht dazu beitragen wird, die seit dem Abschwung im letzten Jahr am
Werbemarkt anhaltende Skepsis der Anleger zu beenden. Wir stufen MGI
weiterhin mit Kaufen ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and increased the price target from EUR 3.20 to EUR 3.60.
This is an abbreviated summary. The full text of this story (including
disclosure) is attached as a pdf document. For previous reports on this or
other companies covered by First Berlin contact Gaurav Tiwari directly
(g.tiwari@firstberlin.com).
Abstract:
MGI surprised with a Q4 topline beat that featured a strong rebound (+16%)
in Y/Y organic growth for the October-to-December period. Management
pointed to: (1) scaling of new software clients onboarded throughout 2023;
(2) accelerated traction of contextual tools (ATOM, moments.AI and ML
optimization for SKAN) that are resonating strongly in an increasingly
ID-less world; and (3) early signs of an ad market recovery. Sales (€322m)
topped the 2023 adjusted revenue guide (€303m) and FBe (€304m). Management
were also upbeat about 2024 and hinted at double digit growth for the year.
We have upped FBe and our TP to €3.6 (old: €3.2) on this outlook and
believe the solid Q4 report will help end investor ennui that has persisted
since last year's ad market downturn. We remain Buy-rated on MGI.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29109.pdf
Contact for questions
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - from GBC AG
Classification of GBC AG to Media and Games Invest SE
Company Name: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Reason for the research: Research study (Note)
Recommendation: BUY
Target price: 4.50 EUR
Last rating change:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
FY 2023 closed with solid sales performance; strong new customer business
ensured significant organic growth; return to dynamic growth path expected;
price target raised to € 4.50; buy rating confirmed
Sales and earnings development 2023
On 29 February 2029, Media and Games Invest SE (MGI) published its
preliminary business figures for the past financial year 2023. According to
these figures, the technology company achieved solid revenue growth
compared to the previous year (PY: € 324.44 million) with its fully
integrated advertising software platform (ad tech platform), generating
revenue of € 321.98 million. The majority of revenue was generated by the
traditionally largest advertising segment 'Supply Side Platform' (revenue
share of SSP: 93.6%) with revenue totalling € 301.39 million (PY: € 298.88
million).
On a comparable basis, the company reports a moderate increase in
consolidated sales of 5.0%, which achieved a particularly high growth rate
of 16.0% in the final quarter, traditionally the strongest quarter in terms
of sales. The sales growth achieved was mainly due to an increase in the
software customer base and the volume of advertising placed. The number of
customers on MGI's digital ad tech platform increased dynamically by 18.9%
year-on-year to 2,276 at the end of the fourth quarter (number of customers
at the end of Q4 2022: 1,915). At the same time, the volume of digital
advertising delivered increased significantly by 19.1% to 206 billion at
the end of the fourth quarter (advertising ads at the end of Q4 2022: 173
billion).
Thanks to the significant expansion of the software customer base and the
substantial increase in advertising volume, the company was able to hold
its own and even gain market share despite a previously difficult market
situation (low CPMs, subdued advertising budgets, etc.). The company's
further improved market position in the mobile sector is also reflected in
the market-leading positions on iOS and Android with a market share of
12.0% and 12.0% respectively, according to the industry experts at
Pixalate. Accordingly, we believe that MGI has outperformed the advertising
industry as a whole and the overall advertising market.
In terms of earnings, MGI achieved growth at all earnings levels, primarily
due to the revaluation of the AxesInMotion earn-out payment liability
(positive one-off effect of € 62.76 million). EBITDA increased dynamically
by 51.6% to € 128.46 million (PY: € 84.75 million) compared to the previous
year. Adjusted for special effects (e.g. M&A and restructuring costs or
revaluations of balance sheet items), adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA)
totalled € 95.20 million, a slight increase compared to the previous year
(PY: € 93.20 million).
The adjusted EBITDA margin (Adj. EBITDA margin) increased to 29.6% (PY:
28.7%). This increase in profitability reflects the first positive effects
of the savings programme launched last year, which is expected to generate
annual cost savings of around € 10.0 million once successfully implemented.
We believe that the majority of the planned savings effects should already
materialise in the current 2024 financial year.
In terms of net performance, a consolidated result (after minority
interests) of € 46.73 million was achieved, which was significantly above
the previous year's level (PY: € -20.32 million). This significant increase
in net income was mainly due to the positive one-off effect from the
revaluation of an M&A-related payment obligation described above. In
addition, a relatively low tax expense ratio also favoured their positive
earnings development.
The company guidance adjusted by MGI management in the third quarter of
2023 (sales of € 303 million and adjusted EBITDA of € 93.0 million) was
therefore exceeded. Our sales estimate (sales: € 303.21 million) and
adjusted EBITDA forecast (adjusted EBITDA: € 93.07 million) were also
exceeded.
Forecasts and evaluation
With the publication of the preliminary figures, MGI's management has also
provided a rough outlook for the current financial year, although this
guidance will be further specified as the year progresses. In view of a
strong fourth quarter (organic growth Q4 2023: 16.0%) and an even more
dynamic start to the year (organic growth Jan. 2024: 18.0%), MGI expects
double-digit percentage growth in consolidated sales for the current
financial year 2024. At the same time, an improvement in earnings is also
expected.
In light of the positive company outlook, the increased (organic) growth
momentum and the expected recovery of the advertising market, we have
adjusted our previous sales and earnings estimates upwards. Accordingly, we
now expect revenue of € 352.18 million (PY: € 324.74 million) and EBITDA of
€ 100.08 million (PY: € 95.56 million) for the current financial year. For
the following financial year 2025, we are forecasting sales of € 389.51
million (PY: € 357.66 million) and EBITDA of € 113.35 million (PY: € 108.49
million). With regard to the 2026 financial year, which we have included in
our detailed forecast period for the first time, we anticipate a further
increase in sales and EBITDA to € 437.03 million and € 130.67 million
respectively.
Overall, we therefore assume that MGI will succeed in returning to a
dynamic growth trajectory with its leading ad tech platform. The company's
strong positioning in the in-app and CTV segment in particular should prove
to be one of the main growth drivers. In terms of earnings, the
cost-cutting programme launched by the company last year should take full
effect from the current financial year onwards and thus provide an
additional boost to future earnings.
As part of our DCF valuation model, we have raised our price target to €
4.50 (previously: € 4.05) per share due to our increased sales and earnings
estimates. An even higher price target increase was counteracted by higher
capital costs (risk-free interest rate currently 2.50%, instead of 2.00%
previously). In view of the current share price level, we therefore
continue to give the stock a 'BUY' rating and see significant upside
potential.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29049.pdf
Contact for questions
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 04/03/2024 (8:20 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 04/03/2024 (10:00 am)
-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Comment)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 4.05 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
Nine months 2023: Solid sales and operating earnings performance despite
challenging conditions; positive effects from the initiated savings
programme enabled an increase in profitability; GBC estimates and price
target confirmed
Business performance 9M 2023
Media and Games Invest (SE) published its nine-month and Q3 figures for the
current financial year on 30 November 2023. Based on these figures, the ad
tech group saw a moderate decline in digital Group revenue of 3.6% to €
223.27 million in the past nine months (9M 2022: € 231.55 million),
primarily due to divestments (in the games segment) and unfavourable
exchange rate developments. The revenue generated was primarily driven by
the traditionally largest advertising segment 'Supply Side Platform'
(revenue share: 89.7%), which generated revenue of € 200.35 million (9M
2022: € 209.65 million).
According to the company, an organic increase in consolidated sales was
achieved on a comparable basis. This revenue growth is primarily the result
of an increase in the software customer base and the volume of advertising
placed. The number of customers on MGI's digital advertising platform
increased significantly by 9.0% to 2,068 software customers at the end of
the third quarter compared to the same quarter of the previous year
(software customers at the end of Q3 2022: 1,898). At the same time, the
digital advertising volume delivered increased significantly by 8.0% to 186
billion at the end of the third quarter (advertising ads at the end of Q3
2022: 172 billion).
Thanks to the noticeable expansion of the software customer base, the
Ad-Tech Group was able to perform well amid the challenging market
situation and thus slightly overcompensate for negative market aspects such
as reduced customer advertising budgets and lower CPMs (cost-per-mile).
In addition, further market share was gained, enabling this technology
company to further expand its leading market position. According to a
recent Pixalate market study, MGI's subsidiary Verve Group remains the
market leader on Android and iOS in the US market with a market share of
11.0% and 28.0% respectively. In Europe, Verve recently achieved a
market-leading position on Android (No. 2 with a market share of 15.0%) and
iOS (No. 3 with a market share of 9.0%). In our view, MGI has thus
outperformed the general advertising market and the advertising industry as
a whole.
In contrast to the sales trend, MGI achieved growth at all earnings levels,
primarily due to the revaluation of the AxesInMotion earn-out payment
liability (positive one-off effect of € 62.76 million). EBITDA increased
dynamically by 73.6% to € 101.15 million compared to the same quarter of
the previous year (9M 2022: € 58.28 million). Adjusted for one-off effects
(e.g. M&A and restructuring costs or revaluations of balance sheet items),
adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) totalled € 63.50 million, which was slightly
higher than in the same period of the previous year (9M 2022: € 61.70
million).
In terms of operating profitability, an increase in profitability to 28.4%
(9M 2022: 26.6%) was achieved on the basis of the adjusted EBITDA margin
(Adj. EBITDA margin). This improvement in profitability reflects the first
positive effects of the company's cost-cutting programme, which is expected
to generate annual cost savings of around € 10.0 million once successfully
implemented.
After the first nine months of the financial year, consolidated net income
(after minority interests) totalled € 41.83 million (9M 2022: € 8.77
million), which was significantly higher than the previous year's level.
This significant increase in net income was mainly due to the positive
one-off effect from the revaluation of an M&A-related payment obligation
described above.
Business development Q3 2023
The negative effects of divestments and unfavourable exchange rate
developments were particularly noticeable in the third quarter.
Accordingly, the MGI Group suffered a significant year-on-year decline in
digital Group sales of 10.6% to € 78.34 million (Q3 2022: € 87.62 million).
Adjusted for these negative currency effects, however, organic sales growth
of 1.0% was achieved at Group level, according to the company. This revenue
growth was primarily the result of an increase in the software customer
base and the volume of advertising delivered.
At operating earnings level, adjusted EBITDA (Adj. EBITDA) of € 23.10
million was achieved, mainly thanks to efficiency gains from the
cost-saving programme that has been initiated, thus confirming the high
earnings level of the previous year (Q3 2022: € 23.00 million). At the same
time, the adjusted EBITDA margin increased significantly to 29.5% (Q3 2022:
26.3%)
Forecast and price target
Against the backdrop of the company's solid performance in the first nine
months of 2023, MGI's management has confirmed its previously adjusted
guidance (dated 31 August 2023) for the current 2023 financial year with
the publication of its nine-month and Q3 figures. Accordingly, the
technology company continues to expect consolidated sales of around € 303.0
million and Adj. EBITDA of € 93.0 million. At the same time, the company
has also confirmed its medium-term guidance (Revenue CAGR: 25.0% to 30.0%;
Adj. EBITDA margin: 25.0% to 30.0%). As a result, MGI anticipates
significantly higher growth momentum again in the medium term on the basis
of an expected recovery in the advertising market.
Overall, we remain convinced that the ad tech group will be able to return
to growth from the 2024 financial year onwards, based on the gradual
recovery of the advertising market that we expect. In particular, the MGI
Group's strong positioning in the growth areas of programmatic advertising
and connected TV (CTV) in combination with innovative advertising solutions
(Moments.AI, ATOM etc.) should ensure further market share gains and a
significant outperformance compared to the general advertising industry in
the future. The significant expansion of their software customer base
achieved in recent quarters also provides a good basis for driving
(organic) growth even more strongly.
In light of the company's solid performance, the confirmed outlook and
their promising growth strategy, we confirm our previous revenue and
earnings estimates for the current financial year and subsequent years.
Accordingly, we also confirm our previous price target of € 4.05 per share.
With regard to the current share price level, we therefore continue to
assign a 'buy' rating and see significant upside potential in the MGI
share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28503.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 07/12/2023 (9:35 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 07/12/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media & Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media & Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media & Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media & Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Neunmonatsbericht
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 07.12.2023
Kursziel: €3,20
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 3,20.
Zusammenfassung:
Das dritte Quartal verlief ähnlich wie der vorangegangene
Dreimonatszeitraum, wobei die Topline die Auswirkungen einer Verlangsamung
der Werbeausgaben zeigte. Das währungsbereinigte organische Umsatzwachstum
(OSG) belief sich im dritten Quartal in Folge auf 1%. Die Hauptkennzahlen
für Q3 lagen nahe an unseren Prognosen, und die Rentabilität blieb solide.
Die nicht bereinigten Ergebnisse wurden durch die Auflösung der
Earn-Out-Verbindlichkeit für AxesInMotion gesteigert, die im Zeitraum Juli
bis September zu einem 'sonstigen betrieblichen Ertrag' von €64 Mio.
führte. Die Bilanz wurde durch den Marktabschwung nicht strukturell
beeinträchtigt, und das Unternehmen ist mit seinen Produkten und seiner
Technologie weiterhin gut positioniert, wie die gewonnenen Neukunden
zeigen. Wir stufen MGI weiterhin mit Kaufen und einem Kursziel von €3,20
ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 3.20 price target.
Abstract:
Third quarter reporting was similar to the prior three month period with
the topline showing the effects of a slowdown in ad spend. Fx-adjusted
organic sales growth (OSG) tallied 1% for the third consecutive quarter.
Headline Q3 figures were close to FBe, and profitability remained solid.
Non-adjusted earnings were supercharged by the release of the AxesInMotion
earn-out liability, which resulted in 'other income' of €64m for the
July-to-September period. The balance sheet hasn't been unduly weakened in
the market downturn, and, as client wins show, the company remains well
positioned with its products and technology. We remain Buy-rated on MGI
with a €3.2 target price.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28505.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media & Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media & Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media & Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media & Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Q2 Ergebnisse
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 12.09.2023
Kursziel: €3,20
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Montate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und senkt das Kursziel von EUR 4,00 auf EUR
3,20.
Zusammenfassung:
Die Auswirkungen der schwachen Werbeausgaben standen im Mittelpunkt des
Sechsmonatsberichts. Das währungsbereinigte organische Umsatzwachstum (OSG)
lag das zweite Quartal in Folge bei 1% und damit deutlich unter den für
2022 gemeldeten Werten (18% bis 23%). Die Hauptkennzahlen für Q2 lagen nahe
an unseren Prognosen, aber das Management erwartet nun, dass die
Werbeausgaben im zweiten Halbjahr schwach bleiben werden und reduzierte
seine Guidance für 2023. Die Rentabilität blieb stark, was zu einem guten
Cashflow für den Zeitraum von April bis Juni führte. Das Unternehmen ist
mit seinen Produkten und seiner Technologie nach wie vor gut positioniert,
aber die Anleger müssen sich gedulden, da die Werbemärkte einen
Abwärtszyklus durchlaufen, der von einem makroökonomischen Gegenwind
begleitet wird. Wir haben FBe auf die aktualisierte Guidance für 2023
gesenkt und auch unsere Wachstumsannahme für 2024 reduziert, bis die
steigenden Werbebudgets sichtbarer werden. Wir stufen MGI weiterhin mit
Kaufen ein. Unser Kursziel ist nun €3,20 (zuvor: €4).
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and decreased the price target from EUR 4.00 to EUR 3.20.
Abstract:
The effects of soft ad spend were in focus in Q2 reporting. Fx-adjusted
organic sales growth (OSG) remained gated at 1% for the second consecutive
quarter and well below levels reported in 2022 (18% to 23%). Headline Q2
figures were close to FBe, but management now expect ad spend to remain
weak in H2 and reduced their 2023 guidance. Profitability remained strong
resulting in good cash flows for the April-to-June period. The company
remains well positioned with its products and technology, but investors
will need to be patient as the ad markets work through a down cycle amidst
macro headwinds. We have cut FBe to match updated 2023 guide and also
dialled back our 2024 growth assumption until increasing ad budgets become
more visible. We remain Buy-rated on MGI with a €3.2 TP (old: €4.0).
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27707.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Note)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 4.05 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
HY1 2023: Solid sales development despite economic headwinds; stable
operating earnings development due to strict cost management; GBC estimates
and price target adjusted after guidance reduction
Business development in HY1 2023
Media and Games Invest SE (MGI) published its half-year figures for the
current financial year on 31 August 2023. Based on this, the ad tech
platform group achieved a stable revenue development in the first six
months despite an economic headwind that led to a weakening of the
advertising industry. Compared to the same period last year, digital group
revenues increased slightly by around 1.0% to € 144.93 million (HY1 2022: €
143.93 million). This revenue growth was achieved despite past divestments
(streamlining of the gaming portfolio) and an unfavourable exchange rate
development.
Both advertising segments (Demand Side Platforms - DSP, Supply Side
Platforms - SSP) contributed to the robust Group revenue development with
stable or growing segment revenue development. In the first half of the
year, the SSP business segment was able to confirm the high half-year
revenue level of the previous year (HY1 2022: € 131.62 million) with
segment revenue of € 130.84 million. In contrast, the DSP business unit
even increased its segment revenue significantly by 14.5% to € 14.10
million (HY1 2022: € 12.31 million) compared to the same period of the
previous year.
In parallel to the stable revenue development, the consolidated operating
result (EBITDA) increased slightly by 1.4% to € 37.41 million (HY1 2022: €
36.91 million) compared to the same period of the previous year. Adjusted
for one-off costs and special effects (e.g. M&A costs), adjusted EBITDA
(Adj. EBITDA) for the first half of 2023 amounted to € 40.40 million, which
increased moderately by 4.6% compared to the same period of the previous
year (HY1 2022: € 38.60 million). At the same time, the adjusted EBITDA
margin increased slightly to 27.9% (HY1 2022: 26.8%).
On the net level, however, MGI suffered a 54.0% year-on-year decline in net
income (after minorities) to € 2.57 million in the first six months of the
current financial year (HY1 2022: € 5.59 million). This was mainly due to
higher tax and interest charges compared to the same period of the previous
year.
Business development in Q2 2023
The stable revenue development of the MGI Group is also evident at the
quarterly level. Despite difficult general conditions, the Group's revenue
remained at a high level in the second quarter with a revenue volume of €
76.18 million compared to the same quarter of the previous year (Q2 2022: €
78.06 million). Adjusted for currency effects, organic revenue growth in
the second quarter was 1.0% compared to the same quarter of the previous
year. Excluding divestment and currency effects, an adjusted increase in
turnover of 3.0% was even achieved.
According to the company, the technology company also succeeded in the past
quarter in further increasing its market share and thus expanding its
market position through innovative AI-based targeting products such as
Moments.AI, which significantly improve advertising results for publishers
and advertisers. MGI's strong market position is also reflected in the top
rankings achieved by various market segments. While MGI was already the
leading provider of in-app advertising on Android, the technology company
has also managed to be the leading provider on Apple's IOS in North America
and Europe since Q2 2023.
The robust (organic) business development in Q2 was supported in particular
by a renewed increase in software customers and advertising volume (ad
impressions). Compared to the previous year, ad impressions increased
significantly by 13.0% and the number of software clients also increased
significantly by 9.0%. Thus, the software client base (so-called total
software clients with an annual turnover of more than USD 100,000) was
expanded by 46 new software clients in the second quarter compared to the
same quarter of the previous year to a total of 559 (Q2 2022: 513).
At segment level, the previously smaller Demand Side Segment (DSP) was able
to further expand its digital business volume with a slight year-on-year
revenue increase of 2.3% to € 7.88 million (Q2 2022: € 7.70 million). In
contrast, the Supply-Side segment suffered a slight year-on-year decline in
segment revenue of 3.0% to € 68.30 million (Q2 2022: € 70.36 million), due
in particular to the divestments of small non-strategic games made in Q4
2022.
At the operating earnings level, MGI achieved an EBITDA of € 19.99 million
in the second quarter of 2023, which was almost at the previous year's
level (Q2 2022: € 20.04 million), in parallel with the solid revenue
development. In contrast, Group EBITDA adjusted for one-off and special
effects (e.g. M&A costs or headquarters relocation costs) increased
slightly by around 1.0% to € 21.30 million (Q2 2022: € 21.10 million). In
the same step, the adjusted EBITDA margin grew to 28.0% (Q2 2022: 27.0%).
The increased profitability also underlines the company's general strict
cost management.
Forecasts and evaluation
In order to further improve their earnings situation and to counteract
their lower growth dynamics, MGI has initiated a cost-saving programme in
the current third quarter. This cost-optimisation programme, which is
primarily aimed at reducing personnel costs, includes annual cost savings
of € 10.0 million. The main effects of the planned cost reduction measures
are expected to take effect from the fourth quarter of 2024.
Against the backdrop of the weakening advertising market and the lower
growth expected by MGI in the second half of 2023, the technology company
has reduced its previous corporate guidance (revenue of € 335.0 million to
€ 345.0 million and Adj. EBITDA of € 95.0 million to € 105.0 million) for
the current financial year. The company now expects consolidated revenue of
approximately € 303.0 million and Adj. EBITDA of € 93.0 million.
In the context of the publication of the Q2 and half-year figures at the
'MGI Capital Markets Day 2023', the technology company confirmed its
medium-term corporate guidance (revenue CAGR: 25.0% to 30.0%; Adj. EBITDA
margin: 25.0% to 30.0%). Accordingly, the technology company expects higher
growth momentum again in the medium term.
In view of the lowered corporate guidance, we have also adjusted our
previous turnover and earnings forecasts for the current financial year and
the following years downwards. For the current financial year, we now
expect consolidated revenue of € 303.21 million (previously: € 340.12
million) and EBITDA of € 85.37 million (previously: € 89.44 million). With
regard to the subsequent years 2024 and 2025, we expect, under conservative
premises, a turnover (EBITDA) of € 324.74 million (€ 95.56 million) and €
357.66 million (€ 108.49 million) respectively.
Despite our reduced revenue and earnings estimates, the MGI Group should be
able to return to its growth path from the 2024 financial year onwards,
based on the gradual recovery of the advertising market that we expect. In
particular, the strong positioning of the ad tech company in the
programmatic advertising market, the fastest-growing segment of the digital
advertising market, should ensure further gains in market share and
outperformance compared to the overall advertising market in the future.
Our forecast EBITDA growth for the future financial years should also be
boosted by the expected positive effects from the company's initiated
cost-efficiency programme (targeted annual cost savings of € 10.0 million
from FY 2024).
Against the backdrop of our adjusted revenue and earnings forecasts, we are
lowering our previous price target to € 4.05 (previously: € 5.30) per
share. In view of the current share price level, we continue to give the
MGI share a 'buy' rating and continue to see significant upside potential.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27697.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 11/09/2023 (8:59 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 11/09/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research study (Anno)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 5.30 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
Financial year 2022 closed with a significant improvement in revenue and
operating profit; A continuation of the profitable growth course is
expected for 2023; The expansion of the ad tech platform business should
lead to significant revenue and earnings growth in the future; Target
price: € 5.30 (previously: € 5.40); Rating: BUY
Based on the published business figures, Media and Games Invest SE (MGI)
continued its dynamic growth course in the past financial year 2022 with a
significant increase in turnover of 28.7% to € 324.44 million (PY: € 252.17
million) despite difficult general conditions and market situation. Their
digital programmatic advertising software platform business again proved to
be their main growth driver. In this high-growth area, the increase in
their software customer base to 551 customers (end of 2021: 418)
significantly increased their business volume. The strong business growth
achieved is also reflected in MGI's leading market position. According to a
market study (Pixalate's Mobile SSP Report), MGI's Verve Group is the
market leader in mobile programmatic advertising for Android in North
America with a 12% share. This exceeded the company's guidance at the upper
end of the target range (revenue of € 315.0m to € 325.0m) and also our
revenue estimate (GBCe: € 307.22m).
Parallel to the positive development of turnover, significant increases
were achieved at the operating result level. Compared to the previous year,
EBITDA grew significantly by 30.3% to € 84.75 million. Adjusted for one-off
effects (e.g. special and restructuring costs from M&As), EBITDA (Adj.
EBITDA) also grew rapidly with a dynamic increase of 31.1% to € 93.20
million. Accordingly, the company’s earnings guidance (Adj. EBITDA: € 83.0
million to € 93.0 million) and also our earnings estimate (Adj. EBITDA: €
91.72 million) were exceeded.
MGI's management is also positive about the current 2023 financial year and
expects to continue on its growth path. Specifically, the technology
company expects a renewed increase in sales revenues in a range of € 335.0
million to € 345.0 million. At the earnings level, an adjusted EBITDA of
between € 95.0 million and € 105.0 million is to be achieved.
As part of the publication of our research study on the preliminary annual
results of MGI's 2022 financial year, we have slightly reduced our previous
revenue and earnings forecasts for the current 2023 financial year for
conservative reasons. For the following year, we have left our previous
operating estimates unchanged. In view of the satisfactory Q1 performance,
the positive corporate outlook and the reaffirmation of the medium-term
guidance (revenue CAGR 25.0%-30.0%, EBITDA CAGR 25.0%-30.0%), we confirm
our previous revenue and earnings forecasts for the current financial year
and subsequent years. For 2022, we continue to expect revenues of € 340.12
million and EBITDA of € 89.44 million. For 2024 and 2025, we continue to
expect revenues (EBITDA) of € 402.55 million (€ 115.80 million) and €
471.39 million (€ 136.14 million), respectively.
Overall, the MGI Group, with its good market positioning and
fully-integrated programmatic ad tech platform with its own games content,
should succeed in continuing its dynamic growth course in the future. While
the technology company has built up a strong position on the supply side in
recent years, with a strong SDK base in the premium mobile app sector, the
demand side in particular should be the focus of targeted growth in the
future and be further expanded. The Contextual Mobile Demand Side Platform
'Dataseat', which was acquired in 2022, was an important building block of
MGI's growth strategy and has additionally strengthened the Demand Side and
also underlines their growth ambitions in this business area.
In addition, with liquidity of around € 130.0 million at the end of the
first quarter of 2023, MGI continues to be in a good financial position and
can thus take advantage of investment opportunities as well as being able
to comfortably cushion recessionary macroeconomic situations. The gearing
ratio, which was at a good level of 3.0x at the end of the last quarter,
should also improve further in the short and medium term due to their
positive cash flow and their expected EBITDA growth.
Based on our confirmed forecasts for the current financial year 2023 and
the following years and the changed cost of capital (WACC), we have
slightly lowered our previous price target to € 5.30 (previously: € 5.40).
Our price target reduction is the result of higher capital costs (increase
in the risk-free interest rate to 2.0% instead of the previous 1.5%). As a
consequence of the unchanged high inflation, we have raised the terminal
value growth rate to 2.5% (previously: 2.0%), which has had the effect of
raising the target price. In view of the current share price level, we thus
continue to assign a 'Buy' rating and see significant upside potential. The
results of our peer group analysis (see p. 21) also support our assessment
of the attractiveness and price potential of the MGI share.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27233.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
++++++++++++++++
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 20/06/2023 (8:43 am)
Date (time) of first distribution: 20/06/2023 (10:30 am)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Q1 Ergebnisse
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 02.06.2023
Kursziel: €4
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und bestätigt sein Kursziel von EUR 4,00.
Zusammenfassung:
Der Dreimonatsbericht entsprach weitgehend unseren Erwartungen. Der Umsatz
von €68,8 Mio. erreichte unser Ziel, und die Erträge waren dank einer
optimierten Kostenstruktur ermutigend stark. Das Programmatic-Geschäft
wuchs um 8% J/J und übertraf die Marktperformance. Außerdem zeigt ein neuer
Marktbericht, dass die Verve-Gruppe von MGI mit einem Anteil von 12%
Marktführer für mobile programmatische Werbung für Android in Nordamerika
ist. Die Anleger setzen praktisch alle Unternehmen mit einem
Werbeengagement auf die Strafbank, und wir erwarten, dass die Skepsis der
Anleger gegenüber der MGI-Aktie kurzfristig anhalten wird. Aufgrund der
stabilen operativen Leistung sehen wir ein ausgezeichnetes Potenzial für
eine Kurserholung und stufen MGI weiterhin mit Kaufen und einem Kursziel
von €4 ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and maintained his EUR 4.00 price target.
Abstract:
Q1 reporting was broadly in line with FBe. Turnover of €68.8m hit our mark,
and earnings were encouragingly strong, boosted by an optimised cost
structure. The programmatic business grew 8% Y/Y and outperformed the
market. Plus, a new market report shows MGI's Verve group is the market
leader for North American mobile programmatic advertising for Android with
a 12% share. Investors are placing virtually all companies with advertising
exposure in the 'sin bin,' and we expect investor ennui to persist over the
near term. Based on the steady operational performance, we see excellent
share price rebound potential and remain Buy-rated on MGI with a €4 TP.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/27137.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
GBC AG: Media and Games Invest SE: BUY
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von GBC AG
Einstufung von GBC AG zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: Research Note
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 5.40 EUR
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Marcel Goldmann, Cosmin Filker
FY 2022 closed with positive operating performance; Strong new customer
acquisition enabled high growth; Positioning as a fully integrated ad tech
platform should ensure further dynamic growth; Price target slightly
lowered; Buy rating confirmed
Turnover and earnings development 2022
On 28 February 2023, Media and Games Invest SE published its preliminary
business figures for the past financial year 2022. According to these
figures, the technology group with its advertising software platform
(so-called Ad-Tech platform) continued its dynamic growth course in the
past financial year with an increase in turnover of 28.7% to € 324.44
million (previous year: € 252.17 million). Despite difficult general
conditions and the market situation (budget cuts, declining CPM, etc.), the
company succeeded in maintaining its growth rate and gaining market share.
The significant increase in turnover was based on both organic and
inorganic turnover effects (18.0% organic growth & 11.0% inorganic growth).
The significant increase in Group revenues was primarily driven by the
continued growth in digital advertising revenues (ad software revenues) of
the Group. In the past financial year, ad software revenues increased
significantly by 49.2% to € 259.55 million (previous year: € 174.00
million) and thus accounted for around 80.0% of Group revenues.
The strong acquisition of new customers proved to be a significant growth
driver of this digital advertising business. In the past financial year,
133 new software customers were added to the customer portfolio, which
currently consists of 551 customers (end of 2021: 418). In addition, the ad
tech business also benefited from the clearly positive effects of M&A
measures (e.g. AxesInMotion, DataSeat, etc.).
Parallel to the positive development of turnover, significant increases
were also achieved at the operating result level. Compared to the previous
year, EBITDA increased significantly by 30.3% to € 84.75 million (previous
year: € 65.04 million). EBITDA, adjusted for one-off effects (e.g. special
and restructuring costs from M&A transactions), also increased
significantly by 31.1% to € 93.20 million (previous year: € 71.10 million).
As a result, the adjusted EBITDA margin increased slightly to 28.7%
(previous year: 28.2%). At the net level, a negative consolidated result of
€ -20.41 million (previous year: € 16.06 million) had to be accepted due to
a one-time depreciation effect (one-time PPA depreciation on intangible
assets) and higher tax and interest charges. This one-off depreciation
effect resulted from an adjustment of the corporate strategy and a related
withdrawal from business activities with small MMO games. Adjusted for the
non-recurring and regular PPA amortisation of € 41.49 million, the adjusted
group result was € 21.09 million.
The most recent corporate guidance issued by MGI management was thus
achieved at the upper end of the target range. Our turnover estimate
(turnover: € 307.22 million) and adjusted EBITDA forecast (adjusted EBITDA:
€ 91.72 million) were exceeded. However, due to the PPA amortisation, which
we did not anticipate in this amount, the net result was significantly
below our expectations.
Forecasts and evaluation
With the publication of the preliminary figures, MGI has confirmed the
previously published medium-term guidance (revenue CAGR: 25.0% - 30.0%;
Adj. EBITDA margin: 25.0% - 30.0%). In addition, the technology company
plans to announce a concrete company forecast for the current financial
year 2023 with the publication of the Q1 business figures or hereafter.
Based on the current company performance, we have slightly reduced our
revenue and EBITDA estimates for the current 2023 financial year from a
conservative perspective and now expect revenue of € 340.12 million
(previously: € 345.11 million) and EBITDA of € 89.44 million (previously: €
96.05 million). For the coming financial year 2024, we are leaving our
previous operating estimates unchanged. In addition, we have included the
2025 financial year in our detailed estimates for the first time.
Against the background that we expect significantly higher interest and tax
expenses in the future than was previously the case, we have significantly
lowered our net forecasts for the 2023 and 2024 financial years.
Overall, we continue to see MGI well-positioned to further expand its
market position with its leading ad tech platform with proprietary games
content, innovative contextual customer solutions and multi-channel
platform approach. Even in a difficult advertising market, this technology
group should succeed in continuing its successful course with its promising
focus on digital programmatic advertising. In doing so, the company should
be able to benefit in particular from the increased customer demand for
efficient (digital) advertising solutions.
Within the framework of our DCF valuation model, we have slightly reduced
our target price to € 5.40 (previously: € 5.75 per share) due to our
adjusted estimates and the increased cost of capital. The resulting
lowering of the target price was offset by the first-time inclusion of FY
2025 in our detailed estimation period and the associated higher starting
point for the subsequent estimation periods. In view of the current price
level, we continue to give the share a 'Buy' rating and see signi-ficant
upside potential.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26523.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstrasse 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR. Beim oben analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,5b,7,11); Einen Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter: http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
+++++++++++++++
Date (time) of completion: 07/03/2023 (10:57)
Date (time) of first distribution: 08/03/2023 (10:30)
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH: Media and Games Invest SE: Kaufen
Original-Research: Media and Games Invest SE - von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Einstufung von First Berlin Equity Research GmbH zu Media and Games Invest SE
Unternehmen: Media and Games Invest SE
ISIN: SE0018538068
Anlass der Studie: 2022 Ergebnisse
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 06.03.2023
Kursziel: €4,00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Ellis Acklin
First Berlin Equity Research hat ein Research Update zu Media and Games
Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068) veröffentlicht. Analyst Ellis Acklin
bestätigt seine BUY-Empfehlung und senkt das Kursziel von EUR 4,40 auf EUR
4,00.
Zusammenfassung:
Trotz des unsicheren wirtschaftlichen Umfelds beendete MGI das Jahr 2022
mit einem soliden Ergebnis. Trotz des unsicheren wirtschaftlichen Umfelds
beendete MGI das Jahr 2022 mit einem soliden Ergebnis. Der Umsatz stieg im
vierten Quartal um 16% J/J und das AEBITDA um 35%, dank eines organischen
Wachstums von 13% im Zeitraum Oktober bis Dezember. Die Entwicklung des
Unternehmens hin zu einer Ad-Software-Plattform zahlt sich weiterhin aus,
und MGIs Software-Kundenbasis beläuft sich nun auf 551, nachdem im letzten
Jahr 133 neue Kunden hinzugekommen sind (+32%). Dieses Wachstum trug dazu
bei, den Druck auf die CPM-Preise (Cost-per-Mille) auszugleichen. Die
Hauptkennzahlen erreichten das obere Ende der Guidance für 2022 und
übertrafen unsere Prognosen. Wir erwarten weiterhin weiteres Umsatz- und
Gewinnwachstum für 2023. Unser Kursziel sinkt aufgrund der Verwässerung
durch die im vierten Quartal ausgegebenen Optionsscheine auf €4,00 (zuvor:
€4,40), und wir stufen MGI weiterhin mit Kaufen ein.
First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Media and
Games Invest SE (ISIN: SE0018538068). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his
BUY rating and decreased the price target from EUR 4.40 to EUR 4.00.
Abstract:
Despite the bumpy economic environment, MGI ended 2022 on a solid note with
Q4 turnover up 16% Y/Y and AEBITDA 35% higher, thanks to 13% organic growth
for the October-to-December quarter. The company's evolution towards an
ad-software platform continues to pay off, and MGI's software client base
now totals 551 after acquiring 133 new customers last year (+32%). This
growth helped offset CPM (cost per thousands) pricing pressure. Headline
figures reached the upper end of 2022 guidance and topped our forecasts,
and we continue to expect further topline and earnings growth in 2023. Our
target price moves to €4.0 (old: €4.4) on the dilution from warrants issued
in Q4, and we remain Buy-rated on MGI.
Bezüglich der Pflichtangaben gem. §34b WpHG und des Haftungsausschlusses
siehe die vollständige Analyse.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/26515.pdf
Kontakt für Rückfragen
First Berlin Equity Research GmbH
Herr Gaurav Tiwari
Tel.: +49 (0)30 809 39 686
web: www.firstberlin.com
E-Mail: g.tiwari@firstberlin.com
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.