Activity Stream
NuWays AG: elumeo SE: BUY
Original-Research: elumeo SE - from NuWays AG
Classification of NuWays AG to elumeo SE
Company Name: elumeo SE
ISIN: DE000A11Q059
Reason for the research: Update
Recommendation: BUY
from: 11.03.2024
Target price: 5.00
Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten
Last rating change:
Analyst: Mark Schüssler
Growth avenues lead the way in 2024 and beyond
elumeo looks set to benefit from two growth initiatives in particular which
should help both top and bottom line performance going forward:
Growth avenue #1: juwelo. We currently expect much of H1'24e to be burdened
by the continued muted consumer sentiment witnessed over the last quarters,
estimating c. € 22m (eNuW) in sales for the first half of the year (flat
yoy). While customer activity should be relatively unaffected overall for
elumeo's core platform juwelo, the mix of both products and customers will
likely reflect macroeconomic headwinds. However, whereas competitors like
Wempe overwhelmingly offer higher-priced jewelry, leading customers to
either stay or churn altogether, elumeo can prevent churn on its platform
by offering both higher- and lower-priced items and allowing customers to
simply subsititute one for the other. Thus, the average sales price is seen
to decline compared to the prior reporting period (eNuW: € 72), but the
number of items sold should steadily rise over the year to c. 645k (+2%
yoy, eNuW) as (1) the continued development of an interactive mobile
jewelry shopping app (eNuW: one-digit million figure or between c. 2-13% of
FY'23e revenue) is expected to contribute perceptibly to FY total revenue
by H2'24 and (2) AI translated automated shopping shows likely help reduce
operating costs and boost video shopping content globally, the testing of
which is still ongoing but already promising.
Growth avenue #2: jooli. The platform was launched in the Indian market to
capitalize on both lower customer acquisition costs and a trove of data
needed to enhance the app's algorithm and features such as livestream
shopping (clips of ~20 seconds) of not only jewelry but various lifestyle
products. While first KPIs like order volume are promising, jooli's
development is financed out of the company's own resources and conducted
such that customer acqusition is profitable from the beginning, causing a
slower but financially healthier ramp up. Therefore, we currently do not
expect material top or bottom line contributions from jooli before 2026e
(see also our update from February 2nd). However, as the company prepares
jooli for a successful roll-out in its European markets in the mid-term,
elumeo's core platform juwelo looks set to benefit from an eventual
recovery of the jewelry and overall e-commerce market with sales prices and
items sold likely to recover.
We reiterate our BUY rating with an unchanged PT of € 5.00 based on DCF.
You can download the research here:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29107.pdf
For additional information visit our website
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Contact for questions
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden: www.nuways-ag.com/research.
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------transmitted by EQS Group AG.-------------------
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.
The result of this research does not constitute investment advice
or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
NuWays AG: elumeo SE: BUY
Original-Research: elumeo SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu elumeo SE
Unternehmen: elumeo SE
ISIN: DE000A11Q059
Anlass der Studie:
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 02.02.2024
Kursziel: 5.00
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monate
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Mark-Hendrik Schüssler
Progress & outlook on jooli. Launched in the Indian market to capitalize on
both lower customer acquisition
costs and and a trove of data needed to enhance the app's algorithm, jooli
has already witnessed a
considerable boost in order volume (+560% in December vs. the previous
month), aided by
jooliPay. While first KPIs are promising, they are not yet meaningful, and
hence we do not expect material
top or bottom line contributions from jooli before 2026e, leading us to
adjust our estimates accordingly.
FY'23e preview & long-term growth. As we expect Q4 sales to be burdened by
the muted consumer
sentiment witnessed over the last quarters, and hence softer-than-expected
revenues from the holiday
season, we trimmed our estimates: Q4 sales are now seen to come in at c. €
11.3m (flat yoy), implying
sales of € 44.7m for the full year (-3% yoy; eNuW old: € 45.3m), largely
driven by a lower average sales
price of € 67 (-7% yoy) as customers postpone big ticket items sales, and
only partial recovery of items
sold to 168k (+7% yoy). While the weaker-than-expected top line will likely
be affected by a weaker-thanexpected top line, the company's cost cutting
program should continue to bear fruit and thus partially
offset a lacking fixed cost coverage. EBIT should hence run to c. € -0.13m
for Q4'23
(+89% yoy) and c. € -1.2m for the full year (+17% yoy; eNuW old: € -0.8m).
Convertible bond financing. In Q4'23, elumeo was able to secure a favorable
5-year convertible debt
financing of c. € 1.2m at a 3.8% interest rate from selected suppliers of
the company. The out-of-themoney
strike price (€ 4.50) along with the belowthe-market interest rate provide
elumeo with a cash infusion
that should give elumeo room to maneuver and to focus on its long-term
growth initiative #juwelo100.
The outlook for the long term remains bright. As the company prepares jooli
for a successful roll-out
in its European markets, elumeo's core business is well-positioned to
capitalize on an eventual recovery
of the jewelry and overall e-commerce market, with sales prices and items
sold likely to recover to their
historical means. Overall, elumeo looks set to grow sales by 7% CAGR to c.
€ 55m by FY'26e along with
reaching a healthy EBIT margin of c. 3% in FY'26e (eNuW), supported by
scale efficiencies. Mind you,
that positive effects stemming from the jooli roll-out are not reflected in
our estimates.
BUY with a changed PT of € 5.00 based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28785.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
NuWays AG: elumeo SE: BUY
Original-Research: elumeo SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu elumeo SE
Unternehmen: elumeo SE
ISIN: DE000A11Q059
Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review
Empfehlung: BUY
seit: 13.11.2023
Kursziel: € 5,50
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Frederik Jarchow
Weak Q3 // Consumer sentiment weighs on sales, chg
elumeo published weaker than expected Q3 figures that are driven by the
overall weaker consumer sentiment. Here is what is important:
Sales came in at only € 11.0m (vs eNuW: € 11.7m; -5% qoq, 1% yoy), mainly
due to a lower avg sales price of only € 68 (-13% qoq, -14% yoy vs eNuW: €
79) resulting from the overall more restricted spending of its customer
group. The increased number of active customers (39k, 18% yoy) and rising
no. of items sold (162k, 9% qoq, 17% yoy), only partially compensated for
the lower avg sales price.
EBIT turned negative again to € -0.3m (vs € -0.8m in Q1) in contrast to our
positive expectation of € 0.1m. While the bottom line decline is purely
caused by the weak topline, the cost cutting program that is bearing fruit
and the other operating income, cushioned it a bit.
Positively, elumeo was able to keep its sales level rather stable - against
the general trend in the overall online jewelry & watches market as well as
the multichannel market, (-14% yoy and -19% yoy). Worth highlighting is
that the web shop, which grew by 15% in revenues and achieved a new record
daily revenue on November, 1st when Black Friday season kicked-off.
Further, the “rising star” of the group, jooli launched of joolipay, which
is marking the starting point for the monetization of jooli that should
further fuel Group revenues. First KPI´s are promising but not yet
meaningful.
Apart from that, management unveil further building blocks of its growth
program #juwelo100 with the goal to grow the core business at 10% CAGR to €
100m by FY30 (vs eNuW: 11% p.a to 71.5m by FY26e): A new interactive mobile
jewelry shopping app and automatically AI translated shopping shows are
expected to contribute together c. € 30m by FY30. The positive sales
development paired with declining OPEX relative to sales, should increase
EBIT margin to 5% in FY26e (eNuW).
While the challenging macro picture and the weak consumer sentiment should
continue to burden the business in the short term, the outlook for the mid
to long term remains bright: The growth program #juwelo100 with several
initiatives, as well as jooli should fuel the topline from FY24e onwards.
BUY with a new PT of € 5.50 (old: € 5.70) based on DCF.
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/28233.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden
www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
++++++++++
Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
++++++++++
-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------
Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.
Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung
oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.